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Maribor vs Radomlje Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2025
Time: 18:15
Final 5-1
Maribor
Maribor
Vs
74%
16%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Maribor win✓ Hit
74.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radomlje win✗ Miss
9.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MariborMaribor

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D01L12L01L21W11D22D20W33DH·PRI11/05A·KOP18/05H·NAF25/05H·CEL20/07A·PAK24/07A·NK 27/07H·PAK31/07H·KOP03/08A·PRI10/08H·BRA16/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.032.071.131.270.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.471.331.881.751.000.86
vs Weaker (15)1.870.732.290.431.501.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L20W04L05L01L12L02L20W21W31WA·MAR26/04H·MUR03/05A·BRA10/05A·OLI17/05H·PRI23/05H·ALU18/07A·CEL27/07H·NK 01/08A·KOP09/08H·PRI15/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.071.601.600.802.53
vs Stronger (13)0.773.151.202.800.503.38
vs Similar (17)1.531.241.801.001.141.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%09%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.8%
Under 2.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.4%
Under 3.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
9.0%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
7.0%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.3%
Maribor goals ↓
Radomlje goals →
01234
03.6%1.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%
17.0%7.5%3.0%0.9%0.2%
210%9.1%4.0%1.2%0.3%
39.0%8.0%3.6%1.1%0.2%
46.0%5.3%2.4%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maribor goals (down), columns = Radomlje goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.18
Nafta
2.00
Koper
1.97
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.61
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.58
Radomlje
1.32
Aluminij
1.06
Mura
0.91
NK Domzale
0.67
Primorje
0.64
Maribor is 0.28 points better than Radomlje in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.32).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.50
Koper
2.09
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.73
Radomlje
1.47
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.42
Aluminij
1.24
Mura
1.03
NK Domzale
0.94
Primorje
0.86
Nafta
0.50
Maribor is 0.26 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.00
Celje
0.94
Maribor
1.21
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.21
Koper
1.26
Bravo
1.50
Mura
1.62
Aluminij
1.79
Radomlje
1.85
Primorje
2.08
NK Domzale
2.11
Maribor is 0.64 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.85).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MariborMaribor

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

RadomljeRadomlje

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MariborMaribor

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.0-10.00.20.20.218.0-18.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (28)10.0-10.00.30.20.318.0-18.0
vs Weaker (22)---0.00.00.0---
% over line100%-100%4%4%4%0%-0%
% under line0%-0%96%96%96%100%-100%
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Celje
9.3
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Celje
4.5
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Celje
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.0%
Under 9.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.0%
Under 3.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.7%
Under 21.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MariborMaribor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L01L10W00D11D10W11D10W01LH·PRI11/05A·KOP18/05H·NAF25/05H·CEL20/07A·PAK24/07A·NK 27/07H·PAK31/07H·KOP03/08A·PRI10/08H·BRA16/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.401.000.470.470.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.530.880.750.430.29
vs Weaker (15)0.800.271.140.140.500.38
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D04L02L00D11D01L10W20W00DA·MAR26/04H·MUR03/05A·BRA10/05A·OLI17/05H·PRI23/05H·ALU18/07A·CEL27/07H·NK 01/08A·KOP09/08H·PRI15/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.530.330.531.13
vs Stronger (13)0.310.920.200.400.381.25
vs Similar (17)0.710.590.700.300.711.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maribor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MariborMaribor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D02L01L10W01L11D10W32WH·PRI11/05A·KOP18/05H·NAF25/05H·CEL20/07A·PAK24/07A·NK 27/07H·PAK31/07H·KOP03/08A·PRI10/08H·BRA16/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.631.070.670.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.800.801.001.000.570.57
vs Weaker (15)1.070.471.140.291.000.62
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L20W00D03L01L01L01L10W01L31WA·MAR26/04H·MUR03/05A·BRA10/05A·OLI17/05H·PRI23/05H·ALU18/07A·CEL27/07H·NK 01/08A·KOP09/08H·PRI15/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.331.071.270.271.40
vs Stronger (13)0.462.231.002.400.122.12
vs Similar (17)0.820.651.100.700.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maribor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls84.2%--------
Over 2.5 cards78.6%--------
Under 5.5 cards75.7%--------
Home win74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.5%--------
Over 21.5 fouls71.7%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Maribor's squad is €4m more valuable than Radomlje's (€10m vs €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Maribor's attack is €3m more valuable than Radomlje's (€5m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Maribor and Radomlje have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Maribor and Radomlje have a similar defence value (both €3m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
MAR wins
2
Draws
0
RAD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Maribor vs Radomlje · H/A from MAR
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/25HMAR Vs Radomlje4-0
01/03/25ARadomlje Vs MAR0-4
02/11/24HMAR Vs Radomlje1-0
18/08/24ARadomlje Vs MAR1-1
29/03/24HMAR Vs Radomlje1-0
11/12/23ARadomlje Vs MAR2-2
28/09/23HMAR Vs Radomlje3-1
23/07/23ARadomlje Vs MAR0-4

MariborMaribor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25HMAR Vs Bravo3-3
10/08/25APrimorje Vs MAR0-2
03/08/25HMAR Vs Koper2-2
31/07/25HMAR Vs Paks1-1
27/07/25ANK Domzale Vs MAR1-2
24/07/25APaks Vs MAR1-0
20/07/25HMAR Vs Celje1-2
25/05/25HMAR Vs Nafta0-1
18/05/25AKoper Vs MAR1-1
11/05/25HMAR Vs Primorje3-1

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/25HRAD Vs Primorje3-1
09/08/25AKoper Vs RAD1-2
01/08/25HRAD Vs NK Domzale2-0
27/07/25ACelje Vs RAD2-0
18/07/25HRAD Vs Aluminij1-2
23/05/25HRAD Vs Primorje0-1
17/05/25AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs RAD5-0
10/05/25ABravo Vs RAD4-0
03/05/25HRAD Vs Mura2-0
26/04/25AMaribor Vs RAD4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWD1.66
HomeLLDDD1.88
AwayWDLWW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%54%38%
AVG goals2.683.082.25
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %24%38%8%
Scored1.662.001.29
Conceded1.021.080.96
BTTS60%65%54%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners10.00-10.00
Cards4.004.004.00
Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.06
HomeWLLWW1.40
AwayLLLLW0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%16%
AVG goals2.782.642.92
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.081.320.84
Conceded1.701.322.08
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet18%28%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3474
68%
2.2
8532+53
3.4
85%
71%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7162.50.9
-
2KoperKoper3467
59%
2.0
7143+28
3.4
82%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3232.11.3
-
3BravoBravo3462
56%
1.8
6251+11
3.3
88%
71%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.5
-
4MariborMaribor3353
45%
1.6
5740+17
2.9
82%
58%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.71.2
-
5Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3352
45%
1.6
4740+7
2.6
79%
58%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6151.41.2
-
6RadomljeRadomlje3445
38%
1.3
5063-13
3.3
97%
79%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.9
-
7AluminijAluminij3436
29%
1.1
4261-19
3.0
85%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.8
-
8MuraMura3431
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
76%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
-
9PrimorjePrimorje3623
17%
0.6
3175-44
2.9
83%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.1
-
10NK DomzaleNK Domzale1812
17%
0.7
1738-21
3.1
89%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11NaftaNafta24
50%
2.0
10+1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.50.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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