Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mariehamn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.54
0.38
0.29
0.88
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.57
0.75
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.75
0.20
0.60
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gnistan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.62
0.38
0.53
0.76
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.52
0.64
0.36
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mariehamn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.07
0.69
1.38
0.82
0.82
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.57
0.50
2.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.62
1.00
0.40
0.91
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gnistan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.00
1.08
0.92
1.12
1.06
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
1.33
1.00
2.50
1.75
0.75
vs Similar (23)
1.04
0.91
1.09
0.64
1.00
1.17
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 8.5 corners
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mariehamn
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Korede Adedoyin55%
Leo Andersson40%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe29%
Emmanuel Okereke20%
Jelle van der Heyden10%
Jiri Nissinen9%
Daniel Enqvist8%
Niilo Kujasalo8%
Noah Nurmi0%
Matias Riikonen0%
Sebastian Dahlström0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Jayden Reid0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Emmanuel Patut0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Wille Nuñez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Korede Adedoyin27%
Emmanuel Patut27%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso20%
Jayden Reid20%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe14%
Matias Riikonen12%
Pontus Lindgren11%
Emmanuel Okereke10%
Jiri Nissinen9%
Sebastian Dahlström9%
Daniel Enqvist8%
Noah Nurmi0%
Jelle van der Heyden0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Niilo Kujasalo0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Leo Andersson0%
Wille Nuñez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anttoni Huttunen33%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso20%
Jayden Reid20%
Jiri Nissinen9%
Korede Adedoyin9%
Emmanuel Patut9%
Daniel Enqvist8%
Niilo Kujasalo8%
Noah Nurmi0%
Jelle van der Heyden0%
Matias Riikonen0%
Sebastian Dahlström0%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Leo Andersson0%
Emmanuel Okereke0%
Wille Nuñez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Korede Adedoyin27%
Hugo Alexandre Santos Cardoso20%
Leo Andersson20%
Niilo Kujasalo17%
Olawale Muhamed Tehe14%
Jayden Reid10%
Noah Nurmi0%
Jelle van der Heyden0%
Matias Riikonen0%
Jiri Nissinen0%
Sebastian Dahlström0%
Anttoni Huttunen0%
Admiral Muskwe0%
Pontus Lindgren0%
Daniel Enqvist0%
Michael Fonsell0%
Emmanuel Patut0%
Arvid Lundberg0%
Emmanuel Okereke0%
Wille Nuñez0%
Emir El Kathemi0%
Rasmus Holmberg0%
Gnistan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rachide Gnanou33%
Vertti Hänninen25%
Saku Heiskanen20%
Evgeny Bashkirov18%
Tim Väyrynen17%
Artur Atarah17%
Joakim Latonen15%
Matias Ritari14%
Edmund Arko-Mensah11%
Gabriel Europaeus10%
Didrik Hafstad9%
Alexandro Craninx0%
Juhani Ojala0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Roman Eremenko0%
Armend Kabashi0%
Anicet Oura0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Oliver GĂĽnes0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Lucas von Hellens0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edmund Arko-Mensah56%
Lucas von Hellens50%
Rachide Gnanou50%
Roman Eremenko25%
Oludare Olufunwa25%
Gabriel Europaeus20%
Alexandro Craninx18%
Didrik Hafstad18%
Artur Atarah17%
Matias Ritari14%
Jukka Raitala11%
Armend Kabashi11%
Saku Heiskanen10%
Juhani Ojala9%
Evgeny Bashkirov9%
Tim Väyrynen8%
Joakim Latonen8%
Oliver Pettersson8%
Anicet Oura0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Vertti Hänninen0%
Oliver GĂĽnes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Saku Heiskanen50%
Roman Eremenko25%
Anicet Oura25%
Vertti Hänninen25%
Oliver GĂĽnes17%
Matias Ritari14%
Didrik Hafstad9%
Tim Väyrynen8%
Artur Atarah8%
Alexandro Craninx0%
Juhani Ojala0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Evgeny Bashkirov0%
Joakim Latonen0%
Armend Kabashi0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Edmund Arko-Mensah0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Lucas von Hellens0%
Gabriel Europaeus0%
Rachide Gnanou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Eremenko25%
Joakim Latonen15%
Tim Väyrynen8%
Rachide Gnanou8%
Alexandro Craninx0%
Juhani Ojala0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Evgeny Bashkirov0%
Saku Heiskanen0%
Armend Kabashi0%
Anicet Oura0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Edmund Arko-Mensah0%
Vertti Hänninen0%
Oliver GĂĽnes0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Lucas von Hellens0%
Matias Ritari0%
Didrik Hafstad0%
Artur Atarah0%
Gabriel Europaeus0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
Mariehamn and Gnistan have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
Mariehamn and Gnistan have a similar attack value (both €1m).
đź§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
Mariehamn and Gnistan have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
Mariehamn and Gnistan have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →