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Mariehamn vs Lahti Result & Analysis

Date: 26/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Mariehamn
Mariehamn
Vs
24%
19%
57%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lahti
Lahti
Finland: Suomen Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

A high-scoring encounter is projected as the model leans heavily toward an away win, with a 57% chance for Lahti, 24% for Mariehamn and 19% for a draw. The average goal tally of 4.5 points to a lively affair, and the most likely total is 6+ goals, a 29% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-2, a 7.3% chance that Lahti will edge Mariehamn by a single goal. Mariehamn, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.33 conceded, while Lahti, on the road, averages 1.89 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 94.4%, Away over 0.5 goals at 93.2%, Under 7.5 goals at 91.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 89.2%, Away +2 handicap at 87.9%, Over 19.5 fouls at 87.9%, Home over 0.5 goals at 83.3%, and Over 2.5 cards at 83.3%. These figures paint a picture of a match where Lahti’s superior away form and defensive solidity should see them triumph.

Results analysis

Mariehamn finished 0-1 against Lahti (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 24% home win, 19% draw and 57% away win. Picks that landed: Away over 0.5 goals (93%), Under 7.5 (92%), Home under 3.5 goals (89%), Away +2 handicap (88%). Missed: Over 1.5 (94%), Home over 0.5 goals (83%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mariehamn win✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lahti win✓ Hit
56.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MariehamnMariehamn

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L50W22D01L21W01L11D30W11D03LA·SJK10/04A·KIF14/04H·ILV18/04A·INT25/04A·HPS28/04H·VPS02/05A·LAH10/05H·PUI13/05H·KUP16/05A·FF 23/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.771.431.361.442.12
vs Stronger (15)1.072.001.381.380.712.71
vs Similar (15)1.801.531.501.332.001.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lahti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LahtiLahti

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L31W02L21W42W01L11D31W11D12LA·TUR10/04A·KOO13/04H·INT18/04H·AC 25/04A·UNI28/04A·HJK04/05H·MAR10/05H·MP13/05H·VPS18/05A·KUP23/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.201.931.201.871.20
vs Stronger (7)1.572.001.002.001.802.00
vs Similar (20)1.950.852.001.001.890.67
vs Weaker (3)2.331.672.501.502.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%29%2%04%112%217%319%417%529%6+
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
94.4%
Under 1.5
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
82.5%
Under 2.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.5%
Under 3.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
78.2%
No
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
1-1
6.0%
2-3
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
1-4
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
Mariehamn goals ↓
Lahti goals →
01234
01.7%2.5%4.1%3.7%2.5%
11.5%6.0%7.3%6.6%4.4%
21.8%4.9%6.6%5.9%4.0%
31.1%2.9%3.9%3.5%2.4%
40.5%1.3%1.8%1.6%1.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mariehamn goals (down), columns = Lahti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
HJK Helsinki
3.00
Loiske
3.00
Haka
2.60
PK-35
2.50
VPS
2.50
Union Plaani
2.40
PoPo
2.40
HIFK Helsinki
2.40
Turku PS
2.33
Leki
2.33
Valtti
2.33
OLS
2.25
NiemU
2.25
Virkiä
2.25
ÅIFK
2.25
Huima / Urho
2.25
HauPa
2.25
Gnistan
2.25
EBK
2.25
AC Oulu
2.17
SalPa
2.00
EIF
2.00
JäPS
2.00
VJS
2.00
Reipas
2.00
TuPS
2.00
Gilla
2.00
HaPK Edustus
2.00
PIF
2.00
VPV
2.00
HPS II
2.00
Lasten
2.00
TPV
2.00
Futura
2.00
SJK
2.00
Honka
2.00
JIPPO
2.00
GBK
2.00
Kiisto
2.00
Atlantis
2.00
FC Kangasala
2.00
KajHa
2.00
KuPS
2.00
Inter Turku
2.00
FF Jaro
1.83
SalPa II
1.75
Gnistan O35
1.75
MP
1.75
Mariehamn
1.75
JäPS / Akatemia
1.75
KPV-j
1.75
ToTe
1.67
Töölön Taisto
1.67
VPS II
1.50
KäPa
1.50
PPJ
1.50
SJK Akatemia
1.50
PuiU Helsinki
1.50
POHU / Hurjin
1.50
Kiffen
1.50
Ylivieska
1.50
Kiffen 08 III
1.50
ACE
1.50
Fish United
1.50
LoPa
1.50
StaPa De Royale
1.50
PK-37
1.50
Vaajakoski
1.50
JS Hercules
1.50
P-Iirot
1.33
KuPS Akatemia
1.33
HJS Akatemia
1.33
Kooteepee
1.33
VJS II
1.33
JPS
1.04
TiPS/U21
1.04
Pallo-Pojat
1.04
KaPa Kajaani
1.04
Germania Helsinki
1.04
TPS 2
1.04
Santa Claus
1.04
Kraft
1.04
Kuopion Elo
1.04
JIPPO II
1.04
LePa
1.00
Rops
1.00
PKKU
1.00
TPV II
1.00
Jokerit
1.00
JJK
1.00
VG-62
1.00
JBK
1.00
VIFK
1.00
MaPS
1.00
VaKP
1.00
NJS
0.50
Ylöjärvi United
0.50
Karhu-Futis
0.50
POHU
0.50
SUMU
0.50
RoPo
0.00
EPS
0.00
MyPa
0.00
PEPO
0.00
GrIFK
0.00
KyPa
0.00
EIF Akademi
0.00
HPS
0.00
Puimur / Mando Utd
0.00
Ilves
0.00
Tampere United
0.00
KoPa
0.00
Heinäpään Hanhet 24
0.00
MPS
0.00
LappBK
0.00
Lahti
0.00
Mariehamn is 1.75 points better than Lahti in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Loiske
7.50
Leki
7.00
PoPo
6.60
Kiffen 08 III
6.50
Kiisto
6.00
EBK
5.75
Virkiä
5.25
JäPS
4.67
Lasten
4.67
Haka
4.40
VPS II
4.00
ÅIFK
4.00
Ylivieska
4.00
Honka
4.00
Gilla
3.80
VPV
3.67
TPV
3.67
Valtti
3.67
Huima / Urho
3.50
LoPa
3.50
VPS
3.50
JIPPO
3.50
SJK
3.33
FF Jaro
3.33
HauPa
3.25
Gnistan
3.25
KPV-j
3.25
HIFK Helsinki
3.20
SJK Akatemia
3.00
HPS II
3.00
JJK
3.00
ACE
3.00
SalPa II
2.75
PK-35
2.75
Turku PS
2.67
P-Iirot
2.67
ToTe
2.67
GBK
2.67
Atlantis
2.67
OLS
2.50
KäPa
2.50
Kiffen
2.50
PK-37
2.50
JS Hercules
2.50
SUMU
2.50
Inter Turku
2.50
KuPS Akatemia
2.33
FC Kangasala
2.33
EIF
2.20
KuPS
2.20
AC Oulu
2.17
RoPo
2.00
Union Plaani
2.00
PEPO
2.00
LePa
2.00
Gnistan O35
2.00
Futura
2.00
Fish United
2.00
StaPa De Royale
2.00
Kooteepee
2.00
Mariehamn
2.00
VG-62
2.00
VIFK
2.00
Vaajakoski
2.00
JäPS / Akatemia
2.00
KajHa
2.00
JPS
1.92
TiPS/U21
1.92
Pallo-Pojat
1.92
KaPa Kajaani
1.92
Germania Helsinki
1.92
TPS 2
1.92
Santa Claus
1.92
Kraft
1.92
Kuopion Elo
1.92
JIPPO II
1.92
HJK Helsinki
1.80
NiemU
1.75
MP
1.75
VJS
1.67
HaPK Edustus
1.67
VJS II
1.67
SalPa
1.50
PPJ
1.50
PuiU Helsinki
1.50
PIF
1.50
POHU / Hurjin
1.50
Karhu-Futis
1.50
POHU
1.50
Töölön Taisto
1.33
Reipas
1.00
TuPS
1.00
GrIFK
1.00
NJS
1.00
PKKU
1.00
HJS Akatemia
1.00
TPV II
1.00
MPS
1.00
LappBK
1.00
Lahti
1.00
MaPS
0.67
Rops
0.50
Ylöjärvi United
0.50
EPS
0.00
MyPa
0.00
KyPa
0.00
EIF Akademi
0.00
Jokerit
0.00
HPS
0.00
Puimur / Mando Utd
0.00
Ilves
0.00
JBK
0.00
Tampere United
0.00
KoPa
0.00
Heinäpään Hanhet 24
0.00
VaKP
0.00
Mariehamn is 1.00 goals better than Lahti in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Jokerit
0.00
JBK
0.00
VaKP
0.00
HJK Helsinki
0.20
PK-35
0.25
NiemU
0.50
Reipas
0.50
PPJ
0.50
TuPS
0.50
Rops
0.50
PIF
0.50
MP
0.50
Loiske
0.50
JIPPO
0.50
Inter Turku
0.50
Haka
0.60
JäPS
0.67
VJS
0.67
ToTe
0.67
TPV
0.67
HJS Akatemia
0.67
Honka
0.67
MaPS
0.67
Gnistan
0.75
KuPS
0.80
AC Oulu
0.83
Turku PS
1.00
SalPa
1.00
VPS II
1.00
EIF
1.00
KäPa
1.00
MyPa
1.00
PoPo
1.00
PKKU
1.00
Leki
1.00
TPV II
1.00
LoPa
1.00
VPS
1.00
Kiisto
1.00
Töölön Taisto
1.00
Heinäpään Hanhet 24
1.00
Valtti
1.00
OLS
1.25
EBK
1.25
SJK
1.33
FF Jaro
1.33
Kooteepee
1.33
Virkiä
1.50
Huima / Urho
1.50
PuiU Helsinki
1.50
POHU / Hurjin
1.50
Fish United
1.50
Ylöjärvi United
1.50
Union Plaani
1.60
HaPK Edustus
1.67
GBK
1.67
Atlantis
1.67
FC Kangasala
1.67
ÅIFK
1.75
SalPa II
1.75
Gnistan O35
1.75
Mariehamn
1.75
JäPS / Akatemia
1.75
Gilla
1.80
HIFK Helsinki
1.80
EPS
2.00
GrIFK
2.00
LePa
2.00
NJS
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
HPS II
2.00
Ylivieska
2.00
Kiffen 08 III
2.00
EIF Akademi
2.00
PK-37
2.00
VG-62
2.00
VIFK
2.00
Vaajakoski
2.00
VJS II
2.00
MPS
2.00
KPV-j
2.00
Lahti
2.00
HauPa
2.25
Futura
2.33
KajHa
2.33
StaPa De Royale
2.50
Karhu-Futis
2.50
Lasten
2.67
JPS
2.93
TiPS/U21
2.93
Pallo-Pojat
2.93
KaPa Kajaani
2.93
Germania Helsinki
2.93
TPS 2
2.93
Santa Claus
2.93
Kraft
2.93
Kuopion Elo
2.93
JIPPO II
2.93
KuPS Akatemia
3.00
Kiffen
3.00
KyPa
3.00
JJK
3.00
ACE
3.00
Ilves
3.00
JS Hercules
3.00
Tampere United
3.00
LappBK
3.00
SUMU
3.00
P-Iirot
3.33
RoPo
4.00
PEPO
4.00
VPV
4.00
HPS
4.00
Puimur / Mando Utd
4.00
POHU
4.50
KoPa
7.00
Mariehamn is 0.25 goals better than Lahti in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mariehamn or Draw✗ Miss
43.4%
Avg Implied -
24%
19%
57%
covers Mariehamn + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn or Lahti✓ Hit
81.0%
Avg Implied -
24%
19%
57%
covers Mariehamn + Lahti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Lahti✓ Hit
75.6%
Avg Implied -
24%
19%
57%
covers Draw + Lahti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
83.3%
Under
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.5%
Under
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.8%
Under
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lahti over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.2%
Under
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lahti over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lahti over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
50.5%
Under
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lahti over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
28.4%
Under
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Mariehamn, so a minus line means Mariehamn give that many goals of a start and Lahti receive them. At -1, Mariehamn must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mariehamn win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mariehamn)Actual: Lahti
Mariehamn -2
4.9%
Draw -2
7.2%
Lahti +2
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Mariehamn)Actual: Lahti
Mariehamn -1
12.1%
Draw -1
12.3%
Lahti +1
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Mariehamn)Actual: Draw
Mariehamn +1
43.4%
Draw +1
18.8%
Lahti -1
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Mariehamn)Actual: Mariehamn
Mariehamn +2
62.2%
Draw +2
16.2%
Lahti -2
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MariehamnMariehamn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W11D00D01L01L01L10W11D02LA·SJK10/04A·KIF14/04H·ILV18/04A·INT25/04A·HPS28/04H·VPS02/05A·LAH10/05H·PUI13/05H·KUP16/05A·FF 23/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.430.570.500.88
vs Stronger (15)0.400.800.620.620.141.00
vs Similar (15)0.530.670.170.500.780.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lahti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LahtiLahti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W00D20W11D01L10W11D11D12LA·TUR10/04A·KOO13/04H·INT18/04H·AC 25/04A·UNI28/04A·HJK04/05H·MAR10/05H·MP13/05H·VPS18/05A·KUP23/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.601.130.470.870.73
vs Stronger (7)0.571.290.500.500.601.60
vs Similar (20)1.150.401.180.451.110.33
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lahti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lahti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lahti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MariehamnMariehamn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W11D01L20W00D10W20W00D01LA·SJK10/04A·KIF14/04H·ILV18/04A·INT25/04A·HPS28/04H·VPS02/05A·LAH10/05H·PUI13/05H·KUP16/05A·FF 23/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.031.000.790.941.25
vs Stronger (15)0.671.200.750.750.571.71
vs Similar (15)1.270.871.330.831.220.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lahti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LahtiLahti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L02L01L31W00D01L20W00D00DA·TUR10/04A·KOO13/04H·INT18/04H·AC 25/04A·UNI28/04A·HJK04/05H·MAR10/05H·MP13/05H·VPS18/05A·KUP23/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.600.800.731.000.47
vs Stronger (7)1.000.710.501.501.200.40
vs Similar (20)0.800.450.820.550.780.33
vs Weaker (3)1.331.331.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mariehamn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mariehamn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mariehamn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lahti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lahti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lahti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.4%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals93.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.591.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals89.2%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap87.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls87.9%--------
Home over 0.5 goals83.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards83.3%--------
Under 6.583.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.5%--------
Over 2.582.5%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away81.0%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes78.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls77.1%--------
Draw or Away75.6%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap75.6%-------✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals75.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners73.3%--------
Home under 2.5 goals73.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals71.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.570.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (26)
€6m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (22)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (21)
€2m
MAR (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
Mariehamn and Lahti have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Mariehamn and Lahti have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
ILV (4)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (2)
€0m
Mariehamn and Lahti have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (11)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Mariehamn and Lahti have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
MAR wins
3
Draws
3
LAH wins

Head-to-head

Mariehamn vs Lahti · H/A from MAR
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26ALahti Vs MAR1-1
19/09/24ALahti Vs MAR2-1
18/08/24HMAR Vs Lahti0-0
12/05/24ALahti Vs MAR3-0
08/10/23HMAR Vs Lahti0-0
23/07/23ALahti Vs MAR0-2
16/04/23HMAR Vs Lahti2-3
18/09/22HMAR Vs Lahti6-0

MariehamnMariehamn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26AFF Jaro Vs MAR3-0
16/05/26HMAR Vs KuPS1-1
13/05/26HMAR Vs PuiU Helsinki3-0
10/05/26ALahti Vs MAR1-1
02/05/26HMAR Vs VPS0-1
28/04/26AHPS Vs MAR1-2
25/04/26AInter Turku Vs MAR1-0
18/04/26HMAR Vs Ilves2-2
14/04/26AKiffen 08 III Vs MAR0-5
10/04/26ASJK Vs MAR3-0

LahtiLahti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26AKuPS Vs LAH2-1
18/05/26HLAH Vs VPS1-1
13/05/26HLAH Vs MP3-1
10/05/26HLAH Vs Mariehamn1-1
04/05/26AHJK Helsinki Vs LAH1-0
28/04/26AUnion Plaani Vs LAH2-4
25/04/26HLAH Vs AC Oulu2-1
18/04/26HLAH Vs Inter Turku0-2
13/04/26AKooteepee Vs LAH1-3
10/04/26ATurku PS Vs LAH2-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Mariehamn
Mariehamn
Finland: Suomen Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDL1.22
HomeDDLWD1.35
AwayWLWDL1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%30%
AVG goals3.062.963.15
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %60%57%63%
Over 3.5 %28%30%26%
Scored1.341.431.26
Conceded1.721.521.89
BTTS60%57%63%
Clean Sheet20%22%19%
Corners10.3810.709.83
Cards3.313.602.83
Lahti
Lahti
Finland: Suomen Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDL1.78
HomeLWDWD2.29
AwayLWWLL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%67%35%
AVG goals2.822.792.85
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.661.881.46
Conceded1.160.921.38
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners8.209.503.00
Cards4.604.256.00

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KuPSKuPS2143
57%
2.0
3822+16
2.9
86%
48%
29%
8.1
33%
1.9
11%
19.9
44%
0
0001.81.0
57%
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2139
48%
1.9
2816+12
2.1
67%
33%
19%
10.7
67%
2.3
14%
19.7
57%
5
2121.30.8
58%
3GnistanGnistan2135
48%
1.7
3528+7
3.0
81%
48%
33%
10.1
57%
3.6
50%
24.2
71%
3
1111.71.3
44%
4HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2134
48%
1.6
3426+8
2.9
71%
57%
29%
7.0
14%
3.0
43%
18.4
43%
6
2131.61.2
55%
5VPSVPS2133
43%
1.6
2921+8
2.4
62%
43%
29%
7.1
30%
3.4
50%
21.8
70%
0
0001.41.0
48%
6AC OuluAC Oulu2133
48%
1.6
2525+0
2.4
57%
38%
19%
9.5
38%
3.8
62%
22.6
50%
4
1111.21.2
48%
7Turku PSTurku PS2130
38%
1.4
2722+5
2.3
67%
48%
24%
7.7
40%
3.9
60%
20.3
60%
0
0001.31.0
50%
8LahtiLahti2129
38%
1.4
2519+6
2.1
67%
33%
10%
8.3
50%
3.8
60%
22.6
80%
2
1011.20.9
56%
9IlvesIlves2125
33%
1.2
3335-2
3.2
76%
62%
52%
8.1
11%
3.0
56%
18.0
44%
4
1121.61.7
49%
10SJKSJK2118
19%
0.9
2533-8
2.8
86%
57%
29%
9.0
57%
3.9
57%
20.4
57%
4
1121.21.6
50%
11FF JaroFF Jaro2115
14%
0.7
1842-24
2.9
81%
57%
29%
8.4
30%
3.1
40%
19.2
50%
2
1110.92.0
47%
12MariehamnMariehamn2111
10%
0.5
1543-28
2.8
86%
48%
24%
10.5
70%
3.0
64%
21.3
64%
2
1110.72.0
45%
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →

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