The model favours an away win, with Kifisia expected to edge Marko 54% to 18% for a home win and 28% for a draw. The average goal tally sits at 2.3, so a two-goal game is most likely, and the single most probable scoreline is 0-1 for Kifisia, a 13.7% chance. Marko’s home form shows a 1.17 average goals scored and 1.0 conceded against weaker opposition, while Kifisia’s away form is similar, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.0. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.9%, Under 7.5 at 99.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 99.6%, Home under 3.5 goals at 99.1% with a 7% edge, Under 6.5 at 99.0%, Over 23.5 fouls at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, and Over 25.5 fouls at 97.2%. Marko entered the match after a draw, while Kifisia came off a 2-game winning streak.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Kifisia, failed to deliver, as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s prediction of an away win incorrect. Marko’s recent form, unbeaten in their last five with a 2-2 draw against Kifisia, and Kifisia’s own unbeaten run, also ended in a 2-2 stalemate, underscored the unexpected outcome. The model’s selection of an away win, with a 53% probability, was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.1%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.4%. The final score of 2-2 matched the actual result, confirming the draw.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Marko win✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.48
Edge
-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.56
Marathonbet
3.52
Bet365
3.50
Draw✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.07
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.30
Dafabet
3.20
Betano
3.15
BetVictor
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Kifisia win✗ Miss
53.5%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.10
Edge
+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.21
Superbet
2.20
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.12
BetVictor
2.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Marko
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.93
1.36
0.93
0.88
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
-
-
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.15
0.88
1.38
1.00
0.92
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kifisia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kifisia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.23
1.00
1.29
1.00
1.19
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
2.17
1.00
2.50
0.25
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.07
1.00
0.88
1.12
1.33
0.83
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.17
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Marko) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.8%
@ 1.42+3.7%
Under 1.5
31.2%
@ 2.64-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Pinnacle
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.2%
@ 2.30+0.8%
Under 2.5
58.8%
@ 1.56-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.32
Superbet
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Under
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.7%
@ 4.38-0.4%
Under 3.5
79.3%
@ 1.17+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.3%
@ 1.99-1.9%
No
55.7%
@ 1.71+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Betano
2.00
No
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
13.7%@ 5.71+6.1%
1-1
13.1%@ 5.85+5.6%
0-2
11.4%@ 8.89+6.5%
0-0
10.9%@ 6.89+4.6%
1-2
9.1%@ 8.61+4.0%
1-0
6.6%@ 7.93+1.1%
0-3
5.8%@ 18.57+3.5%
2-1
4.8%@ 11.57+1.0%
Marko goals ↓
Kifisia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
14%
11%
5.8%
2.2%
1
6.6%
13%
9.1%
4.7%
1.8%
2
3.1%
4.8%
3.6%
1.9%
0.7%
3
0.8%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Marko goals (down), columns = Kifisia goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.40
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.40
Levadiakos
2.38
OFI
2.22
Aris Thessalonikis
2.17
Panathinaikos
2.14
PAOK
2.00
Volos NFC
1.67
Atromitos
1.60
Kifisia
1.29
Kallithea
1.20
Ellas Syros
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.03
Zakynthos
1.03
Panthrakikos
1.03
Trikala
1.03
Iraklis 1908
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Marko
0.80
Larisa
0.80
Asteras Tripolis
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.71
Kalamata
0.00
Niki Volos
0.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
Marko is 0.49 points worse than Kifisia in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
3.60
Volos NFC
2.33
PAOK
2.00
Levadiakos
1.88
Ellas Syros
1.80
Atromitos
1.60
OFI
1.56
Asteras Tripolis
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Panathinaikos
1.29
AEK Athens FC
1.20
Larisa
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.10
Zakynthos
1.10
Panthrakikos
1.10
Trikala
1.10
Kalamata
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Niki Volos
1.00
Marko
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Kifisia
0.86
Kallithea
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.76
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
Marko is 0.14 goals better than Kifisia in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AEK Athens FC
0.40
OFI
0.67
Panathinaikos
0.71
Levadiakos
0.75
Aris Thessalonikis
0.83
Panionios
1.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.00
Kallithea
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.00
Kifisia
1.00
PAOK
1.11
Panetolikos
1.17
Atromitos
1.20
Asteras Tripolis
1.20
Volos NFC
1.33
Pyrgos 1968
1.45
Zakynthos
1.45
Panthrakikos
1.45
Trikala
1.45
Kalamata
2.00
Iraklis 1908
2.00
Niki Volos
2.00
Marko
2.00
Larisa
2.00
Apollon Pontou
2.10
Ellas Syros
2.60
Marko is 1.00 goals worse than Kifisia in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Volos NFC
87%
Levadiakos
71%
Panserraikos
65%
Kifisia
63%
Kallithea
60%
Niki Volos
59%
Ellas Syros
59%
Panionios
56%
Kalamata
50%
Marko
50%
Larisa
50%
Iraklis 1908
44%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
41%
Panetolikos
41%
Anagennisi Karditsas
37%
Marko is 13.0 percentage points worse than Kifisia in terms of average possession (50% vs 63%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Marko
For 4.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.0 · Against 19.0 · Total 37.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kifisia
For 3.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 13.1 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Marko
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
7.0
-
7.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
37.0
-
37.0
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
7.0
-
7.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
37.0
-
37.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
-
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
-
100%
% under line
100%
-
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Kifisia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kifisia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
7.7
10.2
5.3
4.8
5.7
32.4
32.4
32.5
vs Stronger (10)
9.2
7.0
12.0
6.7
7.4
6.0
34.1
36.4
31.2
vs Similar (22)
9.0
8.1
9.9
4.7
4.0
5.3
30.8
29.1
32.4
vs Weaker (18)
8.5
7.5
9.4
5.1
4.3
5.9
33.5
33.8
33.3
% over line
35%
20%
50%
70%
67%
73%
95%
90%
100%
% under line
65%
80%
50%
30%
33%
27%
5%
10%
0%
This opponent (Marko) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Panionios
10.4
Kallithea
9.7
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Kifisia
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
OFI
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Larisa
8.6
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.5
Panserraikos
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Marko
7.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
6.0
Ellas Syros
5.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
5.0
Iraklis 1908
4.7
Niki Volos
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anagennisi Karditsas
8.0
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Larisa
6.1
Panserraikos
6.0
Kallithea
5.9
Panionios
5.8
Levadiakos
5.6
Volos NFC
5.5
Panetolikos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
OFI
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Ellas Syros
4.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4.0
Marko
3.0
Niki Volos
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Anagennisi Karditsas
37.0
Marko
37.0
Ellas Syros
34.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
34.0
Kifisia
32.3
Larisa
32.0
Atromitos
30.8
Levadiakos
30.6
Volos NFC
30.5
Panionios
30.5
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.8
Kallithea
28.8
Aris Thessalonikis
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.2
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panserraikos
27.2
Panetolikos
27.1
Niki Volos
27.0
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
15.1%
@ 2.33-24.9%
Under 9.5
84.9%
@ 1.56+24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Superbet
2.12
Under
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.47
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.0%
@ 1.31+2.1%
Under 3.5
28.0%
@ 3.04-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Under
Betano
3.20
Superbet
2.87
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
99.6%
Under 21.5
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Marko or Draw✓ Hit
46.5%
Avg Implied 56.0% · @ 1.66
Edge
-9.5%
18%
28%
53%
covers Marko + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
William Hil
1.67
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marko or Kifisia✗ Miss
71.8%
Avg Implied 70.5% · @ 1.32
Edge
+1.3%
18%
28%
53%
covers Marko + Kifisia
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Draw or Kifisia✓ Hit
81.6%
Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.27
Edge
+8.2%
18%
28%
53%
covers Draw + Kifisia
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Marko over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
55.0%
@ 1.53-5.5%
Under
45.0%
@ 2.35+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Under
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.34
Marko over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
19.1%
@ 3.54-7.0%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.25+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
10Bet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marko over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 8.30-6.5%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.05+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
8.60
Bet365
8.50
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marko over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 18.17-4.4%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
25.00
Bet365
17.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Kifisia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.4%
@ 1.29+6.6%
Under
21.6%
@ 3.29-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
1xBet
3.28
10Bet
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Kifisia over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.3%
@ 2.40+6.7%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.51-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Kifisia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.9%
@ 5.51+3.1%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.12-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Kifisia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 11.33-1.3%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.02+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Bet365
10.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Marko, so a minus line means Marko give that many goals of a start and Kifisia receive them. At -1, Marko must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Marko win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Marko)Actual: Kifisia
Marko -2
1.4%
@ 21.00-3.1%
Draw -2
4.6%
@ 11.00-4.0%
Kifisia +2
94.1%
@ 1.08+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.08
Handicap -1 (Marko)Actual: Kifisia
Marko -1
5.9%
@ 7.75-5.5%
Draw -1
12.4%
@ 4.74-6.4%
Kifisia +1
81.6%
@ 1.28+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.30
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Draw
Marathonbet
4.95
Superbet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Away
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.21
Handicap +1 (Marko)Actual: Marko
Marko +1
46.5%
@ 1.65-7.7%
Draw +1
24.9%
@ 3.61+0.1%
Kifisia -1
28.6%
@ 4.25+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Betfair
1.62
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
Away
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.00
Handicap +2 (Marko)Actual: Marko
Marko +2
71.4%
@ 1.18-2.6%
Draw +2
16.8%
@ 5.45+0.8%
Kifisia -2
11.8%
@ 8.75+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Marathonbet
4.35
Away
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.20
Marathonbet
6.05
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Marko
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.40
0.71
0.36
0.38
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.31
0.77
0.38
0.46
0.23
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kifisia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kifisia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.43
0.64
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.43
0.50
0.50
0.83
0.33
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Marko) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.9%
@ 1.49+7.9%
Under 0.5
30.1%
@ 2.43-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
Under
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.1%
@ 3.32+5.3%
Under 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.28-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Under
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 8.76+0.5%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.04-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
10.00
William Hil
9.50
Betfair
9.00
1xBet
8.80
Superbet
8.30
Under
William Hil
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Marko over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.9%
@ 2.62+2.5%
Under
62.1%
@ 1.44-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Under
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.41
Marko over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 9.01-1.8%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.04+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Superbet
9.40
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marko over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 40.00-98.3%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Kifisia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.4%
@ 2.09-1.1%
Under
56.6%
@ 1.67+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Kifisia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 6.45-2.6%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.08+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Kifisia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 20.17-1.5%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Marko
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.64
0.57
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.58
0.62
0.62
0.46
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kifisia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kifisia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.57
0.64
0.44
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.57
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.20
0.75
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Marko) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.1%
@ 1.31+7.5%
Under 0.5
21.9%
@ 3.15-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.12
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.7%
@ 2.45+7.1%
Under 1.5
55.3%
@ 1.48-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.45
10Bet
2.45
Under
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.7%
@ 5.87+0.7%
Under 2.5
83.3%
@ 1.11-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Marko over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.4%
@ 2.17-0.3%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.62+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.23
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Under
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Marko over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 7.00-0.2%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.07+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marko over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 18.25-2.7%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Kifisia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.7%
@ 1.77+7.3%
Under
40.3%
@ 1.95-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.90
Kifisia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.7%
@ 4.72+4.1%
Under
76.3%
@ 1.15-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Kifisia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 12.75-2.2%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
95.5%
1.15
Betano
1.15
-
-
-
-
+14.5%
-
Home under 2.5 goals
95.3%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
94.1%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.04
William Hil
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.6%
1.13
Betano
1.13
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
81.6%
1.27
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
81.6%
1.28
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.21
-
+11.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
80.9%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+7.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
80.1%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.3%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+0.4%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
78.4%
1.29
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.1%
1.31
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
76.3%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
-
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.0%
1.31
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
-
-
-
+2.1%
-
Home or Away
71.8%
1.32
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+1.3%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
71.4%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
-2.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kifisia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pavlos Pantelidis54%
Jorge Pombo29%
Andreas Tetteh29%
Apostolos Christopoulos15%
Sebastian Musiolik12%
Dimitris Theodoridis12%
Yasser Larouci8%
Lazare Amani7%
Jakub Pokorný7%
Bernardo Martins6%
Konstantinos Roukounakis6%
Hugo Sousa4%
Jeremy Antonisse4%
Vasilios Xenopoulos0%
Jorge Díaz0%
Panagiotis Tzimas0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Alberto Botía0%
Simon David0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Lucas Villafáñez0%
Alex Petkov0%
Moisés Ramírez0%
Diamantis Chouchoumis0%
Matías Esquivel0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Timipere Johnson Eboh0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Cheick Konaté0%
Michalis Patiras0%
Luciano Maidana0%
Alexandros Pothas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andreas Tetteh36%
Apostolos Christopoulos35%
Lucas Villafáñez33%
Alexandros Pothas33%
Yasser Larouci31%
Pavlos Pantelidis31%
Luciano Maidana30%
Konstantinos Roukounakis29%
Rubén Pérez29%
Simon David28%
Timipere Johnson Eboh27%
Moisés Ramírez25%
Matías Esquivel25%
Jeremy Antonisse25%
Hugo Sousa23%
Miguel Tavares22%
Alberto Botía21%
Lazare Amani21%
Jakub Pokorný21%
Dimitris Theodoridis18%
Jorge Pombo17%
Diamantis Chouchoumis15%
Vasilios Xenopoulos14%
Jorge Díaz14%
Alex Petkov14%
Cheick Konaté12%
Bernardo Martins12%
Gerson Sousa11%
Ché Nunnely8%
Panagiotis Tzimas0%
Sebastian Musiolik0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Michalis Patiras0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michalis Patiras67%
Andreas Tetteh21%
Jorge Pombo9%
Lucas Villafáñez8%
Simon David8%
Yasser Larouci8%
Pavlos Pantelidis8%
Gerson Sousa7%
Cheick Konaté6%
Dimitris Theodoridis6%
Timipere Johnson Eboh4%
Jeremy Antonisse4%
Lazare Amani0%
Vasilios Xenopoulos0%
Jorge Díaz0%
Panagiotis Tzimas0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Sebastian Musiolik0%
Bernardo Martins0%
Alberto Botía0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Jakub Pokorný0%
Hugo Sousa0%
Alex Petkov0%
Moisés Ramírez0%
Diamantis Chouchoumis0%
Matías Esquivel0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Konstantinos Roukounakis0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Apostolos Christopoulos0%
Luciano Maidana0%
Alexandros Pothas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andreas Tetteh64%
Jorge Pombo40%
Jeremy Antonisse25%
Dimitris Theodoridis18%
Bernardo Martins12%
Miguel Tavares11%
Gerson Sousa11%
Ché Nunnely8%
Pavlos Pantelidis8%
Konstantinos Roukounakis6%
Simon David4%
Lazare Amani3%
Vasilios Xenopoulos0%
Jorge Díaz0%
Panagiotis Tzimas0%
Sebastian Musiolik0%
Alberto Botía0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Lucas Villafáñez0%
Jakub Pokorný0%
Hugo Sousa0%
Alex Petkov0%
Moisés Ramírez0%
Diamantis Chouchoumis0%
Matías Esquivel0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Timipere Johnson Eboh0%
Apostolos Christopoulos0%
Cheick Konaté0%
Michalis Patiras0%
Luciano Maidana0%
Alexandros Pothas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Marko's squad is €6m less valuable than Kifisia's (€5m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Marko's attack is €2m less valuable than Kifisia's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Marko's midfield is €1m less valuable than Kifisia's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Marko's defence is €2m less valuable than Kifisia's (€2m vs €4m).
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panserraikos
Ellas Syros
Panionios
Anagennisi Karditsas
Niki Volos
Zakynthos
PAOK II
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Asteras Tripolis II
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Larisa
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos
PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
OFI
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos