MEAP Nisou’s defensive record at home is fragile, conceding 1.21 goals per game while scoring just 1.07, and the team is only drawing its last five matches. Digenis Morphou, on the other hand, has been more resilient away, allowing only 0.67 goals per match and scoring 1.17, even after a recent 1-1 draw. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 51% chance, a draw at 30% and a home win at 19%. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a tight affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-1 for Digenis, with a 15.1% probability. The overall match-result probabilities are 19% home win, 30% draw, 51% away win. The model’s selection includes Under 3.5 with an 83.1% chance. These figures suggest a low-scoring, defensive contest that is most likely to finish with a narrow away victory.
Results analysis
The match saw Digenis Morphou extend their recent run, with the away side’s last five showing a win, a draw and a loss, yet they finished strong. The final score was 0-2, confirming an away win. The model had picked an away victory with a 51% probability, and that choice proved correct. The suggested pick of Under 3.5 goals came with an 83.1% probability and hit, as the total goals were two. The most likely scoreline was 0-1, with a 15.1% chance, but the actual 0-2 result matched the model’s overall prediction. The model’s selections largely came through, delivering a solid forecast.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
MEAP Nisou win✗ Miss
19.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou win✓ Hit
50.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
MEAP Nisou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.27
1.00
1.40
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.96
1.22
1.07
1.21
0.85
1.23
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
0.00
4.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Digenis Morphou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.00
1.50
1.33
1.31
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.30
1.20
1.50
2.00
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (15)
1.47
0.87
1.50
1.00
1.43
0.71
Clean sheet %
44% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.3%
Under 1.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.1%
Under 2.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.9%
Under 3.5
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.9%
No
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.1%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
13.0%
0-2 ✓
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
MEAP Nisou goals ↓
Digenis Morphou goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
15%
11%
5.3%
1.8%
1
7.6%
14%
8.5%
3.9%
1.4%
2
3.3%
4.6%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
3
0.8%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MEAP Nisou goals (down), columns = Digenis Morphou goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Aradippou
2.10
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.00
Olympiakos
1.86
Enosis
1.86
Digenis Morphou
1.76
PAEEK
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.52
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
Akritas
1.21
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Peyia
1.10
Ayia Napa
1.03
ENAD
0.90
Ermis
0.69
Xylotympou
0.69
MEAP Nisou is 0.62 points worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAEEK
1.62
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.59
Omonia Aradippou
1.59
Enosis
1.52
Olympiakos
1.48
Digenis Morphou
1.41
Krasava Ypsonas
1.34
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Ayia Napa
1.21
Akritas
1.21
Peyia
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
ENAD
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Ermis
0.97
Xylotympou
0.97
MEAP Nisou is 0.41 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.41).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Aradippou
0.66
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.72
Olympiakos
0.72
Digenis Morphou
1.00
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
Enosis
1.14
Akritas
1.14
PAEEK
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.31
ENAD
1.41
Peyia
1.52
Ayia Napa
1.79
Xylotympou
1.90
Ermis
2.41
MEAP Nisou is 0.31 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
MEAP Nisou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.63
0.40
0.80
0.27
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.37
0.59
0.43
0.71
0.31
0.46
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Digenis Morphou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.38
0.92
0.58
0.50
0.17
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.30
1.00
0.25
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.71
0.43
0.88
0.75
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
71% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
MEAP Nisou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.63
0.64
0.50
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Digenis Morphou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.58
0.54
0.58
0.75
0.58
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.90
0.50
1.75
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.29
0.62
0.25
0.50
0.33
Clean sheet %
62% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Cyprus: 2. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →