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MEAP Nisou vs Digenis Morphou Result & Analysis

Date: 07/04/2024
Time: 13:30
Final 0-2
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Vs
19%
30%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

MEAP Nisou’s defensive record at home is fragile, conceding 1.21 goals per game while scoring just 1.07, and the team is only drawing its last five matches. Digenis Morphou, on the other hand, has been more resilient away, allowing only 0.67 goals per match and scoring 1.17, even after a recent 1-1 draw. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 51% chance, a draw at 30% and a home win at 19%. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a tight affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-1 for Digenis, with a 15.1% probability. The overall match-result probabilities are 19% home win, 30% draw, 51% away win. The model’s selection includes Under 3.5 with an 83.1% chance. These figures suggest a low-scoring, defensive contest that is most likely to finish with a narrow away victory.

Results analysis

The match saw Digenis Morphou extend their recent run, with the away side’s last five showing a win, a draw and a loss, yet they finished strong. The final score was 0-2, confirming an away win. The model had picked an away victory with a 51% probability, and that choice proved correct. The suggested pick of Under 3.5 goals came with an 83.1% probability and hit, as the total goals were two. The most likely scoreline was 0-1, with a 15.1% chance, but the actual 0-2 result matched the model’s overall prediction. The model’s selections largely came through, delivering a solid forecast.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MEAP Nisou win✗ Miss
19.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou win✓ Hit
50.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L22D13L00D11D11D11D10W11DH·AKR20/01A·ENA27/01H·AHI03/02A·DIG11/02H·ERM17/02H·XYL24/02A·PAE02/03A·AKR09/03H·ENA16/03A·AHI31/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.271.001.400.871.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.961.221.071.210.851.23
vs Weaker (3)0.671.670.004.001.000.50
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W00D10W31W20W33D01L43W21W30WH·ENA20/01A·AHI28/01H·ERM05/02H·MEA11/02A·XYL18/02H·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03A·ENA09/03H·AHI16/03A·ERM30/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.001.501.331.310.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.301.201.502.001.170.67
vs Weaker (15)1.470.871.501.001.430.71
Clean sheet %44% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.3%
Under 1.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.1%
Under 2.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.9%
Under 3.5
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.9%
No
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.1%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
13.0%
0-2 ✓
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
MEAP Nisou goals ↓
Digenis Morphou goals →
01234
013%15%11%5.3%1.8%
17.6%14%8.5%3.9%1.4%
23.3%4.6%3.2%1.5%0.5%
30.8%1.2%0.8%0.4%0.1%
40.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MEAP Nisou goals (down), columns = Digenis Morphou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Omonia Aradippou
2.10
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.00
Olympiakos
1.86
Enosis
1.86
Digenis Morphou
1.76
PAEEK
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.52
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
Akritas
1.21
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Peyia
1.10
Ayia Napa
1.03
ENAD
0.90
Ermis
0.69
Xylotympou
0.69
MEAP Nisou is 0.62 points worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.76).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAEEK
1.62
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.59
Omonia Aradippou
1.59
Enosis
1.52
Olympiakos
1.48
Digenis Morphou
1.41
Krasava Ypsonas
1.34
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Ayia Napa
1.21
Akritas
1.21
Peyia
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
ENAD
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Ermis
0.97
Xylotympou
0.97
MEAP Nisou is 0.41 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Aradippou
0.66
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.72
Olympiakos
0.72
Digenis Morphou
1.00
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
Enosis
1.14
Akritas
1.14
PAEEK
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.31
ENAD
1.41
Peyia
1.52
Ayia Napa
1.79
Xylotympou
1.90
Ermis
2.41
MEAP Nisou is 0.31 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D21W01L00D10W01L00D00D01LH·AKR20/01A·ENA27/01H·AHI03/02A·DIG11/02H·ERM17/02H·XYL24/02A·PAE02/03A·AKR09/03H·ENA16/03A·AHI31/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.400.800.270.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.370.590.430.710.310.46
vs Weaker (3)0.001.000.002.000.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W00D10W10W20W23L00D21W10WH·ENO13/01H·ENA20/01A·AHI28/01H·ERM05/02H·MEA11/02A·XYL18/02H·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03H·AHI16/03A·ERM30/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.380.920.580.500.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.301.000.250.500.33
vs Weaker (14)0.710.430.880.750.500.00
Clean sheet %71% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L01L12L00D01L10W11D10W10WH·AKR20/01A·ENA27/01H·AHI03/02A·DIG11/02H·ERM17/02H·XYL24/02A·PAE02/03A·AKR09/03H·ENA16/03A·AHI31/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.600.600.600.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.630.640.500.540.77
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D00D21W00D10W01L00D20WH·ENO13/01H·ENA20/01A·AHI28/01H·ERM05/02H·MEA11/02A·XYL18/02H·PAE24/02A·AKR02/03H·AHI16/03A·ERM30/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.540.580.750.580.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.900.501.750.670.33
vs Weaker (14)0.570.290.620.250.500.33
Clean sheet %62% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
MN wins
1
Draws
1
DM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

MEAP Nisou vs Digenis Morphou · H/A from MN
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/24ADigenis Morphou Vs MN3-1
23/09/23HMN Vs Digenis Morphou0-0

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/24AAhironas / Onisilos Vs MN1-1
16/03/24HMN Vs ENAD1-0
09/03/24AAkritas Vs MN1-1
02/03/24APAEEK Vs MN1-1
24/02/24HMN Vs Xylotympou1-1
17/02/24HMN Vs Ermis0-0
11/02/24ADigenis Morphou Vs MN3-1
03/02/24HMN Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-2
27/01/24AENAD Vs MN1-0
20/01/24HMN Vs Akritas3-1

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/24AErmis Vs DM0-3
16/03/24HDM Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-1
09/03/24AENAD Vs DM3-4
02/03/24AAkritas Vs DM1-0
24/02/24HDM Vs PAEEK3-3
18/02/24AXylotympou Vs DM0-2
11/02/24HDM Vs MEAP Nisou3-1
05/02/24HDM Vs Ermis1-0
28/01/24AAhironas / Onisilos Vs DM0-0
20/01/24HDM Vs ENAD3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD1.02
HomeWDDDW0.75
AwayLLDDD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%17%35%
AVG goals2.202.382.04
Over 1.5 %54%62%46%
Over 2.5 %36%46%27%
Over 3.5 %20%21%19%
Scored0.820.830.81
Conceded1.381.541.23
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet24%17%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.68
HomeWWWDW1.67
AwayDWLWW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%46%
AVG goals2.402.832.00
Over 1.5 %64%75%54%
Over 2.5 %52%67%38%
Over 3.5 %20%25%15%
Scored1.401.501.31
Conceded1.001.330.69
BTTS36%50%23%
Clean Sheet44%25%62%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2961
62%
2.1
4619+27
2.2
66%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.60.7
-
2Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2958
59%
2.0
4621+25
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.60.7
-
3OlympiakosOlympiakos2954
55%
1.9
4321+22
2.2
66%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.50.7
-
4EnosisEnosis2954
55%
1.9
4433+11
2.7
79%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2951
52%
1.8
4129+12
2.4
66%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
6PAEEKPAEEK2946
45%
1.6
4734+13
2.8
83%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2944
41%
1.5
3936+3
2.6
76%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.2
-
8ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
41%
1.5
3636+0
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2936
28%
1.2
3232+0
2.2
69%
48%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10AkritasAkritas2935
34%
1.2
3533+2
2.3
76%
48%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.1
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
28%
1.1
2938-9
2.3
66%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12PeyiaPeyia2932
31%
1.1
3344-11
2.7
79%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
13Ayia NapaAyia Napa2930
28%
1.0
3552-17
3.0
79%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
14ENADENAD2926
24%
0.9
3241-9
2.5
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15XylotympouXylotympou2920
14%
0.7
2855-27
2.9
72%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
16ErmisErmis2920
21%
0.7
2870-42
3.4
86%
69%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
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Cyprus: 2. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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