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MEAP Nisou vs Digenis Morphou Result & Analysis

Date: 22/11/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 0-3
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Vs
23%
23%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.3 goals and a 22% chance of exactly three goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10.5% probability, while the overall favourite result is an away win at 53%. Home side MEAP Nisou, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Away side Digenis Morphou, on the road, averages 1.56 goals scored and 1.78 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s single selection is Over 1.5, with an 85.2% probability. Home win probability is 23%, draw 23%, and away win 53%. The recent form shows MEAP Nisou coming off a draw after a 3-3 stalemate with Omonia 29is Maiou, while Digenis Morphou also finished a draw, 1-1 against AE Zakakiou. All figures are taken directly from the data, and no other outcomes are highlighted.

Results analysis

The final score was 0-3, confirming an away win for Digenis Morphou, a result that matched the model’s pick and its 53% probability. The model’s prediction was therefore correct. The model also selected Over 1.5 goals, a pick that hit with an 85.2% chance. Both the final result and the selection were settled, with no missed picks to report. The game’s outcome aligned with the model’s expectations, underscoring its accuracy in this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MEAP Nisou win✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou win✓ Hit
53.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W02L11D13L41W14L21W32W11DA·HAL12/04H·AYI26/04H·PAE12/09A·SPA21/09H·KAR28/09A·ETH05/10H·NEA18/10A·APE24/10H·DOX01/11A·IRA09/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.231.331.471.271.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.301.301.401.701.200.90
vs Weaker (10)1.301.101.201.001.401.20
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L51W31W30W02L40W02L11D12L11DA·ASI12/04H·AE 26/04H·KAR13/09A·ETH19/09H·NEA28/09A·APE05/10H·DOX18/10A·IRA25/10H·AYI01/11H·AHI07/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.431.751.191.931.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.781.562.001.331.561.78
vs Weaker (12)1.921.251.431.002.601.60
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.2%
Under 2.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.1%
Under 3.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.8%
No
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
0-3 ✓
5.0%
MEAP Nisou goals ↓
Digenis Morphou goals →
01234
04.6%6.4%7.5%5.0%2.5%
13.8%10%9.6%6.5%3.3%
23.0%6.1%6.2%4.2%2.1%
31.3%2.6%2.7%1.8%0.9%
40.4%0.9%0.9%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MEAP Nisou goals (down), columns = Digenis Morphou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
MEAP Nisou is 0.34 points worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
MEAP Nisou is 0.48 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.55).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
MEAP Nisou is 0.41 goals worse than Digenis Morphou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W00D11D02L21W13L11D20W01LA·HAL12/04H·AYI26/04H·PAE12/09A·SPA21/09H·KAR28/09A·ETH05/10H·NEA18/10A·APE24/10H·DOX01/11A·IRA09/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.800.670.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.650.750.701.000.600.50
vs Weaker (10)0.800.401.000.000.600.80
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D20W01L20W01L00D11D00DA·ASI12/04H·AE 26/04H·KAR13/09A·ETH19/09H·NEA28/09A·APE05/10H·DOX18/10A·IRA25/10H·AYI01/11H·AHI07/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.310.440.930.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.390.670.110.560.670.78
vs Weaker (12)0.920.330.570.291.400.40
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L00D11D20W01L10W12L10WA·HAL12/04H·AYI26/04H·PAE12/09A·SPA21/09H·KAR28/09A·ETH05/10H·NEA18/10A·APE24/10H·DOX01/11A·IRA09/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.530.800.670.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.650.550.700.700.600.40
vs Weaker (10)0.500.700.201.000.800.40
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Digenis Morphou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L50W31W10W01L20W01L11D01L11DA·ASI12/04H·AE 26/04H·KAR13/09A·ETH19/09H·NEA28/09A·APE05/10H·DOX18/10A·IRA25/10H·AYI01/11H·AHI07/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.901.440.751.001.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.390.891.890.780.891.00
vs Weaker (12)1.000.920.860.711.201.20
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Digenis Morphou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
MN wins
1
Draws
3
DM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

MEAP Nisou vs Digenis Morphou · H/A from MN
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/24ADigenis Morphou Vs MN2-1
07/04/24HMN Vs Digenis Morphou0-2
11/02/24ADigenis Morphou Vs MN3-1
23/09/23HMN Vs Digenis Morphou0-0

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs MN1-1
01/11/25HMN Vs Doxa3-2
24/10/25AAPEA Vs MN1-2
18/10/25HMN Vs Nea Salamis1-4
05/10/25AEthnikos Latsion Vs MN1-4
28/09/25HMN Vs Karmiotissa1-3
21/09/25ASpartakos Kitiou Vs MN1-1
12/09/25HMN Vs PAEEK0-2
26/04/25HMN Vs Ayia Napa1-0
12/04/25AHalkanoras Vs MN2-0

Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/25HDM Vs Ahironas / Onisilos1-1
01/11/25HDM Vs Ayia Napa1-2
25/10/25AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs DM1-1
18/10/25HDM Vs Doxa0-2
05/10/25AAPEA Vs DM0-4
28/09/25HDM Vs Nea Salamis0-2
19/09/25AEthnikos Latsion Vs DM0-3
13/09/25HDM Vs Karmiotissa3-1
26/04/25HDM Vs AE Zakakiou5-1
12/04/25AASIL Lysi Vs DM2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.24
HomeWLLLW1.32
AwayLDWWD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.622.682.56
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.261.241.28
Conceded1.361.441.28
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet20%28%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.78
HomeWLLLD1.96
AwayLLWWD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals3.102.963.25
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %34%31%38%
Scored1.761.731.79
Conceded1.341.231.46
BTTS62%65%58%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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