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MEAP Nisou vs Ermis Result & Analysis

Date: 17/02/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 0-0
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Vs
42%
27%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ermis
Ermis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MEAP Nisou win✗ Miss
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ermis win✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D21W04L01L01L23L31W01L22D13LH·AHI02/12A·ENA09/12H·PAE16/12A·ENO21/12H·OMO07/01A·XYL13/01H·AKR20/01A·ENA27/01H·AHI03/02A·DIG11/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.630.931.670.731.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.861.611.001.500.711.71
vs Weaker (2)0.502.000.004.001.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ErmisErmis

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-802L12L08L02L36L13L10W13L01L02LA·OLY02/12H·OMO09/12A·PEY16/12H·ASI20/12A·AYI06/01H·ENA13/01A·AHI20/01H·PAE27/01A·DIG05/02H·AKR10/02
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.001.132.001.132.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Similar (20)1.202.151.272.361.111.89
vs Weaker (8)1.121.750.751.001.502.50
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-0 ✓
6.6%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
MEAP Nisou goals ↓
Ermis goals →
01234
06.6%6.1%4.8%2.1%0.7%
17.5%13%7.6%3.3%1.1%
26.9%9.1%6.0%2.6%0.9%
33.6%4.8%3.2%1.4%0.5%
41.4%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MEAP Nisou goals (down), columns = Ermis goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Omonia Aradippou
2.10
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.00
Olympiakos
1.86
Enosis
1.86
Digenis Morphou
1.76
PAEEK
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.52
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
Akritas
1.21
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Peyia
1.10
Ayia Napa
1.03
ENAD
0.90
Ermis
0.69
Xylotympou
0.69
MEAP Nisou is 0.45 points better than Ermis in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 0.69).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAEEK
1.62
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.59
Omonia Aradippou
1.59
Enosis
1.52
Olympiakos
1.48
Digenis Morphou
1.41
Krasava Ypsonas
1.34
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Ayia Napa
1.21
Akritas
1.21
Peyia
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
ENAD
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Ermis
0.97
Xylotympou
0.97
MEAP Nisou is 0.03 goals better than Ermis in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Aradippou
0.66
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.72
Olympiakos
0.72
Digenis Morphou
1.00
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
Enosis
1.14
Akritas
1.14
PAEEK
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.31
ENAD
1.41
Peyia
1.52
Ayia Napa
1.79
Xylotympou
1.90
Ermis
2.41
MEAP Nisou is 1.10 goals better than Ermis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 2.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L00D01L21W11D00D21W01LH·AHI02/12A·ENA09/12H·PAE16/12A·ENO21/12H·OMO07/01A·XYL13/01H·AKR20/01A·ENA27/01H·AHI03/02A·DIG11/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.770.331.000.270.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.320.750.360.930.290.57
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ErmisErmis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D03L01L02L00D00D02L01L01LA·OLY02/12H·OMO09/12A·PEY16/12H·ASI20/12A·AYI06/01H·ENA13/01A·AHI20/01H·PAE27/01A·DIG05/02H·AKR10/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.470.800.530.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Similar (20)0.550.800.550.910.560.67
vs Weaker (8)0.380.620.250.500.500.75
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W02L01L00D02L20W01L01L12LH·AHI02/12A·ENA09/12H·PAE16/12A·ENO21/12H·OMO07/01A·XYL13/01H·AKR20/01A·ENA27/01H·AHI03/02A·DIG11/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.600.670.471.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.540.860.640.570.431.14
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ErmisErmis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L01L05L01L34L13L10W11D00D01LA·OLY02/12H·OMO09/12A·PEY16/12H·ASI20/12A·AYI06/01H·ENA13/01A·AHI20/01H·PAE27/01A·DIG05/02H·AKR10/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.270.671.200.601.33
vs Stronger (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.651.350.731.450.561.22
vs Weaker (8)0.751.120.500.501.001.75
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
MN wins
0
Draws
1
ERM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

MEAP Nisou vs Ermis · H/A from MN
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23HMN Vs Ermis1-2
22/12/22AErmis Vs MN0-1

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/24ADigenis Morphou Vs MN3-1
03/02/24HMN Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-2
27/01/24AENAD Vs MN1-0
20/01/24HMN Vs Akritas3-1
13/01/24AXylotympou Vs MN3-2
07/01/24HMN Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-1
21/12/23AEnosis Vs MN1-0
16/12/23HMN Vs PAEEK0-4
09/12/23AENAD Vs MN1-2
02/12/23HMN Vs Ahironas / Onisilos1-1

ErmisErmis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/02/24HERM Vs Akritas0-2
05/02/24ADigenis Morphou Vs ERM1-0
27/01/24HERM Vs PAEEK1-3
20/01/24AAhironas / Onisilos Vs ERM0-1
13/01/24HERM Vs ENAD1-3
06/01/24AAyia Napa Vs ERM6-3
20/12/23HERM Vs ASIL Lysi0-2
16/12/23APeyia Vs ERM8-0
09/12/23HERM Vs Omonia Aradippou1-2
02/12/23AOlympiakos Vs ERM2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.08
HomeDLLWD0.70
AwayWLLLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%17%44%
AVG goals2.252.432.08
Over 1.5 %50%61%40%
Over 2.5 %40%48%32%
Over 3.5 %23%22%24%
Scored0.850.830.88
Conceded1.401.611.20
BTTS38%43%32%
Clean Sheet25%13%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Ermis
Ermis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.06
HomeLLLLL0.83
AwayLLLWL1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%21%39%
AVG goals2.832.752.91
Over 1.5 %74%79%70%
Over 2.5 %51%50%52%
Over 3.5 %30%29%30%
Scored1.131.041.22
Conceded1.701.711.70
BTTS49%50%48%
Clean Sheet21%17%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2961
62%
2.1
4619+27
2.2
66%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.60.7
-
2Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2958
59%
2.0
4621+25
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.60.7
-
3OlympiakosOlympiakos2954
55%
1.9
4321+22
2.2
66%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.50.7
-
4EnosisEnosis2954
55%
1.9
4433+11
2.7
79%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2951
52%
1.8
4129+12
2.4
66%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
6PAEEKPAEEK2946
45%
1.6
4734+13
2.8
83%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2944
41%
1.5
3936+3
2.6
76%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.2
-
8ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
41%
1.5
3636+0
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2936
28%
1.2
3232+0
2.2
69%
48%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10AkritasAkritas2935
34%
1.2
3533+2
2.3
76%
48%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.1
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
28%
1.1
2938-9
2.3
66%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12PeyiaPeyia2932
31%
1.1
3344-11
2.7
79%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
13Ayia NapaAyia Napa2930
28%
1.0
3552-17
3.0
79%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
14ENADENAD2926
24%
0.9
3241-9
2.5
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15XylotympouXylotympou2920
14%
0.7
2855-27
2.9
72%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
16ErmisErmis2920
21%
0.7
2870-42
3.4
86%
69%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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