This opponent (Bukovyna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bukovyna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.97
1.12
0.94
1.57
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.62
1.00
1.40
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (22)
1.59
0.73
1.18
0.73
2.00
0.73
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.7%
Under 1.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.7%
Under 2.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.8%
Under 3.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.2%
No
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
2-1 ✓
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv goals ↓
Bukovyna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.4%
5.3%
1.8%
0.4%
1
12%
15%
6.6%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.2%
8.2%
4.1%
1.4%
0.3%
3
3.4%
3.4%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metalist 1925 Kharkiv goals (down), columns = Bukovyna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Chernihiv
3.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.43
SK Poltava
1.88
Kudrivka
1.71
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.67
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.50
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.50
Metal Kharkiv
1.41
Nyva Ternopil
1.40
UCSA
1.38
Bukovyna
1.36
Prykarpattia
1.33
Minai
1.17
Yarud Mariupol'
1.17
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.15
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Dinaz Vyshhorod
0.71
Kremin'
0.61
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.00
Khust City
0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 0.30 points better than Bukovyna in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.36).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Chernihiv
2.50
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.91
UCSA
1.62
SK Poltava
1.46
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.42
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.33
Prykarpattia
1.33
Khust City
1.33
Metal Kharkiv
1.32
Kudrivka
1.25
Nyva Ternopil
1.24
Yarud Mariupol'
1.04
Minai
1.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.92
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.92
Bukovyna
0.91
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.86
Dinaz Vyshhorod
0.79
Kremin'
0.65
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 0.51 goals better than Bukovyna in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 0.91).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Chernihiv
0.00
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.71
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.74
Kudrivka
0.79
SK Poltava
0.88
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.88
Bukovyna
0.91
Metal Kharkiv
0.95
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.00
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.08
Nyva Ternopil
1.16
Prykarpattia
1.17
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.18
Minai
1.30
UCSA
1.46
Yarud Mariupol'
1.46
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.54
Kremin'
1.78
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.92
Khust City
3.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 0.03 goals better than Bukovyna in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 0.91).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.80
0.53
0.93
0.20
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.11
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.17
1.17
vs Weaker (20)
0.45
0.60
0.64
0.82
0.22
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bukovyna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bukovyna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.56
0.50
0.50
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.88
0.20
0.80
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.68
0.32
0.73
0.36
0.64
0.27
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.43
1.07
0.40
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (20)
0.85
0.35
1.09
0.36
0.56
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bukovyna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bukovyna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
0.56
0.44
1.07
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.75
0.80
0.60
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.91
0.41
0.45
0.36
1.36
0.45
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bukovyna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peter Itodo38%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Baton Zabergja15%
Christian Mba15%
Vyacheslav Churko11%
Ivan Lytvynenko8%
Ermir Rashica7%
Denys Antyukh6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Igor Kogut0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Sebastian Castillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi38%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev27%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Yevhen Pavliuk19%
Ilya Krupskyi18%
Volodymyr Salyuk17%
Igor Kogut14%
Artem Shabanov13%
Vyacheslav Churko11%
Oleksandr Martinyuk10%
Ivan Lytvynenko8%
Baton Zabergja8%
Christian Mba8%
Peter Itodo8%
Ermir Rashica7%
Denys Antyukh6%
Danylo Varakuta6%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Sebastian Castillo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebastian Castillo20%
Ari Moura17%
Baton Zabergja8%
Igor Kogut7%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi6%
Denys Antyukh6%
Ilya Krupskyi6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Ivan Lytvynenko0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Ermir Rashica0%
Christian Mba0%
Peter Itodo0%
Cauan Baptistella0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Itodo46%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Sebastian Castillo20%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev9%
Baton Zabergja8%
Denys Antyukh6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Ivan Lytvynenko0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Ermir Rashica0%
Christian Mba0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (26)
€28m
BUK (25)
€9m
ED (23)
€6m
KUD (24)
€5m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
KKI (3)
€0m
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's squad is €20m more valuable than Bukovyna's (€28m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (10)
€10m
BUK (10)
€4m
KUD (8)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's attack is €6m more valuable than Bukovyna's (€10m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (6)
€7m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
KUD (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
KKI (1)
€0m
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's midfield is €5m more valuable than Bukovyna's (€7m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (10)
€11m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
KUD (10)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
KKI (1)
€0m
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's defence is €8m more valuable than Bukovyna's (€11m vs €3m).
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →