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Metalul Buzău vs Focşani Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2025
Time: 08:00
Final 3-0
Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău
Vs
44%
33%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Focşani
Focşani
Romania: Liga II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Metalul Buzău win✓ Hit
44.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Focşani win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W30W01L00D13L02L12L03L10WH·DIN04/12H·CEA08/12A·AGR18/12H·MUS22/02A·ARG01/03A·U C09/03H·CSM15/03H·BIH29/03H·RAP02/04A·DUM05/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.280.931.070.871.501.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.501.50--
vs Similar (22)1.360.861.270.821.450.91
vs Weaker (5)1.201.000.500.501.671.33
Clean sheet %52% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Focşani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FocşaniFocşani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L01L11D21W11D00D00D01L12L30WA·COR09/11H·MET23/11A·CHI30/11H·VII07/12A·UNI14/12H·CS 22/02A·FC 01/03H·CEA08/03A·U C29/03H·UNI05/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.761.160.771.080.751.25
vs Stronger (4)1.252.500.003.001.672.33
vs Similar (21)0.670.900.830.920.440.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %28% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.7%
Under 1.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.3%
Under 2.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.3%
Under 3.5
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.7%
No
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.0%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
Metalul Buzău goals ↓
Focşani goals →
01234
015%9.4%4.3%1.1%0.2%
115%14%5.1%1.4%0.3%
29.8%7.8%3.1%0.8%0.2%
34.0%3.1%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.2%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metalul Buzău goals (down), columns = Focşani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Csikszereda
1.94
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.93
Arges Pitesti
1.93
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.81
FC Voluntari
1.67
Metaloglobus
1.63
Slatina
1.63
CSM Reşiţa
1.60
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.46
U Craiova 1948
1.38
Metalul Buzău
1.38
Concordia
1.33
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.31
Chindia Targoviste
1.29
Bihor Oradea
1.22
CS Afumati
1.19
Unirea Ungheni
1.19
Dumbrăviţa
0.89
Focşani
0.85
CS Mioveni
0.65
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
0.54
ACS Sirineasa
0.11
Metalul Buzău is 0.54 points better than Focşani in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 0.85).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Slatina
1.74
Concordia
1.67
Csikszereda
1.58
Metaloglobus
1.47
CSM Reşiţa
1.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.42
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.40
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.38
Chindia Targoviste
1.32
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.31
Arges Pitesti
1.30
FC Voluntari
1.27
Bihor Oradea
1.22
Metalul Buzău
1.19
U Craiova 1948
1.15
CS Afumati
1.00
Unirea Ungheni
0.88
Dumbrăviţa
0.86
Focşani
0.65
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
0.62
CS Mioveni
0.47
ACS Sirineasa
0.33
Metalul Buzău is 0.54 goals better than Focşani in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 0.65).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arges Pitesti
0.53
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.73
FC Voluntari
0.77
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.85
Slatina
0.89
Csikszereda
1.03
CSM Reşiţa
1.10
Metalul Buzău
1.15
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.15
Focşani
1.15
Chindia Targoviste
1.18
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.19
Metaloglobus
1.20
U Craiova 1948
1.23
Dumbrăviţa
1.25
Unirea Ungheni
1.27
Bihor Oradea
1.33
CS Afumati
1.46
Concordia
1.48
CS Mioveni
2.29
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.31
ACS Sirineasa
3.00
Metalul Buzău and Focşani are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W00D00D12L02L11D00D10WH·DIN04/12H·CEA08/12A·AGR18/12H·MUS22/02A·ARG01/03A·U C09/03H·CSM15/03H·BIH29/03H·RAP02/04A·DUM05/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.380.470.270.570.50
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (22)0.550.410.550.360.550.45
vs Weaker (5)0.600.400.500.000.670.67
Clean sheet %72% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Focşani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FocşaniFocşani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W11D10W00D00D00D11D10WA·COR09/11H·MET23/11A·CHI30/11H·VII07/12A·UNI14/12H·CS 22/02A·FC 01/03H·CEA08/03A·U C29/03H·UNI05/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.320.480.310.460.330.50
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.001.000.331.33
vs Similar (21)0.330.330.330.420.330.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Focşani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Focşani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Focşani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W20W01L00D01L00D01L03L00DH·DIN04/12H·CEA08/12A·AGR18/12H·MUS22/02A·ARG01/03A·U C09/03H·CSM15/03H·BIH29/03H·RAP02/04A·DUM05/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.550.600.600.930.50
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.501.50--
vs Similar (22)0.820.450.730.450.910.45
vs Weaker (5)0.600.600.000.501.000.67
Clean sheet %66% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Focşani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FocşaniFocşani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L01L10W01L00D00D01L01L20WA·COR09/11H·MET23/11A·CHI30/11H·VII07/12A·UNI14/12H·CS 22/02A·FC 01/03H·CEA08/03A·U C29/03H·UNI05/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.680.460.620.420.75
vs Stronger (4)1.001.250.002.001.331.00
vs Similar (21)0.330.570.500.500.110.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Focşani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Focşani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Focşani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (26)
€13m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
VŞ (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (11)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
DUM (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (6)
€3m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (9)
€6m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
CA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
MB wins
0
Draws
0
FOC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Metalul Buzău vs Focşani · H/A from MB
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/24AFocşani Vs MB0-3

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25ADumbrăviţa Vs MB0-1
02/04/25HMB Vs Rapid0-3
29/03/25HMB Vs Bihor Oradea1-2
15/03/25HMB Vs CSM Reşiţa0-2
09/03/25AU Craiova 1948 Vs MB3-1
01/03/25AArges Pitesti Vs MB0-0
22/02/25HMB Vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite0-1
18/12/24AAgricola Borcea Vs MB0-3
08/12/24HMB Vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ2-0
04/12/24HMB Vs Dinamo Bucuresti0-0

FocşaniFocşani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25HFOC Vs Unirea Ungheni3-0
29/03/25AU Craiova 1948 Vs FOC2-1
08/03/25HFOC Vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ0-1
01/03/25AFC Voluntari Vs FOC0-0
22/02/25HFOC Vs CS Afumati0-0
14/12/24AUnirea Ungheni Vs FOC1-1
07/12/24HFOC Vs Viitorul Şelimbăr2-1
30/11/24AChindia Targoviste Vs FOC1-1
23/11/24HFOC Vs Metaloglobus0-1
09/11/24ACorvinul Hunedoara Vs FOC3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău
Romania: Liga II
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.55
HomeWLLLL1.53
AwayDWDLW1.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%47%43%
AVG goals2.211.932.50
Over 1.5 %55%53%57%
Over 2.5 %41%33%50%
Over 3.5 %24%13%36%
Scored1.281.071.50
Conceded0.930.871.00
BTTS31%20%43%
Clean Sheet52%53%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Focşani
Focşani
Romania: Liga II
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.04
HomeLWDLW1.31
AwayLDDDL0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%17%
AVG goals1.921.852.00
Over 1.5 %52%54%50%
Over 2.5 %32%38%25%
Over 3.5 %8%0%17%
Scored0.760.770.75
Conceded1.161.081.25
BTTS28%15%42%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CsikszeredaCsikszereda3160
58%
1.9
4932+17
2.6
65%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.61.0
-
2Arges PitestiArges Pitesti3058
53%
1.9
3916+23
1.8
50%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.30.5
-
3CSA Steaua BucureştiCSA Steaua Bucureşti3058
53%
1.9
4222+20
2.1
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.7
-
4FC VoluntariFC Voluntari3050
43%
1.7
3823+15
2.0
63%
33%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.30.8
-
5MetaloglobusMetaloglobus3049
50%
1.6
4436+8
2.7
63%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.2
-
6CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa3048
43%
1.6
4333+10
2.5
80%
37%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.1
-
7Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara2647
54%
1.8
3722+15
2.3
62%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.40.8
-
8SlatinaSlatina2744
44%
1.6
4724+23
2.6
67%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.70.9
-
9Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ2638
38%
1.5
3431+3
2.5
77%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
10ConcordiaConcordia2736
37%
1.3
4540+5
3.1
85%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.71.5
-
11Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste2836
32%
1.3
3733+4
2.5
68%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.2
-
12Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău2636
38%
1.4
3130+1
2.3
62%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.2
-
13U Craiova 1948U Craiova 19482636
38%
1.4
3032-2
2.4
81%
46%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
14Viitorul ŞelimbărViitorul Şelimbăr2634
35%
1.3
3630+6
2.5
73%
54%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.2
-
15Bihor OradeaBihor Oradea2733
33%
1.2
3336-3
2.6
70%
52%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.3
-
16Unirea UngheniUnirea Ungheni2631
31%
1.2
2333-10
2.2
65%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
17CS AfumatiCS Afumati2631
35%
1.2
2638-12
2.5
69%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.5
-
18DumbrăviţaDumbrăviţa2825
25%
0.9
2435-11
2.1
46%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.2
-
19FocşaniFocşani2622
19%
0.8
1730-13
1.8
54%
31%
4%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.2
-
20Muscelul Câmpulung EliteMuscelul Câmpulung Elite2614
15%
0.5
1660-44
2.9
77%
65%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
21CS MioveniCS Mioveni1711
18%
0.6
839-31
2.8
59%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.3
-
22ACS SirineasaACS Sirineasa91
0%
0.1
327-24
3.3
89%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.33.0
-
Romania: Liga II 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →

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