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Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Dinaz Vyshhorod Result & Analysis

Date: 24/11/2024
Time: 10:00
Final 3-0
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Vs
28%
28%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinaz Vyshhorod
Dinaz Vyshhorod
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Metalurh Zaporizhya win✓ Hit
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinaz Vyshhorod win✗ Miss
43.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L02L00D13L22D10W10W02L22DH·MET12/09H·UCS21/09A·DIN29/09A·VIK08/10H·KUD14/10A·SK 20/10H·YAR25/10A·KRE30/10A·MET04/11A·UCS17/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.572.030.572.000.562.06
vs Stronger (4)0.252.750.503.500.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.621.920.581.750.642.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinaz Vyshhorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinaz VyshhorodDinaz Vyshhorod

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D20W00D01L31W03L02L02L30WH·KRE20/09H·VIK24/09H·MET29/09A·VIK04/10H·KUD10/10H·SK 14/10A·YAR20/10H·MET26/10H·UCS09/11A·KRE17/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.370.811.061.291.71
vs Stronger (5)0.601.200.001.331.501.00
vs Similar (25)1.121.401.001.001.251.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalurh Zaporizhya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.2%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
Metalurh Zaporizhya goals ↓
Dinaz Vyshhorod goals →
01234
08.2%9.2%7.8%3.9%1.4%
17.0%13%9.1%4.5%1.7%
24.8%7.1%5.3%2.6%1.0%
31.9%2.8%2.1%1.0%0.4%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metalurh Zaporizhya goals (down), columns = Dinaz Vyshhorod goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Chernihiv
3.00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.43
SK Poltava
1.88
Kudrivka
1.71
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.67
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.50
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.50
Metal Kharkiv
1.41
Nyva Ternopil
1.40
UCSA
1.38
Bukovyna
1.36
Prykarpattia
1.33
Minai
1.17
Yarud Mariupol'
1.17
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.15
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Dinaz Vyshhorod
0.71
Kremin'
0.61
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.00
Khust City
0.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya is 0.29 points better than Dinaz Vyshhorod in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Chernihiv
2.50
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.91
UCSA
1.62
SK Poltava
1.46
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.42
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.33
Prykarpattia
1.33
Khust City
1.33
Metal Kharkiv
1.32
Kudrivka
1.25
Nyva Ternopil
1.24
Yarud Mariupol'
1.04
Minai
1.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.92
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.92
Bukovyna
0.91
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.86
Dinaz Vyshhorod
0.79
Kremin'
0.65
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya is 0.13 goals better than Dinaz Vyshhorod in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Chernihiv
0.00
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.71
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.74
Kudrivka
0.79
SK Poltava
0.88
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.88
Bukovyna
0.91
Metal Kharkiv
0.95
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.00
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.08
Nyva Ternopil
1.16
Prykarpattia
1.17
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.18
Minai
1.30
UCSA
1.46
Yarud Mariupol'
1.46
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.54
Kremin'
1.78
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.92
Khust City
3.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya is 0.38 goals better than Dinaz Vyshhorod in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.92).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L00D12L01L10W10W00D11DH·MET12/09H·UCS21/09A·DIN29/09A·VIK08/10H·KUD14/10A·SK 20/10H·YAR25/10A·KRE30/10A·MET04/11A·UCS17/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.700.330.600.400.80
vs Stronger (4)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.420.650.380.540.460.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinaz Vyshhorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinaz VyshhorodDinaz Vyshhorod

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D10W00D01L10W01L01L01L10WH·KRE20/09H·VIK24/09H·MET29/09A·VIK04/10H·KUD10/10H·SK 14/10A·YAR20/10H·MET26/10H·UCS09/11A·KRE17/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.380.500.500.79
vs Stronger (5)0.400.400.000.331.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.440.680.460.540.420.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalurh Zaporizhya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinaz Vyshhorod over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinaz Vyshhorod over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinaz Vyshhorod over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L01L00D01L21W00D00D02L11DH·MET12/09H·UCS21/09A·DIN29/09A·VIK08/10H·KUD14/10A·SK 20/10H·YAR25/10A·KRE30/10A·MET04/11A·UCS17/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.230.201.270.201.20
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.502.500.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.191.150.151.080.231.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinaz Vyshhorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinaz VyshhorodDinaz Vyshhorod

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D00D21W02L01L01L20WH·KRE20/09H·VIK24/09H·MET29/09A·VIK04/10H·KUD10/10H·SK 14/10A·YAR20/10H·MET26/10H·UCS09/11A·KRE17/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.440.560.790.93
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (25)0.680.720.540.460.831.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalurh Zaporizhya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalurh Zaporizhya over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinaz Vyshhorod over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinaz Vyshhorod over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinaz Vyshhorod over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (26)
€28m
BUK (25)
€9m
ED (23)
€6m
KUD (24)
€5m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
KKI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (10)
€10m
BUK (10)
€4m
KUD (8)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (6)
€7m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
KUD (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
KKI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
M1K (10)
€11m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
KUD (10)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
KKI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
MZ wins
1
Draws
2
DV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Dinaz Vyshhorod · H/A from MZ
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24ADinaz Vyshhorod Vs MZ2-0
25/11/23ADinaz Vyshhorod Vs MZ1-0
24/09/23HMZ Vs Dinaz Vyshhorod1-1

Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/24AUCSA Vs MZ2-2
04/11/24AMetalist 1925 Kharkiv Vs MZ2-0
30/10/24AKremin' Vs MZ0-1
25/10/24HMZ Vs Yarud Mariupol'1-0
20/10/24ASK Poltava Vs MZ2-2
14/10/24HMZ Vs Kudrivka1-3
08/10/24AViktoriya Mykolaivka Vs MZ0-0
29/09/24ADinaz Vyshhorod Vs MZ2-0
21/09/24HMZ Vs UCSA1-2
12/09/24HMZ Vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1-2

Dinaz VyshhorodDinaz Vyshhorod

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/24AKremin' Vs DV0-3
09/11/24HDV Vs UCSA0-2
26/10/24HDV Vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv0-2
20/10/24AYarud Mariupol' Vs DV3-0
14/10/24HDV Vs SK Poltava3-1
10/10/24HDV Vs Kudrivka0-1
04/10/24AViktoriya Mykolaivka Vs DV0-0
29/09/24HDV Vs Metalurh Zaporizhya2-0
24/09/24HDV Vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka1-1
20/09/24HDV Vs Kremin'0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Metalurh Zaporizhya
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLD1.04
HomeDLLLW1.25
AwayDDWLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals2.582.292.85
Over 1.5 %68%58%77%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %34%29%38%
Scored0.900.880.92
Conceded1.681.421.92
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet26%42%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinaz Vyshhorod
Dinaz Vyshhorod
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.10
HomeWLWLL1.31
AwayDLDLW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%35%21%
AVG goals2.442.042.88
Over 1.5 %74%65%83%
Over 2.5 %46%27%67%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored1.040.961.12
Conceded1.401.081.75
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2356
74%
2.4
4417+27
2.7
74%
48%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1231.90.7
-
2SK PoltavaSK Poltava2445
54%
1.9
3521+14
2.3
67%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.9
-
3KudrivkaKudrivka2441
50%
1.7
3019+11
2.0
67%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.8
-
4Metalist 1925 KharkivMetalist 1925 Kharkiv2440
46%
1.7
3421+13
2.3
75%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
28
107111.40.9
-
5Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka2436
38%
1.5
3217+15
2.0
62%
29%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.30.7
-
6Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil2535
36%
1.4
3129+2
2.4
72%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
7UCSAUCSA2433
38%
1.4
3935+4
3.1
75%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.5
-
8Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk2233
45%
1.5
1926-7
2.0
59%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.91.2
-
9PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia2432
33%
1.3
3228+4
2.5
67%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.2
-
10Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv2231
36%
1.4
2921+8
2.3
73%
41%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.31.0
-
11BukovynaBukovyna2230
36%
1.4
2020+0
1.8
64%
23%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4230.90.9
-
12Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi2630
27%
1.2
2428-4
2.0
65%
31%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
13Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'2428
33%
1.2
2535-10
2.5
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.5
-
14MinaiMinai2327
30%
1.2
2330-7
2.3
70%
48%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya2626
23%
1.0
2440-16
2.5
77%
50%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
16Dinaz VyshhorodDinaz Vyshhorod2417
12%
0.7
1946-27
2.7
79%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
17KreminKremin'2314
13%
0.6
1541-26
2.4
70%
52%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
18ChernihivChernihiv26
100%
3.0
50+5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.50.0
-
19Kolos Kovalivka IIKolos Kovalivka II10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
20Khust CityKhust City30
0%
0.0
49-5
4.3
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.0
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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