The match sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring an away win. Home win probability is 29 %, a draw 30 %, and an away win 41 %. The expected total goals hover at 2.4, with the most likely total being two goals at 27 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.3 % chance. Mezokovesd-zsory, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 0.73 goals scored and 0.64 conceded. Kazincbarcikai, on the road, averages 1.42 goals scored and 1.58 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (98.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.6 %), Under 5.5 (96.5 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.6 %), Under 4.5 (90.6 %), Home under 2.5 goals (90.5 %), and Away +2 handicap (88.1 %). Both sides have been on two-game winning runs, with Mezokovesd-zsory’s last win 2-1 over Fehérvár FC and Kazincbarcikai’s 2-0 over Csakvar. The balance of probabilities and the tight expected goal count leave the outcome uncertain, but the model’s pick points to a modest away victory.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Mezokovesd-zsory win
32.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai win
38.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Mezokovesd-zsory
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.30
0.92
0.85
1.29
1.65
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
2.50
0.00
2.00
1.75
2.75
vs Similar (24)
1.12
1.00
1.09
0.64
1.15
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kazincbarcikai
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.93
0.73
2.20
1.33
1.67
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
2.64
0.43
2.57
1.50
2.75
vs Similar (19)
1.16
1.53
1.00
1.88
1.27
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.0%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
Mezokovesd-zsory goals ↓
Kazincbarcikai goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
9.0%
6.9%
3.1%
1.0%
1
8.1%
14%
8.5%
3.8%
1.3%
2
5.8%
7.8%
5.2%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.4%
3.2%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mezokovesd-zsory goals (down), columns = Kazincbarcikai goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Karcag SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Csakvar
0.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Mezokovesd-zsory is 0.20 points worse than Kazincbarcikai in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Karcag SE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Csakvar
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Mezokovesd-zsory is 0.27 goals worse than Kazincbarcikai in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Mezokovesd-zsory is 0.17 goals worse than Kazincbarcikai in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mezokovesd-zsory or Draw
62.0%
Avg Implied -
33%
29%
38%
covers Mezokovesd-zsory + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory or Kazincbarcikai
71.0%
Avg Implied -
33%
29%
38%
covers Mezokovesd-zsory + Kazincbarcikai
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kazincbarcikai
67.1%
Avg Implied -
33%
29%
38%
covers Draw + Kazincbarcikai
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 0.5
Over
70.8%
Under
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 1.5
Over
34.9%
Under
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 2.5
Over
12.8%
Under
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 0.5
Over
73.8%
Under
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 1.5
Over
38.8%
Under
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 2.5
Over
15.2%
Under
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 3.5
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Mezokovesd-zsory, so a minus line means Mezokovesd-zsory give that many goals of a start and Kazincbarcikai receive them. At -1, Mezokovesd-zsory must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mezokovesd-zsory win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mezokovesd-zsory)
Mezokovesd-zsory -2
4.8%
Draw -2
9.7%
Kazincbarcikai +2
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Mezokovesd-zsory)
Mezokovesd-zsory -1
14.6%
Draw -1
18.4%
Kazincbarcikai +1
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Mezokovesd-zsory)
Mezokovesd-zsory +1
62.0%
Draw +1
20.1%
Kazincbarcikai -1
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Mezokovesd-zsory)
Mezokovesd-zsory +2
82.1%
Draw +2
11.5%
Kazincbarcikai -2
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mezokovesd-zsory
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.23
0.23
0.76
0.82
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.17
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.42
0.27
0.18
0.69
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kazincbarcikai
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.47
1.27
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
1.45
0.29
1.71
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.68
0.62
0.88
0.55
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mezokovesd-zsory
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.69
0.62
0.53
0.82
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.33
0.00
1.50
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.58
0.82
0.45
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kazincbarcikai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kazincbarcikai
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.97
0.27
0.93
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.18
0.14
0.86
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.84
0.38
1.00
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kazincbarcikai over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mezokovesd-zsory · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
József Szalai20%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy17%
Stefan Dražić14%
Benjámin Cseke11%
Lukács Bőle9%
Ilia Beriashvili6%
Kevin Kállai6%
Gábor Molnár5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Róbert Pillár0%
Tamás Cseri0%
Sándor Vajda0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
David Babunski0%
Andrej Lukić0%
Marko Brtan0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Christian Gomis0%
Zsolt Kojnok0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Máté Szolgai0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin Kállai38%
Christian Gomis38%
Zsolt Kojnok36%
Andrej Lukić30%
Máté Szolgai23%
Benjámin Cseke22%
Sándor Vajda20%
Ilia Beriashvili19%
Gábor Molnár11%
Lukács Bőle9%
Marko Brtan8%
József Szalai7%
Tamás Cseri5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Róbert Pillár0%
Stefan Dražić0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
David Babunski0%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukács Bőle18%
Stefan Dražić14%
Zsolt Kojnok9%
Máté Szolgai8%
Róbert Pillár6%
Gábor Molnár5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Tamás Cseri0%
Sándor Vajda0%
Benjámin Cseke0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
David Babunski0%
Andrej Lukić0%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy0%
Marko Brtan0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Christian Gomis0%
József Szalai0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
József Szalai20%
Stefan Dražić19%
Gábor Molnár16%
David Babunski9%
Tamás Cseri5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Jairo Samperio0%
Roland Ugrai0%
Donát Szivacski0%
Lukács Bőle0%
Gergő Nagy0%
Róbert Pillár0%
Sándor Vajda0%
Benjámin Cseke0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
Andrej Lukić0%
Aleksandr Karnitskiy0%
Marko Brtan0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Christian Gomis0%
Zsolt Kojnok0%
Szabolcs Szilágyi0%
Máté Szolgai0%
Erik Kocs-Washburn0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Mezokovesd-zsory and Kazincbarcikai have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Mezokovesd-zsory and Kazincbarcikai have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Mezokovesd-zsory and Kazincbarcikai have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Mezokovesd-zsory and Kazincbarcikai have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Soroksar
Kecskeméti TE
Tiszakecske FC
Ajka
Karcag SE
Gyirmot SE
Szentlőrinc SE
Fehérvár FC
Szeged 2011
BVSC
Diosgyori VTK
Nagykanizsai ULE
Csakvar
Kozarmisleny FC