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Middelfart vs Hobro Result & Analysis

Date: 21/03/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Middelfart
Middelfart
Vs
38%
28%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middelfart winâś— Miss
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hobro winâś“ Hit
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

MiddelfartMiddelfart

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L03L01L12L24L22D21W14L12L14LH·HIL04/10H·AC 18/10A·KOL24/10H·AAL01/11A·ESB10/11H·B 922/11A·HB 29/11A·AAR28/02H·HVI07/03A·LYN13/03
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.121.921.211.641.002.25
vs Stronger (19)0.892.001.091.550.622.62
vs Similar (7)1.711.711.672.001.751.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %12% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L14L03L20W01L10W11D12L10WA·ESB16/10H·HIL25/10H·FC 29/10A·LYN02/11H·AAR07/11H·HVI20/11A·B 928/11H·HB 27/02A·KOL06/03H·AAL14/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.571.001.431.251.69
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (26)1.121.501.081.331.141.64
vs Weaker (3)1.331.330.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Middelfart) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%015%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
0-1 âś“
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
Middelfart goals ↓
Hobro goals →
01234
07.7%7.4%5.6%2.5%0.8%
18.0%13%8.0%3.5%1.2%
26.5%8.6%5.7%2.5%0.8%
33.1%4.0%2.7%1.2%0.4%
41.1%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middelfart goals (down), columns = Hobro goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lyngby
1.88
AC Horsens
1.69
Esbjerg
1.62
Hillerød
1.56
Aalborg
1.44
Hvidovre
1.44
Aarhus Fremad
1.38
Hobro
1.31
HB Koge
1.25
Kolding IF
1.19
B 93
1.16
Middelfart
0.47
Middelfart is 0.84 points worse than Hobro in terms of average points per game (0.47 vs 1.31).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lyngby
2.16
Aarhus Fremad
1.62
Aalborg
1.56
Esbjerg
1.41
B 93
1.38
Hvidovre
1.34
Hillerød
1.31
AC Horsens
1.31
HB Koge
1.31
Hobro
1.25
Kolding IF
1.16
Middelfart
1.00
Middelfart is 0.25 goals worse than Hobro in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AC Horsens
0.84
Lyngby
1.12
Aarhus Fremad
1.16
Hvidovre
1.22
Kolding IF
1.25
Hobro
1.34
Hillerød
1.34
Esbjerg
1.34
Aalborg
1.47
HB Koge
1.50
B 93
1.81
Middelfart
2.41
Middelfart is 1.06 goals worse than Hobro in terms of goals conceded per game (2.41 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MiddelfartMiddelfart

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D01L12L11D01L01L10W12LH·HIL04/10H·AC 18/10A·KOL24/10H·AAL01/11A·ESB10/11H·B 922/11A·HB 29/11A·AAR28/02H·HVI07/03A·LYN13/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.650.570.500.670.83
vs Stronger (19)0.420.680.450.550.380.88
vs Similar (7)1.140.571.000.331.250.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L01L02L00D00D00D11D00D00DA·ESB16/10H·HIL25/10H·FC 29/10A·LYN02/11H·AAR07/11H·HVI20/11A·B 928/11H·HB 27/02A·KOL06/03H·AAL14/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.500.500.440.88
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (26)0.460.690.580.500.360.86
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Middelfart) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middelfart over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middelfart over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middelfart over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MiddelfartMiddelfart

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L01L11D12L11D20W13L02L02LH·HIL04/10H·AC 18/10A·KOL24/10H·AAL01/11A·ESB10/11H·B 922/11A·HB 29/11A·AAR28/02H·HVI07/03A·LYN13/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.270.641.140.331.42
vs Stronger (19)0.471.320.641.000.251.75
vs Similar (7)0.571.140.671.670.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D13L01L20W01L10W00D12L10WA·ESB16/10H·HIL25/10H·FC 29/10A·LYN02/11H·AAR07/11H·HVI20/11A·B 928/11H·HB 27/02A·KOL06/03H·AAL14/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.500.930.810.81
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (26)0.650.810.500.830.790.79
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Middelfart) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middelfart over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middelfart over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middelfart over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.9%-------âś— Miss
Under 3.570.7%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (8)
€5m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
MID wins
1
Draws
0
HOB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Middelfart vs Hobro · H/A from MID
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/25AHobro Vs MID0-0
10/09/24HMID Vs Hobro3-2

MiddelfartMiddelfart

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/03/26ALyngby Vs MID4-1
07/03/26HMID Vs Hvidovre1-2
28/02/26AAarhus Fremad Vs MID4-1
29/11/25AHB Koge Vs MID1-2
22/11/25HMID Vs B 932-2
10/11/25AEsbjerg Vs MID4-2
01/11/25HMID Vs Aalborg1-2
24/10/25AKolding IF Vs MID1-0
18/10/25HMID Vs AC Horsens0-3
04/10/25HMID Vs Hillerød1-2

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26HHOB Vs Aalborg1-0
06/03/26AKolding IF Vs HOB2-1
27/02/26HHOB Vs HB Koge1-1
28/11/25AB 93 Vs HOB0-1
20/11/25HHOB Vs Hvidovre0-1
07/11/25HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad2-0
02/11/25ALyngby Vs HOB3-0
29/10/25HHOB Vs FC Copenhagen1-4
25/10/25HHOB Vs Hillerød1-2
16/10/25AEsbjerg Vs HOB1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Middelfart
Middelfart
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL0.77
HomeLLLDL0.86
AwayLLWLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%14%17%
AVG goals3.042.863.25
Over 1.5 %77%79%75%
Over 2.5 %69%71%67%
Over 3.5 %42%36%50%
Scored1.121.211.00
Conceded1.921.642.25
BTTS65%71%58%
Clean Sheet12%14%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.18
HomeLWLDW1.35
AwayDDLWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%26%
AVG goals2.742.612.85
Over 1.5 %78%65%89%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %30%39%22%
Scored1.181.221.15
Conceded1.561.391.70
BTTS54%57%52%
Clean Sheet24%35%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LyngbyLyngby3260
56%
1.9
6936+33
3.3
91%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3552.21.1
-
2AC HorsensAC Horsens3254
47%
1.7
4227+15
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.30.8
-
3EsbjergEsbjerg3252
47%
1.6
4543+2
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.41.3
-
4HillerødHillerød3250
41%
1.6
4243-1
2.7
81%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
5HvidovreHvidovre3246
34%
1.4
4339+4
2.6
81%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
6AalborgAalborg3246
38%
1.4
5047+3
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2261.61.5
-
7Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad3244
34%
1.4
5237+15
2.8
72%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.2
-
8HobroHobro3242
34%
1.3
4043-3
2.6
72%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.3
-
9HB KogeHB Koge3240
34%
1.2
4248-6
2.8
81%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.31.5
-
10Kolding IFKolding IF3238
31%
1.2
3740-3
2.4
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.21.2
-
11B 93B 933237
31%
1.2
4458-14
3.2
81%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
12MiddelfartMiddelfart3215
9%
0.5
3277-45
3.4
78%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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