Middlesbrough are favoured to win, with a 55% chance of triumph, a 25% chance of a draw and a 20% chance of a Millwall victory. The model predicts an average of 2.9 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 24%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.8% probability. Middlesbrough’s home form shows they average 2.1 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded against similar opponents, while Millwall’s away form shows 1.0 goal scored and 0.92 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 88.3%, Under 25.5 fouls at 83.4%, Over 1.5 at 79.4% (miss), Under 11.5 corners at 77.0% (miss), Under 4.5 cards at 76.3% and Under 23.5 fouls at 71.1%. The home side’s recent run of five matches is WWLWW, currently on a two-game winning streak, while Millwall’s recent five are LLWWW, after two straight defeats.
Results analysis
The win for Millwall, 0-1, shocked the pre-match favourite, Middlesbrough, who were tipped to win with a 55% probability. The model’s call was therefore wrong. Middlesbrough’s recent form, a two-game winning streak, had set expectations high, but the away side, riding a three-game run after two defeats, turned the tables. The model’s selection of Under 5.5 cards hit, as did Under 25.5 fouls, Under 4.5 cards and Under 23.5 fouls, each with high probabilities of 88.3%, 83.4%, 76.3% and 71.1% respectively. The picks for Over 1.5 and Under 11.5 corners missed, with probabilities of 79.4% and 77.0%. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away victory.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Middlesbrough win✗ Miss
54.8%
Avg Implied 44.0% · @ 2.16
Edge
+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.32
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Millwall win✓ Hit
20.3%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.46
Edge
-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Middlesbrough
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.17
2.57
0.71
1.81
1.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.90
1.24
2.10
0.80
1.73
1.64
vs Weaker (9)
2.78
1.00
3.75
0.50
2.00
1.40
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.03
1.29
1.07
1.06
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.13
1.04
1.27
1.18
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
1.00
1.33
0.67
1.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.1%
@ 2.05+8.8%
Under 2.5
44.9%
@ 1.77-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.7%
Under 3.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Millwall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
4.8%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.2%
12%
5.6%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.4%
9.9%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.8%
6.1%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.7%
2.8%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Millwall goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Middlesbrough is 0.22 points better than Millwall in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Middlesbrough is 0.57 goals better than Millwall in terms of goals scored per game (1.54 vs 0.98).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Middlesbrough is 0.15 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Middlesbrough is 10.9 percentage points better than Millwall in terms of average possession (53% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Middlesbrough
For 5.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Millwall
For 4.6 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 11.0 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Middlesbrough
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.6
9.9
3.9
3.8
4.1
21.3
21.5
21.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
9.4
9.2
9.6
4.0
3.9
4.0
21.5
22.0
20.9
vs Weaker (17)
11.8
13.0
10.5
3.8
3.4
4.2
20.9
20.6
21.4
% over line
54%
56%
52%
50%
44%
56%
44%
44%
44%
% under line
46%
44%
48%
50%
56%
44%
56%
56%
56%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.2
3.3
3.0
3.7
21.2
20.9
21.6
vs Stronger (1)
11.0
-
11.0
2.0
-
2.0
15.0
-
15.0
vs Similar (38)
9.3
9.2
9.4
3.4
3.1
3.8
20.9
20.1
21.7
vs Weaker (11)
9.0
9.7
8.2
3.1
2.5
3.8
23.1
23.5
22.6
% over line
38%
36%
40%
48%
36%
60%
40%
40%
40%
% under line
62%
64%
60%
52%
64%
40%
60%
60%
60%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
West Brom
10.7
Stoke
10.6
Norwich
10.6
QPR
10.4
Rotherham
10.4
Plymouth
10.4
Watford
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Bristol City
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.2
Huddersfield
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Coventry
10.1
Hull
10.0
Birmingham
9.9
Leeds
9.8
Blackburn
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Preston
9.6
Cardiff
9.6
Leicester
9.5
Swansea
9.5
Millwall
9.3
Sheffield Weds
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.5
Sunderland
4.4
Preston
4.3
Swansea
4.3
Cardiff
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Leeds
4.0
Middlesbrough
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Norwich
3.8
Coventry
3.8
Stoke
3.8
Rotherham
3.7
QPR
3.7
Ipswich
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Huddersfield
3.6
Sheffield Weds
3.5
West Brom
3.4
Southampton
3.4
Millwall
3.3
Plymouth
3.2
Leicester
3.2
Hull
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.5
Leeds
23.2
Watford
22.8
Stoke
22.2
Swansea
22.0
QPR
21.8
Birmingham
21.7
Plymouth
21.6
Sheffield Weds
21.6
Preston
21.4
Ipswich
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.3
Millwall
21.2
Leicester
21.1
Norwich
21.1
Southampton
20.9
Bristol City
20.5
Coventry
20.4
Rotherham
20.4
Hull
20.1
Blackburn
19.9
Cardiff
19.8
West Brom
19.7
Huddersfield
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.5%
Under 9.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.9%
Under 3.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.8%
Under 21.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Middlesbrough
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.70
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.22
1.00
0.00
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.33
0.57
0.36
0.62
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.26
0.55
0.36
0.58
0.17
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.57
0.67
0.33
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Middlesbrough
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.63
1.57
0.21
1.31
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.24
0.57
1.10
0.10
1.36
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
1.89
0.78
2.75
0.50
1.20
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.71
0.71
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.78
0.73
0.82
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Latte Lath43%
Marcus Forss33%
Isaiah Jones20%
Finn Azaz20%
Josh Coburn19%
Alex Bangura14%
Riley McGree14%
Sam Greenwood14%
Darragh Lenihan12%
Matt Crooks12%
Samuel Silvera11%
Alexander Gilbert8%
Morgan Rogers8%
Lukas Engel6%
Jonathan Howson5%
Hayden Hackney5%
Matthew Clarke4%
Rav van den Berg3%
Tommy Smith0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Paddy McNair0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Luke Thomas0%
Law McCabe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Ayling37%
Tommy Smith33%
Hayden Hackney29%
Jonathan Howson24%
Matt Crooks20%
Emmanuel Latte Lath20%
Isaiah Jones20%
Morgan Rogers19%
Sam Greenwood19%
Darragh Lenihan12%
Lukas Engel11%
Finn Azaz10%
Paddy McNair10%
Marcus Forss10%
Josh Coburn10%
Riley McGree9%
Matthew Clarke8%
Tom Glover8%
Alex Bangura7%
Daniel Barlaser6%
Rav van den Berg6%
Seny Dieng6%
Anfernee Dijksteel5%
Lewis O'Brien4%
Dael Fry4%
Samuel Silvera0%
Luke Thomas0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Law McCabe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luke Ayling37%
Alexander Gilbert25%
Morgan Rogers23%
Matt Crooks20%
Finn Azaz20%
Matthew Clarke12%
Lukas Engel11%
Isaiah Jones11%
Marcus Forss10%
Sam Greenwood8%
Alex Bangura7%
Daniel Barlaser6%
Samuel Silvera5%
Jonathan Howson5%
Josh Coburn5%
Riley McGree5%
Lewis O'Brien4%
Dael Fry4%
Emmanuel Latte Lath3%
Tommy Smith0%
Paddy McNair0%
Darragh Lenihan0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Luke Thomas0%
Hayden Hackney0%
Rav van den Berg0%
Law McCabe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emmanuel Latte Lath33%
Riley McGree18%
Matt Crooks16%
Josh Coburn14%
Sam Greenwood14%
Marcus Forss10%
Isaiah Jones6%
Samuel Silvera5%
Finn Azaz5%
Lewis O'Brien4%
Matthew Clarke4%
Morgan Rogers4%
Lukas Engel3%
Tommy Smith0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Paddy McNair0%
Darragh Lenihan0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Alex Bangura0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Luke Thomas0%
Hayden Hackney0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Rav van den Berg0%
Law McCabe0%
Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet19%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Wes Harding12%
Tom Bradshaw12%
Duncan Watmore12%
Japhet Tanganga11%
Joe Bryan9%
Ryan Longman9%
Romain Esse8%
Shaun Hutchinson7%
Murray Wallace7%
George Saville5%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy5%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Jake Cooper5%
Casper De Norre3%
Matija Šarkić0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Adam Mayor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
George Honeyman29%
George Saville28%
Ryan Leonard26%
Jake Cooper23%
Joe Bryan22%
Danny McNamara21%
Murray Wallace20%
Wes Harding17%
Japhet Tanganga17%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Shaun Hutchinson14%
Ryan Longman14%
Billy Mitchell12%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Casper De Norre9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Allan Campbell8%
Bartosz Białkowski7%
Matija Šarkić6%
Romain Esse4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
Tom Bradshaw3%
Adam Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Allan Campbell17%
Zian Flemming11%
George Saville10%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Ryan Longman9%
George Honeyman6%
Billy Mitchell6%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Murray Wallace3%
Casper De Norre3%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Michael Obafemi0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Wes Harding0%
Jake Cooper0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Danny McNamara0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming13%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Ryan Longman9%
Michael Obafemi7%
Jake Cooper7%
Wes Harding4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
George Saville2%
Casper De Norre0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Middlesbrough's squad is €58m more valuable than Millwall's (€142m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Middlesbrough's attack is €44m more valuable than Millwall's (€74m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €2m less valuable than Millwall's (€27m vs €29m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Middlesbrough's defence is €16m more valuable than Millwall's (€41m vs €25m).
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →