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Middlesbrough vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2023
Time: 20:00
Final 1-1
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Vs
54%
26%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: C Pawson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middlesbrough win✗ Miss
53.6%
Avg Implied 56.5% · @ 1.68
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.3%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.85
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied 18.9% · @ 5.03
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L20W30W31W31W31W02L50W31WH·MIL14/01A·SUN22/01H·WAT28/01H·BLA04/02A·CAR11/02A·SHE15/02H·QPR18/02A·WES25/02H·REA04/03A·SWA11/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.031.860.641.811.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.391.171.330.331.421.58
vs Weaker (12)2.500.832.250.883.000.75
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L40W01L00D30W01L31W01L51W32WA·SHE14/01H·REA21/01A·LUT04/02H·HUL11/02H·HUD15/02A·BLA18/02A·SWA21/02H·MIL25/02A·SUN04/03H·BLA10/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.201.271.201.471.20
vs Stronger (2)2.501.500.002.005.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.211.171.251.251.171.08
vs Weaker (4)1.751.252.000.501.502.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.8%
@ 1.86-1.3%
Under 2.5
50.2%
@ 1.94+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
08.1%5.6%3.2%1.0%0.2%
111%13%5.5%1.8%0.4%
210%9.7%4.7%1.5%0.4%
35.7%5.5%2.7%0.9%0.2%
42.4%2.3%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Middlesbrough is 0.48 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Middlesbrough is 0.63 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Middlesbrough is 0.04 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Middlesbrough is 5.0 percentage points better than Stoke in terms of average possession (58% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 7.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 12.1

🚩 Corners

18064618499664797958463107121812111614129A·SWAH·REAA·WESH·QPRA·SHEA·CARH·BLAH·WATA·SUNH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

6012121133212123233311623335A·SWAH·REAA·WESH·QPRA·SHEA·CARH·BLAH·WATA·SUNH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.3

⚠️ Fouls

29010913131075128101391412101910881319261717182226291821A·SWAH·REAA·WESH·QPRA·SHEA·CARH·BLAH·WATA·SUNH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 5.9 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1501542944553123725762626613981591288H·BLAA·SUNH·MILA·SWAA·BLAH·HUDH·HULA·LUTH·REAA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

6022211141424232224315562504H·BLAA·SUNH·MILA·SWAA·BLAH·HUDH·HULA·LUTH·REAA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 9.9 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

29091019810111712913151314971112513719272129222823181720H·BLAA·SUNH·MILA·SWAA·BLAH·HUDH·HULA·LUTH·REAA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.010.04.24.24.221.922.121.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)9.69.39.74.44.54.322.022.821.4
vs Weaker (18)12.013.210.53.83.74.021.921.122.9
% over line54%57%52%56%52%59%50%48%52%
% under line46%43%48%44%48%41%50%52%48%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.79.83.83.93.622.222.422.0
vs Stronger (5)9.410.77.54.64.05.525.023.727.0
vs Similar (40)10.510.810.33.84.23.521.922.521.4
vs Weaker (5)8.69.58.02.41.53.021.419.023.0
% over line56%67%46%52%54%50%52%50%54%
% under line44%33%54%48%46%50%48%50%46%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
West Brom
10.8
Sheffield United
10.6
Burnley
10.6
Norwich
10.5
Middlesbrough
10.4
Bristol City
10.4
Coventry
10.4
Rotherham
10.3
Watford
10.3
Stoke
10.2
Hull
10.1
Luton
10.1
QPR
10.1
Cardiff
10.1
Swansea
9.8
Preston
9.7
Blackpool
9.7
Birmingham
9.7
Huddersfield
9.7
Sunderland
9.6
Blackburn
9.5
Millwall
9.5
Reading
9.1
Wigan
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.6
Preston
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Middlesbrough
4.2
Blackburn
4.2
Cardiff
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Luton
4.0
Watford
4.0
Coventry
3.9
Norwich
3.8
Wigan
3.8
Stoke
3.8
Burnley
3.8
QPR
3.8
Rotherham
3.7
Birmingham
3.6
Blackpool
3.6
Huddersfield
3.5
Bristol City
3.5
Reading
3.5
West Brom
3.2
Hull
3.2
Millwall
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.5
Luton
22.8
Stoke
22.2
Wigan
22.1
Middlesbrough
21.9
QPR
21.9
Blackpool
21.9
Watford
21.8
Swansea
21.6
Reading
21.6
Birmingham
21.4
Preston
21.3
Norwich
21.3
Bristol City
21.2
Blackburn
21.0
Millwall
20.9
Sheffield United
20.7
Burnley
20.7
Rotherham
20.4
Coventry
20.2
Cardiff
19.6
Hull
19.4
West Brom
19.3
Huddersfield
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.2%
Under 3.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.6%
Under 21.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W10W21W11D00D02L20W01LH·MIL14/01A·SUN22/01H·WAT28/01H·BLA04/02A·CAR11/02A·SHE15/02H·QPR18/02A·WES25/02H·REA04/03A·SWA11/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.710.500.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.500.610.830.330.330.75
vs Weaker (12)0.750.670.620.621.000.75
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W01L00D10W01L21W01L10W20WA·SHE14/01H·REA21/01A·LUT04/02H·HUL11/02H·HUD15/02A·BLA18/02A·SWA21/02H·MIL25/02A·SUN04/03H·BLA10/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.670.470.530.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.580.750.500.500.67
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.500.500.501.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L00D20W10W20W31W00D30W30WH·MIL14/01A·SUN22/01H·WAT28/01H·BLA04/02A·CAR11/02A·SHE15/02H·QPR18/02A·WES25/02H·REA04/03A·SWA11/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.401.140.141.310.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.890.560.500.001.080.83
vs Weaker (12)1.750.171.620.252.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L30W00D00D20W00D10W00D41W12LA·SHE14/01H·REA21/01A·LUT04/02H·HUL11/02H·HUD15/02A·BLA18/02A·SWA21/02H·MIL25/02A·SUN04/03H·BLA10/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.630.600.730.930.53
vs Stronger (2)2.001.500.002.004.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.580.580.500.750.670.42
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards82.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chuba Akpom55%
Cameron Archer36%
Aaron Ramsey36%
Marcus Forss25%
Duncan Watmore24%
Matt Crooks15%
Riley McGree13%
Rodrigo Muniz12%
Hayden Hackney8%
Isaiah Jones8%
Paddy McNair3%
Ryan Giles0%
Tommy Smith0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Darragh Lenihan0%
Alex Mowatt0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Marc Bola0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Liam Roberts0%
Zack Steffen0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tommy Smith29%
Liam Roberts25%
Hayden Hackney25%
Isaiah Jones25%
Matt Crooks21%
Jonathan Howson20%
Paddy McNair19%
Matthew Clarke17%
Chuba Akpom15%
Darragh Lenihan14%
Marcus Forss12%
Marc Bola12%
Rodrigo Muniz12%
Anfernee Dijksteel10%
Aaron Ramsey9%
Riley McGree9%
Dael Fry7%
Zack Steffen5%
Cameron Archer5%
Ryan Giles4%
Alex Mowatt3%
Duncan Watmore0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cameron Archer23%
Ryan Giles17%
Matt Crooks15%
Marcus Forss12%
Hayden Hackney11%
Isaiah Jones11%
Duncan Watmore10%
Aaron Ramsey9%
Daniel Barlaser8%
Darragh Lenihan7%
Jonathan Howson7%
Riley McGree7%
Alex Mowatt7%
Chuba Akpom5%
Anfernee Dijksteel5%
Tommy Smith3%
Zack Steffen2%
Dael Fry0%
Paddy McNair0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Marc Bola0%
Liam Roberts0%
Rodrigo Muniz0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chuba Akpom32%
Cameron Archer18%
Aaron Ramsey18%
Rodrigo Muniz12%
Duncan Watmore10%
Marcus Forss8%
Riley McGree7%
Matt Crooks5%
Hayden Hackney3%
Isaiah Jones3%
Darragh Lenihan2%
Ryan Giles0%
Tommy Smith0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Paddy McNair0%
Alex Mowatt0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Marc Bola0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Liam Roberts0%
Zack Steffen0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ki-Jana Hoever20%
Tyrese Campbell20%
Jacob Brown18%
Nick Powell16%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips14%
Lewis Baker14%
Liam Delap14%
Harry Clarke11%
Josh Laurent9%
Ben Wilmot8%
Phil Jagielka7%
Will Smallbone7%
Dwight Gayle6%
Josh Tymon4%
Matija Šarkić0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Aden Flint0%
Bersant Celina0%
Morgan Fox0%
Ben Pearson0%
Sam Clucas0%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Harry Souttar0%
Jack Bonham0%
Josef Bursik0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Connor Taylor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Harry Souttar57%
Ben Pearson50%
Gavin Kilkenny33%
Axel Tuanzebe25%
Liam Delap23%
Connor Taylor21%
Jacob Brown21%
Jordan Thompson21%
Josh Laurent19%
Ben Wilmot15%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry15%
Lewis Baker14%
Nick Powell12%
Aden Flint11%
Harry Clarke11%
Tyrese Campbell10%
Dwight Gayle9%
Dujon Sterling8%
Josh Tymon7%
Josef Bursik6%
Morgan Fox5%
Jack Bonham4%
Will Smallbone2%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Phil Jagielka0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Bersant Celina0%
Sam Clucas0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aden Flint22%
Dwight Gayle14%
Tyrese Campbell12%
Lewis Baker11%
Josh Tymon11%
Josh Laurent9%
Morgan Fox8%
Ben Pearson7%
Will Smallbone7%
Ki-Jana Hoever7%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry5%
Phil Jagielka4%
Jacob Brown3%
Matija Šarkić0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Bersant Celina0%
Sam Clucas0%
Nick Powell0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Harry Souttar0%
Jack Bonham0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Josef Bursik0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Harry Clarke0%
Liam Delap0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Connor Taylor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jacob Brown21%
Tyrese Campbell20%
Bersant Celina17%
Liam Delap14%
Will Smallbone12%
Aden Flint11%
Lewis Baker9%
Dwight Gayle9%
Ben Pearson7%
Nick Powell4%
Josh Tymon4%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Phil Jagielka0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Morgan Fox0%
Sam Clucas0%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Harry Souttar0%
Jack Bonham0%
Josh Laurent0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Josef Bursik0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Harry Clarke0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Connor Taylor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Middlesbrough's squad is €64m more valuable than Stoke's (€142m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Middlesbrough's attack is €39m more valuable than Stoke's (€74m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €15m more valuable than Stoke's (€27m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Middlesbrough's defence is €9m more valuable than Stoke's (€41m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
MID wins
2
Draws
1
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough vs Stoke · H/A from MID
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/22AStoke Vs MID2-2
30/04/22HMID Vs Stoke3-1
11/12/21AStoke Vs MID0-0
13/03/21HMID Vs Stoke3-0
05/12/20AStoke Vs MID1-0

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23ASwansea Vs MID1-3
04/03/23HMID Vs Reading5-0
25/02/23AWest Brom Vs MID2-0
18/02/23HMID Vs QPR3-1
15/02/23ASheffield United Vs MID1-3
11/02/23ACardiff Vs MID1-3
04/02/23HMID Vs Blackpool3-0
28/01/23HMID Vs Watford2-0
22/01/23ASunderland Vs MID2-0
14/01/23HMID Vs Millwall1-0

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/23HSTK Vs Blackburn3-2
04/03/23ASunderland Vs STK1-5
25/02/23HSTK Vs Millwall0-1
21/02/23ASwansea Vs STK1-3
18/02/23ABlackpool Vs STK1-0
15/02/23HSTK Vs Huddersfield3-0
11/02/23HSTK Vs Hull0-0
04/02/23ALuton Vs STK1-0
21/01/23HSTK Vs Reading4-0
14/01/23ASheffield United Vs STK3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.62
HomeWWWWW1.91
AwayLWWLW1.37
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%57%41%
AVG goals2.822.483.11
Over 1.5 %78%70%85%
Over 2.5 %58%48%67%
Over 3.5 %38%26%48%
Scored1.641.651.63
Conceded1.180.831.48
BTTS56%48%63%
Clean Sheet28%39%19%
Corners10.4411.009.96
Cards4.184.174.19
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.28
HomeWDWLW1.33
AwayLLLWW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%35%
AVG goals2.462.172.73
Over 1.5 %68%58%77%
Over 2.5 %46%33%58%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.261.171.35
Conceded1.201.001.38
BTTS46%29%62%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners10.2210.679.81
Cards3.763.923.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BurnleyBurnley46101
63%
2.2
8735+52
2.7
76%
52%
22%
9.7
46%
4.0
52%
20.9
46%
115
708371.90.8
65%
2Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4691
61%
2.0
7339+34
2.4
61%
41%
26%
10.5
57%
4.3
67%
20.2
30%
110
2932491.60.8
51%
3LutonLuton4680
46%
1.7
5739+18
2.1
67%
30%
15%
10.7
61%
3.8
54%
22.5
52%
29
134121.20.8
46%
4MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4675
48%
1.6
8456+28
3.0
83%
65%
41%
10.3
54%
3.9
50%
21.3
41%
142
7427411.81.2
58%
5CoventryCoventry4670
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.3
63%
35%
24%
9.9
52%
4.1
63%
20.6
37%
237
8552991.31.0
47%
6SunderlandSunderland4669
39%
1.5
6855+13
2.7
78%
54%
20%
9.7
61%
4.5
70%
23.5
59%
392
1571101251.51.2
54%
7BlackburnBlackburn4669
43%
1.5
5254-2
2.3
65%
41%
15%
9.9
54%
4.1
57%
19.7
39%
36
157141.11.2
54%
8MillwallMillwall4668
41%
1.5
5750+7
2.3
67%
39%
17%
8.9
33%
3.4
50%
21.2
41%
85
3029251.21.1
45%
9West BromWest Brom4666
39%
1.4
5953+6
2.4
76%
37%
20%
10.8
70%
3.5
43%
19.9
39%
52
1522151.31.2
53%
10SwanseaSwansea4666
39%
1.4
6864+4
2.9
78%
57%
33%
9.5
41%
4.4
63%
22.0
48%
91
569261.51.4
64%
11WatfordWatford4663
35%
1.4
5653+3
2.4
74%
39%
26%
10.3
54%
4.7
78%
23.2
63%
88
2838221.21.2
53%
12PrestonPreston4663
37%
1.4
4559-14
2.3
63%
43%
20%
9.6
52%
4.4
67%
21.2
50%
43
173221.01.3
48%
13NorwichNorwich4662
37%
1.3
5754+3
2.4
67%
46%
22%
10.7
57%
4.0
57%
21.5
46%
107
4631291.21.2
57%
14Bristol CityBristol City4659
33%
1.3
5556-1
2.4
80%
39%
15%
10.5
57%
3.6
54%
20.7
30%
66
2919181.21.2
50%
15HullHull4658
30%
1.3
5161-10
2.4
67%
41%
26%
10.0
52%
3.2
37%
20.0
30%
105
2231521.11.3
50%
16StokeStoke4653
30%
1.2
5554+1
2.4
67%
43%
28%
10.7
67%
4.0
54%
22.4
52%
79
3511321.21.2
53%
17BirminghamBirmingham4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
41%
15%
9.8
57%
3.9
48%
21.7
37%
93
4612351.01.3
42%
18HuddersfieldHuddersfield4653
30%
1.2
4762-15
2.4
67%
43%
22%
10.0
54%
3.6
52%
19.5
35%
16
4481.01.3
41%
19RotherhamRotherham4650
24%
1.1
4960-11
2.4
76%
48%
22%
10.1
61%
3.7
52%
20.1
35%
5
2121.11.3
42%
20ReadingReading4650
28%
1.1
4668-22
2.5
74%
50%
22%
9.5
54%
3.6
50%
21.2
39%
10
3341.01.5
42%
21QPRQPR4650
28%
1.1
4471-27
2.5
72%
50%
24%
10.3
50%
3.8
65%
22.1
48%
71
2915271.01.5
50%
22CardiffCardiff4649
28%
1.1
4158-17
2.2
61%
35%
20%
9.6
52%
4.1
57%
19.9
39%
29
154100.91.3
47%
23WiganWigan4645
22%
1.0
3865-27
2.2
67%
37%
15%
8.9
41%
3.7
54%
21.8
57%
7
2230.81.4
48%
24BlackpoolBlackpool4644
24%
1.0
4872-24
2.6
63%
48%
30%
10.3
54%
3.8
52%
22.5
63%
11
4341.01.6
42%
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches