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Middlesbrough vs Watford Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2024
Time: 12:30
Final 3-1
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Vs
52%
26%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Referee: K Stroud

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middlesbrough win✓ Hit
52.4%
Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.76
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.17
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.16
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W00D11D20W20W22D11D34L41WA·QPR09/03A·BIR12/03H·BLA16/03A·SOU29/03H·SHE01/04H·SWA06/04A·HUL10/04A·IPS13/04H·LEE22/04A·CAR27/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.271.401.201.671.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.521.481.501.421.551.55
vs Weaker (7)1.570.571.000.332.000.75
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L10W22D22D00D00D23L00D10WH·SWA06/03H·COV09/03A·BIR16/03H·LEE29/03A·WES01/04H·PRE06/04A·IPS10/04A·SOU13/04H·HUL20/04H·SUN27/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.331.271.331.531.33
vs Stronger (4)1.001.001.331.330.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.331.500.911.451.691.54
vs Weaker (2)3.000.005.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.1%
@ 1.50-11.2%
Under 2.5
47.9%
@ 2.59+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-1 ✓
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
Middlesbrough goals ↓
Watford goals →
01234
07.5%5.4%3.4%1.2%0.3%
19.8%12%5.9%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.7%5.0%1.7%0.5%
35.4%5.6%2.9%1.0%0.3%
42.3%2.4%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Middlesbrough goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Middlesbrough is 0.28 points better than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Middlesbrough is 0.22 goals better than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.54 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Middlesbrough is 0.02 goals worse than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Middlesbrough is 0.8 percentage points better than Watford in terms of average possession (53% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 5.4 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

16014114463946115588543310515101210161313713A·CARH·LEEA·IPSA·HULH·SWAH·SHEA·SOUH·BLAA·BIRA·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

7031223221442332520443456627A·CARH·LEEA·IPSA·HULH·SWAH·SHEA·SOUH·BLAA·BIRA·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.8 · Total 19.5

⚠️ Fouls

32010714116117816167111451096971117251715321819191518A·CARH·LEEA·IPSA·HULH·SWAH·SHEA·SOUH·BLAA·BIRA·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

For 4.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

13033153643753785675493669712101313912H·SUNH·HULA·SOUA·IPSH·PREA·WESH·LEEA·BIRH·COVH·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

8021443112211315423843310366H·SUNH·HULA·SOUA·IPSH·PREA·WESH·LEEA·BIRH·COVH·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 9.8 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

3201191913156161361313615512111212181020322129191920232428H·SUNH·HULA·SOUA·IPSH·PREA·WESH·LEEA·BIRH·COVH·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.011.510.53.73.63.721.522.220.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (37)10.710.810.63.73.44.122.123.220.8
vs Weaker (13)11.713.510.13.54.32.919.818.820.7
% over line64%72%56%58%60%56%40%48%32%
% under line36%28%44%42%40%44%60%52%68%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.210.04.34.34.323.623.323.8
vs Stronger (7)9.19.78.84.13.05.025.122.727.0
vs Similar (41)10.210.410.14.44.54.323.323.523.1
vs Weaker (2)11.09.013.03.03.03.023.523.024.0
% over line56%58%54%60%58%62%66%65%67%
% under line44%42%46%40%42%38%34%35%33%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
12.1
Southampton
11.5
Coventry
11.4
Blackburn
11.2
Huddersfield
11.2
Middlesbrough
11.0
QPR
10.9
Stoke
10.9
West Brom
10.7
Birmingham
10.7
Leeds
10.7
Norwich
10.6
Sunderland
10.6
Rotherham
10.5
Bristol City
10.4
Ipswich
10.4
Sheffield Weds
10.4
Hull
10.4
Swansea
10.2
Millwall
10.1
Watford
10.1
Leicester
9.7
Cardiff
9.6
Preston
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.9
Southampton
4.6
QPR
4.4
Stoke
4.3
Watford
4.3
Coventry
4.3
Sheffield Weds
4.3
Leicester
4.2
Hull
4.2
Swansea
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Millwall
4.0
Plymouth
4.0
Leeds
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Huddersfield
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.7
Preston
3.7
West Brom
3.6
Cardiff
3.5
Bristol City
3.3
Rotherham
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Watford
23.6
Sunderland
23.4
Birmingham
23.2
Coventry
23.0
Ipswich
22.8
Swansea
22.7
Stoke
22.6
Huddersfield
22.6
Hull
22.5
QPR
22.5
Sheffield Weds
22.3
Preston
22.2
Leeds
22.1
Millwall
22.0
Plymouth
21.8
Southampton
21.7
Middlesbrough
21.5
Leicester
21.4
Norwich
21.2
Rotherham
20.9
Bristol City
20.2
Blackburn
19.9
Cardiff
19.7
West Brom
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
67.5%
Under 9.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.3%
Under 3.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
67.2%
Under 21.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D01L10W10W12L11D23L10WA·QPR09/03A·BIR12/03H·BLA16/03A·SOU29/03H·SHE01/04H·SWA06/04A·HUL10/04A·IPS13/04H·LEE22/04A·CAR27/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.800.670.670.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.870.960.920.830.821.09
vs Weaker (7)0.290.000.330.000.250.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W21W00D00D00D12L00D00DH·SWA06/03H·COV09/03A·BIR16/03H·LEE29/03A·WES01/04H·PRE06/04A·IPS10/04A·SOU13/04H·HUL20/04H·SUN27/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.600.730.530.80
vs Stronger (4)0.750.501.000.670.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.880.360.820.620.92
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D10W10W10W10W00D11D31WA·QPR09/03A·BIR12/03H·BLA16/03A·SOU29/03H·SHE01/04H·SWA06/04A·HUL10/04A·IPS13/04H·LEE22/04A·CAR27/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.600.531.000.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.650.520.580.580.730.45
vs Weaker (7)1.290.570.670.331.750.75
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D01L22D00D00D11D00D10WH·SWA06/03H·COV09/03A·BIR16/03H·LEE29/03A·WES01/04H·PRE06/04A·IPS10/04A·SOU13/04H·HUL20/04H·SUN27/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.670.601.000.53
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.330.670.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.830.620.550.641.080.62
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls80.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners78.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.577.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Latte Lath43%
Marcus Forss33%
Isaiah Jones20%
Finn Azaz20%
Josh Coburn19%
Alex Bangura14%
Riley McGree14%
Sam Greenwood14%
Darragh Lenihan12%
Matt Crooks12%
Samuel Silvera11%
Alexander Gilbert8%
Morgan Rogers8%
Lukas Engel6%
Jonathan Howson5%
Hayden Hackney5%
Matthew Clarke4%
Rav van den Berg3%
Tommy Smith0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Paddy McNair0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Luke Thomas0%
Law McCabe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Ayling37%
Tommy Smith33%
Hayden Hackney29%
Jonathan Howson24%
Matt Crooks20%
Emmanuel Latte Lath20%
Isaiah Jones20%
Morgan Rogers19%
Sam Greenwood19%
Darragh Lenihan12%
Lukas Engel11%
Finn Azaz10%
Paddy McNair10%
Marcus Forss10%
Josh Coburn10%
Riley McGree9%
Matthew Clarke8%
Tom Glover8%
Alex Bangura7%
Daniel Barlaser6%
Rav van den Berg6%
Seny Dieng6%
Anfernee Dijksteel5%
Lewis O'Brien4%
Dael Fry4%
Samuel Silvera0%
Luke Thomas0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Law McCabe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luke Ayling37%
Alexander Gilbert25%
Morgan Rogers23%
Matt Crooks20%
Finn Azaz20%
Matthew Clarke12%
Lukas Engel11%
Isaiah Jones11%
Marcus Forss10%
Sam Greenwood8%
Alex Bangura7%
Daniel Barlaser6%
Samuel Silvera5%
Jonathan Howson5%
Josh Coburn5%
Riley McGree5%
Lewis O'Brien4%
Dael Fry4%
Emmanuel Latte Lath3%
Tommy Smith0%
Paddy McNair0%
Darragh Lenihan0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Luke Thomas0%
Hayden Hackney0%
Rav van den Berg0%
Law McCabe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emmanuel Latte Lath33%
Riley McGree18%
Matt Crooks16%
Josh Coburn14%
Sam Greenwood14%
Marcus Forss10%
Isaiah Jones6%
Samuel Silvera5%
Finn Azaz5%
Lewis O'Brien4%
Matthew Clarke4%
Morgan Rogers4%
Lukas Engel3%
Tommy Smith0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Paddy McNair0%
Darragh Lenihan0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Alex Bangura0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Luke Thomas0%
Hayden Hackney0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Rav van den Berg0%
Law McCabe0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Dennis24%
Mileta Rajović20%
Rhys Healey18%
Edo Kayembe14%
Yáser Asprilla14%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo13%
Matheus Martins13%
Ismael Koné10%
Wesley Hoedt9%
Ryan Andrews8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jake Livermore7%
Imrân Louza7%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Ryan Porteous5%
Ken Sema3%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Porteous38%
Jake Livermore30%
Wesley Hoedt27%
Imrân Louza27%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Edo Kayembe20%
Ryan Andrews18%
Matthew Pollock17%
James Morris17%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Ben Hamer16%
Francisco Sierralta15%
Daniel Bachmann15%
Jamal Lewis11%
Rhys Healey9%
Matheus Martins8%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Emmanuel Dennis6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo5%
Thomas Ince4%
Ken Sema3%
Mileta Rajović2%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Giorgi Chakvetadze12%
Ken Sema10%
Rhys Healey9%
Ryan Porteous8%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Edo Kayembe6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Jamal Lewis6%
Matheus Martins5%
Ryan Andrews5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Francisco Sierralta4%
Jake Livermore3%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edo Kayembe17%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo10%
Yáser Asprilla9%
Ismael Koné7%
Imrân Louza7%
Matheus Martins5%
Mileta Rajović5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Thomas Ince4%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Ryan Andrews2%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Rhys Healey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Jake Livermore0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Middlesbrough's squad is €54m more valuable than Watford's (€142m vs €88m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Middlesbrough's attack is €46m more valuable than Watford's (€74m vs €28m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Middlesbrough's midfield is €12m less valuable than Watford's (€27m vs €38m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Middlesbrough's defence is €19m more valuable than Watford's (€41m vs €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
MID wins
1
Draws
2
WAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough vs Watford · H/A from MID
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23AWatford Vs MID2-3
28/01/23HMID Vs Watford2-0
30/08/22AWatford Vs MID2-1
05/04/21HMID Vs Watford1-1
11/09/20AWatford Vs MID1-0

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24ACardiff Vs MID1-4
22/04/24HMID Vs Leeds3-4
13/04/24AIpswich Vs MID1-1
10/04/24AHull Vs MID2-2
06/04/24HMID Vs Swansea2-0
01/04/24HMID Vs Sheffield Weds2-0
29/03/24ASouthampton Vs MID1-1
16/03/24HMID Vs Blackburn0-0
12/03/24ABirmingham Vs MID0-1
09/03/24AQPR Vs MID0-2

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24HWAT Vs Sunderland1-0
20/04/24HWAT Vs Hull0-0
13/04/24ASouthampton Vs WAT3-2
10/04/24AIpswich Vs WAT0-0
06/04/24HWAT Vs Preston0-0
01/04/24AWest Brom Vs WAT2-2
29/03/24HWAT Vs Leeds2-2
16/03/24ABirmingham Vs WAT0-1
09/03/24HWAT Vs Coventry1-2
06/03/24HWAT Vs Swansea1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.46
HomeWDWWL1.52
AwayWDDDW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.902.563.24
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %52%36%68%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.561.441.68
Conceded1.341.121.56
BTTS60%48%72%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners10.9811.4810.48
Cards3.683.643.72
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDW1.26
HomeLDDDW1.27
AwayLWDDL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals2.622.622.62
Over 1.5 %68%73%62%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %32%35%29%
Scored1.341.421.25
Conceded1.281.191.38
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet32%38%25%
Corners10.1010.239.96
Cards4.324.314.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches