This opponent (Ruch Chorzów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruch Chorzów
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.40
1.21
0.93
1.38
1.81
vs Stronger (11)
1.36
2.09
1.40
1.40
1.33
2.67
vs Similar (17)
1.35
1.06
1.29
0.71
1.40
1.30
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Miedz Legnica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.4%
Under 2.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.8%
No
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
Miedz Legnica goals ↓
Ruch Chorzów goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
4.9%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
1
8.5%
12%
6.1%
2.3%
0.7%
2
8.6%
9.8%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.2%
5.9%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.4%
2.7%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Miedz Legnica goals (down), columns = Ruch Chorzów goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arka Gdynia
2.12
Nieciecza
2.09
Wisla Plock
1.94
Wisla Krakow
1.77
Miedz Legnica
1.64
Polonia Warszawa
1.60
Tychy 71
1.56
Znicz Pruszków
1.53
Górnik Łęczna
1.47
Ruch Chorzów
1.41
ŁKS Łódź
1.38
Stal Rzeszów
1.03
Chrobry Głogów
0.97
Odra Opole
0.88
Pogoń Siedlce
0.88
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
0.85
Warta Poznań
0.71
Stal Stalowa Wola
0.68
Miedz Legnica is 0.23 points better than Ruch Chorzów in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nieciecza
2.06
Arka Gdynia
1.85
Wisla Krakow
1.80
Wisla Plock
1.72
Miedz Legnica
1.58
Znicz Pruszków
1.53
Górnik Łęczna
1.47
Ruch Chorzów
1.47
ŁKS Łódź
1.47
Tychy 71
1.38
Polonia Warszawa
1.34
Stal Rzeszów
1.24
Pogoń Siedlce
1.12
Chrobry Głogów
1.09
Odra Opole
0.91
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
0.85
Stal Stalowa Wola
0.79
Warta Poznań
0.65
Miedz Legnica is 0.11 goals better than Ruch Chorzów in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arka Gdynia
0.71
Wisla Krakow
0.94
Tychy 71
1.06
Wisla Plock
1.08
Polonia Warszawa
1.11
Nieciecza
1.15
ŁKS Łódź
1.21
Górnik Łęczna
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.26
Miedz Legnica
1.31
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Pogoń Siedlce
1.56
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1.62
Warta Poznań
1.65
Stal Rzeszów
1.74
Chrobry Głogów
1.74
Odra Opole
1.79
Stal Stalowa Wola
1.91
Miedz Legnica is 0.05 goals better than Ruch Chorzów in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Miedz Legnica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
1.21
0.50
0.31
0.25
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.37
1.00
0.46
0.36
0.29
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
4.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruch Chorzów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruch Chorzów
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.29
0.36
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.73
0.40
0.60
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.47
0.29
0.29
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Miedz Legnica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Miedz Legnica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Miedz Legnica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Miedz Legnica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruch Chorzów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruch Chorzów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruch Chorzów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Miedz Legnica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
1.07
0.64
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.70
1.00
0.69
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruch Chorzów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruch Chorzów
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.93
0.57
0.75
1.12
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.36
1.00
0.80
0.67
1.83
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.59
1.00
0.43
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Miedz Legnica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Miedz Legnica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Miedz Legnica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Miedz Legnica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruch Chorzów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruch Chorzów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruch Chorzów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Miedz Legnica · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ángelo Henríquez21%
Chuca20%
Luciano Narsingh17%
Maciej Śliwa12%
Kamil Drygas12%
Giannis Masouras7%
Szymon Matuszek7%
Nemanja Mijušković7%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi7%
Andrzej Niewulis7%
Dawid Drachal6%
Santiago Naveda6%
Olaf Kobacki4%
Maxime Dominguez3%
Jerónimo Cacciabue0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Kamil Zapolnik0%
Hubert Matynia0%
Damian Tront0%
Mateusz Abramowicz0%
Levent Gülen0%
Mehdi Lehaire0%
Jon Aurtenetxe0%
Carlos Julio Martínez0%
Paweł Lenarcik0%
Michael Kostka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carlos Julio Martínez50%
Maxime Dominguez34%
Jens Martin Gammelby33%
Nemanja Mijušković32%
Damian Tront30%
Levent Gülen30%
Kamil Drygas29%
Ángelo Henríquez28%
Jon Aurtenetxe25%
Jurich Carolina22%
Dimitar Velkovski21%
Szymon Matuszek21%
Olaf Kobacki21%
Andrzej Niewulis20%
Dawid Drachal19%
Hubert Matynia18%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi17%
Giannis Masouras14%
Santiago Naveda12%
Michael Kostka11%
Jerónimo Cacciabue9%
Kamil Zapolnik8%
Luciano Narsingh7%
Chuca7%
Mateusz Abramowicz5%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Mehdi Lehaire0%
Paweł Lenarcik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dimitar Velkovski21%
Jens Martin Gammelby17%
Olaf Kobacki17%
Maxime Dominguez14%
Hubert Matynia14%
Damian Tront10%
Carlos Julio Martínez8%
Szymon Matuszek7%
Jurich Carolina4%
Nemanja Mijušković4%
Ángelo Henríquez3%
Luciano Narsingh3%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi3%
Jerónimo Cacciabue0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Giannis Masouras0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Kamil Zapolnik0%
Kamil Drygas0%
Andrzej Niewulis0%
Mateusz Abramowicz0%
Levent Gülen0%
Mehdi Lehaire0%
Jon Aurtenetxe0%
Chuca0%
Paweł Lenarcik0%
Santiago Naveda0%
Michael Kostka0%
Dawid Drachal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ángelo Henríquez21%
Kamil Drygas18%
Olaf Kobacki8%
Giannis Masouras7%
Chuca7%
Levent Gülen4%
Michael Kostka4%
Nemanja Mijušković4%
Luciano Narsingh3%
Koldo Obieta Alberdi3%
Jerónimo Cacciabue0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Jens Martin Gammelby0%
Stefanos Kapino0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Maciej Śliwa0%
Szymon Matuszek0%
Kamil Zapolnik0%
Hubert Matynia0%
Andrzej Niewulis0%
Damian Tront0%
Mateusz Abramowicz0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Mehdi Lehaire0%
Jon Aurtenetxe0%
Carlos Julio Martínez0%
Paweł Lenarcik0%
Santiago Naveda0%
Dawid Drachal0%
Ruch Chorzów · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Szczepan26%
Soma Novothny23%
Michał Feliks22%
Tomasz Swędrowski21%
Bartlomiej Baranski14%
Tomás Podstawski10%
Robert Dadok10%
Adam Vlkanova8%
Mateusz Bartolewski7%
Tomasz Wójtowicz7%
Josema7%
Łukasz Moneta6%
Patryk Sikora5%
Kacper Michalski5%
Przemysław Szur5%
Juliusz Letniowski4%
Miłosz Kozak4%
Dante Stipica0%
Krzysztof Kamiński0%
Michał Buchalik0%
Maciej Sadlok0%
Wiktor Długosz0%
Patryk Stępiński0%
Filip Starzyński0%
Paweł Baranowski0%
Remigiusz Szywacz0%
Maciej Firlej0%
Tomasz Foszmańczyk0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Konrad Kasolik0%
Szymon Szymański0%
Filip Wilak0%
Kacper Skwierczyński0%
Jakub Bielecki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maciej Sadlok42%
Tomás Podstawski40%
Remigiusz Szywacz40%
Patryk Stępiński23%
Daniel Szczepan23%
Juliusz Letniowski22%
Michał Feliks22%
Przemysław Szur20%
Paweł Baranowski17%
Adam Vlkanova17%
Miłosz Kozak16%
Tomasz Swędrowski16%
Kacper Michalski15%
Mateusz Bartolewski15%
Dante Stipica14%
Bartlomiej Baranski14%
Tomasz Foszmańczyk13%
Robert Dadok10%
Szymon Szymański10%
Wiktor Długosz9%
Soma Novothny8%
Dominik Steczyk8%
Tomasz Wójtowicz7%
Josema7%
Łukasz Moneta6%
Patryk Sikora5%
Krzysztof Kamiński0%
Michał Buchalik0%
Filip Starzyński0%
Maciej Firlej0%
Konrad Kasolik0%
Filip Wilak0%
Kacper Skwierczyński0%
Jakub Bielecki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miłosz Kozak20%
Adam Vlkanova17%
Soma Novothny15%
Mateusz Bartolewski15%
Filip Wilak12%
Łukasz Moneta11%
Tomasz Wójtowicz7%
Tomasz Swędrowski5%
Michał Feliks4%
Filip Starzyński4%
Daniel Szczepan3%
Szymon Szymański3%
Dante Stipica0%
Krzysztof Kamiński0%
Michał Buchalik0%
Maciej Sadlok0%
Wiktor Długosz0%
Kacper Michalski0%
Patryk Stępiński0%
Juliusz Letniowski0%
Tomás Podstawski0%
Paweł Baranowski0%
Remigiusz Szywacz0%
Maciej Firlej0%
Josema0%
Tomasz Foszmańczyk0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Konrad Kasolik0%
Robert Dadok0%
Kacper Skwierczyński0%
Przemysław Szur0%
Jakub Bielecki0%
Patryk Sikora0%
Bartlomiej Baranski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Robert Dadok30%
Daniel Szczepan26%
Soma Novothny23%
Filip Wilak12%
Miłosz Kozak12%
Juliusz Letniowski9%
Adam Vlkanova8%
Filip Starzyński4%
Mateusz Bartolewski4%
Dante Stipica0%
Krzysztof Kamiński0%
Michał Buchalik0%
Maciej Sadlok0%
Wiktor Długosz0%
Kacper Michalski0%
Patryk Stępiński0%
Tomás Podstawski0%
Paweł Baranowski0%
Łukasz Moneta0%
Tomasz Swędrowski0%
Remigiusz Szywacz0%
Maciej Firlej0%
Josema0%
Tomasz Foszmańczyk0%
Dominik Steczyk0%
Konrad Kasolik0%
Michał Feliks0%
Szymon Szymański0%
Kacper Skwierczyński0%
Przemysław Szur0%
Jakub Bielecki0%
Patryk Sikora0%
Tomasz Wójtowicz0%
Bartlomiej Baranski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
Miedz Legnica and Ruch Chorzów have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
WP (0)
€0m
Miedz Legnica and Ruch Chorzów have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WP (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
Miedz Legnica and Ruch Chorzów have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
Miedz Legnica and Ruch Chorzów have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Poland: I Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →