Millwall’s recent form - two straight defeats followed by three wins - sets the stage for a confident home performance. The model rates a home win as the clear favourite, assigning 62% to Millwall, 24% to a draw and 15% to Bristol City. The 2.7 expected total goals and a 2-0 most likely scoreline (11.8% probability) underline the expectation that the home side will dominate the scoreboard. Millwall’s home form shows an average of 1.6 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded against similar opponents, while Bristol City’s away record is 1.5 scored and 1.67 conceded, indicating a defensive edge for the hosts. The model’s suggested picks include a 90.1% chance of under 5.5 cards, 88.3%under 25.5 fouls, 79.0%under 4.5 cards, 78.0%under 23.5 fouls, 70.9%under 3.5 and 70.3%over 8.5 corners, with an 76.6% chance of over 1.5 goals. The final score of 0-0 and a draw in reality confirm the model’s emphasis on a tightly contested match.
Results analysis
The 0-0 draw stunned fans, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 62% chance and the model’s pick was wrong. Millwall, after two straight defeats, had been looking to extend their run, while Bristol City, on a two-game winning streak, had been in good form away. The model’s predictions largely held: Under 5.5 cards hit at 90.1%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 88.3%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 79.0%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 78.0%, Under 3.5 hit at 70.9%, but Over 1.5 missed at 76.6% and Over 8.5 corners missed at 70.3%. The final score of 0-0 confirmed the unexpected stalemate.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Millwall win✗ Miss
61.6%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.75
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.7%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.67
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bristol City win✗ Miss
14.7%
Avg Implied 19.7% · @ 4.83
Edge
-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Millwall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.10
1.73
0.73
1.00
1.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.36
1.18
1.60
0.70
1.17
1.58
vs Weaker (7)
1.57
0.86
2.00
0.80
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bristol City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.30
1.31
1.00
1.50
1.64
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.23
1.29
0.86
1.50
1.67
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.2%
@ 2.10+5.9%
Under 2.5
48.8%
@ 1.74-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.1%
Under 3.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0 ✓
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.4%
Millwall goals ↓
Bristol City goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
4.4%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
4.2%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.8%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
7.5%
6.2%
2.5%
0.7%
0.1%
4
3.6%
2.9%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = Bristol City goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Millwall is 0.20 points better than Bristol City in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Millwall is 0.04 goals better than Bristol City in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Millwall is 0.13 goals better than Bristol City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Millwall is 4.3 percentage points worse than Bristol City in terms of average possession (45% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Millwall
For 5.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.3 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bristol City
For 4.6 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Millwall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.5
3.2
2.8
3.6
21.0
21.0
21.1
vs Stronger (1)
11.0
-
11.0
2.0
-
2.0
15.0
-
15.0
vs Similar (38)
9.7
9.8
9.5
3.3
3.1
3.5
20.9
20.5
21.2
vs Weaker (11)
9.8
10.3
9.2
3.0
2.0
4.2
22.1
22.3
21.8
% over line
46%
50%
42%
48%
33%
62%
44%
42%
46%
% under line
54%
50%
58%
52%
67%
38%
56%
58%
54%
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bristol City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.3
10.7
3.8
4.1
3.6
21.4
22.2
20.5
vs Stronger (4)
14.5
17.0
13.7
3.0
4.0
2.7
18.2
19.0
18.0
vs Similar (42)
9.7
9.7
9.7
3.9
4.1
3.6
21.6
22.0
21.0
vs Weaker (4)
14.2
13.0
15.5
4.2
3.5
5.0
22.5
26.0
19.0
% over line
54%
50%
58%
56%
54%
58%
44%
50%
38%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
44%
46%
42%
56%
50%
62%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Burnley
11.0
Norwich
10.9
Watford
10.7
Rotherham
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Bristol City
10.5
Stoke
10.5
Coventry
10.4
Luton
10.3
Sunderland
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.2
Birmingham
10.0
Swansea
10.0
QPR
10.0
Hull
9.9
Huddersfield
9.8
Blackpool
9.7
Millwall
9.7
West Brom
9.7
Cardiff
9.7
Blackburn
9.6
Preston
9.4
Reading
9.4
Wigan
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.6
Blackburn
4.5
Middlesbrough
4.5
Cardiff
4.3
Swansea
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Preston
3.9
Coventry
3.9
Wigan
3.9
Bristol City
3.8
Luton
3.8
QPR
3.8
Stoke
3.8
Blackpool
3.7
Rotherham
3.7
Reading
3.7
Huddersfield
3.6
Watford
3.5
Birmingham
3.4
Hull
3.4
Norwich
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Burnley
3.3
Millwall
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wigan
23.2
Sunderland
22.8
Middlesbrough
22.4
Luton
21.9
Blackburn
21.8
Birmingham
21.7
Rotherham
21.6
Reading
21.6
QPR
21.5
Stoke
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Blackpool
21.4
Preston
21.1
Millwall
21.0
Watford
21.0
Swansea
20.7
Sheffield United
20.7
Norwich
20.6
Hull
20.4
Coventry
20.1
Cardiff
20.0
West Brom
19.9
Burnley
19.8
Huddersfield
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.5%
Under 3.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
36.6%
Under 21.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Millwall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.67
0.40
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.45
0.70
0.30
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.71
0.60
0.60
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bristol City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
0.69
0.38
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.50
0.64
0.36
0.92
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Millwall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
1.07
0.33
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.73
0.90
0.40
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.14
1.40
0.20
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bristol City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.62
0.62
0.57
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.73
0.64
0.50
0.58
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zian Flemming28%
Tom Bradshaw24%
Charlie Cresswell14%
Duncan Watmore12%
Oliver Burke12%
Benik Afobe11%
Andreas Voglsammer7%
Jake Cooper7%
George Saville5%
Callum Styles5%
Tyler Burey4%
George Honeyman3%
Jamie Shackleton0%
Scott Malone0%
George Evans0%
Mason Bennett0%
George Long0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Romain Esse0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jake Cooper28%
George Saville26%
Danny McNamara21%
Tyler Burey17%
Murray Wallace16%
Charlie Cresswell14%
Callum Styles14%
Tom Bradshaw12%
Billy Mitchell11%
Shaun Hutchinson11%
George Honeyman11%
Mason Bennett10%
George Long8%
Oliver Burke6%
Ryan Leonard6%
Benik Afobe5%
Andreas Voglsammer5%
Zian Flemming5%
Scott Malone3%
Jamie Shackleton3%
George Evans0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Romain Esse0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Malone12%
Oliver Burke12%
Tom Bradshaw10%
Andreas Voglsammer10%
George Honeyman8%
Zian Flemming7%
Jake Cooper7%
Duncan Watmore6%
Ryan Leonard6%
Benik Afobe5%
Mason Bennett5%
Callum Styles5%
Tyler Burey4%
Charlie Cresswell3%
Billy Mitchell3%
Danny McNamara2%
Jamie Shackleton0%
George Evans0%
George Saville0%
George Long0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Romain Esse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming42%
Tom Bradshaw24%
Oliver Burke12%
Andreas Voglsammer7%
Charlie Cresswell7%
Jake Cooper7%
Murray Wallace5%
Benik Afobe5%
Mason Bennett5%
Callum Styles5%
Scott Malone3%
Billy Mitchell3%
Jamie Shackleton0%
George Evans0%
George Saville0%
George Long0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Tyler Burey0%
Romain Esse0%
Bristol City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tommy Conway26%
Antoine Semenyo26%
Nahki Wells22%
Andreas Weimann14%
Sam Bell12%
Robert Atkinson12%
Mark Sykes11%
Anis Mehmeti7%
Joe Williams6%
Chris Martin6%
Harry Cornick6%
Cameron Pring3%
Alex Scott2%
Zak Vyner2%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Timm Klose0%
Kane Wilson0%
Matty James0%
Andy King0%
Max O'Leary0%
Jay Dasilva0%
Tomáš Kalas0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Kal Naismith0%
George Tanner0%
Omar Taylor-Clarke0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Williams27%
Cameron Pring25%
Alex Scott24%
Antoine Semenyo22%
Han-Noah Massengo20%
Timm Klose20%
Zak Vyner20%
Matty James18%
Omar Taylor-Clarke17%
Andreas Weimann16%
Mark Sykes14%
Anis Mehmeti13%
Harry Cornick12%
Robert Atkinson12%
Nahki Wells9%
Andy King8%
George Tanner8%
Chris Martin6%
Jay Dasilva3%
Tommy Conway3%
Kane Wilson0%
Max O'Leary0%
Tomáš Kalas0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Kal Naismith0%
Sam Bell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cameron Pring16%
Nahki Wells13%
Antoine Semenyo13%
Alex Scott10%
Andreas Weimann9%
Tommy Conway9%
Kal Naismith8%
Zak Vyner7%
Anis Mehmeti7%
Joe Williams6%
Harry Cornick6%
Sam Bell4%
Robert Atkinson4%
Andy King4%
Jay Dasilva3%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Timm Klose0%
Kane Wilson0%
Matty James0%
Max O'Leary0%
Tomáš Kalas0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Chris Martin0%
Mark Sykes0%
George Tanner0%
Omar Taylor-Clarke0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antoine Semenyo22%
Anis Mehmeti13%
Nahki Wells11%
Chris Martin6%
Tommy Conway6%
Sam Bell4%
Kal Naismith4%
Robert Atkinson4%
Mark Sykes3%
Andreas Weimann2%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Timm Klose0%
Kane Wilson0%
Cameron Pring0%
Matty James0%
Andy King0%
Max O'Leary0%
Jay Dasilva0%
Tomáš Kalas0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Zak Vyner0%
Joe Williams0%
Harry Cornick0%
George Tanner0%
Alex Scott0%
Omar Taylor-Clarke0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Millwall's squad is €19m more valuable than Bristol City's (€85m vs €66m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Millwall's attack is €1m more valuable than Bristol City's (€30m vs €29m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Millwall's midfield is €10m more valuable than Bristol City's (€29m vs €19m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Millwall's defence is €7m more valuable than Bristol City's (€25m vs €18m).
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →