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Millwall vs Middlesbrough Result & Analysis

Date: 13/01/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-3
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
38%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Referee: A Davies
Match preview & prediction

Millwall and Middlesbrough face a finely balanced clash, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total goals hover at 2.6, suggesting a modestly high-scoring encounter, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 26% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.7% probability, reflecting the evenly matched offensive output: Millwall average 0.85 goals scored and 1.62 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Middlesbrough average 2.1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded on the road.

The probabilities for the match outcome are 38% for a Millwall win, 29% for a draw, and 34% for a Middlesbrough win. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 93.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 85.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 79.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 74.6%, Under 21.5 fouls at 73.6%, Over 8.5 corners at 73.2%, and Under 3.5 goals at 72.9%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Middlesbrough snatched a 1-3 win, extending their two-game winning run after a 3-1 triumph over West Brom. The pre-match favourite, Millwall, had a 38% chance of victory, yet the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selection of a home win was missed. All of the other suggested picks were settled: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 93.1%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 85.6%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 79.6%, Over 1.5 hit at 75.1%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 74.6%, Under 21.5 fouls hit at 73.6%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 73.2%, while Under 3.5 missed at 72.9%. The final score of 1-3 confirms the away win, contradicting the model’s home-win prediction.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✗ Miss
37.8%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 3.09
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.38
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough win✓ Hit
33.6%
Avg Implied 40.9% · @ 2.33
Edge
-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L13L11D01L23L11D00D20W10W10WH·COV25/11A·IPS29/11H·SUN02/12A·CAR09/12A·LEI13/12H·HUD16/12A·STO23/12H·QPR26/12H·NOR29/12A·BRI01/01
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.331.001.471.331.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.041.350.851.621.231.08
vs Weaker (4)2.001.252.000.502.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L40W23L02L12L21W10W01L21W13LA·BRI25/11H·PRE28/11A·LEE02/12H·IPS09/12H·HUL13/12A·SWA16/12H·WES23/12A·ROT26/12A·HUD29/12H·COV01/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.471.201.071.671.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.641.591.251.082.102.20
vs Weaker (8)0.881.121.001.000.801.20
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.0%
@ 1.99+1.0%
Under 2.5
51.0%
@ 1.83-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
Millwall goals ↓
Middlesbrough goals →
01234
08.4%7.9%5.8%2.5%0.8%
18.5%14%7.9%3.3%1.1%
26.7%8.5%5.4%2.3%0.7%
33.0%3.8%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.3%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = Middlesbrough goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Millwall is 0.22 points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Millwall is 0.57 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals scored per game (0.98 vs 1.54).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Millwall is 0.15 goals better than Middlesbrough in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Millwall is 10.9 percentage points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average possession (42% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 3.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

12056534617639244424431181086126867A·BRIH·NORH·QPRA·STOH·HUDA·LEIA·CARH·SUNA·IPSH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

100215533312422153322131064263853A·BRIH·NORH·QPRA·STOH·HUDA·LEIA·CARH·SUNA·IPSH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 9.5 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

27010511121212161116816514111412139121015232427242125262222A·BRIH·NORH·QPRA·STOH·HUDA·LEIA·CARH·SUNA·IPSH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 6.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

21012927112104464533673832191112810891011H·COVA·HUDA·ROTH·WESA·SWAH·HULH·IPSA·LEEH·PREA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

802221232113622224203514824H·COVA·HUDA·ROTH·WESA·SWAH·HULH·IPSA·LEEH·PREA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

29010111111812131114149515141512151412821222024281429272920H·COVA·HUDA·ROTH·WESA·SWAH·HULH·IPSA·LEEH·PREA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.59.73.83.74.021.621.122.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (43)9.99.710.04.03.94.021.220.721.7
vs Weaker (7)7.98.27.33.02.83.324.023.225.0
% over line40%36%44%52%48%56%50%52%48%
% under line60%64%56%48%52%44%50%48%52%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.311.810.83.63.63.621.822.720.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (35)10.910.910.93.83.83.822.123.320.8
vs Weaker (15)12.213.910.83.03.03.021.121.121.0
% over line70%72%68%48%48%48%44%52%36%
% under line30%28%32%52%52%52%56%48%64%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.9
Blackburn
11.3
Middlesbrough
11.3
Coventry
11.3
West Brom
11.1
Norwich
10.8
QPR
10.6
Stoke
10.5
Southampton
10.5
Hull
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Bristol City
10.3
Leeds
10.2
Rotherham
10.2
Ipswich
10.1
Watford
10.1
Sunderland
10.0
Birmingham
10.0
Cardiff
9.8
Preston
9.8
Leicester
9.7
Millwall
9.6
Sheffield Weds
9.3
Swansea
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.7
Sunderland
4.6
Southampton
4.5
Blackburn
4.4
Swansea
4.3
QPR
4.3
Stoke
4.3
Leeds
4.2
Coventry
4.2
Norwich
4.2
Preston
4.1
Ipswich
4.0
Leicester
3.9
Millwall
3.8
Plymouth
3.8
Hull
3.8
Cardiff
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.7
West Brom
3.7
Birmingham
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Rotherham
3.4
Huddersfield
3.4
Bristol City
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Watford
24.0
Sunderland
23.4
Swansea
23.4
Stoke
23.2
QPR
22.9
Birmingham
22.7
Southampton
22.4
Preston
22.4
Leeds
22.3
Coventry
22.1
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.8
Hull
21.7
Millwall
21.6
Norwich
21.6
Ipswich
21.5
Leicester
21.1
Plymouth
20.9
Huddersfield
20.7
Rotherham
20.4
Cardiff
20.2
Bristol City
19.8
West Brom
19.7
Blackburn
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.7%
Under 9.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.3%
Under 3.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
26.4%
Under 21.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L10W00D10W00D00D10W10W00DH·COV25/11A·IPS29/11H·SUN02/12A·CAR09/12A·LEI13/12H·HUD16/12A·STO23/12H·QPR26/12H·NOR29/12A·BRI01/01
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.670.530.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.580.540.690.620.460.46
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W23L01L10W10W10W00D00D11DA·BRI25/11H·PRE28/11A·LEE02/12H·IPS09/12H·HUL13/12A·SWA16/12H·WES23/12A·ROT26/12A·HUD29/12H·COV01/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.530.530.530.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.730.820.670.580.801.10
vs Weaker (8)0.000.380.000.330.000.40
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W01L01L13L11D00D10W00D10WH·COV25/11A·IPS29/11H·SUN02/12A·CAR09/12A·LEI13/12H·HUD16/12A·STO23/12H·QPR26/12H·NOR29/12A·BRI01/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.330.930.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.460.810.151.000.770.62
vs Weaker (4)1.250.751.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W00D01L02L11D00D01L21W02LA·BRI25/11H·PRE28/11A·LEE02/12H·IPS09/12H·HUL13/12A·SWA16/12H·WES23/12A·ROT26/12A·HUD29/12H·COV01/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.770.670.531.131.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.910.770.580.501.301.10
vs Weaker (8)0.880.751.000.670.800.80
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls93.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls85.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls73.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet19%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Wes Harding12%
Tom Bradshaw12%
Duncan Watmore12%
Japhet Tanganga11%
Joe Bryan9%
Ryan Longman9%
Romain Esse8%
Shaun Hutchinson7%
Murray Wallace7%
George Saville5%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy5%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Jake Cooper5%
Casper De Norre3%
Matija Šarkić0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Adam Mayor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
George Honeyman29%
George Saville28%
Ryan Leonard26%
Jake Cooper23%
Joe Bryan22%
Danny McNamara21%
Murray Wallace20%
Wes Harding17%
Japhet Tanganga17%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Shaun Hutchinson14%
Ryan Longman14%
Billy Mitchell12%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Casper De Norre9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Allan Campbell8%
Bartosz Białkowski7%
Matija Šarkić6%
Romain Esse4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
Tom Bradshaw3%
Adam Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Allan Campbell17%
Zian Flemming11%
George Saville10%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Ryan Longman9%
George Honeyman6%
Billy Mitchell6%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Murray Wallace3%
Casper De Norre3%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Michael Obafemi0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Wes Harding0%
Jake Cooper0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Danny McNamara0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming13%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Ryan Longman9%
Michael Obafemi7%
Jake Cooper7%
Wes Harding4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
George Saville2%
Casper De Norre0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Latte Lath43%
Marcus Forss33%
Isaiah Jones20%
Finn Azaz20%
Josh Coburn19%
Alex Bangura14%
Riley McGree14%
Sam Greenwood14%
Darragh Lenihan12%
Matt Crooks12%
Samuel Silvera11%
Alexander Gilbert8%
Morgan Rogers8%
Lukas Engel6%
Jonathan Howson5%
Hayden Hackney5%
Matthew Clarke4%
Rav van den Berg3%
Tommy Smith0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Paddy McNair0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Luke Thomas0%
Law McCabe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Ayling37%
Tommy Smith33%
Hayden Hackney29%
Jonathan Howson24%
Matt Crooks20%
Emmanuel Latte Lath20%
Isaiah Jones20%
Morgan Rogers19%
Sam Greenwood19%
Darragh Lenihan12%
Lukas Engel11%
Finn Azaz10%
Paddy McNair10%
Marcus Forss10%
Josh Coburn10%
Riley McGree9%
Matthew Clarke8%
Tom Glover8%
Alex Bangura7%
Daniel Barlaser6%
Rav van den Berg6%
Seny Dieng6%
Anfernee Dijksteel5%
Lewis O'Brien4%
Dael Fry4%
Samuel Silvera0%
Luke Thomas0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Law McCabe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luke Ayling37%
Alexander Gilbert25%
Morgan Rogers23%
Matt Crooks20%
Finn Azaz20%
Matthew Clarke12%
Lukas Engel11%
Isaiah Jones11%
Marcus Forss10%
Sam Greenwood8%
Alex Bangura7%
Daniel Barlaser6%
Samuel Silvera5%
Jonathan Howson5%
Josh Coburn5%
Riley McGree5%
Lewis O'Brien4%
Dael Fry4%
Emmanuel Latte Lath3%
Tommy Smith0%
Paddy McNair0%
Darragh Lenihan0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Luke Thomas0%
Hayden Hackney0%
Rav van den Berg0%
Law McCabe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emmanuel Latte Lath33%
Riley McGree18%
Matt Crooks16%
Josh Coburn14%
Sam Greenwood14%
Marcus Forss10%
Isaiah Jones6%
Samuel Silvera5%
Finn Azaz5%
Lewis O'Brien4%
Matthew Clarke4%
Morgan Rogers4%
Lukas Engel3%
Tommy Smith0%
Luke Ayling0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Paddy McNair0%
Darragh Lenihan0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Alex Bangura0%
Seny Dieng0%
Tom Glover0%
Luke Thomas0%
Hayden Hackney0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Rav van den Berg0%
Law McCabe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Millwall's squad is €58m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€85m vs €142m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Millwall's attack is €44m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€30m vs €74m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Millwall's midfield is €2m more valuable than Middlesbrough's (€29m vs €27m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Millwall's defence is €16m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€25m vs €41m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
MIL wins
2
Draws
2
MID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Millwall vs Middlesbrough · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/23AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL0-1
14/01/23AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL1-0
08/10/22HMIL Vs Middlesbrough2-0
12/03/22HMIL Vs Middlesbrough0-0
20/11/21AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL1-1
20/03/21HMIL Vs Middlesbrough1-0
12/12/20AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL3-0

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/24ABristol City Vs MIL0-1
29/12/23HMIL Vs Norwich1-0
26/12/23HMIL Vs QPR2-0
23/12/23AStoke Vs MIL0-0
16/12/23HMIL Vs Huddersfield1-1
13/12/23ALeicester Vs MIL3-2
09/12/23ACardiff Vs MIL1-0
02/12/23HMIL Vs Sunderland1-1
29/11/23AIpswich Vs MIL3-1
25/11/23HMIL Vs Coventry0-3

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/24HMID Vs Coventry1-3
29/12/23AHuddersfield Vs MID1-2
26/12/23ARotherham Vs MID1-0
23/12/23HMID Vs West Brom1-0
16/12/23ASwansea Vs MID1-2
13/12/23HMID Vs Hull1-2
09/12/23HMID Vs Ipswich0-2
02/12/23ALeeds Vs MID3-2
28/11/23HMID Vs Preston4-0
25/11/23ABristol City Vs MID3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.36
HomeLDDWW1.24
AwayLLLDW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%32%40%
AVG goals2.262.402.12
Over 1.5 %60%68%52%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %22%16%28%
Scored1.161.161.16
Conceded1.101.240.96
BTTS40%40%40%
Clean Sheet38%32%44%
Corners9.609.489.72
Cards3.843.723.96
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.62
HomeWLLWL1.92
AwayLLWLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals3.182.763.60
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %64%48%80%
Over 3.5 %42%32%52%
Scored1.821.881.76
Conceded1.360.881.84
BTTS60%44%76%
Clean Sheet22%40%4%
Corners11.3011.7610.84
Cards3.563.563.56

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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