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Millwall vs QPR Result & Analysis

Date: 26/12/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
44%
31%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
QPR
QPR
England: Championship
Referee: T Bramall
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity is the story for this match, with Millwall’s home form showing a 1.62 average conceded and QPR’s away form a 1.42 average conceded. The model favours a home win, with a 44% chance, followed by a 31% draw and a 24% away win. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a tight, low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.3% probability. Millwall’s home scoring rate of 0.77 goals per game and QPR’s away scoring of 1.0 goals per game against similar opposition set the stage for a cautious contest. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 88.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 88.5%, Under 3.5 goals at 83.0%, Over 21.5 fouls at 78.3%, Over 8.5 corners at 78.2%, and Over 3.5 cards at 75.1%. The match is expected to be a defensive battle, with the home side holding the edge.

Results analysis

The match saw Millwall’s form surge, with a win extending their recent run after a defeat to Southampton, while QPR entered from a victory over Blackburn. The final score was 2-0, confirming a home win, which matched the model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 44% probability - the model’s pick was correct. The model’s suggested selections all hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 88.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 88.5%, Under 3.5 cards at 83.0%, Over 21.5 fouls at 78.3%, Over 8.5 corners at 78.2%, and Over 3.5 cards at 75.1%. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 proved inaccurate, as Millwall secured a clean-sheet victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✓ Hit
44.5%
Avg Implied 43.3% · @ 2.20
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.19
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
QPR win✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.55
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D01L40W03L13L11D01L23L11D00DA·WAT28/10H·SOU04/11A·SHE11/11H·COV25/11A·IPS29/11H·SUN02/12A·CAR09/12A·LEI13/12H·HUD16/12A·STO23/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.370.931.471.271.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.961.380.771.621.151.15
vs Weaker (4)2.001.252.000.502.002.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D00D01L42W20W20W00D12L01LH·LEI28/10A·ROT04/11H·BRI11/11A·NOR25/11H·STO28/11A·PRE01/12H·HUL09/12H·PLY13/12A·SHE16/12H·SOU23/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.470.731.671.001.27
vs Stronger (6)0.671.830.502.501.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.911.390.821.361.001.42
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.5%
Under 1.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.3%
@ 2.39-3.4%
Under 2.5
63.7%
@ 1.57+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.0%
Under 3.5
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.2%
No
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.6%
0-0
13.0%
2-0 ✓
9.5%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.4%
Millwall goals ↓
QPR goals →
01234
013%8.9%4.4%1.3%0.3%
114%14%5.7%1.6%0.4%
29.5%8.3%3.6%1.0%0.2%
34.0%3.5%1.5%0.4%0.1%
41.3%1.1%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = QPR goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Millwall is 0.07 points better than QPR in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Millwall is 0.04 goals worse than QPR in terms of goals scored per game (0.98 vs 1.02).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Millwall is 0.07 goals better than QPR in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Millwall is 4.2 percentage points worse than QPR in terms of average possession (42% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 2.7 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

170176392444244348512278612686712179A·STOH·HUDA·LEIA·CARH·SUNA·IPSH·COVA·SHEH·SOUA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

8031242215332212222334263853446A·STOH·HUDA·LEIA·CARH·SUNA·IPSH·COVA·SHEH·SOUA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.2 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

27016111681651411141213912108131010131327242125262222212026A·STOH·HUDA·LEIA·CARH·SUNA·IPSH·COVA·SHEH·SOUA·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QPRQPR

For 5.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

2007538614446137745266181211781020117129H·SOUA·SHEH·PLYH·HULA·PREH·STOA·NORH·BRIA·ROTH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

90144524131126442212225964288434H·SOUA·SHEH·PLYH·HULA·PREH·STOA·NORH·BRIA·ROTH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

30081213121481071111131112181216141013720252217222430282420H·SOUA·SHEH·PLYH·HULA·PREH·STOA·NORH·BRIA·ROTH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.49.43.73.34.021.821.222.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (42)9.79.89.73.83.54.121.320.422.0
vs Weaker (8)7.88.07.33.02.83.324.824.625.0
% over line36%33%38%52%42%62%50%50%50%
% under line64%67%62%48%58%38%50%50%50%
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.410.84.24.34.122.823.322.2
vs Stronger (9)9.27.411.54.15.22.821.022.619.0
vs Similar (39)10.811.210.44.24.04.423.223.522.9
vs Weaker (2)13.5-13.54.0-4.022.0-22.0
% over line52%44%60%72%72%72%54%60%48%
% under line48%56%40%28%28%28%46%40%52%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.7
Blackburn
11.2
Middlesbrough
10.9
West Brom
10.9
Stoke
10.8
Coventry
10.8
Huddersfield
10.7
Southampton
10.6
QPR
10.6
Norwich
10.6
Rotherham
10.4
Leeds
10.3
Bristol City
10.3
Hull
10.3
Birmingham
10.1
Sunderland
10.1
Watford
10.0
Leicester
9.9
Cardiff
9.8
Ipswich
9.8
Preston
9.7
Millwall
9.4
Swansea
9.3
Sheffield Weds
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.8
Watford
4.7
Swansea
4.4
Southampton
4.4
Blackburn
4.3
Stoke
4.2
QPR
4.2
Norwich
4.1
Leeds
4.1
Coventry
4.1
Preston
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Leicester
3.8
West Brom
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
Plymouth
3.8
Rotherham
3.7
Millwall
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.6
Hull
3.5
Huddersfield
3.5
Bristol City
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Watford
24.5
Sunderland
23.7
Swansea
23.3
Stoke
23.1
Birmingham
22.8
QPR
22.8
Southampton
22.5
Coventry
22.1
Middlesbrough
22.0
Preston
21.9
Norwich
21.9
Leeds
21.9
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Millwall
21.8
Ipswich
21.6
Hull
21.2
Leicester
21.2
Plymouth
21.1
Huddersfield
20.8
Rotherham
20.5
Bristol City
20.3
Cardiff
19.9
West Brom
19.8
Blackburn
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.7%
Under 9.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.1%
Under 3.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.3%
Under 21.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D20W01L03L10W00D10W00D00DA·WAT28/10H·SOU04/11A·SHE11/11H·COV25/11A·IPS29/11H·SUN02/12A·CAR09/12A·LEI13/12H·HUD16/12A·STO23/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.600.530.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.540.540.620.620.460.46
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D00D01L11D00D10W00D10W01LH·LEI28/10A·ROT04/11H·BRI11/11A·NOR25/11H·STO28/11A·PRE01/12H·HUL09/12H·PLY13/12A·SHE16/12H·SOU23/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.330.600.400.73
vs Stronger (6)0.330.500.250.500.500.50
vs Similar (23)0.390.740.360.640.420.83
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L20W02L10W01L01L13L11D00DA·WAT28/10H·SOU04/11A·SHE11/11H·COV25/11A·IPS29/11H·SUN02/12A·CAR09/12A·LEI13/12H·HUD16/12A·STO23/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.330.930.730.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.420.850.151.000.690.69
vs Weaker (4)1.250.751.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QPRQPR

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D00D31W20W10W00D02L00DH·LEI28/10A·ROT04/11H·BRI11/11A·NOR25/11H·STO28/11A·PRE01/12H·HUL09/12H·PLY13/12A·SHE16/12H·SOU23/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.401.070.600.53
vs Stronger (6)0.331.330.252.000.500.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.650.450.730.580.58
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls88.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.583.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls78.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards75.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet19%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Wes Harding12%
Tom Bradshaw12%
Duncan Watmore12%
Japhet Tanganga11%
Joe Bryan9%
Ryan Longman9%
Romain Esse8%
Shaun Hutchinson7%
Murray Wallace7%
George Saville5%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy5%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Jake Cooper5%
Casper De Norre3%
Matija Šarkić0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Adam Mayor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
George Honeyman29%
George Saville28%
Ryan Leonard26%
Jake Cooper23%
Joe Bryan22%
Danny McNamara21%
Murray Wallace20%
Wes Harding17%
Japhet Tanganga17%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Shaun Hutchinson14%
Ryan Longman14%
Billy Mitchell12%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Casper De Norre9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Allan Campbell8%
Bartosz Białkowski7%
Matija Šarkić6%
Romain Esse4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
Tom Bradshaw3%
Adam Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Allan Campbell17%
Zian Flemming11%
George Saville10%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Ryan Longman9%
George Honeyman6%
Billy Mitchell6%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Murray Wallace3%
Casper De Norre3%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Michael Obafemi0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Wes Harding0%
Jake Cooper0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Danny McNamara0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming13%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Ryan Longman9%
Michael Obafemi7%
Jake Cooper7%
Wes Harding4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
George Saville2%
Casper De Norre0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
QPR
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilias Chair16%
Joe Hodge12%
Lyndon Dykes12%
Michael Frey11%
Jack Colback10%
Chris Willock10%
Kenneth Paal9%
Andre Dozzell8%
Sinclair Armstrong8%
Samuel Field7%
Paul Smyth7%
Lucas Andersen6%
Steve Cook6%
Morgan Fox5%
Jimmy Dunne3%
Jake Clarke-Salter3%
Taylor Richards0%
Asmir Begović0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Albert Adomah0%
Osman Kakay0%
Charlie Kelman0%
Reggie Cannon0%
Elijah Dixon-Bonner0%
Stephen Duke-McKenna0%
Ziyad Larkeche0%
Rayan Kolli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jack Colback45%
Isaac Hayden35%
Samuel Field23%
Stephen Duke-McKenna20%
Lyndon Dykes20%
Paul Smyth18%
Andre Dozzell16%
Ilias Chair16%
Jimmy Dunne14%
Sinclair Armstrong13%
Lucas Andersen12%
Albert Adomah12%
Joe Hodge12%
Jake Clarke-Salter12%
Asmir Begović9%
Osman Kakay9%
Steve Cook8%
Elijah Dixon-Bonner8%
Chris Willock8%
Kenneth Paal7%
Morgan Fox5%
Ziyad Larkeche5%
Reggie Cannon5%
Taylor Richards0%
Michael Frey0%
Charlie Kelman0%
Rayan Kolli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lucas Andersen25%
Ilias Chair14%
Chris Willock10%
Rayan Kolli10%
Sinclair Armstrong8%
Samuel Field5%
Elijah Dixon-Bonner4%
Andre Dozzell4%
Jack Colback3%
Jimmy Dunne3%
Jake Clarke-Salter3%
Lyndon Dykes2%
Paul Smyth2%
Kenneth Paal2%
Taylor Richards0%
Michael Frey0%
Asmir Begović0%
Steve Cook0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Albert Adomah0%
Morgan Fox0%
Osman Kakay0%
Charlie Kelman0%
Reggie Cannon0%
Stephen Duke-McKenna0%
Ziyad Larkeche0%
Joe Hodge0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ilias Chair20%
Lyndon Dykes17%
Sinclair Armstrong10%
Lucas Andersen6%
Chris Willock5%
Andre Dozzell4%
Jimmy Dunne3%
Jake Clarke-Salter3%
Samuel Field2%
Paul Smyth2%
Taylor Richards0%
Michael Frey0%
Asmir Begović0%
Steve Cook0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Albert Adomah0%
Jack Colback0%
Morgan Fox0%
Osman Kakay0%
Charlie Kelman0%
Kenneth Paal0%
Reggie Cannon0%
Elijah Dixon-Bonner0%
Stephen Duke-McKenna0%
Ziyad Larkeche0%
Joe Hodge0%
Rayan Kolli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Millwall's squad is €14m more valuable than QPR's (€85m vs €71m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Millwall's attack is €1m more valuable than QPR's (€30m vs €29m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Millwall's midfield is €14m more valuable than QPR's (€29m vs €15m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Millwall's defence is €2m less valuable than QPR's (€25m vs €27m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
MIL wins
2
Draws
2
QPR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Millwall vs QPR · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/23AQPR Vs MIL1-2
14/09/22HMIL Vs QPR0-2
15/02/22HMIL Vs QPR2-0
07/08/21AQPR Vs MIL1-1
17/03/21AQPR Vs MIL3-2
08/12/20HMIL Vs QPR1-1

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/23AStoke Vs MIL0-0
16/12/23HMIL Vs Huddersfield1-1
13/12/23ALeicester Vs MIL3-2
09/12/23ACardiff Vs MIL1-0
02/12/23HMIL Vs Sunderland1-1
29/11/23AIpswich Vs MIL3-1
25/11/23HMIL Vs Coventry0-3
11/11/23ASheffield Weds Vs MIL0-4
04/11/23HMIL Vs Southampton0-1
28/10/23AWatford Vs MIL2-2

QPRQPR

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/23HQPR Vs Southampton0-1
16/12/23ASheffield Weds Vs QPR2-1
13/12/23HQPR Vs Plymouth0-0
09/12/23HQPR Vs Hull2-0
01/12/23APreston Vs QPR0-2
28/11/23HQPR Vs Stoke4-2
25/11/23ANorwich Vs QPR1-0
11/11/23HQPR Vs Bristol City0-0
04/11/23ARotherham Vs QPR1-1
28/10/23HQPR Vs Leicester1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.26
HomeLLLDD1.08
AwayWLLLD1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%25%38%
AVG goals2.402.462.35
Over 1.5 %64%71%58%
Over 2.5 %44%46%42%
Over 3.5 %24%17%31%
Scored1.181.121.23
Conceded1.221.331.12
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet32%25%38%
Corners9.429.429.42
Cards3.683.334.00
QPR
QPR
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL0.78
HomeDWWDL0.60
AwayLDLWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%12%24%
AVG goals2.462.442.48
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored0.780.680.88
Conceded1.681.761.60
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners10.6210.4410.80
Cards4.204.284.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches