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Millwall vs Southampton Result & Analysis

Date: 04/11/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
43%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Referee: J Linington

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✗ Miss
42.9%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.52
Edge
+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.53
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Southampton win✓ Hit
31.6%
Avg Implied 46.0% · @ 2.07
Edge
-14.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L30W00D03L20W22D11D12L22DA·BIR02/09H·LEE17/09H·ROT20/09A·WES23/09H·SWA30/09A·PLY03/10H·HUL07/10A·PRE21/10H·BLA24/10A·WAT28/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.271.251.501.141.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.121.321.211.641.000.91
vs Weaker (5)1.601.001.500.501.671.33
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L14L01L12L31W10W11D21W22D31WA·SUN02/09H·LEI15/09H·IPS19/09A·MID23/09H·LEE30/09A·STO03/10H·ROT07/10A·HUL21/10A·PRE25/10H·BIR28/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.931.532.071.271.80
vs Stronger (7)1.862.432.673.671.251.50
vs Similar (21)1.241.861.271.731.202.00
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.2%
Under 1.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.94+11.7%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 1.87-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.5%
Under 3.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.5%
No
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.4%
0-1 ✓
5.2%
Millwall goals ↓
Southampton goals →
01234
05.4%5.2%4.5%2.1%0.8%
16.3%12%7.6%3.7%1.3%
26.3%9.0%6.5%3.1%1.1%
33.6%5.1%3.7%1.8%0.6%
41.5%2.2%1.6%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = Southampton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Millwall is 0.61 points worse than Southampton in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Millwall is 0.91 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals scored per game (0.98 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Millwall is 0.17 goals better than Southampton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Millwall is 24.1 percentage points worse than Southampton in terms of average possession (42% vs 66%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 5.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

170271132551186866189319147696147174A·WATH·BLAA·PREH·HULA·PLYH·SWAA·WESH·ROTH·LEEA·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

8033114426222211216156842203A·WATH·BLAA·PREH·HULA·PLYH·SWAA·WESH·ROTH·LEEA·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 9.6 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

28013136615131871451810128121613918926122825192820282227A·WATH·BLAA·PREH·HULA·PLYH·SWAA·WESH·ROTH·LEEA·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SouthamptonSouthampton

For 7.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 12.3

🚩 Corners

160442797124685675939385891616141112121213H·BIRA·PREA·HULH·ROTA·STOH·LEEA·MIDH·IPSH·LEIA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

804233426144132234224578553474H·BIRA·PREA·HULH·ROTA·STOH·LEEA·MIDH·IPSH·LEIA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 14.5 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

3008121316141381321714137169131112102020292721192723222330H·BIRA·PREA·HULH·ROTA·STOH·LEEA·MIDH·IPSH·LEIA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.29.33.53.23.821.421.221.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)9.49.39.53.53.23.820.920.421.3
vs Weaker (9)8.38.58.23.43.03.823.624.822.6
% over line34%33%35%50%42%58%44%50%38%
% under line66%67%65%50%58%42%56%50%62%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.110.64.24.04.422.521.623.4
vs Stronger (15)9.99.610.33.22.44.120.919.822.3
vs Similar (33)10.49.910.84.54.64.423.322.624.0
vs Weaker (2)12.516.09.08.08.08.021.521.022.0
% over line56%52%60%56%48%64%54%48%60%
% under line44%48%40%44%52%36%46%52%40%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.5
West Brom
11.1
Coventry
10.9
QPR
10.8
Middlesbrough
10.7
Blackburn
10.7
Norwich
10.7
Stoke
10.6
Hull
10.6
Huddersfield
10.5
Southampton
10.3
Leeds
10.3
Bristol City
10.3
Rotherham
10.3
Watford
10.2
Ipswich
10.2
Cardiff
10.0
Leicester
10.0
Birmingham
9.9
Sunderland
9.6
Swansea
9.4
Millwall
9.2
Preston
9.2
Sheffield Weds
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.7
Sunderland
4.7
Swansea
4.5
Norwich
4.3
Preston
4.3
Stoke
4.2
Coventry
4.2
Blackburn
4.2
Southampton
4.2
Leeds
4.1
QPR
4.0
Cardiff
4.0
Birmingham
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
West Brom
3.8
Rotherham
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Huddersfield
3.8
Hull
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Millwall
3.5
Plymouth
3.5
Sheffield Weds
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
24.0
Watford
24.0
Stoke
22.9
Swansea
22.8
Birmingham
22.6
Southampton
22.5
QPR
22.4
Leeds
22.4
Norwich
22.2
Sheffield Weds
22.0
Preston
21.7
Hull
21.6
Ipswich
21.5
Leicester
21.4
Millwall
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.2
Coventry
21.2
Plymouth
21.1
Huddersfield
20.7
Bristol City
20.7
Rotherham
20.1
Cardiff
19.6
West Brom
19.5
Blackburn
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
79.1%
Under 9.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.1%
Under 21.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W00D01L00D12L11D11D11DA·BIR02/09H·LEE17/09H·ROT20/09A·WES23/09H·SWA30/09A·PLY03/10H·HUL07/10A·PRE21/10H·BLA24/10A·WAT28/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.620.560.570.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.560.480.640.640.450.27
vs Weaker (5)0.800.400.500.001.000.67
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L13L01L11D30W10W10W11D10W20WA·SUN02/09H·LEI15/09H·IPS19/09A·MID23/09H·LEE30/09A·STO03/10H·ROT07/10A·HUL21/10A·PRE25/10H·BIR28/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.830.870.870.670.80
vs Stronger (7)0.860.710.671.331.000.25
vs Similar (21)0.710.950.910.820.501.10
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L20W00D02L20W10W00D01L11DA·BIR02/09H·LEE17/09H·ROT20/09A·WES23/09H·SWA30/09A·PLY03/10H·HUL07/10A·PRE21/10H·BLA24/10A·WAT28/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.620.940.570.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.560.840.571.000.550.64
vs Weaker (5)0.800.601.000.500.670.67
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D01L01L00D01L10W12L11DA·SUN02/09H·LEI15/09H·IPS19/09A·MID23/09H·LEE30/09A·STO03/10H·ROT07/10A·HUL21/10A·PRE25/10H·BIR28/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.100.671.200.601.00
vs Stronger (7)1.001.712.002.330.251.25
vs Similar (21)0.520.900.360.910.700.90
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards91.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls87.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners86.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.583.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards81.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners79.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls76.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet19%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Wes Harding12%
Tom Bradshaw12%
Duncan Watmore12%
Japhet Tanganga11%
Joe Bryan9%
Ryan Longman9%
Romain Esse8%
Shaun Hutchinson7%
Murray Wallace7%
George Saville5%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy5%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Jake Cooper5%
Casper De Norre3%
Matija Šarkić0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Adam Mayor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
George Honeyman29%
George Saville28%
Ryan Leonard26%
Jake Cooper23%
Joe Bryan22%
Danny McNamara21%
Murray Wallace20%
Wes Harding17%
Japhet Tanganga17%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Shaun Hutchinson14%
Ryan Longman14%
Billy Mitchell12%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Casper De Norre9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Allan Campbell8%
Bartosz Białkowski7%
Matija Šarkić6%
Romain Esse4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
Tom Bradshaw3%
Adam Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Allan Campbell17%
Zian Flemming11%
George Saville10%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Ryan Longman9%
George Honeyman6%
Billy Mitchell6%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Murray Wallace3%
Casper De Norre3%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Michael Obafemi0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Wes Harding0%
Jake Cooper0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Danny McNamara0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming13%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Ryan Longman9%
Michael Obafemi7%
Jake Cooper7%
Wes Harding4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
George Saville2%
Casper De Norre0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Armstrong41%
Che Adams34%
Nathan Tella33%
Samuel Edozie18%
Will Smallbone15%
Carlos Alcaraz13%
Ryan Fraser12%
Stuart Armstrong12%
Joe Rothwell12%
Joe Aribo11%
Sékou Mara10%
David Brooks10%
Kyle Walker-Peters7%
Flynn Downes6%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis5%
Jan Bednarek4%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Mason Holgate0%
Ryan Manning0%
James Bree0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Kamaldeen Sulemana0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathan Tella67%
Flynn Downes31%
Jan Bednarek29%
Jack Stephens23%
Ryan Manning22%
Mason Holgate20%
Shea Charles18%
Will Smallbone17%
Carlos Alcaraz17%
Kamaldeen Sulemana16%
Joe Aribo16%
Che Adams15%
Ryan Fraser14%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Joe Rothwell12%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis12%
Adam Armstrong10%
David Brooks10%
Kyle Walker-Peters9%
Samuel Edozie6%
Sékou Mara3%
Gavin Bazunu2%
Alex McCarthy0%
James Bree0%
Ross Stewart0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Tella33%
David Brooks25%
Adam Armstrong22%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Che Adams10%
Samuel Edozie9%
Flynn Downes8%
Kamaldeen Sulemana8%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis7%
Sékou Mara7%
Kyle Walker-Peters7%
Will Smallbone7%
James Bree5%
Ryan Fraser5%
Carlos Alcaraz4%
Jack Stephens4%
Joe Aribo3%
Ryan Manning2%
Jan Bednarek0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Mason Holgate0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Armstrong35%
Nathan Tella33%
Che Adams20%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Carlos Alcaraz13%
David Brooks10%
Ryan Fraser7%
Will Smallbone7%
Jan Bednarek2%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Mason Holgate0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Ryan Manning0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Joe Aribo0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis0%
Sékou Mara0%
Kamaldeen Sulemana0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Millwall's squad is €120m less valuable than Southampton's (€85m vs €205m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Millwall's attack is €42m less valuable than Southampton's (€30m vs €72m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Millwall's midfield is €24m less valuable than Southampton's (€29m vs €53m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Millwall's defence is €54m less valuable than Southampton's (€25m vs €79m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MIL wins
0
Draws
0
SOU wins

Head-to-head

Millwall vs Southampton · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23AWatford Vs MIL2-2
24/10/23HMIL Vs Blackburn1-2
21/10/23APreston Vs MIL1-1
07/10/23HMIL Vs Hull2-2
03/10/23APlymouth Vs MIL0-2
30/09/23HMIL Vs Swansea0-3
23/09/23AWest Brom Vs MIL0-0
20/09/23HMIL Vs Rotherham3-0
17/09/23HMIL Vs Leeds0-3
02/09/23ABirmingham Vs MIL1-1

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23HSOU Vs Birmingham3-1
25/10/23APreston Vs SOU2-2
21/10/23AHull Vs SOU1-2
07/10/23HSOU Vs Rotherham1-1
03/10/23AStoke Vs SOU0-1
30/09/23HSOU Vs Leeds3-1
23/09/23AMiddlesbrough Vs SOU2-1
19/09/23HSOU Vs Ipswich0-1
15/09/23HSOU Vs Leicester1-4
02/09/23ASunderland Vs SOU5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.44
HomeLWLDL1.42
AwayDDWDD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.302.462.15
Over 1.5 %64%71%58%
Over 2.5 %44%50%38%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored1.221.331.12
Conceded1.081.121.04
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet36%38%35%
Corners9.249.219.27
Cards3.483.173.77
Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW0.96
HomeLLWDW0.84
AwayLLWWD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%20%32%
AVG goals2.983.162.80
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.141.241.04
Conceded1.841.921.76
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet10%4%16%
Corners10.3410.0810.60
Cards4.224.004.44

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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