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Millwall vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Millwall
Millwall
Vs
32%
31%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: D Webb

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Millwall win✓ Hit
31.7%
Avg Implied 36.9% · @ 2.58
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.14
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.90
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L20W01L12L32W34L10W01L13LH·LUT07/04A·HUL10/04H·PRE15/04H·BIR18/04A·WIG22/04A·BLA28/04H·BLA08/05A·MID05/08H·BRI12/08A·NOR20/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.131.291.141.191.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.171.171.271.271.081.08
vs Weaker (6)1.501.001.330.671.671.33
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D12L01L11D01L02L41W02L10WH·BRI07/04A·BIR10/04H·WES15/04H·WIG18/04A·CAR22/04H·QPR29/04A·WAT08/05H·ROT05/08A·IPS12/08H·WAT19/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.071.310.881.361.29
vs Stronger (3)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.881.080.930.930.801.30
vs Weaker (3)3.331.004.000.502.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.5%
@ 2.33-0.4%
Under 2.5
59.5%
@ 1.61+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
10.8%
1-0 ✓
9.6%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
Millwall goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
011%11%7.3%2.9%0.9%
19.6%15%8.0%3.2%1.0%
26.0%7.2%4.4%1.8%0.5%
32.2%2.6%1.6%0.6%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Millwall goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Millwall is 0.07 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Millwall is 0.09 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (0.98 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Millwall is 0.11 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Millwall is 8.7 percentage points worse than Stoke in terms of average possession (42% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MillwallMillwall

For 4.1 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

180361561236373511424574496189108156128A·NORH·BRIA·MIDH·BLAA·BLAA·WIGH·BIRH·PREA·HULH·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

601213311422121221123441632333A·NORH·BRIA·MIDH·BLAA·BLAA·WIGH·BIRH·PREA·HULH·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 8.9 · Total 18.4

⚠️ Fouls

28013313118377161281069611111071316241114281815172120A·NORH·BRIA·MIDH·BLAA·BLAA·WIGH·BIRH·PREA·HULH·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 6.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

160723710266746745510674910121271011101611H·WATA·IPSH·ROTA·WATH·QPRA·CARH·WIGH·WESA·BIRH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

90411354213322522215492434741H·WATA·IPSH·ROTA·WATH·QPRA·CARH·WIGH·WESA·BIRH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.9

⚠️ Fouls

3102110171212101713710831713151671411631292230171130312117H·WATA·IPSH·ROTA·WATH·QPRA·CARH·WIGH·WESA·BIRH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MillwallMillwall

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.69.53.43.23.620.921.120.6
vs Stronger (1)11.0-11.02.0-2.015.0-15.0
vs Similar (39)9.38.99.83.43.23.620.320.220.4
vs Weaker (10)7.97.68.23.43.03.823.624.622.6
% over line34%29%38%50%42%58%40%46%35%
% under line66%71%62%50%58%42%60%54%65%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.810.54.04.23.822.723.022.3
vs Stronger (6)10.010.79.33.54.03.024.023.724.3
vs Similar (39)11.010.911.04.24.24.122.623.421.7
vs Weaker (5)9.410.38.03.44.02.522.020.025.0
% over line68%73%62%56%58%54%54%54%54%
% under line32%27%38%44%42%46%46%46%46%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stoke
10.7
Norwich
10.7
West Brom
10.7
Middlesbrough
10.6
Plymouth
10.5
QPR
10.4
Ipswich
10.3
Bristol City
10.3
Watford
10.3
Rotherham
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Huddersfield
10.1
Coventry
10.1
Hull
10.1
Blackburn
10.0
Cardiff
9.9
Birmingham
9.8
Sunderland
9.8
Leicester
9.8
Leeds
9.8
Preston
9.5
Swansea
9.5
Millwall
9.1
Sheffield Weds
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Sunderland
4.5
Preston
4.3
Swansea
4.3
Norwich
4.2
Blackburn
4.1
Cardiff
4.1
Leeds
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Coventry
4.0
Middlesbrough
3.9
Rotherham
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
QPR
3.8
West Brom
3.7
Ipswich
3.7
Southampton
3.6
Huddersfield
3.6
Bristol City
3.5
Sheffield Weds
3.4
Millwall
3.4
Leicester
3.3
Hull
3.3
Plymouth
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.6
Watford
23.3
Leeds
22.9
Stoke
22.7
QPR
22.1
Plymouth
21.9
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Swansea
21.9
Birmingham
21.7
Ipswich
21.7
Preston
21.5
Norwich
21.5
Leicester
21.3
Southampton
21.2
Middlesbrough
21.0
Millwall
20.9
Bristol City
20.7
Coventry
20.6
Hull
20.2
Rotherham
20.1
Cardiff
19.8
West Brom
19.8
Blackburn
19.7
Huddersfield
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.6%
Under 9.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.8%
Under 3.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.5%
Under 21.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W01L11D11D31W00D00D01LH·LUT07/04A·HUL10/04H·PRE15/04H·BIR18/04A·WIG22/04A·BLA28/04H·BLA08/05A·MID05/08H·BRI12/08A·NOR20/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.330.570.360.620.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.540.290.550.360.540.23
vs Weaker (6)0.830.500.670.331.000.67
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W00D11D00D00D30W01L00DH·BRI07/04A·BIR10/04H·WES15/04H·WIG18/04A·CAR22/04H·QPR29/04A·WAT08/05H·ROT05/08A·IPS12/08H·WAT19/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.430.810.120.640.79
vs Stronger (3)1.000.33--1.000.33
vs Similar (24)0.620.460.640.140.600.90
vs Weaker (3)1.330.332.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MillwallMillwall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W00D01L21W03L10W01L12LH·LUT07/04A·HUL10/04H·PRE15/04H·BIR18/04A·WIG22/04A·BLA28/04H·BLA08/05A·MID05/08H·BRI12/08A·NOR20/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.710.790.560.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.620.880.730.910.540.85
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.670.330.670.67
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D02L01L00D01L02L11D01L10WH·BRI07/04A·BIR10/04H·WES15/04H·WIG18/04A·CAR22/04H·QPR29/04A·WAT08/05H·ROT05/08A·IPS12/08H·WAT19/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.500.750.710.50
vs Stronger (3)2.000.67--2.000.67
vs Similar (24)0.250.620.290.790.200.40
vs Weaker (3)2.000.672.000.502.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls82.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards70.4%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet19%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Wes Harding12%
Tom Bradshaw12%
Duncan Watmore12%
Japhet Tanganga11%
Joe Bryan9%
Ryan Longman9%
Romain Esse8%
Shaun Hutchinson7%
Murray Wallace7%
George Saville5%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy5%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Jake Cooper5%
Casper De Norre3%
Matija Šarkić0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Adam Mayor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
George Honeyman29%
George Saville28%
Ryan Leonard26%
Jake Cooper23%
Joe Bryan22%
Danny McNamara21%
Murray Wallace20%
Wes Harding17%
Japhet Tanganga17%
Zian Flemming15%
Michael Obafemi14%
Shaun Hutchinson14%
Ryan Longman14%
Billy Mitchell12%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Casper De Norre9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Allan Campbell8%
Bartosz Białkowski7%
Matija Šarkić6%
Romain Esse4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
Tom Bradshaw3%
Adam Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Allan Campbell17%
Zian Flemming11%
George Saville10%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy10%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Ryan Longman9%
George Honeyman6%
Billy Mitchell6%
Aidomo Emakhu5%
Murray Wallace3%
Casper De Norre3%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Michael Obafemi0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Wes Harding0%
Jake Cooper0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Danny McNamara0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming13%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Duncan Watmore9%
Ryan Longman9%
Michael Obafemi7%
Jake Cooper7%
Wes Harding4%
Kevin Nisbet4%
George Saville2%
Casper De Norre0%
Joe Bryan0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Bartosz Białkowski0%
George Honeyman0%
Allan Campbell0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy0%
Adam Mayor0%
Romain Esse0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Million Manhoef21%
André Vidigal17%
Tyrese Campbell13%
Ryan Mmaee12%
Luke Cundle12%
Ki-Jana Hoever10%
Lewis Baker10%
Daniel Johnson8%
Wouter Burger8%
Nathan Lowe8%
Niall Ennis7%
Lynden Gooch7%
Mehdi Léris7%
Jordan Thompson6%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Luke McNally5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Ben Wilmot4%
Josh Laurent3%
Michael Rose3%
Wesley Moraes0%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Ben Pearson0%
Jack Bonham0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Thompson44%
Ben Pearson41%
Ciaran Clark33%
Enda Stevens29%
Ben Wilmot28%
Junior Tchamadeu27%
Wouter Burger26%
Josh Laurent22%
Daniel Johnson19%
Luke McNally18%
Mehdi Léris17%
Lewis Baker15%
Million Manhoef14%
Michael Rose14%
Tyrese Campbell13%
Luke Cundle12%
Lynden Gooch10%
Ki-Jana Hoever10%
Niall Ennis7%
André Vidigal7%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Wesley Moraes5%
Ryan Mmaee4%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Jack Bonham0%
Chiquinho0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bae Jun-Ho13%
Ki-Jana Hoever12%
Ryan Mmaee12%
Sead Hakšabanović11%
Wouter Burger10%
Daniel Johnson8%
Million Manhoef7%
Mehdi Léris7%
Jordan Thompson6%
Luke Cundle6%
Josh Laurent5%
Tyrese Campbell4%
Ben Wilmot4%
Ben Pearson3%
Luke McNally3%
Wesley Moraes0%
André Vidigal0%
Daniel Iversen0%
Niall Ennis0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Lewis Baker0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jack Bonham0%
Michael Rose0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Million Manhoef29%
Tyrese Campbell26%
Ryan Mmaee17%
Niall Ennis14%
André Vidigal14%
Lewis Baker10%
Ki-Jana Hoever8%
Michael Rose5%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Wesley Moraes5%
Josh Laurent3%
Luke McNally3%
Wouter Burger3%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Daniel Johnson0%
Ben Pearson0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Jack Bonham0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Luke Cundle0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Millwall's squad is €6m more valuable than Stoke's (€85m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Millwall's attack is €5m less valuable than Stoke's (€30m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Millwall's midfield is €18m more valuable than Stoke's (€29m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Millwall's defence is €7m less valuable than Stoke's (€25m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
MIL wins
1
Draws
1
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Millwall vs Stoke · H/A from MIL
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/23AStoke Vs MIL0-1
30/07/22HMIL Vs Stoke2-0
19/03/22AStoke Vs MIL2-0
23/10/21HMIL Vs Stoke2-1
05/04/21AStoke Vs MIL1-2
12/09/20HMIL Vs Stoke0-0

MillwallMillwall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/23ANorwich Vs MIL3-1
12/08/23HMIL Vs Bristol City0-1
05/08/23AMiddlesbrough Vs MIL0-1
08/05/23HMIL Vs Blackburn3-4
28/04/23ABlackpool Vs MIL2-3
22/04/23AWigan Vs MIL2-1
18/04/23HMIL Vs Birmingham0-1
15/04/23HMIL Vs Preston2-0
10/04/23AHull Vs MIL1-0
07/04/23HMIL Vs Luton0-0

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/23HSTK Vs Watford1-0
12/08/23AIpswich Vs STK2-0
05/08/23HSTK Vs Rotherham4-1
08/05/23AWatford Vs STK2-0
29/04/23HSTK Vs QPR0-1
22/04/23ACardiff Vs STK1-1
18/04/23HSTK Vs Wigan0-1
15/04/23HSTK Vs West Brom1-2
10/04/23ABirmingham Vs STK0-0
07/04/23HSTK Vs Bristol City1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Millwall
Millwall
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.42
HomeDWLLL1.62
AwayLLWWL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%35%
AVG goals2.282.382.19
Over 1.5 %64%71%58%
Over 2.5 %38%38%38%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored1.181.420.96
Conceded1.100.961.23
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners9.088.629.50
Cards3.383.173.58
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.20
HomeLLLWW1.15
AwayWDDLL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%31%33%
AVG goals2.382.312.46
Over 1.5 %68%62%75%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.221.191.25
Conceded1.161.121.21
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners10.7010.8510.54
Cards4.024.193.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches