The model favours a home win, with a 54% chance for Mjallby AIF, 24% for a draw and 21% for IF K Göteborg to triumph. The average goal tally sits at three, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.5% chance, reflecting the evenly matched offensive and defensive averages of both sides. Mjallby, playing at home against a similarly-strong opponent, scores 1.5 goals per game and concedes one. IF K Göteborg, on the road, averages 1.77 goals scored and 1.77 conceded against comparable teams. Recent form shows Mjallby struggling after four consecutive defeats, while Göteborg enjoy a two-game winning streak. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6% with a 4% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (96.6% with a 2% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (94.3% with a 2% edge), Away under 1.5 HT goals (93.1% with a 6% edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (92.5% with a 3% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Mjallby AIF win
54.5%
Avg Implied 42.5% · @ 2.19
Edge
+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.30
William Hil
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
Draw
24.5%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.52
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.65
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
IFK Goteborg win
21.1%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 3.01
Edge
-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.30
Dafabet
3.20
10Bet
3.00
Betano
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Mjallby AIF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.30
1.47
0.94
1.31
1.77
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.27
1.41
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.90
vs Weaker (6)
2.33
0.67
1.75
0.75
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Goteborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Goteborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.47
1.20
1.07
1.60
1.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.75
0.00
1.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.58
1.42
1.38
1.08
1.77
1.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.2%
@ 1.20+4.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
@ 4.03-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.33
10Bet
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.70+2.6%
Under 2.5
42.3%
@ 2.09-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.3%
@ 2.69+0.8%
Under 3.5
64.7%
@ 1.42-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.85
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.67
Under
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Both teams to score
Yes
58.0%
@ 1.57-0.5%
No
42.0%
@ 2.22+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.56
No
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.26
BetVictor
2.25
Betano
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 6.55+4.7%
2-1
9.9%@ 8.26+4.5%
2-0
8.9%@ 11.14+4.9%
1-0
8.3%@ 8.79+3.3%
3-1
6.2%@ 14.28+3.1%
0-0
6.0%@ 11.92+2.3%
1-2
5.8%@ 10.00+1.4%
3-0
5.6%@ 19.33+3.3%
Mjallby AIF goals ↓
IFK Goteborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
4.5%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
1
8.3%
11%
5.8%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.9%
5.5%
2.0%
0.6%
3
5.6%
6.2%
3.5%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.6%
2.9%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mjallby AIF goals (down), columns = IFK Goteborg goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Mjallby AIF is 0.10 points worse than IFK Goteborg in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Mjallby AIF is 0.07 goals better than IFK Goteborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Mjallby AIF is 0.44 goals better than IFK Goteborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 2.05).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Mjallby AIF is 2.0 percentage points better than IFK Goteborg in terms of average possession (53% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mjallby AIF
For 3.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IFK Goteborg
For 7.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.2 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mjallby AIF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
11.0
8.8
2.9
2.9
2.9
25.0
25.4
24.6
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
8.0
7.0
2.0
1.0
3.0
17.0
19.0
15.0
vs Similar (36)
9.9
11.0
8.8
3.1
2.9
3.2
25.5
25.9
25.1
vs Weaker (12)
10.4
11.6
9.0
2.7
3.3
2.0
25.3
25.4
25.2
% over line
50%
65%
35%
42%
46%
38%
70%
75%
65%
% under line
50%
35%
65%
58%
54%
62%
30%
25%
35%
This opponent (IFK Goteborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Goteborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.7
12.3
11.0
3.7
3.8
3.6
25.0
25.2
24.9
vs Stronger (7)
10.7
9.8
12.0
3.1
3.0
3.3
26.6
29.2
23.0
vs Similar (43)
11.8
12.8
10.8
3.8
4.0
3.6
24.8
24.4
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
68%
70%
67%
46%
48%
44%
75%
83%
67%
% under line
32%
30%
33%
54%
52%
56%
25%
17%
33%
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.6
Sirius
11.1
Orgryte IS
10.7
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Degerfors IF
10.3
Djurgardens IF
10.2
Halmstad
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Vasteras SK FK
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.9
Mjallby AIF
9.8
Malmo FF
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.2
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Mjallby AIF
3.7
Gais
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Malmo FF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Degerfors IF
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.1
Vasteras SK FK
25.1
Gais
25.0
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.4
Hammarby FF
24.4
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
24.1
Kalmar FF
23.6
Halmstad
23.3
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.5%
@ 1.44-3.7%
Under 9.5
39.5%
@ 2.58+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Under
Betano
2.67
Unibet
2.50
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.6%
Under 3.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.8%
Under 21.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mjallby AIF or Draw
78.9%
Avg Implied 69.0% · @ 1.36
Edge
+9.9%
54%
24%
21%
covers Mjallby AIF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Mjallby AIF or IFK Goteborg
75.5%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.27
Edge
+1.7%
54%
24%
21%
covers Mjallby AIF + IFK Goteborg
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Draw or IFK Goteborg
45.5%
Avg Implied 57.1% · @ 1.64
Edge
-11.6%
54%
24%
21%
covers Draw + IFK Goteborg
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.65
William Hil
1.65
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5
Over
84.9%
@ 1.19+6.8%
Under
15.1%
@ 4.23-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
10Bet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5
Over
56.3%
@ 1.97+9.0%
Under
43.7%
@ 1.77-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Unibet
1.98
Under
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5
Over
29.4%
@ 4.01+6.2%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.21-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.19
Unibet
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Mjallby AIF over/under 3.5
Over
12.4%
@ 8.86+1.8%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.04-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
IFK Goteborg over/under 0.5
Over
67.1%
@ 1.28-5.1%
Under
32.9%
@ 3.33+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.71
Marathonbet
3.40
Betano
3.30
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.30
IFK Goteborg over/under 1.5
Over
30.6%
@ 2.41-8.1%
Under
69.4%
@ 1.52+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.50
IFK Goteborg over/under 2.5
Over
10.2%
@ 5.72-6.1%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.11+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
10Bet
1.11
IFK Goteborg over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
@ 14.50-3.9%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Mjallby AIF, so a minus line means Mjallby AIF give that many goals of a start and IFK Goteborg receive them. At -1, Mjallby AIF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mjallby AIF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mjallby AIF)
Mjallby AIF -2
15.2%
@ 8.66+4.8%
Draw -2
17.0%
@ 6.04+2.1%
IFK Goteborg +2
67.9%
@ 1.20-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
7.80
Draw
Marathonbet
6.20
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Handicap -1 (Mjallby AIF)
Mjallby AIF -1
32.1%
@ 3.92+9.4%
Draw -1
22.3%
@ 3.91-0.5%
IFK Goteborg +1
45.5%
@ 1.64-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.92
Bet365
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
10Bet
3.85
Unibet
3.75
Away
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.65
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Unibet
1.58
Handicap +1 (Mjallby AIF)
Mjallby AIF +1
78.9%
@ 1.35+12.6%
Draw +1
12.7%
@ 4.71-6.2%
IFK Goteborg -1
8.4%
@ 6.08-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.30
Away
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.50
Handicap +2 (Mjallby AIF)
Mjallby AIF +2
91.6%
@ 1.10+6.0%
Draw +2
5.9%
@ 10.00-3.5%
IFK Goteborg -2
2.5%
@ 19.00-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mjallby AIF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.65
0.41
0.46
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.59
0.58
0.42
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Goteborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Goteborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.65
0.54
0.38
1.08
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.5%
@ 1.31-2.5%
Under 0.5
31.5%
@ 3.21+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Under
William Hil
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.1%
@ 2.46-2.6%
Under 1.5
64.9%
@ 1.49+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
Betfair
2.55
1xBet
2.44
Pinnacle
2.44
Under
William Hil
1.53
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 5.90-1.6%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.10+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Betano
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.4%
@ 1.83+6.7%
Under
42.6%
@ 1.88-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Unibet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Unibet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.7%
@ 5.20+2.9%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.13-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
10Bet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.7%
@ 12.88-1.7%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.02+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
IFK Goteborg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.9%
@ 2.06-8.0%
Under
63.1%
@ 1.69+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Unibet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
IFK Goteborg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.9%
@ 6.44-7.5%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.08+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
IFK Goteborg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
@ 17.75-4.1%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mjallby AIF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.82
0.53
0.85
1.15
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.82
0.92
0.58
0.80
1.10
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
0.75
0.25
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Goteborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IFK Goteborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.77
0.85
0.69
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.18+0.6%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 4.32-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Betano
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.6%
@ 1.89-3.7%
Under 1.5
54.4%
@ 1.83+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.88
Under
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.3%
@ 3.74-4.5%
Under 2.5
79.7%
@ 1.23+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.75
Betano
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.64
Under
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
61.0%
@ 1.57+1.9%
Under
39.0%
@ 2.27-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.0%
@ 3.72+1.1%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.23-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.5%
@ 9.42-2.3%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.03+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
IFK Goteborg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.8%
@ 1.74-8.5%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.99+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
IFK Goteborg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.1%
@ 4.59-8.0%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.16+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
IFK Goteborg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 11.50-5.8%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.8%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+3.9%
Under 6.5
96.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.1%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+7.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.3%
Home +2 handicap
91.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
Under 5.5
91.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+2.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
89.8%
1.11
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
10Bet
1.11
+6.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.9%
1.16
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+8.0%
Home under 3.5 goals
87.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-1.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.10
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
+1.6%
Home over 0.5 goals
84.9%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
+6.8%
Under 5.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
81.5%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+0.3%
Over 1.5
81.2%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
+4.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.23
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
+4.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.3%
1.13
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-2.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.18
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
+0.6%
Home or Draw
78.9%
1.36
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
William Hil
1.36
+9.9%
Home +1 handicap
78.9%
1.35
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Bet365
1.30
-
+12.6%
Home or Away
75.5%
1.27
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
+1.7%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
74.0%
1.23
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-1.1%
Over 8.5 corners
72.3%
1.26
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.26
-
-
-
-1.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
70.6%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
-6.2%
Under 4.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mjallby AIF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elliot Stroud30%
J. Bergström28%
A. Manneh18%
A. Youssef17%
J. Kjær17%
Ludwig Thorell11%
T. Pettersson9%
Olle Lindberg9%
Á. Samuelsen8%
Villiam Granath6%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Gustavsson0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Abdullah Iqbal0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Ludvig Tidstrand0%
T. Helge0%
M. Nielsen0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tony Miettinen40%
T. Pettersson36%
Viktor Gustafson29%
J. Kjær25%
Martin Agnarsson25%
T. Helge25%
Abdullah Iqbal20%
J. Gustavsson18%
Á. Samuelsen17%
Axel Norén13%
J. Bergström11%
Romeo Leandersson8%
Ludvig Tidstrand7%
Villiam Granath6%
A. Youssef0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Elliot Stroud0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
M. Nielsen0%
A. Manneh0%
Olle Lindberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Manneh27%
Ludwig Thorell22%
M. Nielsen18%
J. Gustavsson12%
Villiam Granath12%
Elliot Stroud10%
Olle Lindberg9%
J. Kjær8%
Á. Samuelsen8%
Tony Miettinen7%
Abdullah Iqbal7%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Bergström0%
A. Youssef0%
T. Pettersson0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Ludvig Tidstrand0%
T. Helge0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Manneh45%
J. Bergström33%
Á. Samuelsen25%
Villiam Granath12%
Ludwig Thorell11%
Elliot Stroud10%
T. Pettersson9%
J. Kjær8%
Ludvig Tidstrand7%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Gustavsson0%
A. Youssef0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Abdullah Iqbal0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
T. Helge0%
M. Nielsen0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
Olle Lindberg0%
IFK Goteborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sam Larsson57%
Hjörtur Hermannsson20%
Sebastian Clemmensen19%
Tobias Heintz17%
Alfons Borén17%
Rockson Yeboah13%
David Kruse11%
Benjamin Brantlind11%
Filip Ottosson7%
Felix Eriksson6%
August Erlingmark6%
Adam Bergmark Wiberg5%
Jonas Bager0%
Kolbeinn Thordarson0%
Ramon Pascal Lundqvist0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Imam Jagne0%
Max Fenger0%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak0%
Viktor Andersson0%
Elis Bishesari0%
Tiago Coimbra0%
Noah Tolf0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Oliver Månsson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonas Bager50%
Kolbeinn Thordarson50%
Tobias Heintz28%
August Erlingmark22%
Hjörtur Hermannsson20%
Felix Eriksson19%
Max Fenger18%
Imam Jagne17%
David Kruse17%
Adam Bergmark Wiberg16%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak15%
Filip Ottosson14%
Tiago Coimbra14%
Rockson Yeboah13%
Benjamin Brantlind11%
Alexander Jallow8%
Sebastian Clemmensen6%
Sam Larsson0%
Ramon Pascal Lundqvist0%
Viktor Andersson0%
Elis Bishesari0%
Noah Tolf0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Borén0%
Oliver Månsson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Heintz17%
Adam Bergmark Wiberg16%
Sam Larsson14%
Sebastian Clemmensen12%
Max Fenger9%
Noah Tolf9%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak8%
Rockson Yeboah7%
Felix Eriksson6%
David Kruse6%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Jonas Bager0%
Kolbeinn Thordarson0%
Ramon Pascal Lundqvist0%
Filip Ottosson0%
Alexander Jallow0%
August Erlingmark0%
Imam Jagne0%
Viktor Andersson0%
Elis Bishesari0%
Tiago Coimbra0%
Benjamin Brantlind0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Borén0%
Oliver Månsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Heintz33%
Max Fenger18%
August Erlingmark17%
Adam Bergmark Wiberg16%
Sam Larsson14%
Sebastian Clemmensen12%
Benjamin Brantlind11%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak8%
Felix Eriksson6%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Jonas Bager0%
Kolbeinn Thordarson0%
Ramon Pascal Lundqvist0%
Filip Ottosson0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Imam Jagne0%
David Kruse0%
Viktor Andersson0%
Elis Bishesari0%
Tiago Coimbra0%
Rockson Yeboah0%
Noah Tolf0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Borén0%
Oliver Månsson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Mjallby AIF's squad is €8m more valuable than IFK Goteborg's (€26m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Mjallby AIF's attack is €2m less valuable than IFK Goteborg's (€7m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Mjallby AIF's midfield is €7m more valuable than IFK Goteborg's (€11m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Mjallby AIF's defence is €3m more valuable than IFK Goteborg's (€8m vs €6m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Sirius
Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad