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Mjondalen vs Asane Result & Analysis

Date: 30/07/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 2-0
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Vs
31%
25%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mjondalen win✓ Hit
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asane win✗ Miss
44.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-614L04L34L06L31W22D11D14L13L11DH·RAN11/05A·STA16/05A·STA20/05H·LIL24/05A·LYN29/05H·MOS15/06A·ODD18/06H·SKE23/06A·HOD28/06H·KON26/07
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.901.231.921.181.88
vs Stronger (2)1.005.000.006.002.004.00
vs Similar (27)1.221.701.331.581.131.80
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D02L07L21W01L21W22D21W12L22DH·STA12/05A·SOG16/05H·VIK20/05H·RAN25/05A·ODD31/05H·SKE15/06A·LIL18/06H·MOS21/06A·LYN29/06H·HOD26/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.631.641.571.751.69
vs Stronger (13)1.082.080.861.861.332.33
vs Similar (16)2.001.312.431.291.671.33
vs Weaker (1)5.001.00--5.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.5%
Under 2.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.1%
No
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
4.6%
Mjondalen goals ↓
Asane goals →
01234
04.6%5.6%6.0%3.6%1.6%
14.4%11%9.0%5.4%2.5%
24.1%7.4%6.7%4.1%1.9%
32.0%3.7%3.4%2.0%0.9%
40.8%1.4%1.3%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mjondalen goals (down), columns = Asane goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Mjondalen is 0.20 points worse than Asane in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Mjondalen is 0.07 goals worse than Asane in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Mjondalen is 0.60 goals worse than Asane in terms of goals conceded per game (2.37 vs 1.77).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MjondalenMjondalen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D12L04L30W01L11D03L03L00DH·RAN11/05A·STA16/05A·STA20/05H·LIL24/05A·LYN29/05H·MOS15/06A·ODD18/06H·SKE23/06A·HOD28/06H·KON26/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.230.850.530.76
vs Stronger (2)0.003.500.004.000.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.440.630.250.580.600.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D03L10W01L11D12L00D01L21WH·STA12/05A·SOG16/05H·VIK20/05H·RAN25/05A·ODD31/05H·SKE15/06A·LIL18/06H·MOS21/06A·LYN29/06H·HOD26/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.900.710.860.560.94
vs Stronger (13)0.381.150.291.140.501.17
vs Similar (16)0.750.691.140.570.440.78
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MjondalenMjondalen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L04L22D02L01L21W00D11D10W11DH·RAN11/05A·STA16/05A·STA20/05H·LIL24/05A·LYN29/05H·MOS15/06A·ODD18/06H·SKE23/06A·HOD28/06H·KON26/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.101.001.080.651.12
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.002.002.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.781.071.081.000.531.13
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L04L11D00D10W10W21W11D01LH·STA12/05A·SOG16/05H·VIK20/05H·RAN25/05A·ODD31/05H·SKE15/06A·LIL18/06H·MOS21/06A·LYN29/06H·HOD26/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.730.930.711.190.75
vs Stronger (13)0.690.920.570.710.831.17
vs Similar (16)1.250.621.290.711.220.56
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
MJO wins
2
Draws
3
ASA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mjondalen vs Asane · H/A from MJO
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24AAsane Vs MJO5-0
16/05/24HMJO Vs Asane2-1
09/08/23AAsane Vs MJO3-2
10/04/23HMJO Vs Asane0-0
22/08/22AAsane Vs MJO3-1
11/07/22HMJO Vs Asane1-1

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25HMJO Vs Kongsvinger1-1
28/06/25Ahodd Vs MJO3-1
23/06/25HMJO Vs Skeid1-4
18/06/25AODD Ballklubb Vs MJO1-1
15/06/25HMJO Vs Moss2-2
29/05/25ALyn Vs MJO1-3
24/05/25HMJO Vs Lillestrom0-6
20/05/25AStabaek Vs MJO4-3
16/05/25AStabaek Vs MJO4-0
11/05/25HMJO Vs Ranheim1-4

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25HASA Vs hodd2-2
29/06/25ALyn Vs ASA2-1
21/06/25HASA Vs Moss2-1
18/06/25ALillestrom Vs ASA2-2
15/06/25HASA Vs Skeid2-1
31/05/25AODD Ballklubb Vs ASA1-0
25/05/25HASA Vs Ranheim2-1
20/05/25HASA Vs Viking0-7
16/05/25ASogndal Vs ASA2-0
12/05/25HASA Vs Stabaek1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLD0.96
HomeLLDLD0.96
AwayLLWDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%17%26%
AVG goals3.123.223.04
Over 1.5 %78%91%67%
Over 2.5 %54%57%52%
Over 3.5 %40%30%48%
Scored1.281.351.22
Conceded1.841.871.81
BTTS64%74%56%
Clean Sheet16%13%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLD1.36
HomeLWWWD1.50
AwayWLLDL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%41%36%
AVG goals3.323.233.39
Over 1.5 %84%82%86%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %42%36%46%
Scored1.641.451.79
Conceded1.681.771.61
BTTS62%64%61%
Clean Sheet22%27%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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