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Mjondalen vs Brann Result & Analysis

Date: 08/10/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Vs
9%
18%
73%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brann
Brann
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mjondalen win✓ Hit
9.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brann win✗ Miss
72.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L12L04L13L41W03L10W21W12LA·KON31/07H·RAU04/08A·RAN08/08H·SOG14/08A·ASA22/08H·SAN29/08A·KFU04/09H·SKE12/09A·STJ17/09A·FRE02/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.621.461.311.001.92
vs Stronger (3)1.003.002.000.000.504.50
vs Similar (23)1.261.431.421.421.091.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Brann) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrannBrann

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-751W10W21W30W40W50W20W70W30W50WA·BRY31/07H·STA04/08A·STA07/08H·RAU14/08A·SOG20/08H·RAN29/08A·ASA03/09H·GRO12/09A·SAN17/09H·STJ02/10
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
3.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.230.423.230.313.230.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Weaker (25)3.240.443.250.333.230.54
Clean sheet %62% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.2%
Under 2.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.6%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.7%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-4
4.7%
Mjondalen goals ↓
Brann goals →
01234
04.6%8.7%12%9.5%5.8%
12.3%8.3%9.3%7.6%4.7%
21.2%3.0%3.7%3.1%1.9%
30.3%0.8%1.0%0.8%0.5%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mjondalen goals (down), columns = Brann goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brann
2.70
Stabaek
1.93
Start
1.74
KFUM Oslo
1.68
Kongsvinger
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.52
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.43
Mjondalen
1.40
Fredrikstad
1.17
Raufoss
1.17
Bryne
1.17
Asane
1.07
Skeid
1.06
Grorud
0.67
Stjørdals-Blink
0.57
Arendal
0.00
Mjondalen is 1.30 points worse than Brann in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 2.70).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brann
3.17
Stabaek
2.07
Start
2.03
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Ranheim
1.63
Fredrikstad
1.53
Skeid
1.47
Kongsvinger
1.42
Asane
1.40
Bryne
1.40
Mjondalen
1.30
Raufoss
1.17
Grorud
1.13
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
0.50
Mjondalen is 1.87 goals worse than Brann in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 3.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brann
0.53
Stabaek
0.93
Kongsvinger
1.15
Start
1.26
Mjondalen
1.57
KFUM Oslo
1.61
Fredrikstad
1.70
Sandnes ULF
1.71
Skeid
1.72
Ranheim
1.73
Bryne
1.73
Sogndal
1.77
Raufoss
1.80
Asane
2.23
Grorud
2.30
Stjørdals-Blink
2.37
Arendal
4.00
Mjondalen is 1.03 goals worse than Brann in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 0.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MjondalenMjondalen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D01L11D31W02L10W21W12LA·KON31/07H·RAU04/08A·RAN08/08H·SOG14/08A·ASA22/08H·SAN29/08A·KFU04/09H·SKE12/09A·STJ17/09A·FRE02/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.580.850.380.620.77
vs Stronger (3)0.671.001.000.000.501.50
vs Similar (23)0.740.520.830.420.640.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %54% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Brann) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrannBrann

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W00D00D10W20W20W10W60W00D00DA·BRY31/07H·STA04/08A·STA07/08H·RAU14/08A·SOG20/08H·RAN29/08A·ASA03/09H·GRO12/09A·SAN17/09H·STJ02/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.191.230.081.230.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (25)1.240.201.250.081.230.31
Clean sheet %81% (+59pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brann over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brann over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brann over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MjondalenMjondalen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L12L03L02L10W01L00D00D00DA·KON31/07H·RAU04/08A·RAN08/08H·SOG14/08A·ASA22/08H·SAN29/08A·KFU04/09H·SKE12/09A·STJ17/09A·FRE02/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.040.620.920.381.15
vs Stronger (3)0.332.001.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.910.581.000.450.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brann) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrannBrann

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W10W21W20W20W30W10W10W30W50WA·BRY31/07H·STA04/08A·STA07/08H·RAU14/08A·SOG20/08H·RAN29/08A·ASA03/09H·GRO12/09A·SAN17/09H·STJ02/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.232.000.232.000.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Weaker (25)2.000.242.000.252.000.23
Clean sheet %77% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brann over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brann over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brann over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.4%-------✓ Hit
Away win72.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brann · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Niklas Castro33%
Noah Jean Holm33%
Kristian Eriksen29%
Bård Finne25%
Joachim Soltvedt22%
Kristall Máni Ingason20%
Markus Haaland20%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson17%
Rasmus Holten17%
Felix Horn Myhre13%
Denzel De Roeve8%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes7%
Ulrik Mathisen6%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen0%
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen0%
Thore Pedersen0%
Matias Dyngeland0%
Sævar Atli Magnússon0%
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson0%
Simen Vidtun Nilsen0%
Niklas Jensen Wassberg0%
Jonas Torsvik0%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson0%
Martin Hellan0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Niklas Castro50%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson33%
Cheick Mbacke Diop33%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson25%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen19%
Kristian Eriksen18%
Noah Jean Holm17%
Niklas Jensen Wassberg14%
Felix Horn Myhre13%
Kristall Máni Ingason13%
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen12%
Thore Pedersen12%
Joachim Soltvedt11%
Matias Dyngeland8%
Denzel De Roeve8%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes7%
Bård Finne6%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Sævar Atli Magnússon0%
Ulrik Mathisen0%
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson0%
Simen Vidtun Nilsen0%
Markus Haaland0%
Jonas Torsvik0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Martin Hellan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ulrik Mathisen31%
Kristian Eriksen18%
Niklas Castro17%
Joachim Soltvedt17%
Denzel De Roeve15%
Kristall Máni Ingason13%
Bård Finne12%
Noah Jean Holm11%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson8%
Niklas Jensen Wassberg7%
Felix Horn Myhre7%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen6%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes0%
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen0%
Thore Pedersen0%
Matias Dyngeland0%
Sævar Atli Magnússon0%
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson0%
Simen Vidtun Nilsen0%
Markus Haaland0%
Jonas Torsvik0%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Martin Hellan0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Jean Holm39%
Joachim Soltvedt22%
Niklas Castro17%
Kristall Máni Ingason13%
Bård Finne12%
Kristian Eriksen6%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson0%
Jacob Lungi Sørensen0%
Felix Horn Myhre0%
Vetle Winger Dragsnes0%
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen0%
Thore Pedersen0%
Matias Dyngeland0%
Sævar Atli Magnússon0%
Ulrik Mathisen0%
Eggert Aron Guðmundsson0%
Simen Vidtun Nilsen0%
Denzel De Roeve0%
Niklas Jensen Wassberg0%
Markus Haaland0%
Jonas Torsvik0%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson0%
Rasmus Holten0%
Martin Hellan0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (25)
€27m
FRE (25)
€15m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (10)
€11m
STA (9)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (4)
€7m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (11)
€9m
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
MJO wins
0
Draws
1
BRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mjondalen vs Brann · H/A from MJO
DateH/AGameScore
30/05/22ABrann Vs MJO7-0

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22AFredrikstad Vs MJO2-1
17/09/22AStjørdals-Blink Vs MJO1-2
12/09/22HMJO Vs Skeid1-0
04/09/22AKFUM Oslo Vs MJO3-0
29/08/22HMJO Vs Sandnes ULF4-1
22/08/22AAsane Vs MJO3-1
14/08/22HMJO Vs Sogndal0-4
08/08/22ARanheim Vs MJO2-1
04/08/22HMJO Vs Raufoss1-2
31/07/22AKongsvinger Vs MJO2-1

BrannBrann

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22HBRA Vs Stjørdals-Blink5-0
17/09/22ASandnes ULF Vs BRA0-3
12/09/22HBRA Vs Grorud7-0
03/09/22AAsane Vs BRA0-2
29/08/22HBRA Vs Ranheim5-0
20/08/22ASogndal Vs BRA0-4
14/08/22HBRA Vs Raufoss3-0
07/08/22AStabaek Vs BRA1-2
04/08/22HBRA Vs Start1-0
31/07/22ABryne Vs BRA1-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.38
HomeDLLWW1.77
AwayLLLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%54%31%
AVG goals2.852.772.92
Over 1.5 %81%77%85%
Over 2.5 %65%62%69%
Over 3.5 %19%23%15%
Scored1.231.461.00
Conceded1.621.311.92
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet23%31%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Brann
Brann
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.77
HomeWWWWW2.54
AwayWWWWW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %88%77%100%
AVG goals3.653.543.77
Over 1.5 %96%92%100%
Over 2.5 %73%69%77%
Over 3.5 %42%31%54%
Scored3.233.233.23
Conceded0.420.310.54
BTTS38%31%46%
Clean Sheet62%69%54%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BrannBrann3081
87%
2.7
9516+79
3.7
97%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
11793.20.5
-
2StabaekStabaek3058
53%
1.9
6228+34
3.0
70%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5232.10.9
-
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3355
48%
1.7
4738+9
2.6
64%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.41.2
-
4StartStart3154
52%
1.7
6339+24
3.3
74%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2342.01.3
-
5KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3152
48%
1.7
6250+12
3.6
90%
87%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.6
-
6Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3147
45%
1.5
5453+1
3.5
84%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.7
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
5553+2
3.6
87%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.8
-
8RanheimRanheim3043
40%
1.4
4952-3
3.4
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.7
-
9MjondalenMjondalen3042
43%
1.4
3947-8
2.9
83%
67%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
10FredrikstadFredrikstad3035
30%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.51.7
-
11BryneBryne3035
30%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
93%
70%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.7
-
12RaufossRaufoss3035
30%
1.2
3554-19
3.0
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.8
-
13SkeidSkeid3234
31%
1.1
4755-8
3.2
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
14AsaneAsane3032
27%
1.1
4267-25
3.6
93%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.42.2
-
15GrorudGrorud3020
13%
0.7
3469-35
3.4
93%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.3
-
16Stjørdals-BlinkStjørdals-Blink3017
13%
0.6
3071-41
3.4
83%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
17ArendalArendal20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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