PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Mjondalen vs Raufoss Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 3-0
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Vs
39%
28%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mjondalen win✓ Hit
38.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raufoss win✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L30W02L00D02L01L13L32W22D12LA·BRY16/10H·GRO22/10A·STA29/10H·ASA10/04A·KON16/04H·FRE24/04H·KRI29/04A·JER03/05H·KFU06/05A·BRY13/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.801.361.500.942.06
vs Stronger (4)1.002.751.501.000.504.50
vs Similar (26)1.151.651.331.581.001.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L23L03L01L40W00D31W00D12L00DH·KFU17/10A·RAN22/10H·SOG29/10A·HOD10/04H·KFU16/04A·SAN22/04A·STA30/04H·ASA03/05A·SOG06/05H·RAN13/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.501.001.361.441.62
vs Stronger (12)1.332.081.172.001.502.17
vs Similar (18)1.171.110.880.881.401.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.6%
Mjondalen goals ↓
Raufoss goals →
01234
08.3%7.6%5.6%2.3%0.7%
18.6%14%7.8%3.3%1.0%
26.8%8.6%5.4%2.3%0.7%
33.2%4.0%2.5%1.1%0.3%
41.1%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mjondalen goals (down), columns = Raufoss goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fredrikstad
2.13
KFUM Oslo
1.93
Kristiansund BK
1.69
Kongsvinger
1.68
Bryne
1.50
Start
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.33
Moss
1.27
Raufoss
1.27
Asane
1.23
Mjondalen
1.23
Sandnes ULF
1.23
hodd
1.10
jerv
1.03
Skeid
0.47
Mjondalen is 0.03 points worse than Raufoss in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kristiansund BK
1.91
Kongsvinger
1.77
KFUM Oslo
1.70
Fredrikstad
1.67
Start
1.58
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.40
Bryne
1.38
Asane
1.37
jerv
1.33
Mjondalen
1.30
Moss
1.23
Ranheim
1.20
Raufoss
1.17
hodd
0.97
Skeid
0.80
Mjondalen is 0.13 goals better than Raufoss in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fredrikstad
0.77
KFUM Oslo
1.03
Bryne
1.16
Raufoss
1.20
Start
1.26
hodd
1.27
Kristiansund BK
1.28
Moss
1.33
Kongsvinger
1.39
Mjondalen
1.40
Asane
1.47
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.50
Ranheim
1.77
jerv
1.97
Skeid
2.07
Mjondalen is 0.20 goals worse than Raufoss in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MjondalenMjondalen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D00D01L00D12L10W11D02LA·BRY16/10H·GRO22/10A·STA29/10H·ASA10/04A·KON16/04H·FRE24/04H·KRI29/04A·JER03/05H·KFU06/05A·BRY13/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.790.500.500.75
vs Stronger (4)0.500.750.500.000.501.50
vs Similar (26)0.650.620.830.580.500.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L00D20W00D00D00D01L00DH·KFU17/10A·RAN22/10H·SOG29/10A·HOD10/04H·KFU16/04A·SAN22/04A·STA30/04H·ASA03/05A·SOG06/05H·RAN13/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.210.430.560.69
vs Stronger (12)0.500.830.330.670.671.00
vs Similar (18)0.330.390.120.250.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MjondalenMjondalen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W02L00D01L01L01L22D11D10WA·BRY16/10H·GRO22/10A·STA29/10H·ASA10/04A·KON16/04H·FRE24/04H·KRI29/04A·JER03/05H·KFU06/05A·BRY13/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.170.571.000.441.31
vs Stronger (4)0.502.001.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (26)0.501.040.501.000.501.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RaufossRaufoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L22D02L01L20W00D31W00D11D00DH·KFU17/10A·RAN22/10H·SOG29/10A·HOD10/04H·KFU16/04A·SAN22/04A·STA30/04H·ASA03/05A·SOG06/05H·RAN13/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.930.790.930.880.94
vs Stronger (12)0.831.250.831.330.831.17
vs Similar (18)0.830.720.750.620.900.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (25)
€15m
KB (21)
€13m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
MJO wins
0
Draws
2
RAU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mjondalen vs Raufoss · H/A from MJO
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/22HMJO Vs Raufoss1-2
07/07/22ARaufoss Vs MJO2-1

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/23ABryne Vs MJO2-1
06/05/23HMJO Vs KFUM Oslo2-2
03/05/23Ajerv Vs MJO2-3
29/04/23HMJO Vs Kristiansund BK1-3
24/04/23HMJO Vs Fredrikstad0-1
16/04/23AKongsvinger Vs MJO2-0
10/04/23HMJO Vs Asane0-0
29/10/22AStabaek Vs MJO2-0
22/10/22HMJO Vs Grorud3-0
16/10/22ABryne Vs MJO2-1

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/23HRAU Vs Ranheim0-0
06/05/23ASogndal Vs RAU2-1
03/05/23HRAU Vs Asane0-0
30/04/23AStart Vs RAU1-3
22/04/23ASandnes ULF Vs RAU0-0
16/04/23HRAU Vs KFUM Oslo4-0
10/04/23Ahodd Vs RAU1-0
29/10/22HRAU Vs Sogndal0-3
22/10/22ARanheim Vs RAU3-2
17/10/22HRAU Vs KFUM Oslo0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.27
HomeWDLLD1.63
AwayLLLWL0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%47%28%
AVG goals2.842.742.94
Over 1.5 %81%74%89%
Over 2.5 %65%63%67%
Over 3.5 %24%32%17%
Scored1.241.471.00
Conceded1.591.261.94
BTTS59%58%61%
Clean Sheet22%32%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLD1.19
HomeLLWDD1.33
AwayLLDWL1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%26%
AVG goals2.732.393.05
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %57%50%63%
Over 3.5 %32%22%42%
Scored1.161.001.32
Conceded1.571.391.74
BTTS49%39%58%
Clean Sheet22%33%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FredrikstadFredrikstad3064
60%
2.1
5023+27
2.4
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.70.8
-
2KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3058
57%
1.9
5131+20
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.71.0
-
3Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3254
47%
1.7
6141+20
3.2
88%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5431.91.3
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3152
52%
1.7
5543+12
3.2
94%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.4
-
5BryneBryne3248
44%
1.5
4437+7
2.5
75%
59%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.2
-
6StartStart3146
39%
1.5
4939+10
2.8
81%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.61.3
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4545+0
3.0
83%
63%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.5
-
8RanheimRanheim3040
40%
1.3
3653-17
3.0
73%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.8
-
9RaufossRaufoss3038
33%
1.3
3536-1
2.4
63%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.2
-
10MossMoss3038
33%
1.3
3740-3
2.6
73%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.3
-
11Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3037
33%
1.2
4245-3
2.9
77%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
12AsaneAsane3037
30%
1.2
4144-3
2.8
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.41.5
-
13MjondalenMjondalen3037
33%
1.2
3942-3
2.7
77%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
14hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
2938-9
2.2
63%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
15jervjerv3031
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
16SkeidSkeid3014
10%
0.5
2462-38
2.9
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
Norway: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches