ML Vitebsk are the clear favourites to win at home, with the model rating a 86% chance of victory. Their recent win over Dinamo Brest and the fact that they play at a venue where they have scored 1.79 and conceded only 0.57 goals against weaker opposition explains the high probability. Belshina, on the other hand, have struggled on the road, conceding an average of 1.0 goal and scoring 2.0 against stronger teams, and they come off a defeat to FC Gomel.
The model predicts 3.5 goals on average, with the most likely total of three goals at a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 3-0 for Vitebsk, with a 13.3% chance. Home win, draw and away win probabilities are 86%, 11% and 3% respectively.
Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (99.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.3%), Home +2 handicap (99.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (98.4% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3%), Over 19.5 fouls (97.5%), Under 7.5 (97.3%) and Home or Draw (96.5% with a 12% edge).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, ML Vitebsk, failed to deliver, as the match ended in a 1-1 draw. The model had called a home win with an 86% probability, but that prediction was wrong. The game was a surprise, with both sides managing a single goal each. The model’s other selections all hit: Away under 3.5 goals (99.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.4%), Home +2 handicap (99.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (98.4%), Under 7.5 (97.3%) and Home or Draw (96.5%). ML Vitebsk’s unbeaten run in their last five games continued, while Belshina returned to a draw after a recent win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
ML Vitebsk win✗ Miss
85.8%
Avg Implied 80.6% · @ 1.14
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Draw✓ Hit
10.7%
Avg Implied 13.2% · @ 6.97
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
7.30
1xBet
7.30
Dafabet
7.20
Marathonbet
7.10
Pinnacle
7.02
Belshina win✗ Miss
3.5%
Avg Implied 6.2% · @ 14.92
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
19.25
1xBet
18.00
William Hil
17.00
Dafabet
14.00
Superbet
13.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ML Vitebsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.57
1.75
0.50
1.50
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.73
0.58
1.79
0.57
1.67
0.58
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belshina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.17
1.67
0.93
1.60
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.46
1.25
1.55
0.91
1.38
1.54
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
0.80
2.00
1.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.1%
@ 1.09+3.7%
Under 1.5
12.9%
@ 5.50-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Under
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.50
Superbet
5.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.4%
@ 1.39+2.4%
Under 2.5
31.6%
@ 2.69-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
2.87
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.64
Marathonbet
2.61
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.9%
@ 2.05+1.1%
Under 3.5
53.1%
@ 1.73-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.04
SBO
1.99
Under
SBO
1.79
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.3%
@ 2.17-3.4%
No
60.7%
@ 1.61+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.18
William Hil
2.10
No
William Hil
1.67
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
13.3%@ 6.29+6.4%
2-0
13.3%@ 6.18+6.3%
4-0
10.0%@ 7.75+4.4%
1-0
8.4%@ 8.54+3.3%
3-1
7.0%@ 10.59+2.9%
2-1
7.0%@ 9.72+2.5%
5-0
6.0%@ 12.13+2.4%
4-1
5.2%@ 12.70+1.8%
ML Vitebsk goals ↓
Belshina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
8.4%
5.1%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
2
13%
7.0%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
3
13%
7.0%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
4
10.0%
5.2%
1.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ML Vitebsk goals (down), columns = Belshina goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
ML Vitebsk is 1.00 points better than Belshina in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
ML Vitebsk is 0.67 goals better than Belshina in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
ML Vitebsk is 0.83 goals better than Belshina in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
ML Vitebsk is 20.0 percentage points better than Belshina in terms of average possession (63% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
ML Vitebsk
For 6.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 18.6 · Total 34.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Belshina
For 3.2 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ML Vitebsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.7
10.0
0.4
0.5
0.4
34.4
39.3
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
8.5
8.0
9.0
2.8
3.0
2.5
39.0
49.0
29.0
vs Weaker (46)
12.7
13.5
11.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
31.3
34.5
25.0
% over line
60%
67%
50%
8%
8%
8%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
40%
33%
50%
92%
92%
92%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Belshina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belshina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
8.0
11.3
0.6
0.5
0.6
23.0
15.0
25.7
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
10.5
8.0
11.3
0.8
0.7
0.8
23.0
15.0
25.7
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
75%
0%
100%
6%
4%
8%
75%
0%
100%
% under line
25%
100%
0%
94%
96%
92%
25%
100%
0%
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bate Borisov
12.0
Baranovichi
11.8
FC Gomel
11.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
11.0
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Dinamo Minsk
10.9
Belshina
10.8
Slavia Mozyr
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.2
Naftan
10.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
10.0
FC Vitebsk
9.8
FC Minsk
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
Neman
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.4
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.4
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
Neman
3.1
FC Gomel
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Naftan
3.1
FC Minsk
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
34.4
Torpedo Zhodino
30.5
FC Gomel
28.7
Baranovichi
28.2
Dinamo Brest
27.8
Slavia Mozyr
27.0
Dinamo Minsk
26.4
Bate Borisov
26.2
FC Isloch Minsk R.
25.8
Belshina
23.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
Neman
21.8
Naftan
21.5
Arsenal (Belarus)
21.4
FC Vitebsk
20.2
FC Minsk
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
73.5%
@ 1.57+15.2%
Under 9.5
26.5%
@ 2.19-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.56
Under
1xBet
2.21
Marathonbet
2.18
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.5%
Under 3.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
93.8%
Under 21.5
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ML Vitebsk or Draw✓ Hit
96.5%
Avg Implied 90.3% · @ 1.08
Edge
+6.2%
86%
11%
3%
covers ML Vitebsk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.20
William Hil
1.02
Superbet
1.01
ML Vitebsk or Belshina✗ Miss
89.3%
Avg Implied 90.2% · @ 1.08
Edge
-0.9%
86%
11%
3%
covers ML Vitebsk + Belshina
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Draw or Belshina✓ Hit
14.2%
Avg Implied 19.4% · @ 5.00
Edge
-5.3%
86%
11%
3%
covers Draw + Belshina
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.20
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
4.55
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ML Vitebsk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
95.0%
@ 1.01+1.0%
Under
5.0%
@ 16.00-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.01
Under
1xBet
16.00
ML Vitebsk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
80.1%
@ 1.23+4.7%
Under
19.9%
@ 3.76-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.75
1xBet
3.70
ML Vitebsk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
57.7%
@ 1.71+3.3%
Under
42.3%
@ 2.04-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.65
Under
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Superbet
1.97
ML Vitebsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
35.3%
@ 2.69+0.6%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.43-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.85
Superbet
2.82
Marathonbet
2.77
Pinnacle
2.31
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Belshina over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
40.9%
@ 2.08-3.4%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.66+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Belshina over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 6.83-3.8%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.08+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Belshina over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 13.85-5.5%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.06+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
1xBet
6.70
Under
1xBet
1.06
Belshina over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.2%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ML Vitebsk, so a minus line means ML Vitebsk give that many goals of a start and Belshina receive them. At -1, ML Vitebsk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ML Vitebsk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ML Vitebsk)Actual: Belshina
ML Vitebsk -2
46.7%
@ 2.16+5.1%
Draw -2
21.7%
@ 4.20+0.3%
Belshina +2
31.6%
@ 2.43-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.16
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Away
Marathonbet
2.43
Handicap -1 (ML Vitebsk)Actual: Belshina
ML Vitebsk -1
68.4%
@ 1.44+5.7%
Draw -1
17.4%
@ 4.55-2.4%
Belshina +1
14.2%
@ 5.20-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.44
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Marathonbet
5.20
Handicap +1 (ML Vitebsk)Actual: ML Vitebsk
ML Vitebsk +1
96.5%
Draw +1
2.7%
Belshina -1
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ML Vitebsk)Actual: ML Vitebsk
ML Vitebsk +2
99.2%
Draw +2
0.7%
Belshina -2
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ML Vitebsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.27
1.06
0.19
0.57
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.81
0.23
1.00
0.21
0.58
0.25
Clean sheet %
77% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belshina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.67
0.47
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.54
0.64
0.45
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.40
0.75
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.6%
@ 1.22-3.0%
Under 0.5
27.4%
@ 3.78+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Under
Superbet
4.00
William Hil
3.90
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.58
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.04-7.1%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.71+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.11
Pinnacle
2.06
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Under
SBO
1.82
Superbet
1.73
William Hil
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 4.40-6.8%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.17+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.50
William Hil
4.40
Superbet
4.10
Under
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ML Vitebsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
64.5%
@ 1.29-7.4%
Under
35.5%
@ 3.30+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.30
ML Vitebsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
24.3%
@ 2.46-13.3%
Under
75.7%
@ 1.48+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.61
Pinnacle
2.46
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.42
ML Vitebsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 5.40-11.6%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.10+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.40
Under
1xBet
1.10
Belshina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
25.9%
@ 3.92+2.3%
Under
74.1%
@ 1.21-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.75
Under
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Belshina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belshina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ML Vitebsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.30
0.69
0.31
0.93
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.92
0.35
0.79
0.36
1.08
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belshina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
1.00
0.47
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.71
0.91
0.45
0.77
0.92
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.40
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (ML Vitebsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.6%
@ 1.12+0.0%
Under 0.5
17.4%
@ 5.33-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Superbet
5.30
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.3%
@ 1.64-8.3%
Under 1.5
51.7%
@ 2.13+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.73
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.12
William Hil
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 2.93-11.7%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.36+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.81
Under
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ML Vitebsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
69.2%
@ 1.17-10.2%
Under
30.8%
@ 4.50+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.50
ML Vitebsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
32.4%
@ 1.91-15.9%
Under
67.6%
@ 1.79+15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.73
ML Vitebsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 3.60-11.0%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.23+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.23
Belshina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
33.9%
@ 3.15+4.6%
Under
66.1%
@ 1.31-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Under
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Belshina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belshina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
98.4%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 7.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
96.5%
1.08
1xBet
1.20
William Hil
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
95.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.6%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
-
+11.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
90.2%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
89.3%
1.08
William Hil
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
87.1%
1.09
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home win
85.8%
1.14
Dafabet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.8%
1.17
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.23
1xBet
1.23
-
-
-
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.4%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
82.8%
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
-
+13.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
80.1%
1.23
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+4.7%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.36
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
-
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
75.7%
1.48
1xBet
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.42
-
+13.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals
74.1%
1.21
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
73.5%
1.57
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.56
-
-
-
+15.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.6%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
-
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
72.1%
1.27
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
ML Vitebsk's squad is €12m more valuable than Belshina's (€14m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
ML Vitebsk's attack is €5m more valuable than Belshina's (€6m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
ML Vitebsk's midfield is €2m more valuable than Belshina's (€3m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
ML Vitebsk's defence is €4m more valuable than Belshina's (€5m vs €1m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Dinamo Minsk
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Naftan
Arsenal (Belarus)