This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.44
1.41
1.57
1.50
1.31
1.31
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.20
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (14)
1.21
1.14
1.12
1.50
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (8)
2.12
1.38
2.75
1.25
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
22% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0 ✓
9.6%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
Mlada Boleslav goals ↓
Baník Ostrava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
8.4%
5.7%
2.2%
0.7%
1
9.6%
14%
7.5%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.2%
8.5%
5.0%
1.9%
0.6%
3
3.2%
3.7%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mlada Boleslav goals (down), columns = Baník Ostrava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
Mlada Boleslav is 0.01 points worse than Baník Ostrava in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
Mlada Boleslav is 0.30 goals worse than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.51).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
Mlada Boleslav is 0.05 goals better than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
Mlada Boleslav is 2.6 percentage points better than Baník Ostrava in terms of average possession (53% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mlada Boleslav
For 7.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 12.2 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Baník Ostrava
For 7.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 12.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 10.1 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mlada Boleslav
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
10.1
11.0
9.2
3.5
3.8
3.2
28.1
28.9
27.1
vs Stronger (6)
12.6
13.7
11.0
4.5
6.0
3.0
24.6
26.3
22.0
vs Similar (19)
10.1
10.2
9.9
3.3
3.3
3.2
29.5
30.6
28.4
vs Weaker (2)
4.5
9.0
0.0
2.5
1.0
4.0
23.0
23.0
-
% over line
58%
58%
58%
63%
62%
64%
91%
92%
90%
% under line
42%
42%
42%
37%
38%
36%
9%
8%
10%
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
11.5
11.9
11.2
4.7
4.8
4.6
24.5
25.5
23.5
vs Stronger (5)
10.2
11.0
9.5
4.0
6.5
2.3
23.8
25.5
22.0
vs Similar (14)
11.6
11.3
12.0
5.5
5.0
6.2
24.8
26.6
22.8
vs Weaker (8)
12.1
14.0
10.8
3.8
3.5
4.0
24.3
23.0
25.2
% over line
71%
67%
75%
78%
86%
69%
75%
92%
58%
% under line
29%
33%
25%
22%
14%
31%
25%
8%
42%
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Pardubice
11.8
Baník Ostrava
11.5
Plzen
11.3
Sigma Olomouc
11.2
Slavia Praha
11.2
Slovan Liberec
11.0
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
České Budějovice
10.2
Sparta Praha
10.2
Mlada Boleslav
10.1
Teplice
10.1
Slovácko
9.5
FK Jablonec
9.0
Bohemians 1905
8.8
Hradec Králové
8.8
Zlin
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sparta Praha
5.4
Baník Ostrava
5.3
Hradec Králové
5.0
Slavia Praha
5.0
Slovan Liberec
4.4
FK Jablonec
4.4
Plzen
4.3
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Teplice
4.1
Bohemians 1905
4.0
Zbrojovka Brno
3.9
Mlada Boleslav
3.9
Pardubice
3.8
Zlin
3.8
Slovácko
3.8
České Budějovice
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hradec Králové
28.7
Mlada Boleslav
28.1
Slovan Liberec
26.0
Zlin
25.8
Slovácko
25.5
Slavia Praha
25.5
Teplice
25.2
Sparta Praha
24.7
FK Jablonec
24.7
Sigma Olomouc
24.5
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Pardubice
24.1
Bohemians 1905
23.9
České Budějovice
23.4
Zbrojovka Brno
23.1
Plzen
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
71.9%
Under 9.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.4%
Under 21.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mlada Boleslav
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.77
0.62
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.33
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.63
0.78
0.67
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
44% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.59
0.59
0.79
0.50
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.43
0.38
0.50
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
0.62
1.75
0.25
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
56% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mlada Boleslav
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.81
0.77
0.62
0.57
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.17
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.74
1.00
0.44
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
56% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.85
0.81
0.79
1.00
0.92
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.20
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.71
0.75
1.00
1.17
0.33
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mlada Boleslav · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jiří Klíma50%
Solomon John50%
Martin Šubert50%
Lukáš Letenay33%
Daniel Langhamer25%
David Kozel25%
Martin Králik0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Floder0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Josef Kolářík0%
Jan Zíka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matěj Hybš25%
Jiří Floder25%
Solomon John25%
Martin Šubert25%
Martin Králik0%
Lukáš Letenay0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Klíma0%
Daniel Langhamer0%
David Kozel0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Josef Kolářík0%
Jan Zíka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Solomon John50%
Martin Králik25%
Jiří Klíma25%
Martin Šubert25%
Josef Kolářík25%
Lukáš Letenay0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Floder0%
Daniel Langhamer0%
David Kozel0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Jan Zíka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Langhamer25%
Solomon John25%
Martin Králik0%
Lukáš Letenay0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Klíma0%
Jiří Floder0%
David Kozel0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Martin Šubert0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Josef Kolářík0%
Jan Zíka0%
Baník Ostrava · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Kohút33%
Václav Jurečka25%
Matěj Chaluš25%
Jiri Micek20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matěj Chaluš25%
Filip Kubala25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip Kubala25%
Artúr Musák25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Kohút33%
Dantaye Gilbert20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Mlada Boleslav's squad is €8m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€11m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Mlada Boleslav's attack is €1m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€4m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Mlada Boleslav's midfield is €3m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€4m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Mlada Boleslav's defence is €4m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€3m vs €7m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
Plzen
Bohemians 1905
Slovácko
Sigma Olomouc
Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
Teplice
Pardubice
FK Jablonec
Zlin
České Budějovice
Zbrojovka Brno
Vyškov
Příbram