The contest between Mlada Boleslav and Baník Ostrava is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home win stands at 35%, a draw at 28%, and the away side at 37%. The expected total is 2.7 goals, with the most probable scoreline 1-1 at 13.5%. Mlada Boleslav, playing at home against a similarly-ranked opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Baník Ostrava, on the road, averages 1.45 scored and 1.18 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections are: Under 7.5 goals 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals98.1%, Under 6.5 goals 97.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals97.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals97.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals95.7%, Home under 3.5 goals95.3%, and Away under 3.5 goals94.6%. Both teams have recently been on winning streaks, with Mlada Boleslav’s last five results WWDWD and Baník Ostrava’s WWWLL, adding further intrigue to the match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Mlada Boleslav win
34.5%
Avg Implied 41.4% · @ 2.23
Edge
-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.29
Dafabet
2.28
Betano
2.27
Unibet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Draw
28.2%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.37
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Baník Ostrava win
37.3%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 2.95
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.05
Dafabet
3.05
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Mlada Boleslav
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.97
1.38
0.92
1.53
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.60
1.00
0.67
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.60
0.84
1.50
1.00
1.67
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.27
1.36
1.14
1.69
1.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.33
2.00
5.00
vs Similar (18)
1.33
1.00
1.14
0.71
1.45
1.18
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.00
2.75
1.00
2.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.6%
@ 1.19-1.2%
Under 1.5
23.4%
@ 4.19+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
Pinnacle
4.25
Marathonbet
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.9%
@ 1.67-5.1%
Under 2.5
49.0%
@ 2.13+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.70
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
10Bet
1.67
BetVictor
1.66
Under
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.9%
@ 2.61-6.7%
Under 3.5
71.1%
@ 1.44+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.75
Unibet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.68
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Both teams to score
Yes
56.3%
@ 1.53-3.9%
No
43.7%
@ 2.32+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.60
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.53
Unibet
1.53
1xBet
1.51
No
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.35
10Bet
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.31+6.3%
1-2
8.5%@ 9.62+3.8%
2-1
8.1%@ 8.33+2.7%
0-1
8.0%@ 10.59+3.8%
0-0
7.9%@ 11.83+4.1%
1-0
7.6%@ 8.90+2.6%
0-2
6.4%@ 15.52+3.5%
2-0
5.8%@ 11.83+2.1%
Mlada Boleslav goals ↓
Baník Ostrava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
8.0%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
1
7.6%
13%
8.5%
3.9%
1.4%
2
5.8%
8.1%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.6%
3.6%
2.5%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mlada Boleslav goals (down), columns = Baník Ostrava goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Mlada Boleslav is 0.40 points better than Baník Ostrava in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Mlada Boleslav is 1.40 goals better than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Mlada Boleslav and Baník Ostrava are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Mlada Boleslav is 3.6 percentage points better than Baník Ostrava in terms of average possession (50% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mlada Boleslav
For 6.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 14.8 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Baník Ostrava
For 5.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mlada Boleslav
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.3
10.9
3.2
3.6
2.9
25.4
26.0
24.7
vs Stronger (8)
9.3
10.5
7.7
4.0
3.2
5.3
24.9
26.2
23.0
vs Similar (42)
11.5
11.5
11.4
3.0
3.7
2.5
25.5
26.0
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
55%
62%
42%
48%
37%
79%
86%
71%
% under line
42%
45%
38%
58%
52%
63%
21%
14%
29%
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.6
9.3
3.8
3.6
3.9
25.0
24.0
25.9
vs Stronger (7)
12.1
14.5
9.0
4.0
2.8
5.7
26.1
25.5
27.0
vs Similar (32)
9.4
9.5
9.3
3.9
4.0
3.9
24.4
24.6
24.2
vs Weaker (11)
9.9
10.2
9.5
3.1
3.2
3.0
25.8
20.8
30.8
% over line
51%
67%
35%
54%
52%
56%
76%
71%
80%
% under line
49%
33%
65%
46%
48%
44%
24%
29%
20%
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
11.0
Zbrojovka Brno
10.4
Slovácko
10.2
Bohemians 1905
10.2
Slovan Liberec
10.0
Sparta Praha
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
Hradec Králové
9.7
FK Jablonec
9.7
Plzen
9.4
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plzen
5.5
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Pardubice
4.4
Teplice
4.4
Slavia Praha
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Slovácko
4.0
Zlin
3.9
Bohemians 1905
3.8
Hradec Králové
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.5
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.8
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.4
Slavia Praha
26.9
Slovácko
26.7
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.6
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.3
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Sparta Praha
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Bohemians 1905
23.1
Hradec Králové
22.7
Zbrojovka Brno
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.2%
@ 1.71-2.7%
Under 9.5
48.8%
@ 2.00+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Unibet
1.71
10Bet
1.67
Under
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.98
1xBet
1.96
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.7%
Under 3.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.7%
Under 21.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mlada Boleslav or Draw
59.0%
Avg Implied 68.5% · @ 1.36
Edge
-9.5%
35%
28%
37%
covers Mlada Boleslav + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Mlada Boleslav or Baník Ostrava
72.1%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.27
Edge
-0.9%
35%
28%
37%
covers Mlada Boleslav + Baník Ostrava
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw or Baník Ostrava
68.9%
Avg Implied 58.5% · @ 1.59
Edge
+10.4%
35%
28%
37%
covers Draw + Baník Ostrava
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.62
William Hil
1.60
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5
Over
71.6%
@ 1.18-6.9%
Under
28.4%
@ 4.31+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
BetVictor
4.33
Betano
4.25
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5
Over
35.9%
@ 1.95-11.8%
Under
64.1%
@ 1.78+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Under
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5
Over
13.4%
@ 4.01-9.8%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.21+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Mlada Boleslav over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
@ 9.25-6.2%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.04+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.80
Betfair
9.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5
Over
77.1%
@ 1.27+3.9%
Under
22.9%
@ 3.46-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.61
Betano
3.55
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Marathonbet
3.48
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5
Over
43.4%
@ 2.33+3.5%
Under
56.6%
@ 1.55-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.42
BetVictor
2.38
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5
Over
18.5%
@ 5.36+1.1%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.13-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Baník Ostrava over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
@ 13.25-0.9%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Mlada Boleslav, so a minus line means Mlada Boleslav give that many goals of a start and Baník Ostrava receive them. At -1, Mlada Boleslav must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mlada Boleslav win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mlada Boleslav)
Mlada Boleslav -2
4.6%
@ 8.75-5.6%
Draw -2
9.2%
@ 6.45-4.7%
Baník Ostrava +2
86.2%
@ 1.18+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.00
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.50
Unibet
5.80
Away
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Mlada Boleslav)
Mlada Boleslav -1
13.8%
@ 4.07-8.1%
Draw -1
17.3%
@ 3.98-5.1%
Baník Ostrava +1
68.9%
@ 1.60+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Unibet
3.90
Draw
Marathonbet
4.15
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.85
Away
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
Unibet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Handicap +1 (Mlada Boleslav)
Mlada Boleslav +1
59.0%
@ 1.35-6.9%
Draw +1
20.5%
@ 4.69+1.5%
Baník Ostrava -1
20.5%
@ 5.90+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Handicap +2 (Mlada Boleslav)
Mlada Boleslav +2
79.5%
@ 1.10-4.2%
Draw +2
12.6%
@ 9.00+2.4%
Baník Ostrava -2
7.9%
@ 15.00+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mlada Boleslav
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.62
0.46
0.76
0.41
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.36
0.60
0.40
0.87
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.64
0.71
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.44
0.71
0.29
0.73
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.7%
@ 1.32-2.2%
Under 0.5
31.3%
@ 3.20+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.1%
@ 2.43-4.2%
Under 1.5
65.9%
@ 1.50+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
William Hil
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.53
BetVictor
1.51
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.6%
@ 5.78-4.4%
Under 2.5
88.4%
@ 1.10+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Betano
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Under
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.4%
@ 1.83-1.2%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.88+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.7%
@ 5.24-5.1%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.13+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Betano
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 13.00-4.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.5%
@ 2.05-4.7%
Under
59.5%
@ 1.69+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03
Unibet
2.02
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Unibet
1.67
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.3%
@ 6.24-5.5%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.09+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.70
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
6.00
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
@ 17.50-3.9%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mlada Boleslav
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.77
0.46
0.76
0.59
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.33
0.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.48
0.90
0.60
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.71
0.43
0.94
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.56
0.43
0.43
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
0.75
1.75
0.50
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.7%
@ 1.17-2.5%
Under 0.5
23.3%
@ 4.45+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Under
Betano
4.60
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.4%
@ 1.85-7.7%
Under 1.5
57.6%
@ 1.85+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Unibet
1.87
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.7%
@ 3.62-8.0%
Under 2.5
82.3%
@ 1.25+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.45
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.2%
@ 1.56-7.3%
Under
47.8%
@ 2.29+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.22
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.9%
@ 3.67-6.3%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.24+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.64
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.2%
@ 8.88-6.3%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.5%
@ 1.71-4.7%
Under
50.5%
@ 2.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
1.97
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.5%
@ 4.49-6.2%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.17+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
@ 11.38-5.5%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+6.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.3%
Under 5.5
94.0%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+4.4%
Away under 3.5 goals
93.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+0.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+5.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.10
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+4.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.13
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+5.1%
Home under 2.5 goals
86.6%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+9.8%
Away +2 handicap
86.2%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
-
+10.3%
Under 4.5
85.8%
1.16
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+5.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
+6.2%
Over 21.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.3%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
+8.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
81.5%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
-1.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
+6.3%
Home +2 handicap
79.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-4.2%
Over 2.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
77.1%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
+3.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
-2.5%
Over 1.5
76.6%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
-1.2%
Under 5.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.3%
1.36
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
-
-
+5.0%
Home or Away
72.1%
1.27
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-0.9%
Over 23.5 fouls
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
71.6%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
-6.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
1.44
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
+6.7%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mlada Boleslav
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jiří Klíma50%
Solomon John50%
Martin Šubert50%
Lukáš Letenay33%
Daniel Langhamer25%
David Kozel25%
Martin Králik0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Floder0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Josef Kolářík0%
Jan Zíka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matěj Hybš25%
Jiří Floder25%
Solomon John25%
Martin Šubert25%
Martin Králik0%
Lukáš Letenay0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Klíma0%
Daniel Langhamer0%
David Kozel0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Josef Kolářík0%
Jan Zíka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Solomon John50%
Martin Králik25%
Jiří Klíma25%
Martin Šubert25%
Josef Kolářík25%
Lukáš Letenay0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Floder0%
Daniel Langhamer0%
David Kozel0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Jan Zíka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Langhamer25%
Solomon John25%
Martin Králik0%
Lukáš Letenay0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Klíma0%
Jiří Floder0%
David Kozel0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Martin Šubert0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Josef Kolářík0%
Jan Zíka0%
Baník Ostrava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Kohút33%
Václav Jurečka25%
Matěj Chaluš25%
Jiri Micek20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matěj Chaluš25%
Filip Kubala25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip Kubala25%
Artúr Musák25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Kohút33%
Dantaye Gilbert20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Mlada Boleslav's squad is €8m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€11m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Mlada Boleslav's attack is €1m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€4m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Mlada Boleslav's midfield is €3m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€4m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Mlada Boleslav's defence is €4m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€3m vs €7m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin