The model favours a Mlada Boleslav victory, with a 50% chance of a home win, 28% for a draw and 23% for Bohemians 1905 to come away with the win. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly open game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.2% probability. Mlada Boleslav, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened side, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.12 conceded, while Bohemians 1905 on the road averages 1.33 scored and 0.92 conceded against comparable opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Under 5.5 (95.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (92.2%), Home +2 handicap (91.5% miss) and Under 4.5 (88.4%). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
Results analysis
The upset was swift: Mlada Boleslav’s 2-game winning streak ended as Bohemians 1905 claimed a 2-0 victory. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 50% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections all came through except Home +2 handicap, which missed. Under 7.5 goals hit with 99.5%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.4%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.2%, Under 5.5 hit at 95.4%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 92.5%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 92.2%, and Under 4.5 hit at 88.4%. The match finished 0-2, confirming the away win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Mlada Boleslav win✗ Miss
49.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 win✓ Hit
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Mlada Boleslav
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.27
1.50
1.07
1.94
1.44
vs Stronger (10)
1.40
1.60
1.00
1.20
1.80
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.67
1.22
1.50
1.12
1.80
1.30
vs Weaker (2)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians 1905) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians 1905
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.37
1.20
1.73
1.27
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.83
1.00
2.33
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.25
1.25
1.58
1.33
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.0%
Under 2.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.4%
Under 3.5
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.0%
Mlada Boleslav goals ↓
Bohemians 1905 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
6.5%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.9%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.4%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.0%
4.9%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.0%
1.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mlada Boleslav goals (down), columns = Bohemians 1905 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Zlin
2.50
Teplice
2.50
Vysoké Mýto
2.33
Hanácká
2.25
Bohemians 1905
2.25
Spartak Police n/Metují
2.25
Kuřim
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.25
Baník Ostrava
2.25
Táborsko
2.00
Vyškov
2.00
Baník Souš
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Opava
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Strání
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Český Brod
2.00
Kozlovice
2.00
Artis
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Sokol Zápy
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Uničov
2.00
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Viktoria Žižkov
2.00
Plzen
1.75
Bílovec
1.75
Vratimov
1.50
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.50
Hřebeč
1.50
Slovan Liberec
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Kvasice
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Ústí nad Orlicí
1.50
Rokycany
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Jiskra Rýmařov
1.50
HFK Olomouc
1.50
Start Brno
1.50
Frýdek-Místek
1.50
Mariánské Lázně
1.50
Karlovy Vary
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Benešov
1.50
Dobrovice
1.50
Ždírec nad Doubravou
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Kolovec
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Písek
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Tatran Bohunice
1.50
Sokol Brozany
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Slaný
1.50
Sokol Tasovice
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Sokol Živanice
1.50
Sokol Čechovice
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Slovácko
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.33
Slavia Praha
1.33
Beskyd Frenštát
1.33
Ústí nad Labem
1.33
Hořovicko
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.33
Uherský Brod
1.33
Žďár nad Sázavou
1.33
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Unie Hlubina
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Baník Sokolov
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
FS Třebíč
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
1.00
Havlíčkův Brod
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Milin
0.67
Bzenec
0.67
Velké Hamry
0.50
Velké Meziříčí
0.50
Bospor Bohumín
0.50
Nový Jičín
0.50
Meteor Praha
0.50
Olympie Březová
0.50
Turnov
0.50
Slovan Rosice
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Kosmonosy
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Vsetín
0.00
Ostrov
0.00
Štětí
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Brandýs nad Labem
0.00
Blansko
0.00
Doubravka
0.00
Česká Třebová
0.00
Sokol Hostouň
0.00
Přepeře
0.00
Karviná
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Komárov
0.00
Sokol Železnice
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Řepiště
0.00
Chomutov
0.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
0.00
Baťov
0.00
Slavičín
0.00
Kostelec na Hané
0.00
Trutnov
0.00
Slavia Vejprnice
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Rousínov
0.00
Slavoj Žatec
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
0.00
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Vrchovina
0.00
Krnov
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Skaštice
0.00
Kolín
0.00
Pustá Polom
0.00
Hlinsko
0.00
MILO Olomouc
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Mlada Boleslav is 0.75 points worse than Bohemians 1905 in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ústí nad Labem
4.00
Příbram
4.00
Jiskra Domažlice
3.50
Benešov
3.50
Kladno
3.50
Dukla Praha
3.33
Táborsko
3.00
Hodonín
3.00
Doubravka
3.00
Zbrojovka Brno
3.00
HFK Olomouc
3.00
Sokol Brozany
3.00
Uničov
3.00
Havlíčkův Brod
3.00
Viktoria Žižkov
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.83
Hlučín
2.80
Hanácká
2.75
Český Brod
2.67
Sokol Zápy
2.67
Žďár nad Sázavou
2.67
Baník Souš
2.50
Admira Praha
2.50
Rokycany
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Karlovy Vary
2.50
Zlin
2.50
Slaný
2.50
Sokol Čechovice
2.50
Varnsdorf
2.33
Artis
2.33
Bílovec
2.25
Teplice
2.25
Sparta Praha
2.20
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Pěnčín
2.00
Opava
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Strání
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
2.00
Start Brno
2.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.00
Řepiště
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Kostelec na Hané
2.00
Baník Sokolov
2.00
Slovan Velvary
2.00
FS Třebíč
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Baník Ostrava
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Povltava FA
2.00
Slovan Rosice
2.00
Bohemians 1905
1.75
Kuřim
1.75
Vyškov
1.67
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.67
Beskyd Frenštát
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.50
Slovan Liberec
1.50
Kvasice
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Olympie Březová
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Dobrovice
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Kolovec
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Písek
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Viktoria Otrokovice
1.50
Sokol Tasovice
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Havířov
1.50
Slavia Praha
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.33
Bzenec
1.33
FK Jablonec
1.25
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Kosmonosy
1.00
Břidličná
1.00
Vsetín
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Hřebeč
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Blansko
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
1.00
Velké Meziříčí
1.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Chomutov
1.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
1.00
Mariánské Lázně
1.00
Baťov
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Slavičín
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Slavia Vejprnice
1.00
Slavoj Žatec
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Pustá Polom
1.00
Sokol Živanice
1.00
MILO Olomouc
1.00
Motorlet Praha
1.00
Hořovicko
0.67
Milin
0.67
Uherský Brod
0.67
Vratimov
0.50
Nový Jičín
0.50
Kozlovice
0.50
Meteor Praha
0.50
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.50
Horní Ředice
0.50
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Unie Hlubina
0.00
Štětí
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Česká Třebová
0.00
Bospor Bohumín
0.00
Karviná
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Komárov
0.00
Sokol Železnice
0.00
Trutnov
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Rousínov
0.00
Turnov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Krnov
0.00
Skaštice
0.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
0.00
Kolín
0.00
Hlinsko
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Mlada Boleslav is 0.25 goals worse than Bohemians 1905 in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Unie Hlubina
0.00
Kozlovice
0.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
0.00
Vysoké Mýto
0.33
Táborsko
0.50
Baník Souš
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.50
Viktoria Otrokovice
0.50
Vyškov
0.67
Opava
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Hradec Králové
0.67
Sigma Olomouc
0.67
Uherský Brod
0.67
Hanácká
0.75
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.75
Hlučín
0.80
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Dukla Praha
1.00
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.00
Štětí
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Slovan Liberec
1.00
Jiskra Domažlice
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Česká Třebová
1.00
Strání
1.00
Beskyd Frenštát
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.00
Bospor Bohumín
1.00
Nový Jičín
1.00
Karviná
1.00
Holešov
1.00
Komárov
1.00
Prostějov
1.00
HFK Olomouc
1.00
Start Brno
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Rousínov
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Zlin
1.00
Sokol Zápy
1.00
Pardubice
1.00
Horní Ředice
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Uničov
1.00
Baník Ostrava
1.00
Sparta Praha
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Artis
1.33
Milin
1.33
Hodonín
1.50
Hřebeč
1.50
Plzen
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Bílovec
1.50
Frýdek-Místek
1.50
Karlovy Vary
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Sokol Brozany
1.50
Příbram
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Sokol Živanice
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Havířov
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.67
Varnsdorf
1.67
Český Brod
1.67
Žďár nad Sázavou
1.67
Břidličná
2.00
Vratimov
2.00
Pěnčín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Ostrov
2.00
Kvasice
2.00
Admira Praha
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Sokol Železnice
2.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Baťov
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Turnov
2.00
Baník Sokolov
2.00
Slovan Velvary
2.00
FS Třebíč
2.00
Tatran Všechovice
2.00
Kolín
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Povltava FA
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
2.33
Hořovicko
2.33
Velké Hamry
2.50
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.50
Olympie Březová
2.50
Mariánské Lázně
2.50
Kladno
2.50
Písek
2.50
Aritma Praha
2.50
Slovan Rosice
2.50
Ústí nad Labem
2.67
Kosmonosy
3.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
3.00
Břeclav
3.00
Vsetín
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Sokol Hostouň
3.00
Přepeře
3.00
Meteor Praha
3.00
Řepiště
3.00
Slavičín
3.00
Dobrovice
3.00
Trutnov
3.00
Slavia Vejprnice
3.00
Tatran Bohunice
3.00
Slaný
3.00
Havlíčkův Brod
3.00
Sokol Tasovice
3.00
Bzenec
3.33
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.50
Doubravka
4.00
Valašské Meziříčí
4.00
Frýdlant
4.00
Kolovec
4.00
Vrchovina
4.00
Skaštice
4.00
Sokol Čechovice
4.00
Hlinsko
4.00
MILO Olomouc
4.00
Šumperk
4.00
Rokycany
4.50
Blansko
5.00
Chomutov
5.00
Kostelec na Hané
5.00
Slavoj Žatec
5.00
Pustá Polom
5.00
Rapid Psáry
6.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
6.00
Krnov
7.00
Mlada Boleslav is 0.50 goals worse than Bohemians 1905 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mlada Boleslav or Draw✗ Miss
77.4%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
23%
covers Mlada Boleslav + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav or Bohemians 1905✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
23%
covers Mlada Boleslav + Bohemians 1905
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Bohemians 1905✓ Hit
50.3%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
23%
covers Draw + Bohemians 1905
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
79.2%
Under
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.5%
Under
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.9%
Under
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.7%
Under
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.9%
Under
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Mlada Boleslav, so a minus line means Mlada Boleslav give that many goals of a start and Bohemians 1905 receive them. At -1, Mlada Boleslav must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mlada Boleslav win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Bohemians 1905) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians 1905
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.47
0.87
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.71
0.50
0.75
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mlada Boleslav
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.57
1.07
0.50
1.38
0.62
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
0.50
0.80
0.20
1.40
0.80
vs Similar (18)
1.06
0.67
1.00
0.75
1.10
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians 1905) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians 1905
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.73
0.87
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.54
0.75
0.83
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians 1905 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mlada Boleslav
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matyáš Vojta32%
Lukas Masek25%
Denis Kaulfus25%
Vasil Kušej19%
Jan Buryan18%
Patrik Vydra17%
Lamin Jawo12%
Tomáš Ladra10%
Martin Králik9%
Benson Sakala9%
Vojtech Stransky9%
Solomon John9%
Marek Suchý9%
Michal Ševčík7%
Matej Pulkrab6%
Denis Donát6%
Marek Matějovský5%
Daniel Mareček3%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Andrej Kadlec0%
Jetmir Haliti0%
Matouš Trmal0%
Jakub Fulnek0%
Aleš Mandous0%
Nicolas Penner0%
Daniel Langhamer0%
Dominik Kostka0%
Matej Zachoval0%
Dominik Mareš0%
Vojtěch Hora0%
Tomas Kral0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matej Zachoval40%
Marek Suchý31%
Vojtech Stransky24%
Nicolas Penner23%
Patrik Vydra21%
Marek Matějovský20%
Matyáš Vojta19%
Solomon John17%
Andrej Kadlec17%
Jetmir Haliti17%
Martin Králik16%
Aleš Mandous15%
Daniel Langhamer14%
Matej Pulkrab13%
Lamin Jawo12%
Daniel Mareček12%
Vasil Kušej12%
Jan Buryan9%
Vojtěch Hora9%
Michal Ševčík7%
Lukas Masek5%
Benson Sakala5%
Matouš Trmal4%
Tomáš Ladra3%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Jakub Fulnek0%
Denis Donát0%
Dominik Kostka0%
Dominik Mareš0%
Denis Kaulfus0%
Tomas Kral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vasil Kušej23%
Tomáš Ladra18%
Andrej Kadlec17%
Michal Ševčík14%
Solomon John13%
Martin Králik9%
Jakub Fulnek7%
Dominik Kostka6%
Marek Matějovský5%
Lukas Masek5%
Patrik Vydra4%
Matej Pulkrab3%
Matyáš Vojta3%
Daniel Mareček3%
Vojtech Stransky3%
Marek Suchý3%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Jetmir Haliti0%
Matouš Trmal0%
Aleš Mandous0%
Lamin Jawo0%
Nicolas Penner0%
Daniel Langhamer0%
Benson Sakala0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Matej Zachoval0%
Dominik Mareš0%
Vojtěch Hora0%
Denis Kaulfus0%
Tomas Kral0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tomáš Ladra31%
Matyáš Vojta13%
Lukas Masek10%
Solomon John9%
Vasil Kušej8%
Daniel Mareček6%
Marek Matějovský5%
Patrik Vydra4%
Vojtech Stransky3%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Andrej Kadlec0%
Jetmir Haliti0%
Marek Suchý0%
Martin Králik0%
Matej Pulkrab0%
Matouš Trmal0%
Jakub Fulnek0%
Aleš Mandous0%
Lamin Jawo0%
Nicolas Penner0%
Daniel Langhamer0%
Benson Sakala0%
Michal Ševčík0%
Denis Donát0%
Dominik Kostka0%
Jan Buryan0%
Matej Zachoval0%
Dominik Mareš0%
Vojtěch Hora0%
Denis Kaulfus0%
Tomas Kral0%
Bohemians 1905
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abdulla Yusuf Helal28%
Vladimir Zeman19%
Nelson Okeke18%
Jan Matoušek17%
Josef Jindřišek17%
Václav Drchal12%
Vojtech Smrz8%
Dominik Plestil5%
Aleš Čermák4%
Adam Kadlec4%
Jan Kovařík3%
Robert Hrubý3%
Antonín Křapka3%
Milan Ristovski0%
Ondřej Petrák0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Adam Jánoš0%
Martin Dostál0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Jan Vondra0%
Michal Reichl0%
Jan Shejbal0%
Denis Vála0%
Vojtěch Novák0%
Tomáš Frühwald0%
Lukas Soukup0%
Matej Kadlec0%
Peter Karim0%
Šimon Černý0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jan Vondra33%
Lukas Soukup33%
Nelson Okeke27%
Vojtech Smrz23%
Jan Kovařík21%
Adam Jánoš20%
Šimon Černý20%
Jan Shejbal17%
Matěj Hybš17%
Denis Vála15%
Michal Reichl15%
Abdulla Yusuf Helal14%
Jan Matoušek14%
Antonín Křapka10%
Tomáš Frühwald9%
Milan Ristovski9%
Aleš Čermák8%
Adam Kadlec8%
Vladimir Zeman8%
Robert Hrubý7%
Lukáš Hůlka6%
Dominik Plestil5%
Václav Drchal3%
Ondřej Petrák0%
Martin Dostál0%
Josef Jindřišek0%
Vojtěch Novák0%
Matej Kadlec0%
Peter Karim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matej Kadlec20%
Jan Kovařík14%
Václav Drchal12%
Adam Jánoš10%
Matěj Hybš8%
Vojtech Smrz8%
Abdulla Yusuf Helal7%
Jan Matoušek7%
Martin Dostál5%
Aleš Čermák4%
Adam Kadlec4%
Robert Hrubý3%
Dominik Plestil0%
Milan Ristovski0%
Ondřej Petrák0%
Lukáš Hůlka0%
Jan Vondra0%
Josef Jindřišek0%
Antonín Křapka0%
Michal Reichl0%
Jan Shejbal0%
Denis Vála0%
Vojtěch Novák0%
Tomáš Frühwald0%
Nelson Okeke0%
Lukas Soukup0%
Vladimir Zeman0%
Peter Karim0%
Šimon Černý0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Abdulla Yusuf Helal34%
Václav Drchal18%
Jan Matoušek10%
Dominik Plestil5%
Vladimir Zeman4%
Antonín Křapka3%
Lukáš Hůlka3%
Aleš Čermák0%
Jan Kovařík0%
Milan Ristovski0%
Ondřej Petrák0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Robert Hrubý0%
Adam Jánoš0%
Martin Dostál0%
Jan Vondra0%
Josef Jindřišek0%
Vojtech Smrz0%
Michal Reichl0%
Jan Shejbal0%
Denis Vála0%
Vojtěch Novák0%
Tomáš Frühwald0%
Adam Kadlec0%
Nelson Okeke0%
Lukas Soukup0%
Matej Kadlec0%
Peter Karim0%
Šimon Černý0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
KAR (24)
€7m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Mlada Boleslav's squad is €4m more valuable than Bohemians 1905's (€11m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
KAR (11)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Mlada Boleslav's attack is €2m more valuable than Bohemians 1905's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Mlada Boleslav's midfield is €2m more valuable than Bohemians 1905's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Mlada Boleslav and Bohemians 1905 have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Plzen
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
Sparta Praha
Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
Sigma Olomouc
Teplice
Karviná
Slovácko
Dukla Praha
Pardubice
České Budějovice
Chrudim
Vyškov