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Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Praha Result & Analysis

Date: 03/03/2026
Time: 19:00
Final 0-0
Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav
Vs
33%
27%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha
Czech-Republic: Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mlada Boleslav win✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha win✗ Miss
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L12L31W11D22D04L00D00D30WA·DUK08/11H·SPA22/11A·PLZ30/11H·ZLI06/12A·HRA13/12H·BOH31/01A·SLA07/02H·TEP15/02A·BAN22/02H·FK 28/02← Czech LigaCup →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.831.602.131.531.53
vs Stronger (6)0.833.170.673.331.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.751.501.831.831.671.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W10W21W22D30W30W30W20W00D52WA·ART03/12A·SIG06/12A·UNI11/12H·SLO14/12H·ABE18/12A·DUK31/01A·ZLI08/02H·HRA15/02A·PLZ22/02H·BAN28/02← Czech LigaCup →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.872.361.211.620.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.571.250.500.000.67
vs Weaker (23)2.350.962.801.502.000.54
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.6%
No
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
0-0 ✓
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
Mlada Boleslav goals ↓
Sparta Praha goals →
01234
06.6%7.3%6.5%3.3%1.3%
16.4%13%8.8%4.5%1.7%
25.1%7.9%6.0%3.1%1.2%
32.3%3.6%2.8%1.4%0.5%
40.8%1.2%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mlada Boleslav goals (down), columns = Sparta Praha goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Zlin
2.50
Teplice
2.50
Vysoké Mýto
2.33
Baník Ostrava
2.25
Kuřim
2.25
Spartak Police n/Metují
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.25
Hanácká
2.25
Bohemians 1905
2.25
Vítkovice
2.00
Sokol Zápy
2.00
Strání
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Kozlovice
2.00
Uničov
2.00
Baník Souš
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Opava
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Viktoria Žižkov
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Artis
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Bílovec
1.75
Plzen
1.75
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Slaný
1.50
Písek
1.50
Ždírec nad Doubravou
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Tatran Bohunice
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Rokycany
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Vratimov
1.50
Jiskra Rýmařov
1.50
Sokol Brozany
1.50
Dobrovice
1.50
Ústí nad Orlicí
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Karlovy Vary
1.50
Benešov
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Start Brno
1.50
Frýdek-Místek
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Sokol Tasovice
1.50
Slovácko
1.50
Slovan Liberec
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Mariánské Lázně
1.50
Loko Vltavín
1.33
Hořovicko
1.33
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.33
Uherský Brod
1.33
Žďár nad Sázavou
1.33
Ústí nad Labem
1.33
Slavia Praha
1.33
Sparta Brno
1.08
Nové Sady
1.08
Brumov
1.08
Cesky Tesin
1.08
Stonava
1.08
Hluk
1.08
Zabreh
1.08
Ráječko
1.08
Chotebor
1.08
Svitavy
1.08
TJ Přeštice
1.08
Libčany
1.08
Tempo Praha
1.08
Křimice
1.08
Louny
1.08
Spoje Praha
1.08
Dálnice Speřice
1.08
Kbely
1.08
Čáslav
1.08
Jakubcovice
1.08
Náchod
1.08
Ledec nad Sazavou
1.08
Milevsko
1.08
Tachov
1.08
Litomericko
1.08
Diepenbeek
1.08
Znojmo
1.08
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Havlíčkův Brod
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Baník Sokolov
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Unie Hlubina
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
FS Třebíč
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Bzenec
0.67
Milin
0.67
Velké Meziříčí
0.50
Meteor Praha
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Turnov
0.50
Velké Hamry
0.50
Bospor Bohumín
0.50
Nový Jičín
0.50
Olympie Březová
0.50
Slavičín
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Kolín
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Komárov
0.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Brandýs nad Labem
0.00
Trutnov
0.00
Vrchovina
0.00
Kosmonosy
0.00
Štětí
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Přepeře
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Vsetín
0.00
Doubravka
0.00
Sokol Hostouň
0.00
Hlinsko
0.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
0.00
Chomutov
0.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0.00
Česká Třebová
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Karviná
0.00
Skaštice
0.00
Ostrov
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Mlada Boleslav is 0.50 points worse than Sparta Praha in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ústí nad Labem
4.00
Příbram
4.00
Jiskra Domažlice
3.50
Benešov
3.50
Kladno
3.50
Dukla Praha
3.33
Havlíčkův Brod
3.00
Sokol Brozany
3.00
Uničov
3.00
Hodonín
3.00
Doubravka
3.00
Viktoria Žižkov
3.00
Zbrojovka Brno
3.00
Táborsko
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.83
Hlučín
2.80
Hanácká
2.75
Sokol Zápy
2.67
Žďár nad Sázavou
2.67
Slaný
2.50
Zlin
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Rokycany
2.50
Admira Praha
2.50
Karlovy Vary
2.50
Baník Souš
2.50
Varnsdorf
2.33
Artis
2.33
Teplice
2.25
Bílovec
2.25
Sparta Praha
2.20
Baník Ostrava
2.00
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Povltava FA
2.00
Strání
2.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Baník Sokolov
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Start Brno
2.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.00
FS Třebíč
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Slovan Velvary
2.00
Pěnčín
2.00
Opava
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Kuřim
1.75
Bohemians 1905
1.75
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Písek
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Dobrovice
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Sokol Tasovice
1.50
Slovan Liberec
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Olympie Březová
1.50
Havířov
1.50
Sparta Brno
1.47
Nové Sady
1.47
Brumov
1.47
Cesky Tesin
1.47
Stonava
1.47
Hluk
1.47
Zabreh
1.47
Ráječko
1.47
Chotebor
1.47
Svitavy
1.47
TJ Přeštice
1.47
Libčany
1.47
Tempo Praha
1.47
Křimice
1.47
Louny
1.47
Spoje Praha
1.47
Dálnice Speřice
1.47
Kbely
1.47
Čáslav
1.47
Jakubcovice
1.47
Náchod
1.47
Ledec nad Sazavou
1.47
Milevsko
1.47
Tachov
1.47
Litomericko
1.47
Diepenbeek
1.47
Znojmo
1.47
Loko Vltavín
1.33
Bzenec
1.33
Slavia Praha
1.33
FK Jablonec
1.25
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Slavičín
1.00
Velké Meziříčí
1.00
Motorlet Praha
1.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
1.00
Břidličná
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Kosmonosy
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Vsetín
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Chomutov
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Mariánské Lázně
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Hořovicko
0.67
Uherský Brod
0.67
Milin
0.67
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.50
Meteor Praha
0.50
Vratimov
0.50
Kozlovice
0.50
Horní Ředice
0.50
Nový Jičín
0.50
Břeclav
0.00
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Kolín
0.00
Turnov
0.00
Komárov
0.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.00
Trutnov
0.00
Štětí
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Unie Hlubina
0.00
Hlinsko
0.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0.00
Česká Třebová
0.00
Bospor Bohumín
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Karviná
0.00
Skaštice
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Mlada Boleslav is 0.70 goals worse than Sparta Praha in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kozlovice
0.00
Unie Hlubina
0.00
Vysoké Mýto
0.33
Baník Souš
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.50
Táborsko
0.50
Uherský Brod
0.67
Opava
0.67
Sigma Olomouc
0.67
Hradec Králové
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.75
Hanácká
0.75
Hlučín
0.80
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Baník Ostrava
1.00
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Zlin
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Jiskra Domažlice
1.00
Sokol Zápy
1.00
Strání
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Komárov
1.00
Uničov
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Štětí
1.00
Holešov
1.00
Horní Ředice
1.00
Start Brno
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Sparta Praha
1.00
Česká Třebová
1.00
Bospor Bohumín
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.00
Pardubice
1.00
Slovan Liberec
1.00
Prostějov
1.00
Karviná
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Nový Jičín
1.00
Dukla Praha
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Milin
1.33
Artis
1.33
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Bílovec
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Sokol Brozany
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Karlovy Vary
1.50
Hodonín
1.50
Frýdek-Místek
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Plzen
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Havířov
1.50
Příbram
1.50
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.67
Žďár nad Sázavou
1.67
Varnsdorf
1.67
Sparta Brno
1.99
Nové Sady
1.99
Brumov
1.99
Cesky Tesin
1.99
Stonava
1.99
Hluk
1.99
Zabreh
1.99
Ráječko
1.99
Chotebor
1.99
Svitavy
1.99
TJ Přeštice
1.99
Libčany
1.99
Tempo Praha
1.99
Křimice
1.99
Louny
1.99
Spoje Praha
1.99
Dálnice Speřice
1.99
Kbely
1.99
Čáslav
1.99
Jakubcovice
1.99
Náchod
1.99
Ledec nad Sazavou
1.99
Milevsko
1.99
Tachov
1.99
Litomericko
1.99
Diepenbeek
1.99
Znojmo
1.99
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Povltava FA
2.00
Kolín
2.00
Turnov
2.00
Vratimov
2.00
Břidličná
2.00
Admira Praha
2.00
Baník Sokolov
2.00
Tatran Všechovice
2.00
Benešov
2.00
FS Třebíč
2.00
Slovan Velvary
2.00
Pěnčín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Ostrov
2.00
Hořovicko
2.33
Zbrojovka Brno
2.33
Písek
2.50
Aritma Praha
2.50
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.50
Velké Hamry
2.50
Kladno
2.50
Mariánské Lázně
2.50
Olympie Březová
2.50
Ústí nad Labem
2.67
Slaný
3.00
Slavičín
3.00
Havlíčkův Brod
3.00
Tatran Bohunice
3.00
Břeclav
3.00
Meteor Praha
3.00
Dobrovice
3.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Trutnov
3.00
Kosmonosy
3.00
Přepeře
3.00
Vsetín
3.00
Sokol Hostouň
3.00
Sokol Tasovice
3.00
Bzenec
3.33
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.50
Valašské Meziříčí
4.00
Vrchovina
4.00
Šumperk
4.00
Frýdlant
4.00
Doubravka
4.00
Hlinsko
4.00
Skaštice
4.00
Rokycany
4.50
Chomutov
5.00
Rapid Psáry
6.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
6.00
Mlada Boleslav is 0.50 goals worse than Sparta Praha in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mlada Boleslav or Draw✓ Hit
59.8%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
40%
covers Mlada Boleslav + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav or Sparta Praha✗ Miss
73.0%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
40%
covers Mlada Boleslav + Sparta Praha
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sparta Praha✓ Hit
67.2%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
40%
covers Draw + Sparta Praha
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.5%
Under
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.7%
Under
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.9%
Under
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.4%
Under
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.4%
Under
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Mlada Boleslav, so a minus line means Mlada Boleslav give that many goals of a start and Sparta Praha receive them. At -1, Mlada Boleslav must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mlada Boleslav win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mlada Boleslav)Actual: Sparta Praha
Mlada Boleslav -2
5.4%
Draw -2
9.8%
Sparta Praha +2
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Mlada Boleslav)Actual: Sparta Praha
Mlada Boleslav -1
15.3%
Draw -1
17.5%
Sparta Praha +1
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Mlada Boleslav)Actual: Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav +1
59.8%
Draw +1
19.8%
Sparta Praha -1
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Mlada Boleslav)Actual: Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav +2
79.6%
Draw +2
12.4%
Sparta Praha -2
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L00D31W10W01L02L00D00D00DA·DUK08/11H·SPA22/11A·PLZ30/11H·ZLI06/12A·HRA13/12H·BOH31/01A·SLA07/02H·TEP15/02A·BAN22/02H·FK 28/02← Czech LigaCup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.470.930.930.73
vs Stronger (6)0.171.330.001.670.331.00
vs Similar (24)0.830.710.580.751.080.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D11D20W10W00D10W00D21WA·ART03/12A·SIG06/12A·UNI11/12H·SLO14/12H·ABE18/12A·DUK31/01A·ZLI08/02H·HRA15/02A·PLZ22/02H·BAN28/02← Czech LigaCup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.400.930.640.750.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.290.140.500.250.000.00
vs Weaker (23)1.000.481.100.800.920.23
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W12L00D01L21W02L00D00D30WA·DUK08/11H·SPA22/11A·PLZ30/11H·ZLI06/12A·HRA13/12H·BOH31/01A·SLA07/02H·TEP15/02A·BAN22/02H·FK 28/02← Czech LigaCup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.001.131.200.600.80
vs Stronger (6)0.671.830.671.670.672.00
vs Similar (24)0.920.791.251.080.580.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W21W11D10W20W30W10W00D31WA·ART03/12A·SIG06/12A·UNI11/12H·SLO14/12H·ABE18/12A·DUK31/01A·ZLI08/02H·HRA15/02A·PLZ22/02H·BAN28/02← Czech LigaCup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.471.430.570.880.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.430.430.750.250.000.67
vs Weaker (23)1.350.481.700.701.080.31
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls85.3%--------
Away +2 handicap84.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals84.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.4%--------
Under 4.583.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals80.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.7%-------✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap79.6%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals78.4%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals74.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls73.3%--------
Home or Away73.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners70.3%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Mlada Boleslav
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matyáš Vojta35%
Michal Ševčík29%
Christophe Kabongo25%
Jiří Klíma15%
Josef Kolářík15%
Jan Buryan12%
David Pech12%
Solomon John10%
Dominik Kostka10%
Filip Lehký7%
Roman Macek7%
Ondrej Karafiat7%
David Kozel6%
Jan Zíka4%
Martin Šubert4%
Daniel Langhamer4%
Martin Králik0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Jakub Fulnek0%
Aleš Mandous0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Jiří Floder0%
Nicolas Penner0%
Filip Prebsl0%
Denis Donát0%
Dominik Mareš0%
Filip Matoušek0%
Matouš Krulich0%
Tomas Kral0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christophe Kabongo33%
Roman Macek28%
Jan Buryan25%
Matouš Krulich25%
Matyáš Vojta24%
Filip Matoušek20%
Jan Zíka17%
Filip Prebsl17%
Martin Králik15%
Daniel Langhamer14%
Ondrej Karafiat13%
Dominik Kostka13%
Aleš Mandous12%
David Pech12%
David Kozel11%
Josef Kolářík11%
Jiří Klíma10%
Michal Ševčík10%
Filip Lehký7%
Matěj Hybš7%
Jakub Fulnek0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Jiří Floder0%
Nicolas Penner0%
Denis Donát0%
Solomon John0%
Dominik Mareš0%
Martin Šubert0%
Tomas Kral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Mareček25%
Christophe Kabongo17%
Matěj Hybš13%
Matyáš Vojta12%
Roman Macek10%
Josef Kolářík7%
Daniel Langhamer7%
Ondrej Karafiat7%
Solomon John7%
Michal Ševčík6%
Dominik Kostka6%
David Pech6%
Denis Donát6%
Nicolas Penner6%
Filip Prebsl6%
David Kozel6%
Jiří Klíma5%
Martin Šubert4%
Filip Lehký4%
Martin Králik0%
Jakub Fulnek0%
Aleš Mandous0%
Jiří Floder0%
Jan Buryan0%
Dominik Mareš0%
Filip Matoušek0%
Matouš Krulich0%
Tomas Kral0%
Jan Zíka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Ševčík26%
Jan Buryan12%
Filip Lehký11%
Christophe Kabongo8%
Josef Kolářík7%
Ondrej Karafiat7%
Solomon John7%
Dominik Kostka6%
David Pech6%
Matyáš Vojta6%
Jiří Klíma5%
Roman Macek0%
Martin Králik0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Jakub Fulnek0%
Aleš Mandous0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Jiří Floder0%
Nicolas Penner0%
Daniel Langhamer0%
Filip Prebsl0%
David Kozel0%
Denis Donát0%
Dominik Mareš0%
Filip Matoušek0%
Martin Šubert0%
Matouš Krulich0%
Tomas Kral0%
Jan Zíka0%
Sparta Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lukáš Haraslín38%
Albion Rrahmani28%
Magnus Kofod Andersen25%
Jan Kuchta24%
John Mercado24%
Veljko Birmančević23%
Oliver Sonne12%
Martin Suchomel12%
Patrik Vydra11%
Lukáš Sadílek10%
Joao Grimaldo9%
Matyáš Vojta9%
Pavel Kadeřábek7%
Jakub Martinec7%
Filip Panák6%
Ángelo Preciado6%
Uchenna Aririerisim6%
Adam Ševinský4%
Garang Kuol4%
Asger Sørensen4%
Jaroslav Zelený3%
Matěj Ryneš3%
Kaan Kairinen3%
Peter Vindahl Jensen0%
Sivert Mannsverk0%
Andy Irving0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Kevin-Prince Milla0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sivert Mannsverk39%
Uchenna Aririerisim39%
Ángelo Preciado33%
Adam Ševinský28%
Andy Irving27%
Magnus Kofod Andersen25%
Matěj Ryneš23%
Jan Kuchta22%
Oliver Sonne19%
Asger Sørensen15%
Patrik Vydra15%
Pavel Kadeřábek14%
Kevin-Prince Milla14%
Albion Rrahmani12%
John Mercado12%
Garang Kuol12%
Kaan Kairinen11%
Lukáš Sadílek10%
Jaroslav Zelený10%
Lukáš Haraslín9%
Santiago Eneme8%
Peter Vindahl Jensen7%
Veljko Birmančević0%
Jakub Martinec0%
Filip Panák0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Joao Grimaldo0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Magnus Kofod Andersen25%
Hugo Sochurek22%
Andy Irving20%
Jan Kuchta19%
Lukáš Haraslín18%
Patrik Vydra15%
Veljko Birmančević14%
Ángelo Preciado11%
Kaan Kairinen11%
Pavel Kadeřábek11%
Lukáš Sadílek10%
Jaroslav Zelený10%
Joao Grimaldo9%
John Mercado9%
Matyáš Vojta9%
Sivert Mannsverk9%
Albion Rrahmani8%
Jakub Martinec7%
Oliver Sonne6%
Garang Kuol4%
Asger Sørensen4%
Matěj Ryneš3%
Peter Vindahl Jensen0%
Filip Panák0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Kevin-Prince Milla0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Uchenna Aririerisim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lukáš Haraslín32%
Veljko Birmančević23%
Albion Rrahmani20%
Jan Kuchta19%
Kevin-Prince Milla14%
John Mercado12%
Ángelo Preciado11%
Joao Grimaldo9%
Garang Kuol8%
Uchenna Aririerisim6%
Sivert Mannsverk4%
Santiago Eneme4%
Adam Ševinský4%
Patrik Vydra4%
Pavel Kadeřábek4%
Matěj Ryneš3%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Peter Vindahl Jensen0%
Magnus Kofod Andersen0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Jakub Martinec0%
Andy Irving0%
Filip Panák0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
KAR (24)
€7m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Mlada Boleslav's squad is €81m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€11m vs €92m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
KAR (11)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Mlada Boleslav's attack is €39m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€4m vs €43m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Mlada Boleslav's midfield is €23m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€4m vs €27m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Mlada Boleslav's defence is €19m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€3m vs €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
MB wins
2
Draws
5
SP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Praha · H/A from MB
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25HMB Vs Sparta Praha1-2
27/07/25ASparta Praha Vs MB3-2
13/04/25ASparta Praha Vs MB2-0
10/11/24HMB Vs Sparta Praha2-2
18/05/24HMB Vs Sparta Praha0-5
07/04/24ASparta Praha Vs MB1-1
29/10/23HMB Vs Sparta Praha3-1
05/02/23ASparta Praha Vs MB4-1

Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26HMB Vs FK Jablonec3-0
22/02/26ABaník Ostrava Vs MB0-0
15/02/26HMB Vs Teplice0-0
07/02/26ASlavia Praha Vs MB4-0
31/01/26HMB Vs Bohemians 19052-2
13/12/25AHradec Králové Vs MB1-1
06/12/25HMB Vs Zlin3-1
30/11/25APlzen Vs MB2-1
22/11/25HMB Vs Sparta Praha1-2
08/11/25ADukla Praha Vs MB0-1

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26HSP Vs Baník Ostrava5-2
22/02/26APlzen Vs SP0-0
15/02/26HSP Vs Hradec Králové2-0
08/02/26AZlin Vs SP0-3
31/01/26ADukla Praha Vs SP0-3
18/12/25HSP Vs Aberdeen3-0
14/12/25HSP Vs Slovan Liberec2-2
11/12/25AUniversitatea Craiova Vs SP1-2
06/12/25ASigma Olomouc Vs SP0-1
03/12/25AArtis Vs SP1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav
Czech-Republic: Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDW1.10
HomeLWDDW1.15
AwayWLDLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals3.103.003.21
Over 1.5 %78%73%83%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored1.441.311.58
Conceded1.661.691.62
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners11.2611.7210.71
Cards4.114.164.05
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha
Czech-Republic: Cup
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.88
HomeLDWWW2.12
AwayWWWWD1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%62%50%
AVG goals3.003.502.54
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %64%67%62%
Over 3.5 %34%54%15%
Scored1.882.251.54
Conceded1.121.251.00
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet34%33%35%
Corners8.908.119.65
Cards5.445.375.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha3480
71%
2.4
7428+46
3.0
85%
59%
38%
11.6
68%
4.5
55%
26.4
79%
123
2735612.20.8
58%
2Sparta PrahaSparta Praha3473
65%
2.1
6634+32
2.9
82%
59%
32%
9.6
50%
5.3
70%
24.7
76%
92
4327221.91.0
64%
3PlzenPlzen3563
51%
1.8
6038+22
2.8
77%
51%
26%
9.7
51%
4.7
64%
25.2
77%
57
1522201.71.1
56%
4Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové3556
46%
1.6
5041+9
2.6
71%
49%
26%
9.5
49%
3.8
41%
23.0
60%
14
4371.41.2
45%
5FK JablonecFK Jablonec3555
46%
1.6
4547-2
2.6
77%
40%
23%
10.3
60%
4.2
62%
26.3
83%
14
4461.31.3
49%
6Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc3452
44%
1.5
4438+6
2.4
62%
47%
29%
9.9
56%
4.2
56%
26.3
82%
30
710121.31.1
51%
7Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec3546
34%
1.3
4539+6
2.4
74%
40%
20%
9.8
46%
5.3
80%
29.6
91%
27
17451.31.1
47%
8PardubicePardubice3244
38%
1.4
4249-7
2.8
88%
53%
28%
9.8
56%
4.8
61%
26.4
81%
14
4451.31.5
46%
9TepliceTeplice3542
29%
1.2
4042-2
2.3
66%
43%
26%
9.0
37%
4.5
59%
29.0
89%
8
3231.11.2
42%
10KarvináKarviná3442
38%
1.2
4761-14
3.2
91%
74%
32%
10.3
59%
3.9
55%
26.3
71%
7
4121.41.8
54%
11ZlinZlin3541
31%
1.2
4356-13
2.8
74%
54%
37%
9.6
40%
4.0
58%
28.8
89%
7
2221.21.6
40%
12Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav3540
26%
1.1
4957-8
3.0
83%
60%
40%
11.1
54%
4.2
56%
25.2
80%
11
4431.41.6
55%
13Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19053239
34%
1.2
2938-9
2.1
66%
38%
12%
10.2
56%
3.7
55%
22.2
56%
7
2230.91.2
46%
14SlováckoSlovácko3736
24%
1.0
3752-15
2.4
73%
49%
16%
10.3
62%
3.9
53%
25.6
81%
8
2341.01.4
52%
15Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava3735
24%
0.9
4049-9
2.4
68%
35%
19%
9.9
54%
4.4
68%
24.9
77%
19
5771.11.3
52%
16Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3526
14%
0.7
2351-28
2.1
77%
31%
11%
9.0
46%
4.3
66%
27.7
86%
7
3120.71.5
43%
17ArtisArtis20
0%
0.0
17-6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
50%
9
2250.53.5
30%
18TáborskoTáborsko20
0%
0.0
08-8
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.04.0
-
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →

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