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Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-4
Mladost DG
Mladost DG
Vs
33%
28%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Mladost DG and Buducnost Podgorica is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win chances sit at 33% and 39%, respectively, while a draw is 28%. The expected total is 2.7 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 26% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.5% probability. Mladost DG, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, whereas Buducnost Podgorica, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.11 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 75.8% chance, and Under 3.5 with a 72.1% chance. Both sides are coming off recent setbacks: Mladost DG lost 1-5 to Sutjeska, while Buducnost Podgorica drew 0-0 with Bokelj. The predicted outcome remains an away win, but the margins are narrow.

Results analysis

Mladost DG’s recent form shows a win after a defeat, while Buducnost Podgorica comes off a draw. The final score was 1-4, confirming the away win that the model predicted as the favourite with a 39% probability. The actual total of five goals far exceeded the expected 2.7 and the most likely 2-goal outcome. The model’s selection for Over 1.5 hit, with a 75.8% chance, whereas its Under 3.5 missed, at 72.1%. All picks were settled, and the model’s favourite call was correct.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost DG win✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica win✓ Hit
39.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mladost DGMladost DG

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L10W10W01L23L00D43W00D10W03LH·MOR26/10A·BUD02/11H·PET09/11A·JEZ22/11H·SUT30/11A·ARS06/12A·DEČ10/12A·BOK21/02H·JED25/02A·MOR01/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.401.931.131.071.67
vs Stronger (2)2.000.503.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.501.422.000.921.001.92
vs Weaker (4)1.251.751.002.501.501.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W01L12L01L01L21W01L00DH·MLA02/11A·JED09/11H·MOR22/11H·BOK29/11A·PET06/12A·JEZ10/12A·DEČ14/12H·SUT21/02A·ARS25/02H·DEČ01/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.971.130.931.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.801.000.560.831.17
vs Weaker (15)1.201.131.331.501.110.89
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.9%
Under 2.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 3.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
Mladost DG goals ↓
Buducnost Podgorica goals →
01234
08.2%8.5%6.8%3.2%1.1%
17.5%14%8.6%4.0%1.4%
25.6%7.8%5.5%2.6%0.9%
32.3%3.3%2.3%1.1%0.4%
40.7%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost DG goals (down), columns = Buducnost Podgorica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sutjeska
2.00
Mornar
1.92
Petrovac
1.42
Dečić
1.42
Buducnost Podgorica
1.33
Arsenal Tivat
1.28
Mladost DG
1.28
Jezero
1.24
Bokelj
1.05
Jedinstvo
0.97
Grbalj
0.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.00
Mladost DG is 0.06 points worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sutjeska
1.69
Mornar
1.42
Mladost DG
1.36
Petrovac
1.22
Jezero
1.21
Dečić
1.19
Bokelj
1.05
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Arsenal Tivat
1.00
Jedinstvo
0.83
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.50
Grbalj
0.00
Mladost DG is 0.36 goals better than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Mornar
0.81
Buducnost Podgorica
0.97
Grbalj
1.00
Petrovac
1.00
Sutjeska
1.00
Dečić
1.25
Bokelj
1.26
Arsenal Tivat
1.28
Jezero
1.29
Jedinstvo
1.36
Mladost DG
1.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
4.00
Mladost DG is 0.53 goals worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mladost DGMladost DG

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D01L00D20W00D00D00DH·MOR26/10A·BUD02/11H·PET09/11A·JEZ22/11H·SUT30/11A·ARS06/12A·DEČ10/12A·BOK21/02H·JED25/02A·MOR01/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.430.600.470.400.40
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.540.420.750.330.330.50
vs Weaker (4)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D12L00D00D10W00D00DH·MLA02/11A·JED09/11H·MOR22/11H·BOK29/11A·PET06/12A·JEZ10/12A·DEČ14/12H·SUT21/02A·ARS25/02H·DEČ01/03
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.300.470.330.330.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.270.440.220.330.33
vs Weaker (15)0.400.330.500.500.330.22
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mladost DGMladost DG

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D01L22D00D23L00D10W03LH·MOR26/10A·BUD02/11H·PET09/11A·JEZ22/11H·SUT30/11A·ARS06/12A·DEČ10/12A·BOK21/02H·JED25/02A·MOR01/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.971.330.670.671.27
vs Stronger (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.961.001.250.580.671.42
vs Weaker (4)0.751.251.001.500.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W10W01L00D01L01L11D01L00DH·MLA02/11A·JED09/11H·MOR22/11H·BOK29/11A·PET06/12A·JEZ10/12A·DEČ14/12H·SUT21/02A·ARS25/02H·DEČ01/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.870.600.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.730.530.890.330.500.83
vs Weaker (15)0.800.800.831.000.780.67
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
Mladost DG and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
Mladost DG and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
Mladost DG and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
Mladost DG and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
MD wins
1
Draws
1
BP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mladost DG vs Buducnost Podgorica · H/A from MD
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MD0-1
31/08/25HMD Vs Buducnost Podgorica3-1
03/04/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MD1-2
10/12/23HMD Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-3
27/09/23ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MD2-2
22/07/23HMD Vs Buducnost Podgorica2-1

Mladost DGMladost DG

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26AMornar Vs MD3-0
25/02/26HMD Vs Jedinstvo1-0
21/02/26ABokelj Vs MD0-0
10/12/25ADečić Vs MD3-4
06/12/25AArsenal Tivat Vs MD0-0
30/11/25HMD Vs Sutjeska2-3
22/11/25AJezero Vs MD1-0
09/11/25HMD Vs Petrovac1-0
02/11/25ABuducnost Podgorica Vs MD0-1
26/10/25HMD Vs Mornar1-3

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26HBP Vs Dečić0-0
25/02/26AArsenal Tivat Vs BP1-0
21/02/26HBP Vs Sutjeska2-1
14/12/25ADečić Vs BP1-0
10/12/25AJezero Vs BP1-0
06/12/25APetrovac Vs BP2-1
29/11/25HBP Vs Bokelj0-1
22/11/25HBP Vs Mornar2-0
09/11/25AJedinstvo Vs BP0-1
02/11/25HBP Vs Mladost DG0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mladost DG
Mladost DG
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL1.80
HomeWLWLW2.04
AwayLDWDL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals2.582.462.69
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.501.621.38
Conceded1.080.831.31
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet48%54%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.74
HomeLWLWD1.76
AwayWLLLL1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%48%52%
AVG goals2.802.762.84
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.841.881.80
Conceded0.960.881.04
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SutjeskaSutjeska3672
61%
2.0
6136+25
2.7
72%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.0
-
2MornarMornar3669
56%
1.9
5129+22
2.2
69%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.40.8
-
3PetrovacPetrovac3651
36%
1.4
4436+8
2.2
67%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.0
-
4DečićDečić3651
39%
1.4
4345-2
2.4
64%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.2
-
5Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3648
36%
1.3
3635+1
2.0
61%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.01.0
-
6JezeroJezero3847
32%
1.2
4649-3
2.5
79%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.3
-
7Mladost DGMladost DG3646
39%
1.3
4954-5
2.9
64%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
8Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3646
33%
1.3
3646-10
2.3
64%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
9BokeljBokelj3840
24%
1.1
4048-8
2.3
68%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
10JedinstvoJedinstvo3635
25%
1.0
3049-19
2.2
58%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
11GrbaljGrbalj21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
12Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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