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Mladost Lješkopolje vs Grbalj Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/10/2026
Time: 14:00
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Vs
44%
26%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Mladost Lješkopolje are tipped to win, with a 44% chance of taking the points, 26% for a draw and 30% for Grbalj. The match is expected to see an average of three goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 24% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.3% chance. Home side Mladost, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages two goals scored and 0.9 conceded, while Grbalj, away against a stronger side, averages 1.22 scored and 2.11 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Under 6.5 (96.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.3%), Under 5.5 (91.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.5%), Home +2 handicap (86.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (84.9%) and Under 4.5 (81.9%). The model’s selection for the match result is a home win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost Lješkopolje win
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grbalj win
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D32W01L52W00D31W30W21W00DA·KOM18/04A·ISK26/04H·GRB02/05A·OTR10/05H·INT16/05A·RUD20/05H·BER24/05A·LOV16/08H·KOM23/08A·GRB30/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.101.640.931.001.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.781.330.751.000.801.60
vs Weaker (21)1.521.002.000.901.091.09
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L22D20W24L20W00D02L11D21W00DA·MLA02/05H·ISK10/05A·KOM16/05A·OTR20/05H·INT24/05A·BOK29/05H·BOK03/06H·ZET15/08A·MOG23/08H·MLA30/08← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.201.730.931.471.47
vs Stronger (20)1.451.401.640.821.222.11
vs Similar (5)1.800.401.500.502.000.33
vs Weaker (5)2.001.202.502.001.670.67
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.1%
Under 2.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.7%
Under 3.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
60.5%
No
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
Mladost Lješkopolje goals ↓
Grbalj goals →
01234
06.2%5.7%4.5%2.0%0.7%
17.2%12%7.5%3.3%1.1%
26.9%9.2%6.1%2.7%0.9%
33.8%5.0%3.3%1.5%0.5%
41.5%2.1%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (down), columns = Grbalj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.56 points worse than Grbalj in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.67 goals worse than Grbalj in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.11 goals worse than Grbalj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mladost Lješkopolje or Draw
69.9%
Avg Implied -
44%
26%
30%
covers Mladost Lješkopolje + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje or Grbalj
73.7%
Avg Implied -
44%
26%
30%
covers Mladost Lješkopolje + Grbalj
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Grbalj
56.5%
Avg Implied -
44%
26%
30%
covers Draw + Grbalj
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5
Over
80.6%
Under
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5
Over
48.8%
Under
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5
Over
22.7%
Under
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 3.5
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5
Over
73.7%
Under
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5
Over
38.6%
Under
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5
Over
15.1%
Under
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 3.5
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Mladost Lješkopolje, so a minus line means Mladost Lješkopolje give that many goals of a start and Grbalj receive them. At -1, Mladost Lješkopolje must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mladost Lješkopolje win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mladost Lješkopolje)
Mladost Lješkopolje -2
9.6%
Draw -2
13.5%
Grbalj +2
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Mladost Lješkopolje)
Mladost Lješkopolje -1
23.1%
Draw -1
20.4%
Grbalj +1
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Mladost Lješkopolje)
Mladost Lješkopolje +1
69.9%
Draw +1
16.4%
Grbalj -1
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Mladost Lješkopolje)
Mladost Lješkopolje +2
86.3%
Draw +2
8.9%
Grbalj -2
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D20W01L42W00D11D00D11D00DA·KOM18/04A·ISK26/04H·GRB02/05A·OTR10/05H·INT16/05A·RUD20/05H·BER24/05A·LOV16/08H·KOM23/08A·GRB30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.860.360.380.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.670.500.250.201.00
vs Weaker (21)0.710.431.000.400.450.45
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D00D22D10W00D01L01L00D00DA·MLA02/05H·ISK10/05A·KOM16/05A·OTR20/05H·INT24/05A·BOK29/05H·BOK03/06H·ZET15/08A·MOG23/08H·MLA30/08← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.670.330.670.80
vs Stronger (20)0.600.650.550.360.671.00
vs Similar (5)0.800.200.500.001.000.33
vs Weaker (5)0.800.601.500.500.330.67
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D12L00D10W00D20W30W10W00DA·KOM18/04A·ISK26/04H·GRB02/05A·OTR10/05H·INT16/05A·RUD20/05H·BER24/05A·LOV16/08H·KOM23/08A·GRB30/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.600.790.570.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.670.250.750.600.60
vs Weaker (21)0.810.571.000.500.640.64
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D20W02L10W00D01L10W21W00DA·MLA02/05H·ISK10/05A·KOM16/05A·OTR20/05H·INT24/05A·BOK29/05H·BOK03/06H·ZET15/08A·MOG23/08H·MLA30/08← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.631.070.600.800.67
vs Stronger (20)0.850.751.090.450.561.11
vs Similar (5)1.000.201.000.501.000.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.601.001.501.330.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.9%-------
Under 6.596.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.3%-------
Under 5.591.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.5%-------
Home +2 handicap86.3%-------
Away under 2.5 goals84.9%-------
Under 4.581.9%-------
Over 1.580.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals80.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals77.3%-------
Away +2 handicap76.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals73.7%-------
Home or Away73.7%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ML wins
2
Draws
4
GRB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mladost Lješkopolje vs Grbalj · H/A from ML
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AGrbalj Vs ML0-0
02/05/26HML Vs Grbalj3-2
14/03/26AGrbalj Vs ML3-1
02/11/25HML Vs Grbalj1-0
10/09/25AGrbalj Vs ML3-1
24/05/25AGrbalj Vs ML4-3
06/04/25HML Vs Grbalj1-1
23/11/24AGrbalj Vs ML1-0

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AGrbalj Vs ML0-0
23/08/26HML Vs Kom2-1
16/08/26ALovćen Vs ML0-3
24/05/26HML Vs Berane3-1
20/05/26ARudar (Montenegro) Vs ML0-0
16/05/26HML Vs Internacional Podgorica5-2
10/05/26AOtrant-Olympic Vs ML1-0
02/05/26HML Vs Grbalj3-2
26/04/26AIskra (Montenegro) Vs ML0-0
18/04/26AKom Vs ML1-0

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HGRB Vs Mladost Lješkopolje0-0
23/08/26AMogren Vs GRB1-2
15/08/26HGRB Vs Zeta1-1
03/06/26HGRB Vs Bokelj0-2
29/05/26ABokelj Vs GRB0-0
24/05/26HGRB Vs Internacional Podgorica2-0
20/05/26AOtrant-Olympic Vs GRB4-2
16/05/26AKom Vs GRB0-2
10/05/26HGRB Vs Iskra (Montenegro)2-2
02/05/26AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.32
HomeWWWWW1.67
AwayDLDWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%27%
AVG goals2.542.462.62
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.181.331.04
Conceded1.361.121.58
BTTS40%50%31%
Clean Sheet32%29%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWD1.62
HomeDWLDD2.04
AwayLWLDW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%60%32%
AVG goals2.702.802.60
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %42%48%36%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored1.501.801.20
Conceded1.201.001.40
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.3
-
2ZetaZeta37
67%
2.3
41+3
1.7
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.3
-
3MogrenMogren36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
4LovćenLovćen36
67%
2.0
67-1
4.3
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.3
-
5GrbaljGrbalj35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
6KomKom33
33%
1.0
45-1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
7Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)33
33%
1.0
12-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.7
-
8JedinstvoJedinstvo33
33%
1.0
35-2
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.7
-
9Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)33
33%
1.0
15-4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.7
-
10BeraneBerane30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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