Mladost Lješkopolje are favoured to win, with a 44% chance of triumph, 27% for a draw and 29% for Lovćen. The model projects an average of 2.8 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.8% probability. Home side Mladost, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded, while Lovćen, on the road against a stronger side, averages 1.89 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.1%, Under 6.5 at 97.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.2%, Under 5.5 at 93.2%, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.2%, Home +2 handicap at 87.5%, Away under 2.5 goals at 87.0% and Under 4.5 at 84.2%. Mladost’s unbeaten run of five games, ending in a 0-0 draw with Grbalj, contrasts with Lovćen’s recent two-game winning streak, highlighted by a 3-2 victory over Berane.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Mladost Lješkopolje win
44.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lovćen win
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Mladost Lješkopolje
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.10
1.64
0.93
1.00
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.33
0.75
1.00
0.80
1.60
vs Weaker (21)
1.52
1.00
2.00
0.90
1.09
1.09
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lovćen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.40
0.94
1.31
1.43
1.50
vs Stronger (17)
1.59
1.18
1.25
1.12
1.89
1.22
vs Similar (13)
0.62
1.69
0.62
1.50
0.60
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.9%
Under 2.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.6%
Under 3.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
Mladost Lješkopolje goals ↓
Lovćen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
6.1%
4.5%
1.9%
0.6%
1
8.2%
13%
7.2%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.3%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
3
4.0%
4.9%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.6%
2.0%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (down), columns = Lovćen goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.03 points worse than Lovćen in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.14 goals better than Lovćen in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.03 goals worse than Lovćen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mladost Lješkopolje or Draw
71.3%
Avg Implied -
44%
27%
29%
covers Mladost Lješkopolje + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje or Lovćen
73.0%
Avg Implied -
44%
27%
29%
covers Mladost Lješkopolje + Lovćen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Lovćen
55.6%
Avg Implied -
44%
27%
29%
covers Draw + Lovćen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5
Over
79.7%
Under
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5
Over
47.3%
Under
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5
Over
21.5%
Under
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 3.5
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5
Over
71.2%
Under
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5
Over
35.3%
Under
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Mladost Lješkopolje, so a minus line means Mladost Lješkopolje give that many goals of a start and Lovćen receive them. At -1, Mladost Lješkopolje must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mladost Lješkopolje win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mladost Lješkopolje)
Mladost Lješkopolje -2
9.6%
Draw -2
13.7%
Lovćen +2
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Mladost Lješkopolje)
Mladost Lješkopolje -1
23.3%
Draw -1
21.0%
Lovćen +1
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Mladost Lješkopolje)
Mladost Lješkopolje +1
71.3%
Draw +1
16.2%
Lovćen -1
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Mladost Lješkopolje)
Mladost Lješkopolje +2
87.5%
Draw +2
8.4%
Lovćen -2
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mladost Lješkopolje
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.86
0.36
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.25
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.71
0.43
1.00
0.40
0.45
0.45
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lovćen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.31
0.62
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (17)
0.53
0.59
0.50
0.50
0.56
0.67
vs Similar (13)
0.23
0.85
0.12
0.75
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mladost Lješkopolje
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.79
0.57
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.67
0.25
0.75
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
0.81
0.57
1.00
0.50
0.64
0.64
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lovćen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.62
0.69
0.93
0.71
vs Stronger (17)
1.06
0.59
0.75
0.62
1.33
0.56
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.85
0.50
0.75
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Zeta
Mogren
Grbalj
Kom
Iskra (Montenegro)
Jedinstvo
Rudar (Montenegro)
Berane