This opponent (Cukaricki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cukaricki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.26
2.07
1.14
1.92
1.38
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.67
0.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (12)
1.92
1.67
2.00
1.86
1.80
1.40
vs Weaker (12)
2.42
0.50
2.50
0.17
2.33
0.83
Clean sheet %
41% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.0%
Under 2.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.9%
No
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1 ✓
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
Mladost Lucani goals ↓
Cukaricki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
6.3%
6.6%
4.0%
1.8%
1
4.7%
11%
9.3%
5.6%
2.5%
2
4.0%
7.2%
6.5%
3.9%
1.8%
3
1.9%
3.3%
3.0%
1.8%
0.8%
4
0.6%
1.2%
1.1%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Lucani goals (down), columns = Cukaricki goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.62
Cukaricki
2.03
TSC Backa Topola
2.03
FK Partizan
1.92
Vojvodina
1.70
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.38
FK Vozdovac
1.24
Radnicki 1923
1.14
Kolubara
1.11
Napredak
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.05
Mladost Lucani
1.03
Javor
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.81
Grafičar
0.50
Mladost Lucani is 1.00 points worse than Cukaricki in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 2.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.59
FK Partizan
1.84
TSC Backa Topola
1.78
Cukaricki
1.76
Vojvodina
1.59
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.08
Mladost Lucani
1.08
Radnicki NIS
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Javor
0.95
Radnik Surdulica
0.79
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Kolubara
0.76
Napredak
0.73
Mladost Novi Sad
0.68
Grafičar
0.50
Mladost Lucani is 0.68 goals worse than Cukaricki in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.51
TSC Backa Topola
0.86
FK Partizan
0.92
Vojvodina
0.95
Napredak
1.00
Cukaricki
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.16
Radnik Surdulica
1.31
Novi Pazar
1.32
Mladost Novi Sad
1.32
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.32
FK Vozdovac
1.41
Grafičar
1.50
Javor
1.51
Kolubara
1.54
Mladost Lucani
1.54
Radnicki NIS
1.64
Indjija
2.00
Mladost Lucani is 0.51 goals worse than Cukaricki in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
TSC Backa Topola
56%
Radnicki 1923
56%
Napredak
54%
Radnicki NIS
52%
Mladost Lucani
51%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
50%
Vojvodina
49%
Cukaricki
49%
Kolubara
45%
Novi Pazar
43%
FK Partizan
43%
Radnik Surdulica
39%
Mladost Novi Sad
38%
Javor
36%
Mladost Lucani is 1.7 percentage points better than Cukaricki in terms of average possession (51% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mladost Lucani
For 3.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 1.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cukaricki
For 4.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 9.2 · Total 18.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mladost Lucani
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
8.0
9.5
6.5
1.8
2.5
1.2
1.5
2.0
1.0
vs Stronger (7)
16.0
16.0
-
1.1
2.0
0.5
2.0
2.0
-
vs Similar (16)
6.9
7.3
6.5
2.1
2.6
1.5
1.0
-
1.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
25%
50%
0%
26%
36%
17%
0%
0%
0%
% under line
75%
50%
100%
74%
64%
83%
100%
100%
100%
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cukaricki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
8.2
7.3
9.3
2.0
2.3
1.8
18.8
19.0
18.5
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
6.0
10.0
3.0
8.0
0.5
21.0
-
21.0
vs Similar (12)
10.2
9.0
10.7
1.2
0.4
2.2
18.0
19.0
16.0
vs Weaker (12)
7.1
7.2
7.0
2.7
3.5
1.8
-
-
-
% over line
46%
14%
83%
26%
29%
23%
25%
50%
0%
% under line
54%
86%
17%
74%
71%
77%
75%
50%
100%
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.3
FK Partizan
10.1
Radnicki NIS
10.0
Radnik Surdulica
9.9
Kolubara
9.6
Napredak
9.0
Vojvodina
8.7
Novi Pazar
8.6
FK Vozdovac
8.5
Cukaricki
8.2
TSC Backa Topola
8.1
Mladost Lucani
8.0
Radnicki 1923
7.8
Mladost Novi Sad
7.4
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
7.4
Javor
5.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
TSC Backa Topola
6.9
Radnicki NIS
6.5
FK Vozdovac
6.2
Javor
5.7
Mladost Novi Sad
5.6
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
5.4
FK Partizan
5.2
Mladost Lucani
5.1
Napredak
4.9
Vojvodina
4.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.7
Novi Pazar
4.7
Kolubara
4.4
Radnicki 1923
4.3
Cukaricki
3.9
Radnik Surdulica
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Napredak
40.0
Novi Pazar
35.5
Radnicki NIS
31.5
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.9
FK Partizan
24.6
Radnicki 1923
23.3
Mladost Novi Sad
23.0
TSC Backa Topola
21.8
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
19.0
Cukaricki
18.8
FK Vozdovac
17.0
Javor
17.0
Radnik Surdulica
12.0
Vojvodina
2.0
Mladost Lucani
1.5
Kolubara
1.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
38.7%
Under 9.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.2%
Under 3.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
12.7%
Under 21.5
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mladost Lucani
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.74
0.73
0.73
0.42
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.29
0.33
1.33
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.50
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cukaricki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
0.86
0.57
1.00
0.85
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.83
0.71
0.86
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.42
1.17
0.17
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
52% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost Lucani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lucani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lucani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mladost Lucani
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.09
1.09
0.82
0.33
1.33
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.57
1.00
1.33
0.25
1.75
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.88
1.12
0.62
0.38
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
26% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cukaricki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cukaricki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.56
1.21
0.57
0.92
0.54
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.83
1.29
1.00
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.08
1.33
0.00
1.17
0.17
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost Lucani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lucani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lucani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cukaricki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 21.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mladost Lucani · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mihailo Todosijević43%
Nikola Ćirković29%
Vasil Tašovski29%
Dušan Jovančić0%
Milan Joksimović0%
Miloš Cvetković0%
Žarko Udovičić0%
Aleksandar Varjačić0%
Nikola Andrić0%
Petar Bojić0%
John Mary0%
Saša Stamenković0%
Veljko Kijevčanin0%
Filip Žunić0%
Vukašin Marković0%
Ognjen Krsmanović0%
Jovan Ćirić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Veljko Kijevčanin43%
Dušan Jovančić29%
Aleksandar Varjačić29%
Žarko Udovičić20%
Vukašin Marković20%
Ognjen Krsmanović20%
Milan Joksimović14%
Nikola Andrić14%
John Mary14%
Vasil Tašovski14%
Miloš Cvetković0%
Petar Bojić0%
Nikola Ćirković0%
Saša Stamenković0%
Filip Žunić0%
Mihailo Todosijević0%
Jovan Ćirić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Varjačić43%
Veljko Kijevčanin29%
Jovan Ćirić14%
Dušan Jovančić0%
Milan Joksimović0%
Miloš Cvetković0%
Žarko Udovičić0%
Nikola Andrić0%
Petar Bojić0%
Nikola Ćirković0%
John Mary0%
Saša Stamenković0%
Filip Žunić0%
Vukašin Marković0%
Mihailo Todosijević0%
Ognjen Krsmanović0%
Vasil Tašovski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
John Mary14%
Vasil Tašovski14%
Dušan Jovančić0%
Milan Joksimović0%
Miloš Cvetković0%
Žarko Udovičić0%
Aleksandar Varjačić0%
Nikola Andrić0%
Petar Bojić0%
Nikola Ćirković0%
Saša Stamenković0%
Veljko Kijevčanin0%
Filip Žunić0%
Vukašin Marković0%
Mihailo Todosijević0%
Ognjen Krsmanović0%
Jovan Ćirić0%
Cukaricki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Adžić33%
Stefan Kovač33%
Novak Mićović0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Muhammed Badammosi0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Muhammed Badammosi67%
Đorđe Ivanović33%
Luka Adžić0%
Novak Mićović0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luka Adžić33%
Novak Mićović0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Muhammed Badammosi0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luka Adžić0%
Novak Mićović0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Samuel Owusu0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Muhammed Badammosi0%
Mihajlo Spasojevic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
RN (26)
€11m
TBT (24)
€10m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
Mladost Lucani's squad is €2m less valuable than Cukaricki's (€8m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
TBT (9)
€5m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
GRA (8)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
Mladost Lucani and Cukaricki have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
TBT (4)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
Mladost Lucani's midfield is €1m less valuable than Cukaricki's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
NAP (12)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
TBT (11)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
JAV (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
FV (8)
€1m
Mladost Lucani's defence is €1m less valuable than Cukaricki's (€2m vs €3m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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FK Crvena Zvezda
TSC Backa Topola
FK Partizan
Vojvodina
Novi Pazar
FK Vozdovac
Radnicki 1923
Kolubara
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Radnik Surdulica
Radnicki NIS
Javor
Mladost Novi Sad
Indjija
Grafičar