This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.22
1.04
1.29
0.71
1.15
1.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.30
0.87
1.33
0.67
1.27
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
Under 2.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
Mladost Lucani goals ↓
Novi Pazar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
7.6%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
1
7.2%
13%
8.6%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.7%
8.1%
5.8%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.6%
3.6%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Lucani goals (down), columns = Novi Pazar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.62
Cukaricki
2.03
TSC Backa Topola
2.03
FK Partizan
1.92
Vojvodina
1.70
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.38
FK Vozdovac
1.24
Radnicki 1923
1.14
Kolubara
1.11
Napredak
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.05
Mladost Lucani
1.03
Javor
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.81
Grafičar
0.50
Mladost Lucani is 0.35 points worse than Novi Pazar in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.59
FK Partizan
1.84
TSC Backa Topola
1.78
Cukaricki
1.76
Vojvodina
1.59
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.08
Mladost Lucani
1.08
Radnicki NIS
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Javor
0.95
Radnik Surdulica
0.79
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Kolubara
0.76
Napredak
0.73
Mladost Novi Sad
0.68
Grafičar
0.50
Mladost Lucani and Novi Pazar are level in goals scored per game (both 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.51
TSC Backa Topola
0.86
FK Partizan
0.92
Vojvodina
0.95
Napredak
1.00
Cukaricki
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.16
Radnik Surdulica
1.31
Novi Pazar
1.32
Mladost Novi Sad
1.32
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.32
FK Vozdovac
1.41
Grafičar
1.50
Javor
1.51
Kolubara
1.54
Mladost Lucani
1.54
Radnicki NIS
1.64
Indjija
2.00
Mladost Lucani is 0.22 goals worse than Novi Pazar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
TSC Backa Topola
56%
Radnicki 1923
56%
Napredak
54%
Radnicki NIS
52%
Mladost Lucani
51%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
50%
Vojvodina
49%
Cukaricki
49%
Kolubara
45%
Novi Pazar
43%
FK Partizan
43%
Radnik Surdulica
39%
Mladost Novi Sad
38%
Javor
36%
Mladost Lucani is 7.7 percentage points better than Novi Pazar in terms of average possession (51% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mladost Lucani
For 3.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Novi Pazar
For 4.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 10.0 · Total 19.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mladost Lucani
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
8.1
9.6
6.6
1.7
2.5
1.0
2.0
2.5
1.5
vs Stronger (10)
11.0
13.0
7.0
1.3
2.2
0.4
2.5
2.5
-
vs Similar (17)
6.9
7.3
6.5
1.9
2.6
1.3
1.5
-
1.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
60%
0%
26%
38%
14%
0%
0%
0%
% under line
70%
40%
100%
74%
62%
86%
100%
100%
100%
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
8.9
7.6
10.2
1.9
2.1
1.7
19.5
16.0
23.0
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
-
13.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
6.0
-
6.0
vs Similar (23)
8.4
7.6
9.5
1.9
2.2
1.6
24.0
16.0
40.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
40%
80%
33%
36%
31%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
40%
60%
20%
67%
64%
69%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Partizan
10.3
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.2
Radnik Surdulica
10.1
Radnicki NIS
10.0
Napredak
9.5
FK Vozdovac
9.2
Mladost Novi Sad
9.2
Kolubara
9.1
Novi Pazar
8.9
Cukaricki
8.9
Vojvodina
8.8
Mladost Lucani
8.1
Radnicki 1923
8.1
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
8.0
TSC Backa Topola
7.9
Javor
5.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
TSC Backa Topola
7.3
Radnicki NIS
6.1
FK Vozdovac
5.8
Javor
5.2
FK Partizan
5.2
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
5.2
Mladost Lucani
5.1
Mladost Novi Sad
4.9
Kolubara
4.9
Novi Pazar
4.7
Radnicki 1923
4.7
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.7
Vojvodina
4.4
Napredak
4.4
Radnik Surdulica
3.9
Cukaricki
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.2
Mladost Novi Sad
23.0
Radnicki NIS
22.7
FK Partizan
22.4
TSC Backa Topola
21.8
Napredak
21.5
Novi Pazar
19.5
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
19.0
Cukaricki
16.0
Radnicki 1923
14.8
FK Vozdovac
13.0
Radnik Surdulica
12.0
Javor
12.0
Vojvodina
3.5
Mladost Lucani
2.0
Kolubara
1.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.2%
Under 9.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.9%
Under 3.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
1.8%
Under 21.5
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mladost Lucani
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.70
0.62
0.62
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.10
0.20
0.80
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.47
0.88
0.50
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
48% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.59
0.52
0.57
0.29
0.62
0.77
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.48
0.50
0.25
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
56% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost Lucani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lucani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lucani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mladost Lucani
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.11
0.92
1.00
0.36
1.21
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.50
0.60
1.60
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.88
1.12
0.62
0.33
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
26% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.52
0.71
0.43
0.54
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.39
0.83
0.42
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
56% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lucani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost Lucani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lucani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lucani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 19.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mladost Lucani · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mihailo Todosijević43%
Nikola Ćirković29%
Vasil Tašovski29%
Dušan Jovančić0%
Milan Joksimović0%
Miloš Cvetković0%
Žarko Udovičić0%
Aleksandar Varjačić0%
Nikola Andrić0%
Petar Bojić0%
John Mary0%
Saša Stamenković0%
Veljko Kijevčanin0%
Filip Žunić0%
Vukašin Marković0%
Ognjen Krsmanović0%
Jovan Ćirić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Veljko Kijevčanin43%
Dušan Jovančić29%
Aleksandar Varjačić29%
Žarko Udovičić20%
Vukašin Marković20%
Ognjen Krsmanović20%
Milan Joksimović14%
Nikola Andrić14%
John Mary14%
Vasil Tašovski14%
Miloš Cvetković0%
Petar Bojić0%
Nikola Ćirković0%
Saša Stamenković0%
Filip Žunić0%
Mihailo Todosijević0%
Jovan Ćirić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Varjačić43%
Veljko Kijevčanin29%
Jovan Ćirić14%
Dušan Jovančić0%
Milan Joksimović0%
Miloš Cvetković0%
Žarko Udovičić0%
Nikola Andrić0%
Petar Bojić0%
Nikola Ćirković0%
John Mary0%
Saša Stamenković0%
Filip Žunić0%
Vukašin Marković0%
Mihailo Todosijević0%
Ognjen Krsmanović0%
Vasil Tašovski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
John Mary14%
Vasil Tašovski14%
Dušan Jovančić0%
Milan Joksimović0%
Miloš Cvetković0%
Žarko Udovičić0%
Aleksandar Varjačić0%
Nikola Andrić0%
Petar Bojić0%
Nikola Ćirković0%
Saša Stamenković0%
Veljko Kijevčanin0%
Filip Žunić0%
Vukašin Marković0%
Mihailo Todosijević0%
Ognjen Krsmanović0%
Jovan Ćirić0%
Novi Pazar · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vieiri Kotzebue25%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Ivan Davidović14%
Dominic Sadi14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Papa Amady Gadio40%
Nikola Skrobonja33%
Jovan Marinković29%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic29%
Dauda Agwom29%
Skima Togbe25%
Tomislav Dadić20%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Nikola Stanković20%
Jonny17%
Aleksandar Miljković14%
Ivan Davidović14%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Dominic Sadi0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Dominic Sadi14%
Dauda Agwom14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fejsal Mulić60%
Dominic Sadi29%
Jonny17%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Kaheim Dixon0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
RN (26)
€11m
TBT (24)
€10m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
Mladost Lucani's squad is €3m less valuable than Novi Pazar's (€8m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
TBT (9)
€5m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
GRA (8)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
Mladost Lucani's attack is €1m more valuable than Novi Pazar's (€4m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
TBT (4)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
Mladost Lucani's midfield is €1m less valuable than Novi Pazar's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
NAP (12)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
TBT (11)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
JAV (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
FV (8)
€1m
Mladost Lucani's defence is €3m less valuable than Novi Pazar's (€2m vs €5m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →