This opponent (Kolubara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolubara
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.50
1.07
1.13
0.40
1.87
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
2.70
1.20
2.40
0.40
3.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.90
1.00
0.50
0.40
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Novi Sad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.4%
Under 1.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.0%
Under 2.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.4%
Under 3.5
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.6%
No
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.5%
1-1
14.6%
1-0 ✓
14.3%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
Mladost Novi Sad goals ↓
Kolubara goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
11%
5.2%
1.5%
0.3%
1
14%
15%
5.7%
1.6%
0.3%
2
8.6%
7.3%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
3
3.1%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.9%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Novi Sad goals (down), columns = Kolubara goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.62
Cukaricki
2.03
TSC Backa Topola
2.03
FK Partizan
1.92
Vojvodina
1.70
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.38
FK Vozdovac
1.24
Radnicki 1923
1.14
Kolubara
1.11
Napredak
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.05
Mladost Lucani
1.03
Javor
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.81
Grafičar
0.50
Mladost Novi Sad is 0.30 points worse than Kolubara in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.59
FK Partizan
1.84
TSC Backa Topola
1.78
Cukaricki
1.76
Vojvodina
1.59
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.08
Mladost Lucani
1.08
Radnicki NIS
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Javor
0.95
Radnik Surdulica
0.79
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Kolubara
0.76
Napredak
0.73
Mladost Novi Sad
0.68
Grafičar
0.50
Mladost Novi Sad is 0.08 goals worse than Kolubara in terms of goals scored per game (0.68 vs 0.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.51
TSC Backa Topola
0.86
FK Partizan
0.92
Vojvodina
0.95
Napredak
1.00
Cukaricki
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.16
Radnik Surdulica
1.31
Novi Pazar
1.32
Mladost Novi Sad
1.32
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.32
FK Vozdovac
1.41
Grafičar
1.50
Javor
1.51
Kolubara
1.54
Mladost Lucani
1.54
Radnicki NIS
1.64
Indjija
2.00
Mladost Novi Sad is 0.22 goals better than Kolubara in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.54).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
TSC Backa Topola
56%
Radnicki 1923
56%
Napredak
54%
Radnicki NIS
52%
Mladost Lucani
51%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
50%
Vojvodina
49%
Cukaricki
49%
Kolubara
45%
Novi Pazar
43%
FK Partizan
43%
Radnik Surdulica
39%
Mladost Novi Sad
38%
Javor
36%
Mladost Novi Sad is 7.3 percentage points worse than Kolubara in terms of average possession (38% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mladost Novi Sad
For 5.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 8.7 · Total 18.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kolubara
For 2.6 · Against 5.8 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 10.8 · Total 19.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mladost Novi Sad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
9.2
10.7
7.3
2.2
2.5
1.9
18.7
23.0
16.5
vs Stronger (10)
7.6
8.3
6.5
3.0
3.2
2.8
27.5
23.0
32.0
vs Similar (21)
10.1
12.5
7.8
1.9
2.2
1.5
1.0
-
1.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
31%
57%
0%
32%
33%
31%
67%
100%
50%
% under line
69%
43%
100%
68%
67%
69%
33%
0%
50%
This opponent (Kolubara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolubara
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
9.2
9.3
9.1
2.2
2.3
2.1
19.6
19.6
-
vs Stronger (10)
9.8
10.5
9.5
2.3
2.6
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
8.8
8.8
8.7
2.1
2.2
2.1
19.6
19.6
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
43%
43%
39%
38%
40%
60%
60%
-
% under line
57%
57%
57%
61%
62%
60%
40%
40%
-
This opponent (Mladost Novi Sad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.2
FK Partizan
10.1
Radnik Surdulica
9.8
Radnicki NIS
9.6
Kolubara
9.2
Napredak
9.2
Mladost Novi Sad
9.2
FK Vozdovac
9.1
Cukaricki
8.9
Novi Pazar
8.7
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
8.5
Radnicki 1923
8.3
Mladost Lucani
8.2
Vojvodina
8.2
TSC Backa Topola
8.0
Javor
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
TSC Backa Topola
6.6
Radnicki NIS
6.2
FK Vozdovac
5.7
Kolubara
5.2
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
5.2
FK Partizan
5.2
Vojvodina
5.1
Javor
5.0
Mladost Novi Sad
4.9
Radnicki 1923
4.9
Mladost Lucani
4.9
Novi Pazar
4.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.5
Napredak
4.1
Radnik Surdulica
3.9
Cukaricki
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Napredak
28.8
TSC Backa Topola
25.6
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
24.8
Radnicki NIS
23.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
22.9
FK Partizan
20.5
Radnicki 1923
19.9
Vojvodina
19.6
Kolubara
19.6
Mladost Novi Sad
18.7
Javor
18.2
Novi Pazar
17.6
Cukaricki
16.8
Radnik Surdulica
15.8
FK Vozdovac
15.0
Mladost Lucani
13.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.5%
Under 9.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.5%
Under 3.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
34.8%
Under 21.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mladost Novi Sad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.83
0.27
0.87
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.20
0.20
1.00
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.25
0.65
0.30
0.80
0.20
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolubara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolubara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.2
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.67
0.53
0.20
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.30
1.00
1.20
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.35
0.50
0.20
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Novi Sad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolubara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolubara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolubara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mladost Novi Sad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.63
0.40
0.80
0.20
0.47
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.20
0.00
1.60
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.35
0.60
0.40
0.10
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolubara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolubara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.83
0.40
0.60
0.20
1.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.40
0.20
1.20
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (20)
0.30
0.55
0.50
0.30
0.10
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Novi Sad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolubara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolubara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolubara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Serbia: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
TSC Backa Topola
Cukaricki
FK Partizan
Vojvodina
Novi Pazar
FK Vozdovac
Radnicki 1923
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Radnik Surdulica
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki NIS
Javor
Indjija
Grafičar