PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Mladost Novi Sad vs OFK Vršac Result & Analysis

Date: 27/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Mladost Novi Sad
Mladost Novi Sad
Vs
37%
33%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost Novi Sad win✗ Miss
36.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac win✓ Hit
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D11D11D00D12L11D11D01LA·RAD21/04H·KOL25/04A·JAV02/05H·FK 07/05A·RAD15/05H·NAP22/05A·MLA27/05H·RAD06/08A·SEM12/08H·IND20/08← Super LigaPrva Liga →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.170.751.190.711.14
vs Stronger (6)1.172.330.503.001.502.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.880.790.930.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W12L00D22D40W10W14L10W00D11DH·FK 21/04A·LOZ26/04H·RAD30/04H·MAC06/05A·SLO13/05A·FK 20/05H·MET28/05H·KOL05/08A·RAD12/08H·SEM18/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.101.000.880.921.38
vs Stronger (6)0.832.170.331.331.333.00
vs Similar (24)1.000.831.140.790.800.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Novi Sad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.5%
Under 1.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.1%
Under 2.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.8%
Under 3.5
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.5%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
1-2 ✓
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
Mladost Novi Sad goals ↓
OFK Vršac goals →
01234
014%11%5.9%1.9%0.4%
113%15%6.4%2.0%0.5%
27.7%7.3%3.5%1.1%0.3%
32.8%2.6%1.2%0.4%0.1%
40.7%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Novi Sad goals (down), columns = OFK Vršac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
OFK Beograd
1.97
Jedinstvo Ub
1.81
Indjija
1.59
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.54
Semendrija 1924
1.51
OFK Vršac
1.43
Macva
1.38
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.35
Dubočica
1.35
Grafičar
1.30
Mladost Novi Sad
1.24
Sloboda Uzice
1.24
Metalac GM
1.22
Kolubara
1.16
RFK Novi Sad
0.84
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.70
Mladost Novi Sad is 0.19 points worse than OFK Vršac in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
OFK Beograd
1.70
Grafičar
1.38
Jedinstvo Ub
1.38
Indjija
1.24
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.19
Kolubara
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
Macva
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.95
Sloboda Uzice
0.92
OFK Vršac
0.89
Dubočica
0.89
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Metalac GM
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.81
Mladost Novi Sad is 0.05 goals better than OFK Vršac in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 0.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tekstilac Odžaci
0.73
Macva
0.78
OFK Vršac
0.84
Semendrija 1924
0.84
OFK Beograd
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.86
Indjija
0.95
Metalac GM
1.03
Mladost Novi Sad
1.03
Dubočica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.05
Kolubara
1.24
Grafičar
1.46
RFK Novi Sad
1.68
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.84
Mladost Novi Sad is 0.19 goals worse than OFK Vršac in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 0.84).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D00D00D00D00D00D01L00DA·RAD21/04H·KOL25/04A·JAV02/05H·FK 07/05A·RAD15/05H·NAP22/05A·MLA27/05H·RAD06/08A·SEM12/08H·IND20/08← Super LigaPrva Liga →
Avg total
0.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.570.310.560.290.57
vs Stronger (6)0.831.330.501.501.001.25
vs Similar (24)0.170.380.290.430.000.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L00D22D20W10W03L00D00D01LH·FK 21/04A·LOZ26/04H·RAD30/04H·MAC06/05A·SLO13/05A·FK 20/05H·MET28/05H·KOL05/08A·RAD12/08H·SEM18/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.350.410.620.85
vs Stronger (6)0.330.670.000.000.671.33
vs Similar (24)0.500.580.430.500.600.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Novi Sad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D11D11D00D12L11D10W01LA·RAD21/04H·KOL25/04A·JAV02/05H·FK 07/05A·RAD15/05H·NAP22/05A·MLA27/05H·RAD06/08A·SEM12/08H·IND20/08← Super LigaPrva Liga →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.440.620.430.57
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.001.500.500.75
vs Similar (24)0.460.500.500.500.400.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D00D20W00D11D10W00D10WH·FK 21/04A·LOZ26/04H·RAD30/04H·MAC06/05A·SLO13/05A·FK 20/05H·MET28/05H·KOL05/08A·RAD12/08H·SEM18/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.650.470.310.54
vs Stronger (6)0.501.500.331.330.671.67
vs Similar (24)0.500.250.710.290.200.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Novi Sad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (28)
€18m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€6m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (8)
€4m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€8m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MNS wins
0
Draws
0
OV wins

Head-to-head

Mladost Novi Sad vs OFK Vršac · H/A from MNS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/23HMNS Vs Indjija0-1
12/08/23ASemendrija 1924 Vs MNS1-1
06/08/23HMNS Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica1-1
27/05/23AMladost Lucani Vs MNS2-1
22/05/23HMNS Vs Napredak0-0
15/05/23ARadnik Surdulica Vs MNS1-1
07/05/23HMNS Vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV1-1
02/05/23AJavor Vs MNS0-0
25/04/23HMNS Vs Kolubara1-0
21/04/23ARadnicki NIS Vs MNS0-1

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/23HOV Vs Semendrija 19241-1
12/08/23ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs OV0-0
05/08/23HOV Vs Kolubara1-0
28/05/23HOV Vs Metalac GM1-4
20/05/23AFK Zlatibor Vs OV0-1
13/05/23ASloboda Uzice Vs OV0-4
06/05/23HOV Vs Macva2-2
30/04/23HOV Vs RAD0-0
26/04/23ALoznica Vs OV2-1
21/04/23HOV Vs FK Trayal2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mladost Novi Sad
Mladost Novi Sad
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDL0.80
HomeWDDDL0.75
AwayWDDLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%15%15%
AVG goals1.982.051.90
Over 1.5 %60%60%60%
Over 2.5 %38%40%35%
Over 3.5 %12%15%10%
Scored0.680.650.70
Conceded1.301.401.20
BTTS40%45%35%
Clean Sheet30%25%35%
Corners9.2010.757.43
Cards4.815.254.38
OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.32
HomeDDLWD1.71
AwayLLWWD0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%48%21%
AVG goals2.102.002.21
Over 1.5 %55%57%53%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %18%14%21%
Scored1.021.140.89
Conceded1.070.861.32
BTTS42%43%42%
Clean Sheet40%38%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OFK BeogradOFK Beograd3773
59%
2.0
6332+31
2.6
76%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
6481.70.9
-
2Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3767
54%
1.8
5139+12
2.4
68%
46%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
3IndjijaIndjija3759
46%
1.6
4635+11
2.2
68%
43%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
4Tekstilac OdžaciTekstilac Odžaci3757
41%
1.5
4427+17
1.9
51%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.7
-
5Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243756
38%
1.5
4031+9
1.9
62%
41%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.10.8
-
6OFK VršacOFK Vršac3753
38%
1.4
3331+2
1.7
49%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.90.8
-
7MacvaMacva3751
35%
1.4
3629+7
1.8
51%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.00.8
-
8Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3750
35%
1.4
3032-2
1.7
41%
19%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
9DubočicaDubočica3750
32%
1.4
3338-5
1.9
57%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.0
-
10GrafičarGrafičar3748
32%
1.3
5154-3
2.8
78%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.5
-
11Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3746
30%
1.2
3538-3
2.0
65%
24%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3746
30%
1.2
3439-5
2.0
59%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
13Metalac GMMetalac GM3745
30%
1.2
3238-6
1.9
57%
27%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
14KolubaraKolubara3743
27%
1.2
4246-4
2.4
70%
35%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
15RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad3731
22%
0.8
3762-25
2.7
65%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3726
16%
0.7
3268-36
2.7
78%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

← all matches