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Mladost Novi Sad vs Radnik Surdulica Result & Analysis

Date: 26/10/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 0-0
Mladost Novi Sad
Mladost Novi Sad
Vs
40%
37%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radnik Surdulica
Radnik Surdulica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost Novi Sad win✗ Miss
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
36.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica win✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W31W11D10W10W20W11D10W00DA·ZEM18/08H·JAV24/08A·IND31/08A·OFK08/09H·SLO16/09A·FK 23/09H·SLO28/09A·DUB05/10H·SEM15/10A·MAC20/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.601.070.641.310.56
vs Stronger (1)3.001.003.001.00--
vs Similar (29)1.140.590.920.621.310.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L11D40W01L00D31W11D00D50WH·SEM18/08A·MAC25/08H·OFK01/09H·BOR08/09A·GRA15/09H·RAD23/09A·FK 28/09H·ZEM06/10A·JAV11/10H·IND19/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.430.881.251.071.64
vs Stronger (4)0.252.250.332.670.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.081.311.000.921.151.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Novi Sad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%29%21%029%127%214%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.9%
Under 1.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.6%
Under 2.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.4%
Under 3.5
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
31.5%
No
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0 ✓
20.8%
1-0
17.5%
1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
6.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
Mladost Novi Sad goals ↓
Radnik Surdulica goals →
01234
021%12%4.4%1.0%0.2%
117%14%4.3%1.0%0.2%
29.0%6.1%2.0%0.5%0.1%
32.9%1.9%0.7%0.1%0.0%
40.7%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Novi Sad goals (down), columns = Radnik Surdulica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Radnik Surdulica
2.11
Javor
1.86
Mladost Novi Sad
1.76
Macva
1.54
FK Vozdovac
1.49
Grafičar
1.43
OFK Vršac
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.30
Zemun
1.30
FK Trayal
1.24
Semendrija 1924
1.14
Dubočica
1.11
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.08
Sloven Ruma
1.05
Indjija
0.86
Sloboda Uzice
0.84
Mladost Novi Sad is 0.35 points worse than Radnik Surdulica in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 2.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Radnik Surdulica
1.73
Grafičar
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.24
Zemun
1.24
Javor
1.19
Mladost Novi Sad
1.16
Dubočica
1.16
FK Trayal
1.14
Macva
1.08
FK Vozdovac
1.03
OFK Vršac
0.92
Indjija
0.89
Semendrija 1924
0.84
Sloven Ruma
0.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.78
Sloboda Uzice
0.62
Mladost Novi Sad is 0.57 goals worse than Radnik Surdulica in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Radnik Surdulica
0.51
Javor
0.68
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Mladost Novi Sad
0.84
Macva
0.89
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.95
OFK Vršac
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.19
Sloven Ruma
1.19
Zemun
1.19
FK Trayal
1.19
Borac Cacak
1.32
Grafičar
1.32
Indjija
1.41
Dubočica
1.54
Mladost Novi Sad is 0.32 goals worse than Radnik Surdulica in terms of goals conceded per game (0.84 vs 0.51).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W10W10W10W00D10W00D00D00DA·ZEM18/08H·JAV24/08A·IND31/08A·OFK08/09H·SLO16/09A·FK 23/09H·SLO28/09A·DUB05/10H·SEM15/10A·MAC20/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.230.570.290.380.19
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.450.240.540.310.380.19
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L10W30W00D00D20W00D00D40WH·SEM18/08A·MAC25/08H·OFK01/09H·BOR08/09A·GRA15/09H·RAD23/09A·FK 28/09H·ZEM06/10A·JAV11/10H·IND19/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.560.440.570.79
vs Stronger (4)0.000.750.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.650.580.690.310.620.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Novi Sad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D21W01L00D10W10W11D10W00DA·ZEM18/08H·JAV24/08A·IND31/08A·OFK08/09H·SLO16/09A·FK 23/09H·SLO28/09A·DUB05/10H·SEM15/10A·MAC20/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.370.500.360.940.38
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.690.340.380.310.940.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L10W01L00D11D11D00D10WH·SEM18/08A·MAC25/08H·OFK01/09H·BOR08/09A·GRA15/09H·RAD23/09A·FK 28/09H·ZEM06/10A·JAV11/10H·IND19/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.830.310.810.500.86
vs Stronger (4)0.251.500.331.670.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.420.730.310.620.540.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Novi Sad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Novi Sad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.591.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.6%--------
Under 2.577.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners71.0%--------
Under 5.5 cards70.4%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Radnik Surdulica · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Zorić25%
Vukašin Bogdanović25%
Darko Stojanović20%
Luka Jovanović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Martin Novaković0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David Stojanović0%
Miloš Popović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Martin Novaković50%
Sadick Abubakar40%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Luka Zorić25%
Đorđe Jovanović25%
Stefan Ranđelović20%
Emmanuel Quarshie20%
Uroš Lazić20%
David Stojanović20%
Miloš Popović20%
Darko Stojanović20%
Tijan Sohna20%
Tom Kljun0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayouba Kosiah33%
David Stojanović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Luka Zorić0%
Martin Novaković0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Miloš Popović0%
Darko Stojanović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Darko Stojanović40%
Luka Zorić25%
Martin Novaković25%
Đorđe Jovanović25%
Miloš Popović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David Stojanović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (26)
€9m
JAV (21)
€5m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
JAV (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
MNS wins
1
Draws
0
RS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mladost Novi Sad vs Radnik Surdulica · H/A from MNS
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/23ARadnik Surdulica Vs MNS1-1
24/10/22HMNS Vs Radnik Surdulica2-1
10/07/22ARadnik Surdulica Vs MNS1-2

Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24AMacva Vs MNS0-0
15/10/24HMNS Vs Semendrija 19241-0
05/10/24ADubočica Vs MNS1-1
28/09/24HMNS Vs Sloven Ruma2-0
23/09/24AFK Trayal Vs MNS0-1
16/09/24HMNS Vs Sloboda Uzice1-0
08/09/24AOFK Vršac Vs MNS1-1
31/08/24AIndjija Vs MNS1-3
24/08/24HMNS Vs Javor1-0
18/08/24AZemun Vs MNS0-2

Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24HRS Vs Indjija5-0
11/10/24AJavor Vs RS0-0
06/10/24HRS Vs Zemun1-1
28/09/24AFK Vozdovac Vs RS1-3
23/09/24HRS Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica0-0
15/09/24AGrafičar Vs RS1-0
08/09/24HRS Vs Borac Cacak4-0
01/09/24HRS Vs OFK Vršac1-1
25/08/24AMacva Vs RS1-0
18/08/24HRS Vs Semendrija 19240-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mladost Novi Sad
Mladost Novi Sad
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.44
HomeDWWWW1.39
AwayWDWDD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%35%37%
AVG goals1.881.781.96
Over 1.5 %62%48%74%
Over 2.5 %22%17%26%
Over 3.5 %12%13%11%
Scored1.000.961.04
Conceded0.880.830.93
BTTS42%39%44%
Clean Sheet40%39%41%
Corners---
Cards---
Radnik Surdulica
Radnik Surdulica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDW0.78
HomeDWDDW0.92
AwayDLLWD0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%19%12%
AVG goals2.141.852.46
Over 1.5 %58%54%62%
Over 2.5 %36%27%46%
Over 3.5 %22%15%29%
Scored0.840.810.88
Conceded1.301.041.58
BTTS36%27%46%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners8.498.009.00
Cards4.473.785.25

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica3778
62%
2.1
6419+45
2.2
70%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.70.5
-
2JavorJavor3769
51%
1.9
4425+19
1.9
59%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.7
-
3Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3765
46%
1.8
4331+12
2.0
59%
35%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
4MacvaMacva3757
43%
1.5
4033+7
2.0
51%
32%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.10.9
-
5FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3755
38%
1.5
3829+9
1.8
51%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.8
-
6GrafičarGrafičar3753
35%
1.4
4949+0
2.6
84%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
7OFK VršacOFK Vršac3749
35%
1.3
3439-5
2.0
57%
30%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.91.1
-
8ZemunZemun3748
30%
1.3
4644+2
2.4
73%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.21.2
-
9Borac CacakBorac Cacak3748
35%
1.3
4649-3
2.6
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
10FK TrayalFK Trayal3746
32%
1.2
4244-2
2.3
70%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243742
27%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
62%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.2
-
12DubočicaDubočica3741
27%
1.1
4357-14
2.7
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
13Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3740
22%
1.1
2935-6
1.7
51%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
14Sloven RumaSloven Ruma3739
22%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
54%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15IndjijaIndjija3732
19%
0.9
3352-19
2.3
68%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3731
19%
0.8
2342-19
1.8
57%
16%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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