This opponent (Cesena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cesena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.42
0.88
2.00
0.46
0.73
1.36
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.50
0.79
1.78
0.56
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
1.00
2.33
0.00
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
46% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.0%
Under 1.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.8%
Under 2.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.3%
Under 3.5
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
35.5%
No
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.5%
0-0 ✓
15.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
12.2%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
Modena goals ↓
Cesena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
7.9%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
1
18%
13%
3.8%
0.8%
0.1%
2
12%
7.8%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
3
5.3%
3.4%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
4
1.7%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Modena goals (down), columns = Cesena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Cagliari
1.98
Crotone
1.95
Trapani
1.74
Pescara
1.71
Cesena
1.62
Bari
1.62
Novara
1.60
Spezia
1.57
Virtus Entella
1.52
Perugia
1.31
Brescia
1.29
Ternana
1.26
Avellino
1.17
Vicenza Virtus
1.17
Virtus
1.14
Ascoli
1.12
Latina
1.10
Pro Vercelli
1.10
Salernitana
1.07
Livorno
1.00
Modena
1.00
Como
0.79
Modena is 0.62 points worse than Cesena in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cagliari
1.83
Pescara
1.64
Trapani
1.52
Crotone
1.45
Bari
1.38
Cesena
1.36
Novara
1.36
Brescia
1.31
Avellino
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Ternana
1.19
Salernitana
1.14
Spezia
1.12
Ascoli
1.07
Livorno
1.07
Latina
1.05
Pro Vercelli
1.02
Virtus
1.02
Vicenza Virtus
0.98
Perugia
0.95
Como
0.93
Modena
0.88
Modena is 0.48 goals worse than Cesena in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Novara
0.83
Crotone
0.86
Cesena
0.88
Perugia
0.95
Virtus Entella
0.95
Cagliari
0.98
Spezia
1.07
Bari
1.14
Trapani
1.17
Latina
1.21
Pescara
1.24
Pro Vercelli
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Modena
1.31
Ternana
1.33
Virtus
1.33
Livorno
1.36
Salernitana
1.45
Como
1.52
Ascoli
1.52
Brescia
1.52
Avellino
1.57
Modena is 0.43 goals worse than Cesena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Modena
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Cesena
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Modena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Cesena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cesena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Not collected for this league yet.
🟨 Total Cards
Not collected for this league yet.
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Modena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.38
0.42
0.08
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.57
0.43
0.14
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.11
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
71% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Cesena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cesena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.15
0.27
0.55
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.29
0.89
0.22
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.44
1.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
71% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Modena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Modena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.79
0.75
0.58
0.25
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.64
1.00
0.57
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (9)
0.22
1.00
0.40
0.60
0.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
38% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Cesena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cesena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.54
1.00
0.31
0.45
0.82
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.50
0.89
0.33
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.56
1.33
0.00
0.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
62% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Modena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Modena · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Giuseppe Caso33%
Giuseppe Ambrosino33%
Francesco Zampano0%
Gastón Brugman0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Steven Nador0%
Bryant Nieling0%
Daniel Tonoli0%
Antonio Imputato0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Tonoli33%
Francesco Zampano0%
Gastón Brugman0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Giuseppe Caso0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Steven Nador0%
Bryant Nieling0%
Antonio Imputato0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gastón Brugman33%
Giuseppe Caso33%
Giuseppe Ambrosino33%
Antonio Imputato33%
Francesco Zampano0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Steven Nador0%
Bryant Nieling0%
Daniel Tonoli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Giuseppe Ambrosino33%
Francesco Zampano0%
Gastón Brugman0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Giuseppe Caso0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Steven Nador0%
Bryant Nieling0%
Daniel Tonoli0%
Antonio Imputato0%
Cesena · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cristian Shpendi67%
Antonio Fiori33%
Dimitri Bisoli0%
Alessandro Siano0%
Andrea Ciofi0%
Matteo Francesconi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Mihajlo Ilić0%
Matteo Guidi0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Xavello Druiventak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Shpendi67%
Matteo Guidi33%
Dimitri Bisoli0%
Alessandro Siano0%
Andrea Ciofi0%
Matteo Francesconi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Mihajlo Ilić0%
Antonio Fiori0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Xavello Druiventak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matteo Guidi33%
Xavello Druiventak33%
Dimitri Bisoli0%
Alessandro Siano0%
Andrea Ciofi0%
Matteo Francesconi0%
Cristian Shpendi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Mihajlo Ilić0%
Antonio Fiori0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dimitri Bisoli0%
Alessandro Siano0%
Andrea Ciofi0%
Matteo Francesconi0%
Cristian Shpendi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Mihajlo Ilić0%
Antonio Fiori0%
Matteo Guidi0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Xavello Druiventak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
CAG (31)
€134m
MOD (28)
€31m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
VV (26)
€11m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
BAR (22)
€8m
VIR (15)
€1m
Modena's squad is €3m more valuable than Cesena's (€31m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
CAG (11)
€51m
CES (10)
€10m
MOD (9)
€7m
AVE (10)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
VIR (5)
€0m
Modena's attack is €3m less valuable than Cesena's (€7m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
CAG (9)
€31m
MOD (9)
€11m
AVE (6)
€9m
VE (11)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
VV (12)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BAR (6)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
VIR (4)
€0m
Modena's midfield is €6m more valuable than Cesena's (€11m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
CAG (11)
€52m
MOD (10)
€12m
CES (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
SPE (13)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
BAR (10)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
VIR (6)
€0m
Modena and Cesena have a similar defence value (both €12m).
Italy: Serie B 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Cagliari
Pescara
Bari
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Perugia
Brescia
Ternana
Vicenza Virtus
Avellino
Virtus
Ascoli
Salernitana
Como