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Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 1-0
Mold Alexandra
Mold Alexandra
Vs
55%
24%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Buckley Town
Buckley Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Mold Alexandra hosts Buckley Town in the Wales: FAW Championship. The home team's recent form has been a mixed bag, coming off a defeat against Guilsfield in their last outing, 2-3. Meanwhile, Buckley Town has struggled, losing their last five matches, most recently to Llanuwchllyn, 1-2. The predicted high-scoring match is evident in the expected 3.3 goals and Mold Alexandra's strong home form, averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.45 conceded against similar opponents. Buckley Town's away form has been less impressive, averaging 1.42 goals scored and 2.08 conceded. The model predicts a Mold Alexandra home win, with a 54% chance of success. The most likely outcome is a draw, 1-1, with a 10.6% chance. The model's selection for the most likely score is a draw, 1-1. The model's suggested picks include an Over 1.5 goals selection, with an 84.7% chance of occurring. The probabilities for the match result are a 54% chance of a Mold Alexandra win, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 22% chance of a Buckley Town win.

Results analysis

The model’s prediction proved spot on as Mold Alexandra secured a 1-0 win at home, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 55 % probability and the outcome matched the actual result. The model’s selections largely hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7 % confidence, Under 7.5 at 98.5 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.9 %, Under 6.5 at 95.9 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.4 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.4 %, Home +2 handicap at 91.3 %, and Under 5.5 at 90.1 %. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s result was noted without repetition.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mold Alexandra win✓ Hit
54.9%
Avg Implied 52.8% · @ 1.71
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Dafabet
1.78
Bet365
1.75
10Bet
1.70
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 3.85
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.03
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.96
Marathonbet
3.96
Buckley Town win✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.80
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.04
Marathonbet
3.98
William Hil
3.90
Betfair
3.90
Dafabet
3.85

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-810W08L10W41W21W21W31W22D23L10WH·RUT07/03A·AIR13/03A·HOL21/03H·GRE28/03A·NEW03/04H·BRI11/04H·FLI18/04H·CAE01/08A·GUI08/08H·HOL15/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.531.311.311.211.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.441.331.601.201.251.50
vs Weaker (12)1.001.830.831.501.172.17
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Buckley Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buckley TownBuckley Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L14L20W01L06L23L15L24L12L11DH·PEN07/03H·DEN13/03A·NEW20/03A·RUT27/03H·BRI03/04A·CAE13/04A·HOL18/04H·DEN01/08A·LLA08/08H·POR15/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.672.432.212.711.192.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.862.672.403.101.362.27
vs Weaker (9)1.221.891.751.750.802.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mold Alexandra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.1%
@ 1.11+1.8%
Under 1.5
16.9%
@ 4.83-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.45-2.4%
Under 2.5
39.3%
@ 2.48+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.58
Marathonbet
2.52
1xBet
2.52
Superbet
2.42
Bet365
2.38
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
@ 2.12-4.8%
Under 3.5
61.6%
@ 1.61+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.3%
@ 1.44-3.1%
No
39.7%
@ 2.51+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
William Hil
1.40
No
William Hil
2.60
1xBet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.46
Superbet
2.45

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%@ 7.50+5.4%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.90+4.5%
2-0
8.4%@ 9.70+4.1%
1-0 ✓
7.5%@ 9.80+3.2%
3-1
6.4%@ 11.60+2.8%
1-2
5.8%@ 12.00+2.3%
2-2
5.8%@ 11.40+2.1%
3-0
5.5%@ 13.80+2.5%
Mold Alexandra goals ↓
Buckley Town goals →
01234
05.3%4.1%3.0%1.2%0.3%
17.5%11%5.8%2.3%0.7%
28.4%9.8%5.8%2.2%0.7%
35.5%6.4%3.8%1.5%0.4%
42.7%3.2%1.9%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mold Alexandra goals (down), columns = Buckley Town goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Mold Alexandra is 1.50 points better than Buckley Town in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Mold Alexandra is 0.83 goals better than Buckley Town in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Mold Alexandra is 0.83 goals better than Buckley Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Mold Alexandra or Draw✓ Hit
78.6%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
+2.2%
55%
24%
21%
covers Mold Alexandra + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Mold Alexandra or Buckley Town✓ Hit
76.2%
Avg Implied 76.7% · @ 1.19
Edge
-0.5%
55%
24%
21%
covers Mold Alexandra + Buckley Town
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Draw or Buckley Town✗ Miss
45.1%
Avg Implied 46.8% · @ 1.95
Edge
-1.7%
55%
24%
21%
covers Draw + Buckley Town
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
2.00

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Mold Alexandra over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.0%
@ 1.07+1.6%
Under
14.0%
@ 5.83-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
5.25
Mold Alexandra over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
58.5%
@ 1.54-1.5%
Under
41.5%
@ 2.31+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.39
Marathonbet
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.20
Mold Alexandra over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
31.4%
@ 2.63-3.3%
Under
68.6%
@ 1.40+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.72
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.57
Under
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.36
Mold Alexandra over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 4.80-5.4%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.13+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Under
1xBet
1.13
Buckley Town over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.0%
@ 1.29-1.6%
Under
31.0%
@ 3.10+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Under
1xBet
3.14
Superbet
3.05
Buckley Town over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.7%
@ 2.47-4.6%
Under
67.3%
@ 1.47+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
1xBet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Superbet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Buckley Town over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 5.33-5.6%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.09+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.15
Under
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Buckley Town over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Mold Alexandra, so a minus line means Mold Alexandra give that many goals of a start and Buckley Town receive them. At -1, Mold Alexandra must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mold Alexandra win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Mold Alexandra)Actual: Buckley Town
Mold Alexandra -2
15.9%
@ 4.90-2.1%
Draw -2
17.0%
@ 4.95-0.9%
Buckley Town +2
67.1%
@ 1.38+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.90
Draw
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Marathonbet
1.38
Handicap -1 (Mold Alexandra)Actual: Draw
Mold Alexandra -1
32.9%
@ 2.75+0.9%
Draw -1
21.9%
@ 3.69-2.0%
Buckley Town +1
45.1%
@ 2.00+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.88
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.62
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
10Bet
3.65
Away
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Handicap +1 (Mold Alexandra)Actual: Mold Alexandra
Mold Alexandra +1
78.6%
Draw +1
12.7%
Buckley Town -1
8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Mold Alexandra)Actual: Mold Alexandra
Mold Alexandra +2
91.3%
Draw +2
6.0%
Buckley Town -2
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L00D20W00D01L30W01L10W10WH·RUT07/03A·AIR13/03A·HOL21/03H·GRE28/03A·NEW03/04H·BRI11/04H·FLI18/04H·CAE01/08A·GUI08/08H·HOL15/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.620.380.640.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.500.800.400.620.62
vs Weaker (12)0.500.500.330.330.670.67
Clean sheet %67% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Buckley Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buckley TownBuckley Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L20W00D04L20W14L13L00D01LH·PEN07/03H·DEN13/03A·NEW20/03A·RUT27/03H·BRI03/04A·CAE13/04A·HOL18/04H·DEN01/08A·LLA08/08H·POR15/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.970.931.140.620.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.811.241.001.600.640.91
vs Weaker (9)0.670.330.750.000.600.60
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Mold Alexandra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.1%
@ 1.21-4.5%
Under 0.5
28.9%
@ 3.76+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.80
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.8%
@ 2.08-8.1%
Under 1.5
64.2%
@ 1.63+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Under
William Hil
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Betfair
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.7%
@ 4.42-8.0%
Under 2.5
87.3%
@ 1.16+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
William Hil
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.25
Under
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mold Alexandra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
53.8%
@ 1.56-5.1%
Under
46.2%
@ 2.24+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.18
Mold Alexandra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 3.60-7.6%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.23+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.23
Mold Alexandra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 8.45-6.3%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.45
Under
1xBet
1.04
Buckley Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.5%
@ 2.13-6.7%
Under
63.5%
@ 1.62+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Under
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Buckley Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 6.50-6.7%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.08+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.08
Buckley Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 11.00-7.2%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W05L10W21W21W20W01L21W13L00DH·RUT07/03A·AIR13/03A·HOL21/03H·GRE28/03A·NEW03/04H·BRI11/04H·FLI18/04H·CAE01/08A·GUI08/08H·HOL15/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.030.690.940.571.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.830.800.800.620.88
vs Weaker (12)0.501.330.501.170.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Buckley Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buckley TownBuckley Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L00D01L02L03L01L11D12L10WH·PEN07/03H·DEN13/03A·NEW20/03A·RUT27/03H·BRI03/04A·CAE13/04A·HOL18/04H·DEN01/08A·LLA08/08H·POR15/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.471.291.570.561.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.051.431.401.500.731.36
vs Weaker (9)0.561.561.001.750.201.40
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mold Alexandra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mold Alexandra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mold Alexandra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mold Alexandra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buckley Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buckley Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buckley Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.7%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+7.2%✓ Hit
Under 7.598.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.595.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.4%1.04
1xBet
1.04
----+6.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.4%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+6.7%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap91.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.590.1%1.08
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.06
---+5.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.6%1.09
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
---+5.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals87.3%1.16
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
-+8.0%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals86.3%1.13
1xBet
1.13
----+5.4%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals86.0%1.07
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
---+1.6%✓ Hit
Over 1.583.1%1.11
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
---+1.8%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals82.1%1.23
1xBet
1.23
----+7.6%✓ Hit
Under 4.579.1%1.22
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.21
--+5.3%✓ Hit
Home or Draw78.6%1.20
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
+2.2%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap78.6%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away76.2%1.19
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.18
-0.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals71.1%1.21
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
--4.5%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
MA wins
1
Draws
3
BT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town · H/A from MA
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/26ABuckley Town Vs MA2-2
27/09/25HMA Vs Buckley Town1-2
12/04/25HMA Vs Buckley Town3-1
01/04/25ABuckley Town Vs MA1-2
03/02/24HMA Vs Buckley Town1-2
30/09/23ABuckley Town Vs MA0-3
07/12/22ABuckley Town Vs MA2-1
26/11/22HMA Vs Buckley Town2-0

Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HMA Vs Holyhead Hotspur1-0
08/08/26AGuilsfield Vs MA3-2
01/08/26HMA Vs Caersws2-2
18/04/26HMA Vs Flint Mountain3-1
11/04/26HMA Vs Brickfield Rangers2-1
03/04/26ANewtown AFC Vs MA1-2
28/03/26HMA Vs Gresford Athletic4-1
21/03/26AHolyhead Hotspur Vs MA0-1
13/03/26AAirbus UK Vs MA8-0
07/03/26HMA Vs Ruthin Town1-0

Buckley TownBuckley Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HBT Vs Porthmadog1-1
08/08/26ALlanuwchllyn Vs BT2-1
01/08/26HBT Vs Denbigh Town2-4
18/04/26AHolyhead Hotspur Vs BT5-1
13/04/26ACaersws Vs BT3-2
03/04/26HBT Vs Brickfield Rangers0-6
27/03/26ARuthin Town Vs BT1-0
20/03/26ANewtown AFC Vs BT0-2
13/03/26HBT Vs Denbigh Town1-4
07/03/26HBT Vs Penrhyncoch0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mold Alexandra
Mold Alexandra
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.32
HomeWWWDW1.50
AwayWLWWL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals2.983.122.85
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %66%71%62%
Over 3.5 %36%42%31%
Scored1.381.751.04
Conceded1.601.381.81
BTTS62%79%46%
Clean Sheet18%12%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Buckley Town
Buckley Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.00
HomeLLLLD0.91
AwayWLLLL1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%23%32%
AVG goals3.744.363.25
Over 1.5 %86%95%79%
Over 2.5 %72%82%64%
Over 3.5 %46%50%43%
Scored1.481.771.25
Conceded2.262.592.00
BTTS58%68%50%
Clean Sheet18%14%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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