Molde are the clear favourite, the model giving them a 68% chance of victory, a 19% chance of a draw and only 13% for KFUM Oslo to win. The pick is a home win, driven by Molde’s strong 2.2 goals per game at home against weaker opponents and their 1.6 goals conceded, while KFUM Oslo, playing away against a stronger side, averages only 1.0 goal scored and 1.33 conceded. The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, with a 9.9% probability. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6% with a 5% edge), Under 7.5 (97.4%), Home +2 handicap (94.6% with a 1% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (94.5% with an 8% edge), Under 6.5 (93.5% with a 3% edge) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (92.9% with a 3% edge). Molde’s recent form, a two-game winning run after a 4-3 win over Valerenga, contrasts with KFUM Oslo’s return from a defeat, 1-4 at Start, underscoring the home side’s advantage.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Molde win
67.8%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.30
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Dafabet
1.32
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
SBO
1.31
Draw
19.1%
Avg Implied 17.1% · @ 5.45
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.96
Dafabet
5.80
Unibet
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.65
KFUM Oslo win
13.1%
Avg Implied 11.5% · @ 8.10
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.80
BetVictor
8.50
Bet365
8.50
Betfair
8.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Molde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.60
2.40
1.40
1.33
1.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
2.00
1.69
2.50
1.30
1.17
2.33
vs Weaker (14)
1.71
1.50
2.20
1.60
1.44
1.44
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KFUM Oslo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.63
1.31
1.44
1.21
1.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
2.00
0.75
2.50
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.27
1.59
1.50
1.08
1.00
2.20
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.2%
@ 1.09+0.5%
Under 1.5
13.8%
@ 6.52-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Under
Unibet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Pinnacle
6.89
Superbet
6.30
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.2%
@ 1.35-2.7%
Under 2.5
33.8%
@ 3.00+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.17
Bet365
3.10
Unibet
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.4%
@ 1.90-4.9%
Under 3.5
55.6%
@ 1.85+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.02
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
Unibet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Both teams to score
Yes
58.2%
@ 1.62+1.0%
No
41.8%
@ 2.17-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
No
William Hil
2.20
Betfair
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Unibet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.6%@ 8.06+4.0%
2-1
9.6%@ 8.25+4.1%
1-1
8.8%@ 10.34+4.4%
3-0
7.7%@ 9.18+2.8%
3-1
7.7%@ 9.25+2.8%
1-0
7.2%@ 9.91+2.6%
2-2
4.8%@ 15.21+1.8%
4-0
4.7%@ 13.29+1.3%
Molde goals ↓
KFUM Oslo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
2.5%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
7.2%
8.8%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
2
9.6%
9.6%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.7%
7.7%
3.8%
1.3%
0.3%
4
4.7%
4.7%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Molde goals (down), columns = KFUM Oslo goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.44
Viking
2.39
Tromso
1.94
Molde
1.67
Fredrikstad
1.44
Lillestrom
1.44
Brann
1.44
Rosenborg
1.33
Ham-Kam
1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Valerenga
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.06
Sandefjord
1.06
Kristiansund BK
0.89
Aalesund
0.83
Start
0.72
Molde is 0.61 points better than KFUM Oslo in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.61
Viking
2.33
Molde
2.00
Brann
2.00
Tromso
1.89
Valerenga
1.72
Aalesund
1.56
Rosenborg
1.50
Ham-Kam
1.44
Lillestrom
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.22
KFUM Oslo
1.11
Start
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.11
Kristiansund BK
0.94
Sandefjord
0.83
Molde is 0.89 goals better than KFUM Oslo in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Viking
1.00
Tromso
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Sandefjord
1.28
Lillestrom
1.39
Rosenborg
1.44
Brann
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.56
Molde
1.61
Kristiansund BK
1.61
KFUM Oslo
1.72
Ham-Kam
1.78
Valerenga
2.11
Start
2.17
Aalesund
2.39
Molde is 0.11 goals better than KFUM Oslo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
59%
Molde
58%
Lillestrom
53%
Rosenborg
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
50%
Tromso
49%
Valerenga
49%
Ham-Kam
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
KFUM Oslo
46%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45%
Aalesund
43%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Molde is 13.0 percentage points better than KFUM Oslo in terms of average possession (58% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Molde
For 6.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KFUM Oslo
For 4.4 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 9.0 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Molde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.0
10.1
3.5
3.4
3.7
22.8
23.8
21.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
9.8
9.8
9.8
4.3
3.8
4.9
24.3
25.7
22.8
vs Weaker (27)
10.3
10.3
10.3
2.9
3.0
2.7
21.4
21.9
21.0
% over line
51%
55%
48%
48%
50%
46%
56%
64%
48%
% under line
49%
45%
52%
52%
50%
54%
44%
36%
52%
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KFUM Oslo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.1
9.1
3.3
3.3
3.2
22.0
20.9
23.2
vs Stronger (11)
9.6
11.0
6.7
3.6
4.1
2.8
19.5
18.0
23.0
vs Similar (38)
8.9
8.4
9.5
3.2
2.9
3.5
22.7
22.1
23.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
45%
55%
46%
44%
48%
56%
52%
60%
% under line
50%
55%
45%
54%
56%
52%
44%
48%
40%
This opponent (Molde) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Aalesund
12.1
Viking
12.0
Valerenga
11.9
Rosenborg
11.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.2
Brann
11.1
Bodo/Glimt
10.9
Sandefjord
10.9
Lillestrom
10.6
Ham-Kam
10.4
Kristiansund BK
10.3
Molde
10.1
Fredrikstad
9.9
Start
9.2
KFUM Oslo
9.0
Tromso
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Viking
4.2
Molde
4.2
Start
4.1
Lillestrom
4.0
Brann
4.0
Rosenborg
4.0
Valerenga
4.0
KFUM Oslo
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Kristiansund BK
3.7
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.3
Aalesund
3.3
Tromso
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.2
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.5
Rosenborg
24.4
Valerenga
24.1
Brann
24.0
Tromso
23.9
Start
23.6
Ham-Kam
23.2
Molde
23.0
Lillestrom
22.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.6
Kristiansund BK
22.0
KFUM Oslo
21.8
Aalesund
21.6
Fredrikstad
20.9
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.1%
@ 1.96+5.9%
Under 9.5
46.9%
@ 1.76-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.7%
Under 3.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.2%
Under 21.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Molde or Draw
85.5%
Avg Implied 87.9% · @ 1.07
Edge
-2.5%
68%
19%
13%
covers Molde + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Molde or KFUM Oslo
80.5%
Avg Implied 83.9% · @ 1.12
Edge
-3.4%
68%
19%
13%
covers Molde + KFUM Oslo
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Draw or KFUM Oslo
34.0%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.33
Edge
+5.8%
68%
19%
13%
covers Draw + KFUM Oslo
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Betano
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Molde over/under 0.5
Over
91.0%
@ 1.04+0.8%
Under
9.0%
@ 9.66-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Under
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.80
Betfair
9.50
Betano
8.00
Molde over/under 1.5
Over
69.4%
@ 1.27-3.8%
Under
30.6%
@ 3.48+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.76
BetVictor
3.60
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Molde over/under 2.5
Over
43.3%
@ 1.86-6.6%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.86+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Unibet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Molde over/under 3.5
Over
22.4%
@ 3.19-6.7%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.31+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
KFUM Oslo over/under 0.5
Over
66.0%
@ 1.53+5.1%
Under
34.0%
@ 2.38-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.48
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.40
Unibet
2.38
10Bet
2.38
KFUM Oslo over/under 1.5
Over
29.3%
@ 3.58+3.4%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.26-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
Pinnacle
3.61
Under
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
KFUM Oslo over/under 2.5
Over
9.5%
@ 9.71-0.1%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.03+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.30
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
KFUM Oslo over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
@ 24.83-1.5%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
28.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Molde, so a minus line means Molde give that many goals of a start and KFUM Oslo receive them. At -1, Molde must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Molde win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Molde)
Molde -2
25.1%
@ 2.81-6.7%
Draw -2
19.5%
@ 4.09-2.4%
KFUM Oslo +2
55.3%
@ 1.94+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.75
Unibet
2.70
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Away
Unibet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Handicap -1 (Molde)
Molde -1
44.7%
@ 1.76-6.3%
Draw -1
21.3%
@ 4.03-1.0%
KFUM Oslo +1
34.0%
@ 3.36+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Betfair
1.73
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Away
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Handicap +1 (Molde)
Molde +1
85.5%
@ 1.08-0.3%
Draw +1
9.1%
@ 10.17+0.0%
KFUM Oslo -1
5.4%
@ 17.83+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
7.50
Away
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
21.00
Unibet
11.50
Handicap +2 (Molde)
Molde +2
94.6%
@ 1.02+0.4%
Draw +2
3.9%
@ 23.00-0.3%
KFUM Oslo -2
1.5%
@ 59.00-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
23.00
Betfair
23.00
Away
Betfair
67.00
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Molde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.83
1.00
0.73
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.94
1.00
0.80
0.80
1.17
1.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.64
1.40
0.60
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KFUM Oslo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.75
0.69
0.79
1.14
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.86
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.95
0.92
0.58
0.60
1.40
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.9%
@ 1.19-3.1%
Under 0.5
25.1%
@ 4.22+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.40
William Hil
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.2%
@ 1.96-9.5%
Under 1.5
61.8%
@ 1.78+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.14
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Betfair
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Unibet
1.82
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.6%
@ 3.97-8.7%
Under 2.5
85.4%
@ 1.21+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Betano
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Under
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Molde over/under 0.5 HT
Over
58.8%
@ 1.36-9.7%
Under
41.2%
@ 2.95+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Under
Unibet
3.00
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.95
10Bet
2.95
Molde over/under 1.5 HT
Over
24.0%
@ 2.66-10.9%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.42+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
Pinnacle
2.69
10Bet
2.65
Superbet
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.45
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Molde over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.3%
@ 6.19-8.6%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.08+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.20
Superbet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
KFUM Oslo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.3%
@ 2.63+2.1%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.43-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.84
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.64
10Bet
2.62
Superbet
2.62
Under
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
KFUM Oslo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.3%
@ 9.62-2.4%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.03+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
Superbet
9.60
1xBet
9.50
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
KFUM Oslo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
@ 40.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Molde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.40
0.67
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.06
0.69
1.70
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.86
0.80
1.00
0.78
0.78
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KFUM Oslo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KFUM Oslo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.56
0.75
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.14
0.50
1.50
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.64
0.58
0.50
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.2%
@ 1.11-1.0%
Under 0.5
16.8%
@ 5.92+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.40
Betano
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.0%
@ 1.56-7.6%
Under 1.5
48.0%
@ 2.30+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Unibet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.7%
@ 2.71-9.6%
Under 2.5
75.3%
@ 1.42+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.90
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Molde over/under 0.5 2H
Over
69.7%
@ 1.23-6.0%
Under
30.3%
@ 3.81+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.85
Superbet
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Molde over/under 1.5 2H
Over
33.6%
@ 2.07-11.2%
Under
66.4%
@ 1.68+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Superbet
1.66
10Bet
1.62
Molde over/under 2.5 2H
Over
11.5%
@ 4.29-10.1%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.18+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
KFUM Oslo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.4%
@ 2.15+1.4%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.62-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Under
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
KFUM Oslo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.9%
@ 6.94-1.5%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.07+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
KFUM Oslo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 21.00-2.3%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
Under 7.5
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.8%
Home +2 handicap
94.6%
1.02
Betfair
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+0.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.7%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
+8.6%
Under 6.5
93.5%
1.05
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
+3.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
91.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+0.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.5%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
+0.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.5%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
+10.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+1.5%
Over 1.5
86.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
+0.5%
Under 5.5
85.9%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+3.7%
Home or Draw
85.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-2.5%
Home +1 handicap
85.5%
1.08
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-0.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.21
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
+8.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.11
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-1.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
80.5%
1.12
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
-3.4%
Over 2.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
77.6%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
+6.7%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
76.0%
1.42
Pinnacle
1.45
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
+10.9%
Under 5.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.3%
1.42
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
+9.6%
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.9%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
-3.1%
Under 4.5
72.7%
1.35
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
+3.7%
Away under 1.5 goals
70.7%
1.26
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
-3.4%
Under 11.5 corners
70.6%
1.30
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-0.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Molde
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eirik Hestad50%
Emil Breivik33%
Daniel Daga33%
Seydina Mohamed Diop33%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen27%
Sondre Milian Granaas19%
Jalal Abdullai17%
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter15%
Trent Kone Doherty14%
Martin Linnes8%
Vebjørn Hoff8%
Caleb Zady Sery8%
Samukelo Kabini7%
Jacob Christensen0%
Mats Møller Dæhli0%
Birk Risa0%
Halldor Stenevik0%
Eirik Haugan0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Albert Posiadała0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Mathias Løvik0%
Blerton Isufi0%
Sivert Sira Hansen0%
Viktor Bender0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathias Løvik60%
Eirik Hestad44%
Sondre Milian Granaas25%
Samukelo Kabini21%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen18%
Emil Breivik17%
Isak Helstad Amundsen17%
Jalal Abdullai17%
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter15%
Albert Posiadała14%
Mats Møller Dæhli11%
Sivert Sira Hansen11%
Viktor Bender11%
Martin Linnes8%
Halldor Stenevik8%
Birk Risa6%
Jacob Christensen0%
Caleb Zady Sery0%
Vebjørn Hoff0%
Eirik Haugan0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Trent Kone Doherty0%
Blerton Isufi0%
Daniel Daga0%
Seydina Mohamed Diop0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emil Breivik28%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg25%
Sondre Milian Granaas19%
Jalal Abdullai17%
Eirik Hestad12%
Sivert Sira Hansen11%
Viktor Bender11%
Halldor Stenevik8%
Caleb Zady Sery8%
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter8%
Albert Posiadała7%
Trent Kone Doherty7%
Samukelo Kabini7%
Martin Linnes0%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Mats Møller Dæhli0%
Birk Risa0%
Vebjørn Hoff0%
Eirik Haugan0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Mathias Løvik0%
Blerton Isufi0%
Daniel Daga0%
Seydina Mohamed Diop0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jalal Abdullai33%
Daniel Daga33%
Emil Breivik28%
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter23%
Sondre Milian Granaas19%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen18%
Eirik Hestad12%
Trent Kone Doherty7%
Martin Linnes0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Caleb Zady Sery0%
Mats Møller Dæhli0%
Birk Risa0%
Vebjørn Hoff0%
Halldor Stenevik0%
Eirik Haugan0%
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg0%
Albert Posiadała0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Mathias Løvik0%
Samukelo Kabini0%
Blerton Isufi0%
Sivert Sira Hansen0%
Seydina Mohamed Diop0%
Viktor Bender0%
KFUM Oslo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Teodor Haltvik40%
Bilal Njie31%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge19%
Magnus Wolff Eikrem17%
Magnus Grødem15%
Hakon Helland Hoseth12%
Simen Hestnes9%
Bjorn Martin Kristensen6%
Daniel Schneider6%
Amin Nouri0%
Robin Rasch0%
Tore Andre Soras0%
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist0%
Martin Tangen Vinjor0%
Fredrik Tobias Berglie0%
David Hickson Gyedu0%
Havar Jensen0%
Emil Odegaard0%
Eirik Franke Saunes0%
Brage Skaret0%
Momodou Lion Njie0%
Jonas Lange Hjorth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Momodou Lion Njie33%
Martin Tangen Vinjor24%
Daniel Schneider22%
Tore Andre Soras20%
David Hickson Gyedu20%
Brage Skaret20%
Eirik Franke Saunes19%
Magnus Grødem15%
Robin Rasch12%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge12%
Bilal Njie8%
Fredrik Tobias Berglie8%
Jonas Lange Hjorth8%
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist6%
Hakon Helland Hoseth6%
Bjorn Martin Kristensen6%
Amin Nouri0%
Magnus Wolff Eikrem0%
Havar Jensen0%
Emil Odegaard0%
Simen Hestnes0%
Teodor Haltvik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Magnus Wolff Eikrem17%
Jonas Lange Hjorth15%
Robin Rasch12%
Hakon Helland Hoseth12%
Martin Tangen Vinjor12%
David Hickson Gyedu10%
Brage Skaret10%
Simen Hestnes9%
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist6%
Amin Nouri0%
Bilal Njie0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Tore Andre Soras0%
Fredrik Tobias Berglie0%
Havar Jensen0%
Emil Odegaard0%
Eirik Franke Saunes0%
Teodor Haltvik0%
Bjorn Martin Kristensen0%
Momodou Lion Njie0%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge0%
Daniel Schneider0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Teodor Haltvik20%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge12%
Magnus Wolff Eikrem8%
Bilal Njie8%
Magnus Grødem8%
Amin Nouri0%
Robin Rasch0%
Tore Andre Soras0%
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist0%
Martin Tangen Vinjor0%
Fredrik Tobias Berglie0%
David Hickson Gyedu0%
Havar Jensen0%
Emil Odegaard0%
Simen Hestnes0%
Eirik Franke Saunes0%
Hakon Helland Hoseth0%
Brage Skaret0%
Bjorn Martin Kristensen0%
Momodou Lion Njie0%
Jonas Lange Hjorth0%
Daniel Schneider0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Molde's squad is €27m more valuable than KFUM Oslo's (€35m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Molde's attack is €10m more valuable than KFUM Oslo's (€13m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Molde's midfield is €5m more valuable than KFUM Oslo's (€7m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
Molde's defence is €11m more valuable than KFUM Oslo's (€15m vs €4m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bodo/Glimt
Viking
Tromso
Brann
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Start