Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain Result & Analysis

Paris Saint Germain are the clear favourites, with a 60% chance of victory, while Monaco’s win probability sits at 16% and a draw at 24%. The model expects an average of 2.8 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at a 25% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.3% chance. Paris Saint Germain, playing away against a weaker side, typically scores 1.86 goals and concedes one on the road, whereas Monaco’s home form shows a solid defensive record of conceding 1.0 goal per match. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 87.1%, Over 1.5 at 78.6% (miss), Over 2.5 cards at 78.0%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 75.9% (hit), and Under 11.5 corners at 70.3% (hit). Monaco are on a three-game winning streak, whereas Paris Saint Germain come off a draw.

The pre-match favourite, Paris Saint Germain, did not deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. Monaco, on a three-game winning run, held the hosts to a stalemate, while PSG, coming off a draw, failed to break through. The model had given the away side a 60% chance of victory, but the result was a draw. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 19.5 fouls hit with an 87.1% probability, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 75.9%, and Under 11.5 corners hit at 70.3%, whereas Over 1.5 missed at 78.6%. The most likely score was 1-1, yet the game ended 0-0.