This opponent (Rennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.87
1.93
0.67
1.53
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.07
1.21
1.29
1.14
0.86
1.29
vs Weaker (14)
2.43
0.57
2.83
0.17
2.12
0.88
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.5%
@ 1.87+3.3%
Under 2.5
45.5%
@ 1.96-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1 ✓
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
Monaco goals ↓
Rennes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
6.2%
4.7%
2.0%
0.6%
1
7.9%
13%
7.4%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.1%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.7%
4.8%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Monaco goals (down), columns = Rennes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.26
Marseille
1.87
Monaco
1.82
Nice
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.66
Lens
1.63
Lyon
1.63
Lille
1.45
Nantes
1.45
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Reims
1.21
Montpellier
1.13
Angers
1.08
Estac Troyes
1.00
Clermont Foot
0.95
Lorient
0.95
Saint Etienne
0.84
Bordeaux
0.82
Metz
0.82
Monaco is 0.08 points better than Rennes in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.37
Rennes
2.16
Lyon
1.74
Monaco
1.71
Marseille
1.66
Lens
1.63
Strasbourg
1.58
Nantes
1.45
Nice
1.37
Bordeaux
1.37
Stade Brestois 29
1.29
Montpellier
1.29
Lille
1.26
Angers
1.16
Reims
1.13
Saint Etienne
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Estac Troyes
0.97
Metz
0.92
Lorient
0.92
Monaco is 0.45 goals worse than Rennes in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 2.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nice
0.95
Paris Saint Germain
0.95
Marseille
1.00
Rennes
1.05
Monaco
1.05
Strasbourg
1.13
Reims
1.16
Lille
1.26
Nantes
1.26
Lens
1.26
Lyon
1.34
Estac Troyes
1.39
Angers
1.45
Stade Brestois 29
1.50
Montpellier
1.61
Lorient
1.66
Clermont Foot
1.82
Metz
1.82
Saint Etienne
2.03
Bordeaux
2.39
Monaco and Rennes are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Monaco
For 5.4 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 11.3 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rennes
For 7.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.1 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Monaco
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.9
8.0
4.6
4.5
4.6
25.7
26.8
24.7
vs Stronger (3)
5.0
3.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
25.3
31.0
22.5
vs Similar (18)
8.3
8.8
7.6
5.2
5.7
4.5
26.9
28.8
24.6
vs Weaker (29)
8.9
9.4
8.5
4.0
3.6
4.5
25.0
25.0
25.0
% over line
32%
36%
28%
66%
64%
68%
84%
84%
84%
% under line
68%
64%
72%
34%
36%
32%
16%
16%
16%
This opponent (Rennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.4
9.1
3.8
4.0
3.7
24.9
25.1
24.6
vs Stronger (3)
9.7
10.0
9.0
4.7
5.5
3.0
23.3
18.0
34.0
vs Similar (26)
9.2
9.6
8.8
3.6
3.4
3.8
25.0
25.7
24.2
vs Weaker (21)
9.3
9.1
9.5
4.0
4.5
3.5
24.9
25.7
24.2
% over line
38%
46%
29%
52%
54%
50%
72%
65%
79%
% under line
62%
54%
71%
48%
46%
50%
28%
35%
21%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lyon
10.2
Montpellier
10.1
Lens
10.1
Saint Etienne
10.0
Bordeaux
10.0
Paris Saint Germain
9.9
Nice
9.8
Strasbourg
9.8
Metz
9.7
Marseille
9.7
Stade Brestois 29
9.6
Nantes
9.5
Lorient
9.4
Angers
9.3
Rennes
9.3
Reims
9.2
Lille
9.1
Estac Troyes
8.9
Clermont Foot
8.7
Monaco
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lens
4.7
Monaco
4.6
Estac Troyes
4.5
Lille
4.5
Marseille
4.5
Metz
4.4
Montpellier
4.3
Nantes
4.2
Saint Etienne
4.2
Lorient
4.1
Lyon
4.0
Reims
3.9
Angers
3.9
Paris Saint Germain
3.9
Rennes
3.8
Bordeaux
3.8
Nice
3.8
Stade Brestois 29
3.8
Strasbourg
3.6
Clermont Foot
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Estac Troyes
28.1
Nantes
26.3
Saint Etienne
26.3
Metz
26.2
Monaco
25.7
Montpellier
25.2
Angers
24.9
Rennes
24.9
Lille
24.4
Strasbourg
24.3
Lens
24.3
Lorient
24.1
Bordeaux
24.0
Marseille
24.0
Lyon
23.9
Clermont Foot
23.9
Reims
23.9
Stade Brestois 29
23.6
Nice
23.5
Paris Saint Germain
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.6%
Under 9.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.1%
Under 3.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
69.2%
Under 21.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Monaco
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
0.80
0.33
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.27
0.71
0.43
0.25
0.00
vs Weaker (18)
0.78
0.28
0.88
0.25
0.70
0.30
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.67
0.47
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.21
0.50
0.43
0.71
0.00
0.29
vs Weaker (14)
1.14
0.29
1.00
0.17
1.25
0.38
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Monaco over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Monaco
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.57
1.20
0.60
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.27
1.18
0.29
1.14
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (18)
1.44
0.22
2.00
0.12
1.00
0.30
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Rennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.47
1.27
0.20
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.71
0.86
0.43
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.29
0.29
1.83
0.00
0.88
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Monaco over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Monaco · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paris Brunner75%
Mika Biereth50%
Aleksandr Golovin33%
Mamadou Coulibaly33%
Eric Dier25%
Lamine Camara25%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Vanderson0%
Nazinho0%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Mathys Detourbet0%
Anis Soubeir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandr Golovin33%
Mathys Detourbet33%
Lukáš Hrádecký25%
Denis Zakaria25%
Vanderson25%
Nazinho25%
Lamine Camara25%
Anis Soubeir25%
Eric Dier0%
Mika Biereth0%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo0%
Paris Brunner0%
Mamadou Coulibaly0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nazinho50%
Aleksandr Golovin33%
Mamadou Coulibaly33%
Mathys Detourbet33%
Eric Dier25%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo25%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Mika Biereth0%
Vanderson0%
Lamine Camara0%
Paris Brunner0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Anis Soubeir0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paris Brunner50%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo25%
Aleksandr Golovin0%
Eric Dier0%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Mika Biereth0%
Vanderson0%
Nazinho0%
Lamine Camara0%
Mamadou Coulibaly0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Mathys Detourbet0%
Anis Soubeir0%
Rennes · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Esteban Lepaul49%
Breel Embolo29%
Mousa Tamari19%
Mohamed Kader Meite16%
Ludovic Blas14%
Nordan Mukiele12%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal10%
Seko Fofana8%
Quentin Merlin8%
Valentin Rongier6%
Sebastian Szymański6%
Mahdi Camara6%
Przemysław Frankowski5%
Anthony Rouault4%
Glen Kamara0%
Brice Samba0%
Lilian Brassier0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Alidu Seidu0%
Djaoui Cissé0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Przemysław Frankowski26%
Jérémy Jacquet24%
Anthony Rouault21%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal19%
Valentin Rongier18%
Brice Samba15%
Mahdi Camara14%
Djaoui Cissé12%
Breel Embolo12%
Sebastian Szymański12%
Mousa Tamari11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Mahamadou Nagida10%
Esteban Lepaul9%
Alidu Seidu8%
Quentin Merlin8%
Lilian Brassier7%
Ludovic Blas3%
Glen Kamara0%
Seko Fofana0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Mohamed Kader Meite0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arnaud Nordin30%
Mousa Tamari19%
Sebastian Szymański18%
Quentin Merlin17%
Ludovic Blas14%
Esteban Lepaul14%
Valentin Rongier12%
Przemysław Frankowski11%
Mohamed Kader Meite11%
Breel Embolo9%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal5%
Anthony Rouault4%
Alidu Seidu4%
Lilian Brassier3%
Mahdi Camara3%
Glen Kamara0%
Brice Samba0%
Seko Fofana0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Djaoui Cissé0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Esteban Lepaul34%
Mousa Tamari22%
Breel Embolo15%
Ludovic Blas11%
Mohamed Kader Meite11%
Arnaud Nordin10%
Djaoui Cissé8%
Mahdi Camara6%
Alidu Seidu4%
Valentin Rongier3%
Glen Kamara0%
Przemysław Frankowski0%
Brice Samba0%
Seko Fofana0%
Sebastian Szymański0%
Lilian Brassier0%
Anthony Rouault0%
Fabian Rieder0%
Quentin Merlin0%
Mathys Silistrie0%
Jérémy Jacquet0%
Nordan Mukiele0%
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal0%
Mahamadou Nagida0%
Yassir Zabiri0%
Lucas Rosier0%
Elias Legendre Quiñonez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
NIC (28)
€152m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
MET (26)
€43m
ET (23)
€36m
MON (24)
€29m
CF (21)
€15m
Monaco's squad is €85m more valuable than Rennes's (€326m vs €241m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
ET (7)
€7m
CF (5)
€2m
Monaco's attack is €61m more valuable than Rennes's (€148m vs €87m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
REN (5)
€44m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
LEN (5)
€24m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
CF (4)
€3m
Monaco's midfield is €40m more valuable than Rennes's (€84m vs €44m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
NIC (11)
€60m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
Monaco's defence is €16m less valuable than Rennes's (€93m vs €109m).
France: Ligue 1 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Nice
Strasbourg
Lyon
Lens
Nantes
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
Reims
Montpellier
Angers
Estac Troyes
Lorient
Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
Metz
Bordeaux