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Mornar vs Petrovac Result & Analysis

Date: 12/03/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Mornar
Mornar
Vs
39%
31%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar win✗ Miss
39.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrovac win✓ Hit
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MornarMornar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W12L12L10W10W32W00D10W00DH·JEZ06/11A·PET12/11A·ISK26/11H·BUD03/12H·DEČ10/12A·RUD18/02H·SUT23/02A·ARS28/02H·JED04/03A·JEZ08/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.921.121.170.920.671.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.891.171.000.780.781.56
vs Weaker (6)1.001.001.671.330.330.67
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L02L10W11D11D12L21W11D23LA·RUD06/11H·MOR12/11A·SUT27/11H·ISK03/12A·ARS07/12H·BUD18/02A·JED23/02H·DEČ28/02A·JEZ04/03H·RUD08/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.381.421.581.251.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.381.431.501.601.271.27
vs Weaker (3)1.001.001.001.501.000.00
Clean sheet %21% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.7%
Under 1.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.8%
Under 2.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.6%
Under 3.5
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
0-1 ✓
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
Mornar goals ↓
Petrovac goals →
01234
012%9.4%5.6%2.0%0.5%
111%15%6.9%2.4%0.6%
27.8%8.1%4.3%1.5%0.4%
33.2%3.3%1.7%0.6%0.2%
41.0%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mornar goals (down), columns = Petrovac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
1.94
Sutjeska
1.94
Arsenal Tivat
1.39
Dečić
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.31
Mornar
1.26
Petrovac
1.25
Jezero
1.19
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.11
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.86
Kom
0.50
Berane
0.00
Mornar is 0.01 points better than Petrovac in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sutjeska
2.08
Buducnost Podgorica
1.69
Petrovac
1.39
Dečić
1.22
Jedinstvo
1.19
Arsenal Tivat
1.08
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.03
Kom
1.00
Jezero
0.97
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.92
Mornar
0.89
Berane
0.00
Mornar is 0.49 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sutjeska
0.94
Buducnost Podgorica
1.03
Dečić
1.03
Jezero
1.06
Mornar
1.08
Arsenal Tivat
1.08
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.50
Kom
1.50
Petrovac
1.58
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.61
Berane
2.00
Mornar is 0.50 goals better than Petrovac in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.58).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MornarMornar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L11D01L00D00D01L00D00D00DH·JEZ06/11A·PET12/11A·ISK26/11H·BUD03/12H·DEČ10/12A·RUD18/02H·SUT23/02A·ARS28/02H·JED04/03A·JEZ08/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.380.420.330.170.42
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.330.440.440.330.220.56
vs Weaker (6)0.170.170.330.330.000.00
Clean sheet %62% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D00D10W01L00D20W01L21WA·RUD06/11H·MOR12/11A·SUT27/11H·ISK03/12A·ARS07/12H·BUD18/02A·JED23/02H·DEČ28/02A·JEZ04/03H·RUD08/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.540.830.830.580.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.710.570.800.900.640.27
vs Weaker (3)0.670.331.000.500.000.00
Clean sheet %58% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mornar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MornarMornar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W01L11D10W10W31W00D10W00DH·JEZ06/11A·PET12/11A·ISK26/11H·BUD03/12H·DEČ10/12A·RUD18/02H·SUT23/02A·ARS28/02H·JED04/03A·JEZ08/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.750.750.580.500.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.560.720.560.440.561.00
vs Weaker (6)0.830.831.331.000.330.67
Clean sheet %42% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L02L10W01L10W12L01L10W02LA·RUD06/11H·MOR12/11A·SUT27/11H·ISK03/12A·ARS07/12H·BUD18/02A·JED23/02H·DEČ28/02A·JEZ04/03H·RUD08/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.830.580.750.670.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.670.860.700.700.641.00
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %46% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mornar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mornar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mornar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Mornar and Petrovac have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Mornar and Petrovac have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
AT (4)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
Mornar and Petrovac have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Mornar and Petrovac have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
MOR wins
0
Draws
0
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mornar vs Petrovac · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22APetrovac Vs MOR1-2
04/09/22HMOR Vs Petrovac1-0

MornarMornar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/23AJezero Vs MOR0-0
04/03/23HMOR Vs Jedinstvo1-0
28/02/23AArsenal Tivat Vs MOR0-0
23/02/23HMOR Vs Sutjeska3-2
18/02/23ARudar (Montenegro) Vs MOR0-1
10/12/22HMOR Vs Dečić1-0
03/12/22HMOR Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-2
26/11/22AIskra (Montenegro) Vs MOR2-1
12/11/22APetrovac Vs MOR1-2
06/11/22HMOR Vs Jezero1-0

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/23HPET Vs Rudar (Montenegro)2-3
04/03/23AJezero Vs PET1-1
28/02/23HPET Vs Dečić2-1
23/02/23AJedinstvo Vs PET2-1
18/02/23HPET Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-1
07/12/22AArsenal Tivat Vs PET1-1
03/12/22HPET Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-0
27/11/22ASutjeska Vs PET2-0
12/11/22HPET Vs Mornar1-2
06/11/22ARudar (Montenegro) Vs PET0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mornar
Mornar
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.25
HomeWLWWW1.75
AwayWLWDD0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%17%
AVG goals2.042.082.00
Over 1.5 %50%42%58%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %21%25%17%
Scored0.921.170.67
Conceded1.120.921.33
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet33%42%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.38
HomeLWDWL1.33
AwayWLDLD1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%33%33%
AVG goals2.713.002.42
Over 1.5 %79%83%75%
Over 2.5 %50%67%33%
Over 3.5 %25%33%17%
Scored1.331.421.25
Conceded1.381.581.17
BTTS67%75%58%
Clean Sheet21%17%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SutjeskaSutjeska3670
56%
1.9
7534+41
3.0
86%
64%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.9
-
2Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3670
56%
1.9
6137+24
2.7
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.71.0
-
3DečićDečić3650
33%
1.4
4437+7
2.2
67%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.0
-
4Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3650
36%
1.4
3939+0
2.2
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.1
-
5MornarMornar3848
34%
1.3
3441-7
2.0
53%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.1
-
6JedinstvoJedinstvo3647
36%
1.3
4354-11
2.7
69%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.5
-
7PetrovacPetrovac3645
31%
1.2
5057-7
3.0
78%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.6
-
8JezeroJezero3643
28%
1.2
3538-3
2.0
61%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.1
-
9Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3842
26%
1.1
3953-14
2.4
63%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3631
19%
0.9
3358-25
2.5
78%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
11KomKom21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
12BeraneBerane20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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