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Morton vs Inverness CT Result & Analysis

Date: 16/04/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 2-2
Morton
Morton
Vs
20%
29%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Morton win✗ Miss
19.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT win✗ Miss
51.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D01L10W11D02L03L11D11D12LA·DUN02/02H·AYR16/02A·INV23/02H·QUE26/02H·FAL01/03A·ROS09/03H·PAR30/03A·AYR02/04A·QUE06/04H·ALL09/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.371.071.270.671.47
vs Stronger (6)0.830.831.000.670.671.00
vs Similar (24)0.881.501.081.420.671.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L10W01L20W21W32W00D12L10WH·PAR02/02A·DUN16/02H·MOR23/02A·DUN26/02A·QUE09/03A·PAR22/03H·ALL26/03H·FAL30/03H·ROS02/04A·AYR06/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.171.401.401.400.93
vs Stronger (27)1.411.221.461.541.360.93
vs Similar (3)1.330.671.000.502.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.0%
Under 2.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.4%
No
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.8%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.3%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
Morton goals ↓
Inverness CT goals →
01234
012%14%11%5.3%1.9%
17.3%13%8.9%4.3%1.5%
23.4%4.9%3.6%1.7%0.6%
30.9%1.3%1.0%0.5%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Morton goals (down), columns = Inverness CT goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ross County
1.97
Dundee Utd
1.81
Inverness CT
1.56
Ayr
1.50
Morton
1.28
Partick
1.19
Dunfermline
1.14
Alloa
1.08
Falkirk
1.06
Queen of Sth
1.06
Morton is 0.28 points worse than Inverness CT in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ross County
1.75
Ayr
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.36
Inverness CT
1.33
Partick
1.19
Queen of Sth
1.14
Alloa
1.08
Falkirk
1.03
Morton
1.00
Dunfermline
0.92
Morton is 0.33 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ross County
0.94
Ayr
1.06
Dunfermline
1.11
Dundee Utd
1.11
Inverness CT
1.11
Morton
1.25
Queen of Sth
1.33
Falkirk
1.36
Partick
1.44
Alloa
1.47
Morton is 0.14 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MortonMorton

For 7.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 12.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

23053861117685845574477168141213131210111123H·ALLA·QUEA·AYRH·PARA·ROSH·FALH·QUEA·INVH·AYRA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5041113131412122214214353143H·ALLA·QUEA·AYRH·PARA·ROSH·FALH·QUEA·INVH·AYRA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

29011156711118791271481678161320926132215212124152929H·ALLA·QUEA·AYRH·PARA·ROSH·FALH·QUEA·INVH·AYRA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 5.0 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

150597678543741152474767141315910157111113A·AYRH·ROSH·FALH·ALLA·PARA·QUEA·DUNH·MORA·DUNH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8011532112432313142831635135A·AYRH·ROSH·FALH·ALLA·PARA·QUEA·DUNH·MORA·DUNH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

2601210121411461291141012148714961622261518201426152322A·AYRH·ROSH·FALH·ALLA·PARA·QUEA·DUNH·MORA·DUNH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.011.210.83.23.62.821.423.819.3
vs Stronger (10)11.011.610.43.83.44.223.324.622.0
vs Similar (38)10.710.810.73.03.62.521.224.018.6
vs Weaker (2)15.516.015.03.04.02.016.515.018.0
% over line62%67%58%44%46%42%50%71%31%
% under line38%33%42%56%54%58%50%29%69%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.59.811.33.63.53.721.721.422.0
vs Stronger (42)10.79.911.43.73.83.622.422.722.0
vs Similar (6)10.010.59.02.51.54.519.016.823.5
vs Weaker (2)9.56.013.04.04.04.015.514.017.0
% over line62%50%75%52%58%46%52%50%54%
% under line38%50%25%48%42%54%48%50%46%
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Morton
11.0
Alloa
10.9
Inverness CT
10.5
Partick
10.4
Dundee Utd
10.3
Ross County
10.2
Falkirk
10.0
Queen of Sth
9.9
Dunfermline
9.8
Ayr
9.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dundee Utd
4.2
Ross County
3.9
Inverness CT
3.6
Falkirk
3.6
Ayr
3.5
Partick
3.3
Queen of Sth
3.3
Dunfermline
3.2
Morton
3.2
Alloa
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ross County
23.7
Dundee Utd
23.1
Alloa
22.4
Ayr
21.8
Inverness CT
21.7
Morton
21.4
Dunfermline
21.3
Falkirk
21.1
Partick
21.0
Queen of Sth
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
67.5%
Under 9.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.6%
Under 3.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
58.1%
Under 21.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L00D11D00D03L01L01L00DA·DUN02/02H·AYR16/02A·INV23/02H·QUE26/02H·FAL01/03A·ROS09/03H·PAR30/03A·AYR02/04A·QUE06/04H·ALL09/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.600.270.530.330.67
vs Stronger (6)0.330.670.330.670.330.67
vs Similar (24)0.290.580.250.500.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D20W00D20W00D12L00DH·PAR02/02A·DUN16/02H·MOR23/02A·DUN26/02A·QUE09/03A·PAR22/03H·ALL26/03H·FAL30/03H·ROS02/04A·AYR06/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.501.000.800.600.20
vs Stronger (27)0.780.521.000.850.570.21
vs Similar (3)1.000.331.000.501.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D10W00D02L00D10W10W12LA·DUN02/02H·AYR16/02A·INV23/02H·QUE26/02H·FAL01/03A·ROS09/03H·PAR30/03A·AYR02/04A·QUE06/04H·ALL09/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.800.730.330.80
vs Stronger (6)0.500.170.670.000.330.33
vs Similar (24)0.580.920.830.920.330.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D01L00D21W12L00D00D10WH·PAR02/02A·DUN16/02H·MOR23/02A·DUN26/02A·QUE09/03A·PAR22/03H·ALL26/03H·FAL30/03H·ROS02/04A·AYR06/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.400.600.800.73
vs Stronger (27)0.630.700.460.690.790.71
vs Similar (3)0.330.330.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners78.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls73.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls73.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (22)
€11m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (7)
€4m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (6)
€3m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
MOR wins
2
Draws
3
IC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Morton vs Inverness CT · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/19AInverness CT Vs MOR1-0
22/12/18HMOR Vs Inverness CT1-2
06/10/18AInverness CT Vs MOR1-1
28/04/18HMOR Vs Inverness CT0-3
24/02/18AInverness CT Vs MOR0-2
23/12/17HMOR Vs Inverness CT1-0
19/08/17AInverness CT Vs MOR1-1

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/19HMOR Vs Alloa1-2
06/04/19AQueen of Sth Vs MOR1-1
02/04/19AAyr Vs MOR1-1
30/03/19HMOR Vs Partick0-3
09/03/19ARoss County Vs MOR2-0
01/03/19HMOR Vs Falkirk1-1
26/02/19HMOR Vs Queen of Sth1-0
23/02/19AInverness CT Vs MOR1-0
16/02/19HMOR Vs Ayr0-0
02/02/19ADundee Utd Vs MOR2-1

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/19AAyr Vs IC0-1
02/04/19HIC Vs Ross County1-2
30/03/19HIC Vs Falkirk0-0
26/03/19HIC Vs Alloa3-2
22/03/19APartick Vs IC1-2
09/03/19AQueen of Sth Vs IC0-2
26/02/19ADundee Utd Vs IC1-0
23/02/19HIC Vs Morton1-0
16/02/19ADunfermline Vs IC1-0
02/02/19HIC Vs Partick1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.18
HomeDWDLL1.29
AwayLLLDD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%23%
AVG goals2.302.382.23
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %40%42%38%
Over 3.5 %14%17%12%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.281.291.27
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners10.9611.1710.77
Cards3.183.582.81
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.66
HomeLWWDL1.58
AwayLLWWW1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%38%50%
AVG goals2.522.882.12
Over 1.5 %64%73%54%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %32%46%17%
Scored1.501.691.29
Conceded1.021.190.83
BTTS52%65%38%
Clean Sheet38%31%46%
Corners10.549.8511.29
Cards3.583.463.71

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ross CountyRoss County3671
58%
2.0
6334+29
2.7
72%
50%
31%
10.3
64%
4.1
58%
24.0
67%
1
0011.80.9
-
2Dundee UtdDundee Utd3665
53%
1.8
4940+9
2.5
78%
39%
14%
10.9
58%
4.2
69%
22.8
58%
11
4341.41.1
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3656
39%
1.6
4840+8
2.4
64%
50%
28%
11.4
72%
3.8
56%
21.5
53%
1
0001.31.1
-
4
A
Ayr
3654
42%
1.5
5038+12
2.4
61%
39%
28%
9.0
39%
3.2
44%
22.0
56%
0
0001.41.1
-
5MortonMorton3646
31%
1.3
3645-9
2.2
69%
39%
14%
10.6
58%
3.5
53%
22.4
58%
1
0001.01.2
-
6PartickPartick3643
33%
1.2
4352-9
2.6
78%
53%
19%
10.8
67%
3.5
44%
21.0
36%
3
1111.21.4
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline3641
31%
1.1
3340-7
2.0
47%
36%
19%
9.8
53%
3.3
39%
22.3
61%
4
2020.91.1
-
8
A
Alloa
3639
28%
1.1
3953-14
2.6
75%
50%
22%
11.2
67%
3.0
39%
22.1
53%
0
0001.11.5
-
9
QO
Queen of Sth
3638
25%
1.1
4148-7
2.5
72%
47%
19%
10.2
56%
3.3
39%
20.4
39%
0
0001.11.3
-
10FalkirkFalkirk3638
25%
1.1
3749-12
2.4
78%
36%
17%
10.2
61%
3.6
53%
21.1
47%
6
2131.01.4
-
Scotland: Championship 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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