PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Morton vs Inverness CT Result & Analysis

Date: 06/04/2021
Time: 19:00
Final 1-4
Morton
Morton
Vs
25%
29%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Morton win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.33
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.15
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT win✓ Hit
46.1%
Avg Implied 42.6% · @ 2.18
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L01L11D22D02L10W01L21W01LH·INV27/01H·ARB30/01H·RAI06/02A·HEA20/02H·DUN27/02H·AYR06/03A·INV09/03A·DUN13/03H·QUE20/03A·RAI27/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.331.331.401.071.27
vs Stronger (6)0.331.830.001.500.502.00
vs Similar (24)1.421.211.541.381.271.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W22D11D12L11D01L00D10W10W10WA·AYR20/02H·ALL23/02H·HEA26/02A·DUN02/03A·ALL06/03H·MOR09/03H·RAI12/03A·RAI16/03A·DUN20/03H·ARB27/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.101.431.001.251.19
vs Stronger (24)1.251.081.301.001.211.14
vs Similar (6)1.671.171.751.001.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.8%
@ 2.15+1.1%
Under 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.67-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
Morton goals ↓
Inverness CT goals →
01234
09.7%11%9.0%4.4%1.6%
17.3%14%9.1%4.4%1.6%
24.3%6.3%4.6%2.2%0.8%
31.5%2.1%1.6%0.8%0.3%
40.4%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Morton goals (down), columns = Inverness CT goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Dundee
1.67
Raith Rvs
1.59
Dunfermline
1.44
Inverness CT
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.19
Arbroath
1.11
Morton
1.07
Ayr
1.07
Alloa
0.81
Morton is 0.26 points worse than Inverness CT in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.33).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.33
Dundee
1.81
Raith Rvs
1.67
Dunfermline
1.41
Queen of Sth
1.41
Inverness CT
1.33
Ayr
1.15
Alloa
1.11
Arbroath
1.04
Morton
0.81
Morton is 0.52 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Inverness CT
1.15
Morton
1.22
Dunfermline
1.26
Arbroath
1.26
Raith Rvs
1.33
Ayr
1.37
Dundee
1.48
Queen of Sth
1.89
Alloa
2.22
Morton is 0.07 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.15).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MortonMorton

For 4.1 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

1804473762334621244467118101353101481018A·RAIH·QUEA·DUNA·INVH·AYRH·DUNA·HEAH·RAIH·ARBH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

602411111522241142326226245552A·RAIH·QUEA·DUNA·INVH·AYRH·DUNA·HEAH·RAIH·ARBH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

310810107981012111016151471411614141318171722213121252027A·RAIH·QUEA·DUNA·INVH·AYRH·DUNA·HEAH·RAIH·ARBH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 4.2 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1403545384103253210251313689111458127149H·ARBA·DUNA·RAIH·RAIH·MORA·ALLA·DUNH·HEAH·ALLA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8011132435512221332132468643624H·ARBA·DUNA·RAIH·RAIH·MORA·ALLA·DUNH·HEAH·ALLA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 14.0 · Total 26.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

360171751381515141210221411151517131281334182329223626322521H·ARBA·DUNA·RAIH·RAIH·MORA·ALLA·DUNH·HEAH·ALLA·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.511.110.03.03.13.020.321.718.9
vs Stronger (8)11.012.010.43.52.74.019.020.318.2
vs Similar (42)10.511.09.83.03.22.720.521.919.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line62%76%48%34%40%28%34%40%28%
% under line38%24%52%66%60%72%66%60%72%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.411.03.23.23.221.721.022.4
vs Stronger (39)10.911.110.73.43.43.321.620.922.1
vs Similar (11)10.28.712.82.52.72.221.921.023.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%60%60%36%32%40%46%40%52%
% under line40%40%40%64%68%60%54%60%48%
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.9
Dunfermline
10.7
Inverness CT
10.7
Raith Rvs
10.5
Morton
10.5
Queen of Sth
10.4
Ayr
10.2
Dundee
10.2
Arbroath
9.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Heart Of Midlothian
3.8
Dundee
3.3
Ayr
3.2
Dunfermline
3.2
Arbroath
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.1
Morton
3.0
Alloa
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Heart Of Midlothian
25.9
Dundee
25.0
Raith Rvs
22.7
Arbroath
22.6
Alloa
22.5
Inverness CT
21.7
Ayr
21.6
Queen of Sth
20.9
Dunfermline
20.5
Morton
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.8%
Under 9.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.8%
Under 3.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.7%
Under 21.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L00D10W00D00D01L11D00DH·INV27/01H·ARB30/01H·RAI06/02A·HEA20/02H·DUN27/02H·AYR06/03A·INV09/03A·DUN13/03H·QUE20/03A·RAI27/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.670.670.400.60
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.001.000.250.50
vs Similar (24)0.620.620.770.620.450.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D02L11D00D00D00D00D00DA·AYR20/02H·ALL23/02H·HEA26/02A·DUN02/03A·ALL06/03H·MOR09/03H·RAI12/03A·RAI16/03A·DUN20/03H·ARB27/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.290.430.690.56
vs Stronger (24)0.500.500.300.500.640.50
vs Similar (6)0.500.500.250.251.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D11D12L02L10W00D10W01LH·INV27/01H·ARB30/01H·RAI06/02A·HEA20/02H·DUN27/02H·AYR06/03A·INV09/03A·DUN13/03H·QUE20/03A·RAI27/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.670.730.670.67
vs Stronger (6)0.171.170.000.500.251.50
vs Similar (24)0.790.580.770.770.820.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D10W00D01L00D10W10W10WA·AYR20/02H·ALL23/02H·HEA26/02A·DUN02/03A·ALL06/03H·MOR09/03H·RAI12/03A·RAI16/03A·DUN20/03H·ARB27/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.601.140.570.560.62
vs Stronger (24)0.750.581.000.500.570.64
vs Similar (6)1.170.671.500.750.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards76.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (30)
€22m
DUN (21)
€5m
DUN (26)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€12m
DUN (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (6)
€4m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€6m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
MOR wins
2
Draws
4
IC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Morton vs Inverness CT · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/21AInverness CT Vs MOR0-1
27/01/21HMOR Vs Inverness CT2-2
03/03/20AInverness CT Vs MOR3-2
26/10/19HMOR Vs Inverness CT2-1
30/08/19AInverness CT Vs MOR5-0
16/04/19HMOR Vs Inverness CT2-2
23/02/19AInverness CT Vs MOR1-0
22/12/18HMOR Vs Inverness CT1-2

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/21ARaith Rvs Vs MOR1-0
20/03/21HMOR Vs Queen of Sth2-1
13/03/21ADunfermline Vs MOR1-0
09/03/21AInverness CT Vs MOR0-1
06/03/21HMOR Vs Ayr0-2
27/02/21HMOR Vs Dundee2-2
20/02/21AHeart Of Midlothian Vs MOR1-1
06/02/21HMOR Vs Raith Rvs0-1
30/01/21HMOR Vs Arbroath0-1
27/01/21HMOR Vs Inverness CT2-2

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/21HIC Vs Arbroath1-0
20/03/21ADunfermline Vs IC0-1
16/03/21ARaith Rvs Vs IC0-1
12/03/21HIC Vs Raith Rvs0-0
09/03/21HIC Vs Morton0-1
06/03/21AAlloa Vs IC1-1
02/03/21ADundee Vs IC2-1
26/02/21HIC Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-1
23/02/21HIC Vs Alloa2-2
20/02/21AAyr Vs IC0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.22
HomeLLDLW1.52
AwayLDWLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.862.962.76
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.281.561.00
Conceded1.581.401.76
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners10.5411.129.96
Cards3.043.122.96
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.56
HomeDDLDW1.76
AwayWLDWW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals2.462.482.44
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %24%32%16%
Scored1.361.521.20
Conceded1.100.961.24
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners10.7210.4411.00
Cards3.183.203.16

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian2757
63%
2.1
6324+39
3.2
78%
59%
41%
10.1
56%
3.0
41%
25.5
74%
22
12462.30.9
-
2DundeeDundee2745
44%
1.7
4940+9
3.3
89%
63%
44%
10.5
67%
3.0
33%
24.7
67%
5
1221.81.5
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
2743
44%
1.6
4536+9
3.0
70%
56%
44%
11.2
67%
4.5
74%
23.7
74%
0
0001.71.3
-
4DunfermlineDunfermline2739
37%
1.4
3834+4
2.7
59%
48%
37%
11.1
81%
2.9
33%
22.0
52%
4
2021.41.3
-
5Inverness CTInverness CT2736
30%
1.3
3631+5
2.5
78%
44%
26%
10.4
48%
3.5
48%
24.0
63%
1
0001.31.1
-
6
QO
Queen of Sth
2732
33%
1.2
3851-13
3.3
85%
59%
41%
10.3
56%
3.5
48%
21.8
56%
0
0001.41.9
-
7ArbroathArbroath2730
26%
1.1
2834-6
2.3
59%
37%
26%
9.2
56%
3.4
52%
24.5
67%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
2729
22%
1.1
3137-6
2.5
74%
41%
30%
10.5
63%
3.1
48%
22.2
52%
0
0001.11.4
-
9MortonMorton2729
22%
1.1
2233-11
2.0
59%
30%
19%
10.4
70%
3.0
41%
22.1
48%
1
0000.81.2
-
10
A
Alloa
2722
19%
0.8
3060-30
3.3
89%
67%
41%
10.6
59%
3.4
56%
26.0
78%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: Championship 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches