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Morton vs Inverness CT Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Morton
Morton
Vs
25%
28%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Morton win✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 2.99
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.14
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT win✓ Hit
47.5%
Avg Implied 39.6% · @ 2.34
Edge
+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D03L21W11D11D11D10W01LA·HAM19/02A·PAR22/02H·ARB26/02A·QUE05/03H·PAR12/03A·DUN18/03H·AYR26/03H·KIL01/04A·RAI09/04H·HAM16/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.171.271.400.800.93
vs Stronger (4)1.001.251.001.501.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.041.151.311.380.770.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D12L11D01L30W32W20W22D21W12LH·PAR09/02H·AYR19/02A·HAM25/02A·PAR04/03H·ARB12/03A·RAI19/03H·DUN26/03A·AYR09/04H·KIL15/04A·QUE19/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.601.131.331.13
vs Stronger (24)1.381.291.731.361.081.23
vs Similar (6)1.830.501.250.503.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.9%
@ 2.23+6.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
@ 1.61-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
0-1 ✓
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
Morton goals ↓
Inverness CT goals →
01234
08.4%10%8.8%4.6%1.8%
16.5%13%9.4%4.9%1.9%
24.1%6.4%5.0%2.6%1.0%
31.5%2.3%1.8%0.9%0.4%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Morton goals (down), columns = Inverness CT goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Morton is 0.53 points worse than Inverness CT in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Morton is 0.47 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Morton is 0.36 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 0.94).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MortonMorton

For 4.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

15034858259213774654195271310141514109107H·HAMA·RAIH·KILH·AYRA·DUNH·PARA·QUEH·ARBA·PARA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60422111112131211136312134224H·HAMA·RAIH·KILH·AYRA·DUNH·PARA·QUEH·ARBA·PARA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 9.4 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

3101489913101318148126107171110911822182331221817281919H·HAMA·RAIH·KILH·AYRA·DUNH·PARA·QUEH·ARBA·PARA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 5.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

120425755733633424410175612101096681112A·QUEH·KILA·AYRH·DUNA·RAIH·ARBA·PARA·HAMH·AYRH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80211124423212112113850331A·QUEH·KILA·AYRH·DUNA·RAIH·ARBA·PARA·HAMH·AYRH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 8.9 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

3001210148125710106131078181281414622221717162315302220A·QUEH·KILA·AYRH·DUNA·RAIH·ARBA·PARA·HAMH·AYRH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.49.810.93.02.73.220.721.819.5
vs Stronger (8)10.89.012.53.93.04.819.120.218.0
vs Similar (42)10.310.010.62.82.73.021.022.119.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line64%58%71%36%31%42%38%50%25%
% under line36%42%29%64%69%58%62%50%75%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.78.43.53.63.523.322.524.1
vs Stronger (40)8.99.98.13.63.63.723.422.324.3
vs Similar (10)9.49.010.03.13.72.223.023.222.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line42%52%32%44%44%44%60%60%60%
% under line58%48%68%56%56%56%40%40%40%
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Hamilton
10.6
Dunfermline
10.4
Morton
10.4
Queen of Sth
10.2
Raith Rvs
10.1
Ayr
10.0
Arbroath
9.9
Partick
9.8
Kilmarnock
9.8
Inverness CT
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Hamilton
3.8
Inverness CT
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Partick
3.3
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
3.0
Queen of Sth
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
24.0
Hamilton
23.7
Inverness CT
23.3
Arbroath
22.7
Raith Rvs
21.8
Dunfermline
21.2
Ayr
21.1
Partick
20.9
Morton
20.7
Queen of Sth
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
42.4%
Under 9.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
51.7%
Under 21.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D02L01L10W10W00D00D01LA·HAM19/02A·PAR22/02H·ARB26/02A·QUE05/03H·PAR12/03A·DUN18/03H·AYR26/03H·KIL01/04A·RAI09/04H·HAM16/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.470.800.330.40
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.501.500.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.380.540.460.690.310.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L11D00D20W12L00D20W00D12LH·PAR09/02H·AYR19/02A·HAM25/02A·PAR04/03H·ARB12/03A·RAI19/03H·DUN26/03A·AYR09/04H·KIL15/04A·QUE19/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.470.470.800.67
vs Stronger (24)0.540.620.360.550.690.69
vs Similar (6)1.000.330.750.251.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D01L20W01L01L11D10W00DA·HAM19/02A·PAR22/02H·ARB26/02A·QUE05/03H·PAR12/03A·DUN18/03H·AYR26/03H·KIL01/04A·RAI09/04H·HAM16/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.800.600.470.53
vs Stronger (4)0.500.250.500.000.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.650.620.850.690.460.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D00D01L10W20W20W02L21W00DH·PAR09/02H·AYR19/02A·HAM25/02A·PAR04/03H·ARB12/03A·RAI19/03H·DUN26/03A·AYR09/04H·KIL15/04A·QUE19/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.571.130.670.530.47
vs Stronger (24)0.830.671.360.820.380.54
vs Similar (6)0.830.170.500.251.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards91.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards81.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls78.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Morton and Inverness CT have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MOR wins
1
Draws
4
IC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Morton vs Inverness CT · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
05/02/22AInverness CT Vs MOR0-1
11/12/21HMOR Vs Inverness CT1-6
16/10/21AInverness CT Vs MOR2-0
06/04/21HMOR Vs Inverness CT1-4
09/03/21AInverness CT Vs MOR0-1
27/01/21HMOR Vs Inverness CT2-2
03/03/20AInverness CT Vs MOR3-2
26/10/19HMOR Vs Inverness CT2-1

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/22HMOR Vs Hamilton0-1
09/04/22ARaith Rvs Vs MOR0-1
01/04/22HMOR Vs Kilmarnock1-1
26/03/22HMOR Vs Ayr1-1
18/03/22ADunfermline Vs MOR1-1
12/03/22HMOR Vs Partick2-1
05/03/22AQueen of Sth Vs MOR3-0
26/02/22HMOR Vs Arbroath0-0
22/02/22APartick Vs MOR0-1
19/02/22AHamilton Vs MOR1-0

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/22AQueen of Sth Vs IC2-1
15/04/22HIC Vs Kilmarnock2-1
09/04/22AAyr Vs IC2-2
26/03/22HIC Vs Dunfermline2-0
19/03/22ARaith Rvs Vs IC2-3
12/03/22HIC Vs Arbroath3-0
04/03/22APartick Vs IC1-0
25/02/22AHamilton Vs IC1-1
19/02/22HIC Vs Ayr1-2
09/02/22HIC Vs Partick3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWL1.06
HomeDWDDL0.96
AwayLWLDW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%15%29%
AVG goals2.222.731.67
Over 1.5 %62%73%50%
Over 2.5 %38%50%25%
Over 3.5 %22%38%4%
Scored0.961.190.71
Conceded1.261.540.96
BTTS48%62%33%
Clean Sheet26%15%38%
Corners10.369.8510.92
Cards2.982.733.25
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.50
HomeDLWWW1.52
AwayDLWDL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.322.322.32
Over 1.5 %64%64%64%
Over 2.5 %42%44%40%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.321.321.32
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners9.049.688.40
Cards3.543.603.48

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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