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Morton vs Livingston Result & Analysis

Date: 09/04/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 2-1
Morton
Morton
Vs
32%
29%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Livingston
Livingston
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Morton win✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Livingston win✗ Miss
38.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L30W23L00D13L32W41W01L00DH·DUM13/02H·FAL20/02A·HIB24/02A·RAI27/02A·LIV01/03A·RAN11/03H·QUE15/03H·ALL19/03H·RAI26/03A·DUM02/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.170.931.001.401.33
vs Stronger (12)0.831.830.171.831.501.83
vs Similar (14)1.500.861.570.571.431.14
vs Weaker (4)1.000.251.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LivingstonLivingston

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D02L31W00D20W23L21W00D12LA·DUM30/01H·HIB13/02A·RAI20/02A·ALL27/02H·MOR01/03H·DUM05/03H·ST 19/03A·FAL26/03H·ALL02/04A·HIB05/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.370.871.131.401.60
vs Stronger (7)0.571.860.330.670.752.75
vs Similar (19)1.371.260.901.401.891.11
vs Weaker (4)1.001.001.500.500.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1 ✓
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
Morton goals ↓
Livingston goals →
01234
09.4%9.5%7.2%3.2%1.1%
18.3%14%8.5%3.7%1.2%
25.7%7.5%5.0%2.2%0.7%
32.2%3.0%2.0%0.9%0.3%
40.7%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Morton goals (down), columns = Livingston goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rangers
2.25
Hibernian
1.94
Falkirk
1.94
Raith Rvs
1.72
Morton
1.19
Queen of Sth
1.17
ST Mirren
1.17
Dumbarton
1.03
Livingston
0.86
Alloa
0.58
Morton is 0.33 points better than Livingston in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 0.86).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.44
Falkirk
1.69
Hibernian
1.64
Raith Rvs
1.44
Queen of Sth
1.28
ST Mirren
1.22
Morton
1.08
Livingston
1.03
Dumbarton
0.97
Alloa
0.61
Morton is 0.06 goals better than Livingston in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hibernian
0.94
Falkirk
0.94
Rangers
0.94
Morton
1.17
Raith Rvs
1.28
Livingston
1.42
ST Mirren
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.56
Dumbarton
1.83
Alloa
1.86
Morton is 0.25 goals better than Livingston in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MortonMorton

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

LivingstonLivingston

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (32)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LivingstonLivingston

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (32)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (7)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W01L00D11D30W21W00D00DH·DUM13/02H·FAL20/02A·HIB24/02A·RAI27/02A·LIV01/03A·RAN11/03H·QUE15/03H·ALL19/03H·RAI26/03A·DUM02/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.470.470.530.53
vs Stronger (12)0.330.750.170.830.500.67
vs Similar (14)0.710.430.860.290.570.57
vs Weaker (4)0.250.000.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LivingstonLivingston

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L31W00D10W12L00D00D10WA·DUM30/01H·HIB13/02A·RAI20/02A·ALL27/02H·MOR01/03H·DUM05/03H·ST 19/03A·FAL26/03H·ALL02/04A·HIB05/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.270.470.600.87
vs Stronger (7)0.141.000.000.330.251.50
vs Similar (19)0.470.630.200.600.780.67
vs Weaker (4)0.750.251.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D20W22D00D02L02L20W01L00DH·DUM13/02H·FAL20/02A·HIB24/02A·RAI27/02A·LIV01/03A·RAN11/03H·QUE15/03H·ALL19/03H·RAI26/03A·DUM02/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.470.530.870.80
vs Stronger (12)0.501.080.001.001.001.17
vs Similar (14)0.790.430.710.290.860.57
vs Weaker (4)0.750.251.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LivingstonLivingston

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L00D00D10W11D21W00D02LA·DUM30/01H·HIB13/02A·RAI20/02A·ALL27/02H·MOR01/03H·DUM05/03H·ST 19/03A·FAL26/03H·ALL02/04A·HIB05/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.600.670.800.73
vs Stronger (7)0.430.860.330.330.501.25
vs Similar (19)0.890.630.700.801.110.44
vs Weaker (4)0.250.750.500.500.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.7%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Livingston · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jeremy Bokila22%
Connor McLennan19%
Lewis Smith17%
Robbie Muirhead15%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Brooklyn Kabongolo12%
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Stevie May6%
Mahamadou Susoho6%
Cristian MontaÃąo4%
Mohammad Sylla3%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
JÃĐrÃīme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Connor McLennan38%
Mahamadou Susoho33%
Cristian MontaÃąo27%
Adam Montgomery25%
Macaulay Tait24%
Emmanuel Danso23%
Danny Finlayson23%
Jeremy Bokila22%
Robbie Muirhead21%
Brooklyn Kabongolo19%
Stevie May18%
Ryan McGowan17%
Babacar Fati17%
Mohammad Sylla16%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Joshua Zimmerman14%
Samson Lawal13%
Scott Arfield12%
JÃĐrÃīme Prior11%
Cammy Kerr9%
Lewis Smith6%
Tete Yengi5%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jon Nouble0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Barrie McKay29%
Jon Nouble20%
Graham Carey14%
Adam Montgomery12%
Cristian MontaÃąo12%
Macaulay Tait9%
Emmanuel Danso8%
Joshua Brenet7%
Robbie Muirhead6%
Stevie May6%
Scott Pittman6%
Lewis Smith6%
Ryan McGowan4%
Danny Finlayson3%
JÃĐrÃīme Prior3%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Connor McLennan0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Babacar Fati0%
Tete Yengi0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Samson Lawal0%
Brooklyn Kabongolo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Robbie Muirhead9%
Stevie May9%
Connor McLennan6%
Brooklyn Kabongolo6%
Lewis Smith6%
Cristian MontaÃąo4%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Graham Carey0%
Scott Pittman0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
JÃĐrÃīme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
HIB (27)
€20m
SM (24)
€8m
FAL (27)
€6m
LIV (25)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
DUM (1)
€0m
Morton's squad is €3m less valuable than Livingston's (€1m vs €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (9)
€38m
HIB (9)
€7m
FAL (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
Morton and Livingston have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
HIB (7)
€8m
SM (6)
€3m
LIV (8)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
Morton's midfield is €1m less valuable than Livingston's (€0m vs €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
HIB (11)
€5m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
LIV (10)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
Morton's defence is €1m less valuable than Livingston's (€0m vs €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
MOR wins
1
Draws
0
LIV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Morton vs Livingston · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/16ALivingston Vs MOR0-0
07/11/15HMOR Vs Livingston1-0
05/09/15ALivingston Vs MOR2-4

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/16ADumbarton Vs MOR0-0
26/03/16HMOR Vs Raith Rvs0-1
19/03/16HMOR Vs Alloa4-1
15/03/16HMOR Vs Queen of Sth3-2
11/03/16ARangers Vs MOR3-1
01/03/16ALivingston Vs MOR0-0
27/02/16ARaith Rvs Vs MOR3-2
24/02/16AHibernian Vs MOR0-3
20/02/16HMOR Vs Falkirk0-1
13/02/16HMOR Vs Dumbarton2-0

LivingstonLivingston

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/16AHibernian Vs LIV2-1
02/04/16HLIV Vs Alloa0-0
26/03/16AFalkirk Vs LIV1-2
19/03/16HLIV Vs ST Mirren2-3
05/03/16HLIV Vs Dumbarton2-0
01/03/16HLIV Vs Morton0-0
27/02/16AAlloa Vs LIV1-3
20/02/16ARaith Rvs Vs LIV2-0
13/02/16HLIV Vs Hibernian0-0
30/01/16ADumbarton Vs LIV1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD1.22
HomeWLWWL1.31
AwayWLDLD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%38%25%
AVG goals2.281.942.62
Over 1.5 %56%50%62%
Over 2.5 %41%25%56%
Over 3.5 %28%19%38%
Scored1.120.941.31
Conceded1.161.001.31
BTTS41%25%56%
Clean Sheet31%38%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Livingston
Livingston
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL0.88
HomeDDWLD0.75
AwayLLWWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%12%31%
AVG goals2.471.943.00
Over 1.5 %72%56%88%
Over 2.5 %47%25%69%
Over 3.5 %19%12%25%
Scored1.060.811.31
Conceded1.411.121.69
BTTS47%38%56%
Clean Sheet19%31%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RangersRangers3681
69%
2.2
8834+54
3.4
78%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
136
3844542.40.9
-
2FalkirkFalkirk3670
53%
1.9
6134+27
2.6
72%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.70.9
-
3HibernianHibernian3670
58%
1.9
5934+25
2.6
67%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
20
7851.60.9
-
4
RR
Raith Rvs
3662
50%
1.7
5246+6
2.7
72%
53%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
5MortonMorton3643
31%
1.2
3942-3
2.2
56%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.2
-
6ST MirrenST Mirren3642
31%
1.2
4453-9
2.7
69%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
1331.21.5
-
7
QO
Queen of Sth
3642
33%
1.2
4656-10
2.8
69%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3637
28%
1.0
3566-31
2.8
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9LivingstonLivingston3631
22%
0.9
3751-14
2.4
69%
47%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.4
-
10
A
Alloa
3621
11%
0.6
2267-45
2.5
69%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.9
-
Scotland: Championship 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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