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Morton vs Partick Result & Analysis

Date: 12/03/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Morton
Morton
Vs
24%
25%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Morton win✓ Hit
24.5%
Avg Implied 31.8% · @ 2.91
Edge
-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.17
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Partick win✗ Miss
50.8%
Avg Implied 38.9% · @ 2.38
Edge
+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D50W20W22D10W21W01L10W00D03LA·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01H·RAI28/01A·INV05/02H·QUE12/02A·HAM19/02A·PAR22/02H·ARB26/02A·QUE05/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.301.431.640.691.00
vs Stronger (3)1.001.671.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.041.261.501.670.670.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W22D11D10W33D01L00D11D10W10WH·RAI18/12A·HAM08/01H·KIL14/01H·AYR01/02A·INV09/02H·MOR22/02A·RAI26/02A·ARB01/03H·INV04/03H·QUE08/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.971.400.531.871.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.690.881.540.621.851.15
vs Weaker (4)1.251.500.500.002.003.00
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.2%
@ 2.16+17.1%
Under 2.5
39.8%
@ 1.64-17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.9%
Under 3.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-1 ✓
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
Morton goals ↓
Partick goals →
01234
05.5%7.2%7.7%4.8%2.2%
14.5%11%9.7%6.0%2.8%
23.5%6.5%6.0%3.8%1.8%
31.4%2.7%2.5%1.6%0.7%
40.4%0.8%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Morton goals (down), columns = Partick goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Morton is 0.33 points worse than Partick in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.44).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Morton is 0.28 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Morton is 0.19 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MortonMorton

For 4.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

15046541952537454462169109107811910315A·QUEH·ARBA·PARA·HAMH·QUEA·INVH·RAIA·AYRH·DUNA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6031211131121324424224235406A·QUEH·ARBA·PARA·HAMH·QUEA·INVH·RAIA·AYRH·DUNA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

28010717111091181371013813811136131117281919202321191924A·QUEH·ARBA·PARA·HAMH·QUEA·INVH·RAIA·AYRH·DUNA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

For 5.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

120322427299157537275956911101289129H·QUEH·INVA·ARBA·RAIH·MORA·INVH·AYRH·KILA·HAMH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6012233111332112143053216335H·QUEH·INVA·ARBA·RAIH·MORA·INVH·AYRH·KILA·HAMH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

29051087111491091061414131111131610915152519192027222919H·QUEH·INVA·ARBA·RAIH·MORA·INVH·AYRH·KILA·HAMH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.710.52.82.53.120.521.619.5
vs Stronger (8)10.69.612.33.52.45.319.420.218.0
vs Similar (42)10.09.710.22.72.52.820.721.919.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%56%64%34%28%40%34%44%24%
% under line40%44%36%66%72%60%66%56%76%
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.79.63.33.23.521.119.822.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (40)10.310.89.73.53.33.621.119.622.7
vs Weaker (10)9.910.69.22.82.82.821.120.821.4
% over line60%58%62%38%38%38%48%35%62%
% under line40%42%38%62%62%62%52%65%38%
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Raith Rvs
10.7
Dunfermline
10.6
Hamilton
10.6
Queen of Sth
10.3
Partick
10.2
Morton
10.1
Ayr
10.1
Arbroath
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.6
Inverness CT
9.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.2
Inverness CT
3.5
Kilmarnock
3.4
Hamilton
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Partick
3.3
Ayr
3.2
Dunfermline
3.1
Queen of Sth
3.0
Morton
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Hamilton
24.4
Kilmarnock
24.3
Inverness CT
23.5
Arbroath
23.2
Raith Rvs
22.4
Dunfermline
21.6
Ayr
21.3
Partick
21.1
Queen of Sth
20.8
Morton
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.9%
Under 9.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.2%
Under 21.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W10W12L10W00D00D00D00D02LA·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01H·RAI28/01A·INV05/02H·QUE12/02A·HAM19/02A·PAR22/02H·ARB26/02A·QUE05/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.570.790.310.44
vs Stronger (3)0.671.330.501.501.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.410.520.580.670.270.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D00D22D00D00D01L00D00DH·RAI18/12A·HAM08/01H·KIL14/01H·AYR01/02A·INV09/02H·MOR22/02A·RAI26/02A·ARB01/03H·INV04/03H·QUE08/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.330.530.130.870.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.690.310.620.150.770.46
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W10W00D21W01L10W00D01LA·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01H·RAI28/01A·INV05/02H·QUE12/02A·HAM19/02A·PAR22/02H·ARB26/02A·QUE05/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.860.860.380.56
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.630.740.921.000.400.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L11D10W11D01L00D10W10W10WH·RAI18/12A·HAM08/01H·KIL14/01H·AYR01/02A·INV09/02H·MOR22/02A·RAI26/02A·ARB01/03H·INV04/03H·QUE08/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.630.870.401.000.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.000.580.920.461.080.69
vs Weaker (4)0.501.000.500.000.502.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards92.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards82.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Morton's squad is €2m less valuable than Partick's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Morton and Partick have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Morton and Partick have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Morton and Partick have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MOR wins
1
Draws
4
PAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Morton vs Partick · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/22APartick Vs MOR0-1
26/10/21HMOR Vs Partick0-0
28/08/21APartick Vs MOR3-0
28/12/19HMOR Vs Partick1-2
09/11/19APartick Vs MOR2-1
23/08/19HMOR Vs Partick3-2
30/03/19HMOR Vs Partick0-3
29/12/18APartick Vs MOR1-2

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/22AQueen of Sth Vs MOR3-0
26/02/22HMOR Vs Arbroath0-0
22/02/22APartick Vs MOR0-1
19/02/22AHamilton Vs MOR1-0
12/02/22HMOR Vs Queen of Sth2-1
05/02/22AInverness CT Vs MOR0-1
28/01/22HMOR Vs Raith Rvs2-2
15/01/22AAyr Vs MOR0-2
08/01/22HMOR Vs Dunfermline5-0
29/12/21AKilmarnock Vs MOR1-1

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/22HPAR Vs Queen of Sth1-0
04/03/22HPAR Vs Inverness CT1-0
01/03/22AArbroath Vs PAR1-1
26/02/22ARaith Rvs Vs PAR0-0
22/02/22HPAR Vs Morton0-1
09/02/22AInverness CT Vs PAR3-3
01/02/22HPAR Vs Ayr1-0
14/01/22HPAR Vs Kilmarnock1-1
08/01/22AHamilton Vs PAR2-2
18/12/21HPAR Vs Raith Rvs1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.06
HomeLWDWD0.96
AwayWWLWL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%16%28%
AVG goals2.222.681.76
Over 1.5 %64%72%56%
Over 2.5 %38%48%28%
Over 3.5 %22%40%4%
Scored0.961.160.76
Conceded1.261.521.00
BTTS46%52%40%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners10.089.6810.48
Cards2.822.523.12
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWW1.72
HomeDWLWW1.92
AwayDDDDD1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%54%38%
AVG goals2.482.122.88
Over 1.5 %62%58%67%
Over 2.5 %42%31%54%
Over 3.5 %34%23%46%
Scored1.621.501.75
Conceded0.860.621.12
BTTS36%27%46%
Clean Sheet52%58%46%
Corners10.2010.739.62
Cards3.323.193.46

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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