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Morton vs Partick Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Morton
Morton
Vs
31%
32%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Morton hosts Partick in the Scotland: Championship match on August 1. Recent form suggests a tale of two teams, with Partick on a two-game winning run, while Morton has suffered two straight defeats. This contrast is reflected in their respective home and away forms, with Partick conceding 1.09 goals on average when away, and Morton conceding 1.18 goals at home.

The model predicts an away win for Partick, with a 38% chance of victory. The expected total goals stand at 2.2, with 2 goals being the most likely total. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.7% probability.

The home side's home scoring form is 0.91 goals on average, while their home conceding form is 1.18 goals. Partick's away scoring form is 1.18 goals, and their away conceding form is 1.09 goals. The model's selection is the Under 3.5 goals, with an 82% probability and a 16% edge. The probabilities for the match result are home win 31%, draw 32%, and away win 38%. The model's suggested picks are Under 3.5 (82%), and the away win (38%), with the home win at 31%, draw at 32%, and the away win at 38%.

Results analysis

The win extends Morton's run of two straight defeats, but Partick's momentum continued with a 0-1 victory away from home, securing the actual result. The model's selection, Partick to win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 38%. The model's call was a justified one, as the away side dominated the match. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with an 82% probability, and the final score of 0-1 confirmed this outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morton win✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied 18.2% · @ 5.00
Edge
+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
5.30
BetVictor
5.25
Dafabet
5.20
1xBet
5.06
10Bet
5.00
Draw✗ Miss
31.7%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 3.91
Edge
+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.13
Dafabet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Betano
4.00
Partick win✓ Hit
37.7%
Avg Implied 58.4% · @ 1.56
Edge
-20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Dafabet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.57

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W21W13L23L23L00D00D04L11DA·AYR21/03A·AYR21/03H·ARB28/03A·DUN04/04A·RAI11/04A·RAI11/04H·QUE18/04H·QUE18/04A·ROS25/04H·AIR01/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.470.940.751.292.29
vs Stronger (10)0.901.300.800.601.002.00
vs Similar (20)1.201.551.000.821.442.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W22D00D11D11D11D21W11D01LA·AYR04/04H·DUN11/04A·AIR18/04A·ARB25/04H·QUE01/05H·QUE01/05A·DUN12/05H·DUN15/05H·ST 21/05A·ST 25/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.931.290.641.251.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.250.891.150.621.331.13
vs Weaker (2)1.501.503.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.8%
@ 1.21-11.1%
Under 1.5
34.2%
@ 4.01+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.80
Pinnacle
4.08
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.6%
@ 1.70-17.2%
Under 2.5
62.4%
@ 2.06+17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.71
BetVictor
1.71
Superbet
1.71
Under
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.08
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.0%
@ 2.73-15.8%
Under 3.5
82.0%
@ 1.40+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.90
BetVictor
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betfair
1.45
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.6%
@ 1.74-7.4%
No
54.4%
@ 1.96+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.78
BetVictor
1.75
Betano
1.75
No
Betfair
2.15
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Unibet
1.97
William Hil
1.95

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%@ 7.19+8.5%
0-0
12.5%@ 11.41+8.6%
0-1 ✓
11.7%@ 7.01+5.3%
1-0
10.1%@ 13.50+6.8%
1-2
7.8%@ 7.35+1.8%
0-2
7.6%@ 7.42+1.6%
2-1
6.9%@ 14.31+3.8%
2-0
5.9%@ 27.37+4.3%
Morton goals ↓
Partick goals →
01234
012%12%7.6%3.0%0.9%
110%15%7.8%3.0%0.9%
25.9%6.9%4.0%1.6%0.5%
32.0%2.4%1.4%0.5%0.2%
40.5%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Morton goals (down), columns = Partick goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.60
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Inverness CT
1.05
Morton
1.04
Morton is 0.81 points worse than Partick in terms of average points per game (1.04 vs 1.85).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Livingston
1.41
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.93
Morton is 0.50 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Partick
0.96
Livingston
0.98
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.49
Morton is 0.42 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 0.96).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MortonMorton

For 5.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

150114293943815664151112791110H·QUEA·RAIA·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·AYRH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

801234214421111273832H·QUEA·RAIA·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·AYRH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.7

⚠️ Fouls

2901198951117913161216121120171626292823H·QUEA·RAIA·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·AYRH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

For 5.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

150876547942541511111374H·QUEA·AYRA·RAIH·AYRA·QUEH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

90321114342313652176319A·ST H·ST H·QUEA·AYRA·RAIH·AYRA·QUEH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 8.7 · Total 18.5

⚠️ Fouls

250106101014111076391516202517924H·QUEA·AYRA·RAIH·AYRA·QUEH·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.39.61.11.11.123.024.721.6
vs Stronger (18)9.79.210.02.42.72.123.326.221.0
vs Similar (32)10.512.58.50.40.20.622.221.523.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line54%50%57%12%12%12%54%67%43%
% under line46%50%43%88%88%88%46%33%57%
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.311.01.21.31.220.219.820.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (46)10.710.311.01.31.41.320.219.820.7
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line67%50%83%16%16%16%33%33%33%
% under line33%50%17%84%84%84%67%67%67%
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Morton
11.0
Partick
10.3
Livingston
10.1
Arbroath
9.8
Inverness CT
9.1
Dunfermline
9.1
Stenhousemuir
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Ayr Utd
9.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Morton
4.6
Livingston
4.3
Partick
4.3
Dunfermline
4.0
Arbroath
3.7
Inverness CT
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.1
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.7
Dunfermline
21.4
Arbroath
20.8
Partick
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.4%
@ 1.71+2.3%
Under 9.5
43.6%
@ 2.01-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.71
10Bet
1.67
Under
Unibet
2.06
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
52.1%
Under 21.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W21W10W10W10W00D00D02L00DA·AYR21/03A·AYR21/03H·ARB28/03A·DUN04/04A·RAI11/04A·RAI11/04H·QUE18/04H·QUE18/04A·ROS25/04H·AIR01/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.500.380.790.64
vs Stronger (10)0.500.300.200.200.800.40
vs Similar (20)0.700.600.640.450.780.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L00D10W10W11D01L01L00DA·AYR04/04H·DUN11/04A·AIR18/04A·ARB25/04H·QUE01/05H·QUE01/05A·DUN12/05H·DUN15/05H·ST 21/05A·ST 25/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.400.860.360.620.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.680.320.690.310.670.33
vs Weaker (2)1.501.503.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.0%1.40
Betfair
1.45
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
+15.8%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.8%--------
Under 25.5 fouls78.2%--------
Under 5.5 cards72.9%--------

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (29)
€6m
DUN (31)
€6m
PAR (22)
€3m
MOR (26)
€2m
ARB (25)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
Morton's squad is €2m less valuable than Partick's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (10)
€3m
LIV (12)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
ARB (5)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Morton and Partick have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€3m
PAR (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (9)
€1m
ARB (8)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
Morton and Partick have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (14)
€2m
LIV (9)
€2m
PAR (9)
€1m
MOR (9)
€1m
ARB (12)
€1m
STE (0)
€0m
Morton and Partick have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Morton vs Partick · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
13/03/26HMOR Vs Partick1-2
03/01/26APartick Vs MOR3-2
11/10/25HMOR Vs Partick1-1
09/08/25APartick Vs MOR1-1
29/03/25HMOR Vs Partick0-1
01/02/25APartick Vs MOR2-2
31/12/24HMOR Vs Partick2-1
03/08/24APartick Vs MOR0-0

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26HMOR Vs Airdrie United1-1
25/04/26ARoss County Vs MOR4-0
18/04/26HMOR Vs Queen's Park0-0
18/04/26HMOR Vs Queens Park0-0
11/04/26ARaith Rovers Vs MOR3-2
11/04/26ARaith Rvs Vs MOR3-2
04/04/26ADunfermline Vs MOR3-1
28/03/26HMOR Vs Arbroath2-1
21/03/26AAyr Utd Vs MOR0-1
21/03/26AAyr Vs MOR0-1

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/26AST Mirren Vs PAR1-0
21/05/26HPAR Vs ST Mirren1-1
15/05/26HPAR Vs Dunfermline2-1
12/05/26ADunfermline Vs PAR1-1
01/05/26HPAR Vs Queen's Park1-1
01/05/26HPAR Vs Queens Park1-1
25/04/26AArbroath Vs PAR0-0
18/04/26AAirdrie United Vs PAR2-2
11/04/26HPAR Vs Dunfermline2-0
04/04/26AAyr Vs PAR1-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.08
HomeLWDDD1.32
AwayWLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%28%16%
AVG goals2.361.882.84
Over 1.5 %72%64%80%
Over 2.5 %42%32%52%
Over 3.5 %24%12%36%
Scored1.020.921.12
Conceded1.340.961.72
BTTS58%48%68%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners9.9210.339.57
Cards4.234.504.00
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 7 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDL1.86
HomeWDDWD2.36
AwayDDDDL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%68%28%
AVG goals2.362.522.20
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %42%52%32%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.481.801.16
Conceded0.880.721.04
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners10.6710.3311.00
Cards4.434.574.29

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PartickPartick26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.0
-
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
3Ayr UtdAyr Utd24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
4Raith RoversRaith Rovers24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
5LivingstonLivingston23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2321.01.0
-
6DunfermlineDunfermline22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3120.50.5
-
7Inverness CTInverness CT22
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
8ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0110.01.0
-
9QueenQueen's Park20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
10MortonMorton20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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